鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

【Trump Again Calls for Rate Cuts, Will the Federal Reserve's "Palace Intrigue" Play Out Again?】

Trump has once again pressured Powell, stating that the rate cut actions are too slow, demanding an immediate cut of 2-3 points, claiming this would save the U.S. $800 billion annually.
He also posted a message mocking Powell for having to "explain the reasons for not cutting rates" in Congress.
However, this time, two officials from the Federal Reserve with vastly different styles—"hawkish" Bowman and "dovish" Waller—both expressed support for a rate cut in July, causing the market to explode.

This drama could play out in three ways:
1. The two proactively seek Trump's favor, vying for the next chairman position;
2. Trump sets the stage early, inciting the two major players to pressure Powell;
3. Powell personally concedes, allowing a subordinate to pave the way, preparing for a real rate cut in July.

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Evening news on June 24
Will the speech of Old Bao in the evening hinder the momentum of the bulls, or will it become a boost for the bulls? #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Tonight's key focus is on Powell's speech on monetary policy at 10 o'clock. If he continues to insist on not lowering interest rates, then we will likely return to around 100,000; conversely, it will quickly rise to 110,000.

Therefore, a major market movement is about to arrive. Tonight, will it be cheers from the bears or wails from the bulls? We will soon witness it, so let's wait for the right moment to act.

Friends who enjoy charting can follow along more closely.

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词
Tonight at 10 PM, Powell's speech on monetary policy is the focus! If he continues to insist on not lowering interest rates, the market may drop back to around 100,000; on the contrary, it is expected to rapidly rise and break through 110,000.
A big market is about to start! Tonight will it be a feast for the 'bears' or a lament for the 'bulls'? The answer will soon be revealed. We are ready to act!
Welcome to follow Haitang, let's discuss and exchange ideas together!
#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #美国国债 #加密市场反弹

Divisions within the Federal Reserve? At the center of the storm, Powell is about to face a congressional hearing that can be called the "most difficult in history."

At 10 PM Beijing time on Tuesday and the same time on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify before the House Financial Services Committee and the Senate Banking Committee. This appearance is highly anticipated as he needs to explain to Congress the decision to maintain interest rates.

Less than a week ago, Federal Reserve officials decided to maintain interest rates for the fourth consecutive meeting, keeping the benchmark federal funds rate in the range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Prior to this, the U.S. attack on Iran led to a spike in oil prices and increased global economic risks, making the market more sensitive to interest rate trends.

Trump has been strongly advocating for lower borrowing costs, arguing that U.S. interest rates should be "at least two to three percentage points lower," and has called on Congress to "take action" against Powell, accusing him of making decisions that will cost the U.S. for years to come.

In Powell's prepared remarks and Q&A session, interest rates and the economy will be key topics. He is expected to follow last week's information, indicating that the Federal Reserve is in a wait-and-see mode before considering interest rate changes, wanting to gather more data as the current economy remains robust. Currently, tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have not led to significant price increases or rising unemployment rates. Economists expect data this week to show that the Fed's preferred core inflation indicator rose only 0.1% in May, marking the third consecutive month of such an increase, and representing the mildest inflation growth in three months since 2020. However, two Federal Reserve governors, Waller and Bowman, believe that the impact of tariffs on prices is temporary and may support a rate cut in July, but Powell seems to see no urgency in acting on inflation trends, believing that misjudging risks is significant.

Powell's testimony in Congress not only has to contend with pressure from Trump but also must address market concerns about the direction of interest rates. His statements and positions will have a significant impact on the U.S. and global economic and financial markets, and investors and market participants are closely monitoring the signals he conveys.
#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's semi-annual monetary policy report testimony could have multifaceted impacts on cryptocurrencies:

Interest Rate Related Impacts

- Changes in Investment Attractiveness: If Powell signals interest rate cuts, it will lower the yield of USD assets, and investors may seek higher-yield alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies, increasing investment interest in cryptocurrencies and driving up their prices; if he hints at raising interest rates or maintaining high interest rates, the investment attractiveness of cryptocurrencies may decline.

- Changes in Market Liquidity: Interest rate cuts will increase global market liquidity, and some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market, increasing trading activity, liquidity, and trading volume, but may also exacerbate market volatility; while raising interest rates or maintaining high interest rates will lead to tight market funds, and funds in the cryptocurrency market may also be withdrawn.

Regulatory Attitude Impact

If Powell emphasizes strengthening the regulation of cryptocurrencies, it may cause the market to worry about the prospects of cryptocurrencies, leading to price declines and decreased trading activity; if he expresses a relatively open attitude towards cryptocurrency innovation, or mentions supporting the healthy development of the cryptocurrency market under effective supervision, it may enhance market confidence and have a certain stabilizing and boosting effect on cryptocurrency prices.

Economic Outlook Expectation Impact

If Powell expresses concern about the economic outlook and there are downside risks to the economy, the attributes of cryptocurrency as 'digital gold' or a safe-haven asset may be strengthened, and investors will increase their allocation to hedge potential risks; if he is optimistic about the economic outlook, investors may be more inclined to traditional financial assets and reduce their attention to cryptocurrencies. #加密市场反弹 #以色列伊朗冲突 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 $BTC

Old Bao speaks, the market shakes three times
At 10 PM, Powell will speak; evening operations must remember: be defensive, control positions, avoid getting overly excited
$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #币安钱包TGE #币安HODLer空投NEWT

Why has China suddenly started to pay attention to stablecoins? What strategic considerations are hidden behind this?

Recently, you may have noticed that Chinese officials and media have suddenly begun to frequently mention "stablecoins."

So the question arises: Didn’t they ban cryptocurrencies a long time ago? Why are they now focusing on stablecoins?

Don’t worry, there are several deep layers of logic behind this:

1. The dominance of the US dollar stablecoins makes China pay attention

Currently, the stablecoin market is almost entirely dominated by the US dollar—USDT, USDC, and other stablecoins led by the US account for 99% of the global market share, with a trading volume reaching $28 trillion in 2024!

The US is also actively promoting these stablecoins to be "legal and compliant," which is essentially using the "digital form of the dollar" to reinforce its dominant position in the global payment system.

In other words, stablecoins have become the representative of the "digital dollar." If China does not respond, it may be left behind in the future competition of digital finance.

2. China's policy shift, with the central bank also facing the reality of "stablecoins"

Although China completely banned cryptocurrency trading in 2021, did you know? In 2025, the governor of the central bank, Pan Gongsheng, directly stated: digital yuan + stablecoins can replace the traditional cross-border payment system.

Why?

Because traditional cross-border payments are not only slow and expensive, but also easily affected by geopolitical factors. While the digital yuan has undergone many pilot programs, it mainly remains for domestic use and is difficult to go overseas.

Stablecoins can just fill this gap.

3. Hong Kong becomes the "testing ground" for offshore RMB stablecoins

At this moment, Hong Kong plays a role:

In August 2025, Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance" is set to take effect, starting with US dollar and Hong Kong dollar stablecoins, followed by the launch of offshore RMB stablecoins, and preparing to utilize a 1 trillion RMB liquidity pool to test cross-border payments.

This is a clever move:

Hong Kong's market mechanism is more flexible

It has the status of an international financial center

It can bypass the main battlefield of mainland regulation and explore new pathways for RMB to go overseas.

Thus, China is looking for technological means + financial tools to break through, such as using RMB stablecoins to connect the global payment chain, improve settlement efficiency, and reshape international trust.

Follow me, and I'll help you understand the geopolitical financial battle behind stablecoins.

Halving -- The only effective prophecy in the cryptocurrency world

Looking back at history:
2013 Bull Market: Explosion 12 months after halving
2017 Bull Market: Surge 18 months after halving
2021 Bull Market: Same pattern, still skyrocketing
This is not metaphysics; it’s the resonance of consensus + game structure + expectation reinforcement.

The last halving was in April 2024, projecting 12 to 18 months, which means: August to December 2025 = high probability bull market explosion window. If it hasn't risen by December, it may really drag into Q1 2026, but the probability will be significantly lower.

Hold steady with the bloody low-priced chips, when the bull market ends, you will be the most outstanding one in the village.

Is the long position at 2224 Ethereum considered a successful bottom fishing? Feel free to comment.

The next 10x coin is about to be born. On July 30, the day of interest rate cuts, the 10x coin code will be announced. Stay tuned.

Pay attention to: fun, sol, uni, spk, bch

#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Did you think making money by trading cryptocurrencies relies on charts, news, or luck?
How naive! The only people who survive in this market and make big money are those who have been ground into the dirt by the market, who have lost so much that they wanted to jump off a building, and who ultimately gritted their teeth and got back up. 1. If you don’t get liquidated, you will always be a novice. If you’ve never been liquidated, you don’t understand what “pain” really means. If you haven’t experienced going from making 1 million to losing it all, you will never understand what “despair” means. The market won’t reason with you; it will teach you the hard way: Losing 50% of 1 million leaves you with 500,000, but to get back to break-even, you need to earn 100%! Climbing from the first floor to the hundredth takes 1 hour, but jumping down from the hundredth takes only 30 seconds. Remember: Your capital is your life; whoever touches your capital, you must cut them off! Even if you have doubled your money 100 times, one time going to zero means you are completely out. 2. Why are most people just fodder for the market? Because they can’t control themselves at all! They can compare prices for 3 days to buy a pair of shoes, but only take 3 seconds to decide to buy cryptocurrencies! The pain of losing 1,000 yuan is 10 times more intense than the joy of making 1,000 yuan! Frequent trading can eat away 140% of your capital in fees in a year! (Don’t believe it? Do the math yourself!) What do truly ruthless people do? Think ahead: How much do I want to earn in this market wave? How much must I cut losses? How much must I withdraw part of my profits? Never go all in: Buy in batches, increase your position only when you are making a profit, and always leave yourself a way out. Be patient and wait for opportunities: The cryptocurrency world is a place where “three years of silence can lead to three years of gains”; moving recklessly = seeking death! 3. Top-level thinking: What you want is not small money, but a change in destiny! If you are trading cryptocurrencies with 10,000 yuan and losing sleep over daily fluctuations of a few hundred yuan — it’s better to quit early; you are not suited for this game! What do real big players think? Their goal is 10 million; they don’t even notice a fluctuation of 1 million! When the trend is on, hold on tight; when there’s no trend, it’s better to sleep than to act recklessly! Trading goes against human nature; you have to endure better than 99% of people! The market does not eliminate those with poor skills; it only eliminates those with a broken mindset. Would you rather be the fodder who “exits completely after liquidation” or the winner who “can rise again after losing it all”?

$BTC

Is the big pancake about to take off? An overnight surge of 5000 points, what is this all about?
Is the bull market back? Are many students thinking this way now?

But the only reason for this surge is that the war has ceased, everyone noticed that, right? Secondly, Trump has started to confuse the situation again. Everyone knows that the key to interest rate cuts is Powell, not Trump, so how can you make a pancake at 1050? The bigger the storm, the more expensive the fish, act boldly, and disperse early.

If you like Shengyang, please pay attention, like, and comment to gain a broader perspective $BTC

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded around 98,000, then rose to around 102,500 before starting to pull back. Those who went long at this point should have struggled to hold, as the pullback point reached 99,500, making it easy to hit stop losses. Late at night, U.S. stocks opened high and Bitcoin surged again to 104,171, which means that last night wiped out a large portion of long positions. This point is halfway to 100,000, and those chasing long positions might find it difficult to enter!

The key question for Bitcoin now is where the pullback will go. Friends who bought long around 98,000 can see if they can still hold on! Long Ge's view is that the range of 98,000-105,000 is likely to establish a threshold, but it also depends on whether the bullish main force can break past the 105,000 barrier!
#剥头皮策略 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 $BTC

#特朗普施压鲍威尔

I don't know if you all have this feeling...

Trump's recent actions are purely because his previous influence on the tariff topic has desensitized the market...

So, despite the criticism, he directly intervened in the Middle East and started to manipulate the situation verbally again, merely because the tariff topic lost its influence, and he needed to find a new topic to regain control over the market...

This deployment of U.S. troops does seem somewhat inexplicable, but if we say that Trump urgently needs to divert the market's attention to a new highly sensitive topic to continue making money verbally, then it seems to make sense...

At least so far, the speculation that "everything Trump does during this term is to make money" remains valid!

Let's see if anyone is investigating insider trading during the day?

Look at this crash now, it’s so similar to the one in 2020 during COVID!

Both are black swan events, and the drop in Bitcoin is quite similar. History tells us that after such panic selling, there are often great opportunities hidden!
I think the pattern hasn’t changed: when it drops deeply, it should rebound. Now we need to keep our eyes wide open, especially for those potential altcoins; if you catch the right one, it might just be a life-changing opportunity.

As for when exactly the altcoins will start to surge?
I know everyone wants a "precise timetable," but the market isn’t that simple?
But I personally have a strong feeling that this time point isn't too far away; the opportunities come from the drops, and we need to start preparing now! Don’t wait until it goes up to start regretting.

Daily sharing of Xin Coin, the behind-the-scenes team only serves ambitious lunatics, directly feeding you 10x coin secrets into your mouth

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #加密市场反弹

Pay attention today: FUN ETH BTC OKB

Remember, a good mindset will always keep you invincible.

You only know that Li Xiaolai was once the richest man in Bitcoin, but you may not understand the melancholy and loss he felt in 2011 when he bought 2100 BTC at an average price of $6, only to see the price plummet to below $1, causing his assets to shrink by 97% in an instant.

You have only heard that Zhao Changpeng topped the Forbes billionaire list, but it is hard to imagine that in 2014 he resolutely sold his property in Shanghai, gambling everything on BTC, only to face a continuous decline, falling into deep regret and helplessness.

You only know Zhao Dong as an OTC trading tycoon, but you cannot feel the despair he experienced in 2013 when he spent 1 million to buy 2000 BTC, his assets once exceeding 100 million, only to face three futures liquidations in 2014, accumulating losses of 1.5 billion and bearing 60 million in debt, nearly collapsing. Fortunately, he eventually pulled through and welcomed what is called a turning point.

In the present, too many people often focus only on immediate benefits, completely ignoring the future market value trends. In this special industry field:
First, when prices fall, the bottom is unfathomable, and there are no limits.
Second, when the market rises, it is boundless, as if a runaway horse.
Third, if one cannot withstand the immense panic and shock of dropping from 1 million to 100,000, it is also difficult to achieve the enormous wealth return and surprise of soaring from 1 million to 1 billion.

#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #币安HODLer空投NEWT #币安钱包TGE
Follow Dian Dian's avatar to quickly get started and understand the information gap, gain first-hand information and in-depth analysis, and continuously share interesting stories and more ways to make money in the cryptocurrency circle!

Cryptocurrency Trading Tips
Six Don'ts and Four Do's:
Six Don'ts:
1. If a coin has been continuously dropping and hasn't stabilized at the 60-day moving average, let's not touch it for now. We'll wait and see when it turns around.
2. Don’t buy coins that have risen and then received good news. Good news often signals a selling opportunity; if a coin has already risen and then gets good news, the main players might be looking to cash out.
3. Don't chase coins that have suddenly surged too much and are far from the 5-day moving average. Coins that rise too quickly carry high risks, and chasing them can easily lead to losses.
4. Don’t take risks on coins that suddenly jump at high levels. A gap up at high levels carries significant risks; it might indicate that the main players are quietly selling off.
5. Avoid coins with a turnover rate exceeding 30%. A high turnover rate indicates fierce competition between bulls and bears; it's better to steer clear of this volatile market.
6. Don't fall for coins that are holding up in a poor overall market. If the market is weak and a coin is still being propped up, it's likely a “smoke and mirrors” tactic.
Four Do's:
1. Hold onto coins with an RSI between 50 and 80. An RSI in the mid to high range indicates that the coin still has momentum, and holding on can lead to more profits.
2. Don't rush to sell coins that have jumped from low levels. A gap up indicates strong bullish momentum, so let's see if it can continue to rise.
3. Hold tight onto coins that are in an upward trend. Following the trend, the longer we hold onto rising coins, the more we can earn.
4. Don’t easily sell coins where all the chips are concentrated in one place. When chips are piled together, the main players might still want to push the price higher; waiting for a peak before selling is not too late.
Cryptocurrency Trading Insights: When it comes to trading cryptocurrencies, one must adhere to the rules and not rely solely on intuition.

#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #币安HODLer空投NEWT #币安钱包TGE #Strategy增持比特币

Forecast for BTC Trend in the Next 24 Hours
Technical Key Levels:
* Bull-Bear Equilibrium: $104,500 (4-hour EMA72 + yesterday's breakout confirmation);
* Upside Resistance: $106,800 (historical peak conversion pressure + maximum pain point for options);
* Pullback Support: $103,000 (V-shaped rebound 0.618 retracement level + institutional support area);
* On-chain Signals: Significant decrease in on-chain selling pressure above $105,000, but the Deribit put/call ratio rises to 1.8, reflecting a surge in hedging demand.
Bull-Bear Catalysts:
* Bullish: Powell's testimony leans dovish (35% probability), single-day net inflow into IBIT > $300 million, whale addresses moving less than 1% of dormant chips;
* Bearish: Powell emphasizes "sticky inflation" (65% probability), net outflow from ETFs, difficulties in executing Iran ceasefire agreement.
Probability Distribution:
* High Volatility (between $103,000 - $106,800): 45% (geopolitical risks receding but policy unclear);
* Targeting $108,000: 35% (requires Powell to signal rate cuts + short covering volume > $800 million);
* Deep Pullback to $102,000: 20% (if Fed's hawkish statements trigger a dollar rebound).
Operational Strategy:
Historical Pattern: Average volatility of BTC increases by 42% during Powell's speeches.
* Current Price $105,200: Breakout at $105,500 to go long (target $106,800, stop loss $104,300);
* Break below $104,500: Reverse to short at $103,200 (stop loss $105,000, need 1-hour trading volume > $1.5 billion);
* Options Hedge: Buy $104,000 put options + sell $107,000 call options combination.