强哥的交易日记

Call at 4 AM to notify fans to bottom out at 2366

Such a blogger is hard to find anywhere else on the internet

This is true love for the fans

The next 10x coin, time to ambush again, those who need to come together

Today's focus: B, trump, s, wld, pepe

#币安LaunchpoolHUMA

Will 2025 be a bull market? We are all deceived by appearances

In 25 years, there will be a bull market, and we are currently in a bull market.

"Not knowing the true face of Mount Lu, only because I am in this mountain" The bull market has already begun, there will definitely be a bull market in 25 years, it's just a matter of how far it goes.

Focus for the day: sxt, cookie, kaito, wct, trump

#BTC挑战11万大关

Fil can't take off, brother, just give up...

Other answers are so empty. After the tax and non-farm events these past two days, the entire cryptocurrency market has seen a significant correction, not exactly a crash. Many old investors feel that the bull market has come to an end because Bitcoin has this nature, a four-year bull-bear cycle, with historical peaks appearing every four years, after which the bull market is pretty much over. I've been thinking about this issue these past two days, and based on past experience, it seems Bitcoin has peaked. Those who are buying in now are likely to be late to the party at a foolishly high price.

However, the non-farm payrolls are a critical point. The data shows that things aren’t ideal: too many unemployed people and not enough jobs, indicating a significant lack of labor, reflecting that the economy in the beautiful country is already very poor. But precisely because of this, the probability of a rate cut in September has increased. Banks are lowering deposit rates, encouraging everyone to spend and invest rather than save, to stimulate the economy.
A rate cut in September is a major positive. Bitcoin is essentially a product of speculative emotions; historically, significant increases in Bitcoin have coincided with rate cuts in the beautiful country. Therefore, I personally believe this is just a correction, and the bull market is far from over; the tail end of the bull is still here!!!

The bull is still here, have you noticed? We've been telling everyone to short for a day now, and what about you? You're still holding long positions, right?

The next strategy is being planned, expecting a rise of 3000%. If you need a strategy, just say the word.

How long can the bull market in the crypto world last in 2025?

I think we are already in the mid to late stage.

Because when everyone finally admits that this is a bull market, there were many who said it wasn't a bull market before, just a "rebound."

Even up until May and June of this year, people were still bearish.

Haha, now no one is saying this is not a bull market, which means... selling when the crowd is loud, it's time to rest.

Shorting altcoins until getting rich

Focus for the day: link, uni, sui, apt, pepe

#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调

What is the best investment for 500,000 cash in 2025?

First choice is Ethereum, followed by Solana, then Uni, Sui, Apt, Link.

How to allocate specifically

I can tell you

Those who need to get on board, let's do it together.

How much do you need to earn to come back to my side?

A veteran player in the cryptocurrency world born after 1985: In 3 years, I turned 50,000 U into 56,490,000 U, all thanks to my 'ridiculously simple' method.
A 40-year-old fan, originally from Jiangxi, now living in Hunan.
After 3 years of trading cryptocurrencies, my initial capital of 50,000 U grew to 56,490,000 U, without relying on insider information or catching any 'super bull market', just by repeatedly using my 'simple method'.
In 1095 days, I did one thing—treated trading like leveling up in a game.
Today, I will honestly share these 6 iron rules of the cryptocurrency world:
If you understand one, you can avoid losing 100,000; if you follow three, you've already outperformed 90% of retail investors.
First rule: Fast rises and slow falls mean the big players are accumulating.
Rapid surges followed by slow declines are mostly just market washing, don’t panic and run. The true top is when a sudden surge in volume is followed by an immediate drop; that’s a trap to lure more buyers.
Second rule: Fast drops and slow rises mean the big players are offloading; after a flash crash, the market rebounds slowly, it’s not about picking up bargains but a final strike. Don’t indulge in the fantasy of 'It’s dropped so much, can it still drop?'.
Third rule: Volume at the top doesn’t necessarily mean it's over; lack of volume is what’s dangerous.
If there’s still volume at high levels, there might be another surge; if it’s completely silent with no volume at high positions, it’s the calm before the real crash.
Fourth rule: Don’t act impulsively when there’s volume at the bottom; consistency is key.
A single spike in volume could be bait. Continuous days of volume increase after a period of low volume and consolidation is a true signal for building positions.
Fifth rule: Trading cryptocurrencies is essentially trading emotions; emotions are hidden in 'volume'.
Candlestick patterns are results, while trading volume is the thermometer for emotions. If volume shrinks, no one is playing; if volume explodes, funds are flowing in.
Sixth rule: 'Nothingness' is the ultimate state.
Without obsession, you can dare to hold cash; without greed, you won’t chase highs; without fear, you can dare to buy the dip. It’s not about being zen, it’s about having a top-notch trading mindset.
Opportunities in the cryptocurrency world are never lacking; what’s lacking is whether you can control your actions and see the situation clearly.
Market trends never lack opportunities; what’s lacking is your ability to control your actions and see clearly, and what can truly guide you out is someone who can help you see the rhythm and point the way.
It’s not that you’re not fast enough; it’s that you’re bumping around in the dark alone. Brother Dao has always been here, the light is right ahead; if you don’t keep up, you’ll be stuck in the darkness forever.

Can Ethereum reach $10,000 this round?

We are comparing the relative valuation of ETH and BTC.

The ETH/BTC ratio is actually very stable in the long term, but the current ratio is only 0.0372, which is historically in the lower-middle position over the past 5 years, so there is a possibility that ETH is currently 'undervalued'.

Based on the average ETH/BTC ratio of 0.0518 over the past five years, assuming BTC remains around $120,000, the corresponding ETH price would be $6,214. If we refer to the previous bull market's ETH/BTC ratio of 0.06-0.08 for estimation, still assuming BTC remains around $120,000, the corresponding ETH price would be between $7,200 and $9,600. Ethereum ETF and institutional holdings

With the surge in ETH prices, significant off-exchange funds are pouring into Ethereum ETFs. Many people overlook the actual impact of Ethereum ETFs and institutional buying, which is not only a positive sentiment but also a huge buying force.

Ethereum spot ETFs have reached a new historical high, with a net inflow of $1.019 billion on August 11th, Eastern Time, and the current net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $25.712 billion, with a holding of approximately 6 million ETH, accounting for 4.96% of the current ETH circulating supply, compared to BTC's ETF percentage of 6.48%, indicating there is still room for growth. In addition, 70 Ethereum reserve entities hold about 3.49 million ETH, accounting for 2.89% of the ETH circulating supply, and BMNR has publicly aimed to ultimately hold 5% of the global Ethereum circulating supply. After deducting 36.17 million ETH locked in staking, the free circulating supply is only about 7.51 million ETH.

The upcoming price projections are based on a simple assumption: the proportion of the free circulating supply decreases, which will proportionally drive up the price per unit.
That is, new price = current price × (target free circulating supply / current free circulating supply)
If we bundle the ETFs and institutional reserves as a whole, they currently hold 7.85% of the total supply. Assuming this proportion increases to 10% in the future, and the stake-locking ratio changes little, the free circulating supply will shrink to about 7.252 million ETH, and the corresponding price mechanically rises to about $4,647; if it increases to 15%, it rises to about $5,070; if it increases to 20%, it approaches $6,000.

ETF and institutional incremental funds usually take some time to complete settlement, which means that the ETH price center will be raised long-term and steadily, rather than surging in the short term.

Such an opportunity

Did you seize it?

Ethereum is at a high near 4700, did you catch this sky-high wealth?

The next great trade, seize the layout, those who want to hop on, let's go together

Today's focus: bch, myx, sol, uni, sui

#Strategy增持比特币 #BitDigital转型

1000u Success
Starting with 1000u, personally tested, turning it into 200000u in 3 months
1000u Comeback Battle
1000U Comeback Battle: The simplest yet harshest survival rule in the crypto world, suitable for: broke individuals, gamblers, and those looking for a turnaround
The Dignity Battle of 1000U
What can 1000U do? It can't do anything
But with this 1000U, I rolled it to 200000U in three months, and then from 200000U to 2 million U!
This is not some “get-rich-quick myth,” but a set of “survival algorithms for broke individuals” using the simplest methods to fight the hardest battles!
Step 1: Start with 1000U — either double it or lose it all
Goal: 1000U to 2000U (100% profit)
Battle Plan
Currency Choice: ETH (good liquidity, high volatility, few spikes)
Leverage: 100 times (you read that right, it’s 100 times)
Position Calculation:
1000U principal, 500U open position (keep 500U in reserve)
ETH price 3000U, open 0.0016 ETH (~500U) take profit: +50% (750U to close)
Stop loss: -20%
Core Logic:
Take profit at 50% and run, don’t be greedy. Cut losses at -20%, don’t fantasize, don’t add to positions. Trade only 1-2 times a day, avoid frequent operations.
After a loss, cease operations for 2 hours (to avoid emotional trading).
With a small amount and low leverage, you can’t make money.

Step 2: Rolling Position Strategy — 3 consecutive wins = principal × 8

Rolling Strategy
1. At 4000U, take 2000U to go in (50% position)
Profit 50%
Key Point:
If you make one mistake, go back to 1000U and start over.
Position Diversification Strategy
Reduce leverage to 50 times (reduce risk of liquidation)
Take profit at 30%, stop loss at 10% (more stable) Why reduce leverage?
When the principal is large, you can’t gamble on “doubling it in one go.”
The goal is stable growth, not gambling.
If you can’t manage 1000U, you’ll get liquidated with 1 million U!
Trading is not gambling but a survival game; those who survive can laugh last.

See, you’re making money again, right?

How long can you earn 100,000 from 10,000 in the crypto world? Family, have you seen this?

Do you know how long it takes to turn 10,000 into 100,000 in the crypto world?

Can you make 100,000 from 10,000 in the crypto world?

Yes

Let me tell you based on my personal experience teaching fans: two methods!
First method:
You only need three 10x returns to earn 10 million.
First, here's a basic theorem: In a person's lifetime, you only need to continuously gamble on three 10x coins to achieve financial freedom.
Step one, prepare 10,000.
10,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 1,000,000
1,000,000 - 10,000,000
Break down 10 million into three 10x opportunities, find corresponding opportunities in the first, second, and third 10x, and repeat the profitable operations 100 times in each 10x, and you can basically secure 10 million.
So your next task is to find three 10x coins.
Second method:
In the crypto world, you need to find a way to earn 1 million in capital first, and the only way to turn a few tens of thousands into 1 million in capital is through rolling positions.
A few points to note about rolling positions:
1. Sufficient patience; the profits from rolling positions are huge. As long as you can successfully roll a few times, you can earn at least tens of millions or billions, so you cannot roll easily. You need to find high-certainty opportunities.
2. High-certainty opportunities refer to a situation where there is a steep decline followed by horizontal consolidation, and then a breakout upwards. The probability of following the trend at this time is very high. You need to find the point of trend reversal and get in early.
3. Only roll long positions;
Risks of rolling positions.
Let's talk about the rolling position strategy. Many people think this is risky, but I can tell you that the risk is very low, much lower than the logic of trading futures.
If you only have 50,000, how to start with 50,000? First of all, this 50,000 should be your profit. If you are still at a loss, don't look further.

If you open a position in Bitcoin at 10,000, set the leverage to 10x, using a position mode of only opening 10% of the position, that means only opening 5,000 as margin, which is equivalent to 1x leverage, with a 2% stop loss. If you stop loss, you only lose 2%, just 2%? 1,000. How do those who get liquidated end up getting liquidated? Even if you get liquidated, isn't it just a loss of 5,000? How can you lose everything?

If Bitcoin rises to 15,000, and you successfully increase your position, in this 50% market, you should be able to earn around 200,000. Catching two such market movements could bring you around 1 million.

Such a strategy, who else has it?

Entering a short position at a high level is awesome.

Focus for the day: arb, bio, myx, sui, uni, sol

If you want stability, wait for a large-scale correction

First, I recommend Ethereum, the future is promising

I predict that Ethereum will lead in this bull market, partly replacing Bitcoin's position. Next, I recommend Solana, then XRP, and Sui can also be considered

We have already made a profit earlier

Next, we are waiting for the interest rate cut in September, which will allow us to re-enter Ethereum, expecting a profit of 3500%

As long as you follow Brother Qiang's strategy, you can profit

Pay attention today: LINK, SUI, UNI, ZPT

#币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调

Brothers

The callback is normal

I firmly believe that Ethereum will explode again

Now is a good time for you to enter the market

ALPINE short-term rise has reached its end

As a fan token, the long-term value of ALPINE coin depends on the performance of the club or team behind it and raises concerns about fan loyalty, not recommended to hold any longer

If possible, short directly

Intraday focus: link, uni, ena, apt

#ETH质押退出动态观察 #山寨季何时到来？

Establish rules to avoid emotional trading

Set profit and loss points in advance and strictly adhere to them. For example, a stop loss can be set at 5%-10%, while profit-taking can be flexibly set based on the volatility of the cryptocurrency (e.g., 15%-30%), avoiding greed and luck.
​
Avoid frequent trading; the cryptocurrency market trades continuously for 24 hours, and excessive monitoring can lead to being swayed by short-term fluctuations, resulting in impulsive actions. Analyze the market at a fixed time each day to reduce ineffective operations.
​
Do not chase highs or sell lows; after a surge, a pullback often follows, and during a crash, it is necessary to determine whether it is a trend reversal or a short-term emotional outburst, avoiding following the crowd.

This is the Ethereum position I entered earlier, earning 80,000 USDT from one trade.

Do you want to follow the strategy?

Come on

Daily focus: link, uni, sui, apt, aave

#交易心理 #交易虚拟货币被蹲苦劳

I am about to make a big move

Ether entered the market before the interest rate cut, waiting for the bull market to end, at least earning 3000 points. If you buy 10 coins now, by the time the bull market ends, you will earn 30,000 USDT.

If you can buy 100 coins, by the time the bull market ends, you will earn 300,000 USDT, completely turning your situation around.

If you don't know where to enter, follow Brother Qiang's strategy, which provides entry points and take-profit points.

Pay attention today: link, ape, sui, uni, ordi, pepe, doge

#美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

Understanding Support and Resistance Levels in Cryptocurrency Trading to Earn Over Ten Thousand a Month

Recently, I've received many messages from fans asking me to talk about how to look at support and resistance levels, and how to use this to determine the direction and position to enter the market.

I will share my experience from the past 8 years (I suggest liking and saving this to avoid losing it later):
The principle behind the formation of resistance and support levels is a herd mentality: Suppose the current price of a coin is 5 yuan (the lowest price in this phase), when we set a price of 6 or 7 yuan, many people still buy. At 8 and 9 yuan, the number of buyers starts to decrease, and when it reaches 10 yuan (the highest price in this phase), there are even fewer buyers.
When the price is set at 11 yuan, there are no buyers at all, so everyone has to lower the price. When the price drops to 8 or 9 yuan, there are still very few buyers, so the price can only continue to drop, eventually returning to 5 yuan (the lowest price in this phase).

At this point, those who missed buying at 5 yuan will remember that last time it didn’t get bought and then rose to 10 yuan, so they will start buying in large quantities; thus, 5 yuan becomes a support level. As soon as the stock price hits 5 yuan, many people will come to buy. Similarly, when it rises to 10 yuan, many people will sell, making 10 yuan a resistance level.

The above is a simple explanation of support and resistance levels. We can accurately determine the exact prices of support and resistance levels by looking at the chip accumulation area, moving averages, long bullish candles with volume, long bearish candles with volume, and trend lines.

Trump has changed his mind again

He said again that he would not impose tariffs on China's purchase of Russian oil; Trump is really fickle

Changing his mind day by day

The market is truly unpredictable, Ethereum has reversed in an instant

Follow Brother Qiang's strategy, and eat meat anytime

Next strategy, public layout, expected increase of 1000%, those who want to eat meat together come along

Daily focus: link, sui, uni. apt

There are two predictions for the upcoming market trends. The first is a relatively optimistic scenario: if Bitcoin can stabilize and even break above 120,000, it may continue to rise to 130,000 and even challenge 150,000 USD. Ethereum may also break 4,800 and push towards 5,000. However, this kind of trend requires strong market sentiment support, which currently seems quite difficult.

The second scenario, which is more likely, suggests that the recent peak of 123,000 for Bitcoin may be a short-term high, followed by a pullback. If it doesn't drop below 100,000, it may find a bottom in the range of 102,000-107,000 before rising above 130,000. However, if it drops below 100,000, it could fall sharply to 90,000-95,000, followed by a rebound that forms a double top structure, leading to a deeper correction.

If Ethereum follows the first scenario, it may first retract to 4,200-4,400 before starting the next wave of increase.

Currently, Ethereum is at a bargain price.

Powell responds to 'If it weren't for tariffs, the Fed would have lowered interest rates earlier.' The deadline for tariff negotiations is July 9. Will the Fed lower interest rates in July?

Unless something unexpected happens, it's highly likely that something unexpected will happen.
If it weren't for Trump saying he wanted to replace me, the Fed would have lowered interest rates long ago.
If it weren't for the tariff policy, the Fed would have lowered interest rates long ago.
If it weren't for the Israel-Palestine war, the Fed would have lowered interest rates long ago.
This is just talk; you, Powell, with your shameless face, don't you know the reasons for not lowering interest rates? Is it really just the inflation data you mentioned? The employment data? Come on, it's not that it's getting harder to sell US Treasury bonds.
You say the US Treasury bond defaults are important? Or is that bit of interest on the bonds important? Which is more important, Powell still knows clearly. One could say that the inflation rate is the least worth mentioning among the numerous reasons the Fed considers for lowering or not lowering interest rates.
But why is it one of the reasons the Fed mentions most often? It's actually because the Fed is unwilling to take the blame.

Regardless of whether the Trump administration engages in a trade war, inflation cannot be controlled. From the beginning, the Fed never intended to lower interest rates so easily, after all, this rate hike cycle has not yielded the expected results, and they are feeling frustrated without a reason to maintain high interest rates. Suddenly, Trump's tariff policy provided the Fed with a perfect excuse, thus this delay can extend for nearly another half year.
The Fed, at this point, is all about delaying; if possible, it would be best to delay until 2026 to lower interest rates. If US Treasury bonds cannot maintain high interest rates, what will happen to the massive amount of bond swaps? No one will buy, and capital will flow out of the Treasury bond market, so the Fed dares not significantly lower interest rates, and even dares not lower them at all. The $37 trillion in Treasury bonds hangs over the Fed like a sword, neither lowering nor not lowering.

July 9 is the deadline for tariff exemption negotiations; whether interest rates will be lowered in July can only be made clearer after the 9th.

Daily focus: pengu, aave, mkr, fun, wld

The next 10x coin is about to be born; on July 30, the day of the interest rate cut, the 10x coin code will be announced, stay tuned

#美国加征关税 #GENIUS稳定币法案

Life is as insignificant as an ant, but one should have the ambition of a swan

The universe is still uncertain, you and I are both dark horses

In any project, you only have the chance for a turnaround if you acquire low-priced chips

Enter SOL around 145, and ETH around 2458, both have good profits

The next 10x coin is about to be born; on July 30th, the day of interest rate cuts, the 10x coin code will be announced. Stay tuned

Pay attention today: UNI, SUI, DOGE, PEPE, NEIRO, LTC, PNUT, ETHFI

#Solana质押型ETF #币安上线WCT