海王老六
专业合约公众号：南瓜策略 微博：兴辰源合约
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Entered at yesterday's low point, according to my usual thinking, I closed all positions at 1765. Only doing ultra-short term trades #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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Open a long position near btc 93860 with 100x leverage, direct at 94860, stop loss below 93, position size suggestion not to exceed 5% of principal #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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4.28/ The current BTC price is in a consolidation phase, with resistance near the previous high of 95750, which has been unable to break through multiple times. If the price pulls back to the support level near 93300, a rebound may occur; if it breaks below this support, it may further test the 91000-92000 area.
It is recommended to buy on dips and sell on highs. If the price tests the support and stabilizes, consider going long, targeting around 95750; if the support is broken, then a short position may be considered in the short term. Note that around 93500 is a key support level, and further declines may exacerbate the pullback. #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF
It is recommended to buy on dips and sell on highs. If the price tests the support and stabilizes, consider going long, targeting around 95750; if the support is broken, then a short position may be considered in the short term. Note that around 93500 is a key support level, and further declines may exacerbate the pullback. #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF
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The price is currently fluctuating at a high level around 95,500, repeatedly testing but not breaking through.
The trading volume has noticeably decreased in the past two days, indicating that buying power is starting to weaken, leading to a bit of a wait-and-see sentiment.
Recently, several candlesticks have shown long upper shadows, suggesting that selling pressure at high levels is beginning to emerge.
Currently, it is fluctuating repeatedly in the range of 94,500-95,000, which is a typical strong consolidation phase.
Generally bullish, but caution is advised when chasing highs.
Strategy explanation: The main direction remains bullish. It is recommended to wait for pullback support (for example, near EMA24, around 93,000-93,500) to buy low. It is not advised to chase high directly at 94,500, as the cost-effectiveness is low, the profit potential is small, and the risk of loss is high. Stop-loss reference is to confirm weakness if it falls below 92,500. Exit the position if stopped out. Take-profit reference is around 95,700-97,000.
Do not chase highs, wait for low entries to avoid being washed out at high levels.
Follow the major trend and go long, as long as important moving averages and support lines are not broken, maintain a bullish outlook.
Be cautious when chasing highs to prevent a downward waterfall.
The trading volume has noticeably decreased in the past two days, indicating that buying power is starting to weaken, leading to a bit of a wait-and-see sentiment.
Recently, several candlesticks have shown long upper shadows, suggesting that selling pressure at high levels is beginning to emerge.
Currently, it is fluctuating repeatedly in the range of 94,500-95,000, which is a typical strong consolidation phase.
Generally bullish, but caution is advised when chasing highs.
Strategy explanation: The main direction remains bullish. It is recommended to wait for pullback support (for example, near EMA24, around 93,000-93,500) to buy low. It is not advised to chase high directly at 94,500, as the cost-effectiveness is low, the profit potential is small, and the risk of loss is high. Stop-loss reference is to confirm weakness if it falls below 92,500. Exit the position if stopped out. Take-profit reference is around 95,700-97,000.
Do not chase highs, wait for low entries to avoid being washed out at high levels.
Follow the major trend and go long, as long as important moving averages and support lines are not broken, maintain a bullish outlook.
Be cautious when chasing highs to prevent a downward waterfall.
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The small contract opened a short position at 87400. It is expected to spike up to around 885 at most before starting a new round of sharp decline. The bearish trend is still in play, aiming first for around 78000. If it continues to drop, it will reach near 65. #加密市场反弹 Short positions can enter the initial position, laying out the swing.
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Currently in a small-scale fluctuation, with resistance around 85. If it cannot break through, a pullback is likely, with a high possibility of falling back to the 84300-84000 range.
Going long: If the price breaks through 85000, consider going long, targeting the 87000 area. Stop-loss below 84.
Short-term fluctuating consolidation trend, but if it breaks through 85000, you can try to chase the long position #Solana激增 .
Going long: If the price breaks through 85000, consider going long, targeting the 87000 area. Stop-loss below 84.
Short-term fluctuating consolidation trend, but if it breaks through 85000, you can try to chase the long position #Solana激增 .
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4.17
Market Review
BTC had little fluctuation yesterday, rebounding to 85600 after a pullback near 83000, then falling back again, with a range of about 1-2000 points, failing to break through 86000. ETH also experienced a volatile market, approaching a drop below 1560, but it was not confirmed on the four-hour chart, bouncing back after reaching a low of 1540. The daily chart for BTC shows a small bearish candle, while ETH shows a semi-bearish candle, indicating reduced volatility, suggesting a new market trend may begin. Market sentiment is leaning towards panic, with many bearish outlooks, but excessive bearishness is irrational; one needs to remain calm and wait for a market turning point.
Today's Focus
The four-hour chart for BTC shows volatility, with support levels to watch in the 82500-83600 range. If there is significant retracement on the four-hour chart, attention should be paid to the 82000 support level; if broken, it may drop to 81600. Resistance remains at 86000-88000, and breaking through 88000 could indicate a market reversal, requiring risk management and patience for changes.
On the ETH four-hour chart, the 1560 support level needs attention. If BTC drops significantly affecting ETH's defense, it may break below 1560 and rebound in the 1500-1520 range, with weakened momentum, targeting a rebound of 1580-1630. If 1560 holds, the rebound will continue to focus on the 1660-1720 range, with a breakthrough at 1680 potentially leading directly to 1720-1760.
Recent fluctuations in altcoins are small, with DOGE, S, and SOL showing no significant changes; SOL is slightly stronger but has not developed an independent trend.
Binance and Yuedong's copy trading currently has a win rate of 34:4; currently holding a short position in Bitcoin, expecting a significant drop below 83 to open a bearish market.
#鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币
Market Review
BTC had little fluctuation yesterday, rebounding to 85600 after a pullback near 83000, then falling back again, with a range of about 1-2000 points, failing to break through 86000. ETH also experienced a volatile market, approaching a drop below 1560, but it was not confirmed on the four-hour chart, bouncing back after reaching a low of 1540. The daily chart for BTC shows a small bearish candle, while ETH shows a semi-bearish candle, indicating reduced volatility, suggesting a new market trend may begin. Market sentiment is leaning towards panic, with many bearish outlooks, but excessive bearishness is irrational; one needs to remain calm and wait for a market turning point.
Today's Focus
The four-hour chart for BTC shows volatility, with support levels to watch in the 82500-83600 range. If there is significant retracement on the four-hour chart, attention should be paid to the 82000 support level; if broken, it may drop to 81600. Resistance remains at 86000-88000, and breaking through 88000 could indicate a market reversal, requiring risk management and patience for changes.
On the ETH four-hour chart, the 1560 support level needs attention. If BTC drops significantly affecting ETH's defense, it may break below 1560 and rebound in the 1500-1520 range, with weakened momentum, targeting a rebound of 1580-1630. If 1560 holds, the rebound will continue to focus on the 1660-1720 range, with a breakthrough at 1680 potentially leading directly to 1720-1760.
Recent fluctuations in altcoins are small, with DOGE, S, and SOL showing no significant changes; SOL is slightly stronger but has not developed an independent trend.
Binance and Yuedong's copy trading currently has a win rate of 34:4; currently holding a short position in Bitcoin, expecting a significant drop below 83 to open a bearish market.
#鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币
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20 Dollar challenge has already gone bankrupt, still aiming too high. Gather your spirits and set off again!!! Next time, add some principal to the challenge #鲍威尔发言
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4.16 Analysis
BTC: The recent high is around 86, and yesterday there was a signal of a bearish trend, with the market slowly declining. The current support level is at 83, and if it breaks, it may look towards 75. In terms of operations, pay attention to the resistance at 84-85 above and the support at 825-815 below.
ETH: Ethereum has entered a bottoming phase, which may last for three months, primarily characterized by fluctuations during this period. The daily line is under pressure from the moving averages, and the rebound lacks strength. If the bearish trend in BTC continues, the bottom for ETH may be around 1100. In terms of operations, pay attention to the resistance at 1600-1630 above and the support at 1550-1520 below.
Altcoins: It is recommended to remain in cash and observe, as altcoins may fluctuate downward during Ethereum's bottoming period. Be patient and wait for opportunities. #加拿大推出SolanaETF
BTC: The recent high is around 86, and yesterday there was a signal of a bearish trend, with the market slowly declining. The current support level is at 83, and if it breaks, it may look towards 75. In terms of operations, pay attention to the resistance at 84-85 above and the support at 825-815 below.
ETH: Ethereum has entered a bottoming phase, which may last for three months, primarily characterized by fluctuations during this period. The daily line is under pressure from the moving averages, and the rebound lacks strength. If the bearish trend in BTC continues, the bottom for ETH may be around 1100. In terms of operations, pay attention to the resistance at 1600-1630 above and the support at 1550-1520 below.
Altcoins: It is recommended to remain in cash and observe, as altcoins may fluctuate downward during Ethereum's bottoming period. Be patient and wait for opportunities. #加拿大推出SolanaETF
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Long-term spot investors should pay attention to this key signal!
Bitcoin recently rebounded from a support level of $74,400, showing bullish signs. Over the past six days, the price has increased by 13.2%, breaking through the key short-term resistance level of $81,000, which had acted as support since mid-March.
The bullish momentum is attracting many, and this rebound may only be a corrective move rather than a sustained increase. A deeper price correction may occur after the rebound.
Target price levels are between $72,000 and $74,000, which could be the market's "maximum pain accumulation target." #比特币与美国关税政策 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
Bitcoin recently rebounded from a support level of $74,400, showing bullish signs. Over the past six days, the price has increased by 13.2%, breaking through the key short-term resistance level of $81,000, which had acted as support since mid-March.
The bullish momentum is attracting many, and this rebound may only be a corrective move rather than a sustained increase. A deeper price correction may occur after the rebound.
Target price levels are between $72,000 and $74,000, which could be the market's "maximum pain accumulation target." #比特币与美国关税政策 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
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Where is the target for SOL
The price of SOL is currently facing key technical resistance.
The 1-day chart shows that although the price broke through $120 in the short term, the strong supply zone around $140 may pose a challenge for the bulls.
Solana has performed well relative to Ethereum, with increased on-chain trading activity driving up demand.
A breakout above $143 for Solana could be a short-term bullish signal, as the RSI indicator has risen above 50, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually strengthening. Additionally, the OBV indicator shows that buying pressure is increasing, which may push the price above $143 and further upward.
According to Solana's liquidation heatmap, $150 and $158 are key resistance areas, containing over $2 billion in liquidation zones. Recent prices may rise to $150-$160. Nevertheless, whether it can break through $140 and maintain an upward trend remains uncertain, as it will depend on the movements of Bitcoin and the overall market.
#美国半导体关税
The price of SOL is currently facing key technical resistance.
The 1-day chart shows that although the price broke through $120 in the short term, the strong supply zone around $140 may pose a challenge for the bulls.
Solana has performed well relative to Ethereum, with increased on-chain trading activity driving up demand.
A breakout above $143 for Solana could be a short-term bullish signal, as the RSI indicator has risen above 50, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually strengthening. Additionally, the OBV indicator shows that buying pressure is increasing, which may push the price above $143 and further upward.
According to Solana's liquidation heatmap, $150 and $158 are key resistance areas, containing over $2 billion in liquidation zones. Recent prices may rise to $150-$160. Nevertheless, whether it can break through $140 and maintain an upward trend remains uncertain, as it will depend on the movements of Bitcoin and the overall market.
#美国半导体关税
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Almost blew the account at dawn As long as the principal is Five thousand dollars is my goal#比特币与美国关税政策 #币安Alpha上新 Challenge 20U to reach five thousand
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Is the Altcoin Trading Season About to Arrive?
Bitcoin (BTC) has a market dominance of 63.3%, which has declined since mid-March. Historical data shows that when BTC.D approaches 64%, it usually encounters resistance and market momentum weakens.
This slowdown suggests that Bitcoin's dominance may be declining, creating opportunities for a resurgence of altcoins.
If Bitcoin's dominance continues to fall and its price remains stable, capital may flow into altcoins, signaling the arrival of the altcoin season. #比特币与美国关税政策
Bitcoin (BTC) has a market dominance of 63.3%, which has declined since mid-March. Historical data shows that when BTC.D approaches 64%, it usually encounters resistance and market momentum weakens.
This slowdown suggests that Bitcoin's dominance may be declining, creating opportunities for a resurgence of altcoins.
If Bitcoin's dominance continues to fall and its price remains stable, capital may flow into altcoins, signaling the arrival of the altcoin season. #比特币与美国关税政策
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4.15#币圈暴富 Fundamentals:
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if the economy slows, the unemployment rate could rise to 5%, favoring an earlier and larger interest rate cut.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Bostic pointed out that due to uncertainties like Trump's tariffs, the economy is in a "big pause" and suggested the Federal Reserve should hold steady.
KiloEx was hacked, vulnerabilities have been contained, and partners and platforms are advised to blacklist.
Yesterday's analysis: BTC resistance is at 855-865, with a high of 858, support at 833-823, and a low of 837; ETH support is at 1600-1570, with a low of 1606, resistance at 1660-1690, and a high of 1691, the trend aligns with expectations.
Technical Analysis:
BTC: Daily chart shows oscillating upward, with a golden cross on the 7-day moving average. The high point around 86 has held for three days, indicating short-term risk of a downward trend. The 4-hour chart shows weak upward momentum, and attention needs to be paid to the emergence of bearish signals. Focus on 858-868 resistance and 838-828 support during the day.
ETH: Daily chart shows oscillating upward, constrained by the 14-day moving average, which needs to be broken for a rebound to 1780 before entering a consolidation phase. The 4-hour chart shows oscillating upward, but the high point at 1690 is evident, expecting a pullback after a spike. Focus on 1680-1710 resistance and 1610-1580 support during the day.
Altcoins: Not recommended for now, focus on observation. Ethereum's rebound strength is weak, and altcoins are expected to be stronger in the next round of rebounds. Pay attention to AI, gaming, meme coins, and strong new coins. #巨鲸动向 follow me for daily market analysis.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if the economy slows, the unemployment rate could rise to 5%, favoring an earlier and larger interest rate cut.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Bostic pointed out that due to uncertainties like Trump's tariffs, the economy is in a "big pause" and suggested the Federal Reserve should hold steady.
KiloEx was hacked, vulnerabilities have been contained, and partners and platforms are advised to blacklist.
Yesterday's analysis: BTC resistance is at 855-865, with a high of 858, support at 833-823, and a low of 837; ETH support is at 1600-1570, with a low of 1606, resistance at 1660-1690, and a high of 1691, the trend aligns with expectations.
Technical Analysis:
BTC: Daily chart shows oscillating upward, with a golden cross on the 7-day moving average. The high point around 86 has held for three days, indicating short-term risk of a downward trend. The 4-hour chart shows weak upward momentum, and attention needs to be paid to the emergence of bearish signals. Focus on 858-868 resistance and 838-828 support during the day.
ETH: Daily chart shows oscillating upward, constrained by the 14-day moving average, which needs to be broken for a rebound to 1780 before entering a consolidation phase. The 4-hour chart shows oscillating upward, but the high point at 1690 is evident, expecting a pullback after a spike. Focus on 1680-1710 resistance and 1610-1580 support during the day.
Altcoins: Not recommended for now, focus on observation. Ethereum's rebound strength is weak, and altcoins are expected to be stronger in the next round of rebounds. Pay attention to AI, gaming, meme coins, and strong new coins. #巨鲸动向 follow me for daily market analysis.
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Competition Between Ethereum and Ripple in the Future:
Currently, Ethereum is underperforming, with a 39% surge in outflows from Ethereum ETFs, and investors are not optimistic in the short term. However, BlackRock remains committed to its long-term view on ETH, having doubled its ETH holdings to $1.8 billion, demonstrating institutional confidence in Ethereum's long-term potential.
On the other hand, Standard Chartered predicts that Ripple (XRP) may surpass Ethereum by 2028, becoming the second-largest digital asset. This prediction intensifies the competition between XRP and ETH in terms of market position.
Although ETH is facing increased price pressure leading to ETF outflows, BlackRock's trust in ETH remains unshaken. Meanwhile, XRP's rapid rise has led to a divergence in views among institutional investors when choosing between ETH and XRP, making future competition more complex.
Ethereum Price Outlook:
Currently, the price of ETH is $1,623, having significantly dropped since the beginning of 2025, and the technical indicators show that ETH is still searching for stable support. Although the RSI indicator is nearing the oversold territory, indicating a potential rebound, ETH may encounter pressure around $1,800 in the short term, and if it breaks below $1,550, it may face greater selling pressure.
Currently, Ethereum is underperforming, with a 39% surge in outflows from Ethereum ETFs, and investors are not optimistic in the short term. However, BlackRock remains committed to its long-term view on ETH, having doubled its ETH holdings to $1.8 billion, demonstrating institutional confidence in Ethereum's long-term potential.
On the other hand, Standard Chartered predicts that Ripple (XRP) may surpass Ethereum by 2028, becoming the second-largest digital asset. This prediction intensifies the competition between XRP and ETH in terms of market position.
Although ETH is facing increased price pressure leading to ETF outflows, BlackRock's trust in ETH remains unshaken. Meanwhile, XRP's rapid rise has led to a divergence in views among institutional investors when choosing between ETH and XRP, making future competition more complex.
Ethereum Price Outlook:
Currently, the price of ETH is $1,623, having significantly dropped since the beginning of 2025, and the technical indicators show that ETH is still searching for stable support. Although the RSI indicator is nearing the oversold territory, indicating a potential rebound, ETH may encounter pressure around $1,800 in the short term, and if it breaks below $1,550, it may face greater selling pressure.
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If you have lost everything in the secondary market
You might consider the tertiary market #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
You might consider the tertiary market #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
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