youmiETH000

The May Day holiday is gradually coming to an end, and a new week has begun. Over the weekend, Bitcoin (Big Pie) pulled back from above 970 to around 954, while Ethereum (Auntie) also moved in a fluctuating downward trend, pulling back 50 points.
Currently, from an hourly perspective, the MACD is hovering around the 0 axis, indicating a struggle for dominance. The four-hour Bollinger Bands show that Bitcoin has reached the lower band; at this time, attention must be paid to the signal of a shift in dominance. If Bitcoin can stabilize above 950/1750 after a pullback this morning, it can be viewed as a pullback phase after a rise; otherwise, there is a risk of downward movement. On the daily chart, the dominant trend still remains upward, and it may follow a path of down first and then up in the short term.
Yumi continues to pull back the Silk Road in the early morning.
Bitcoin 945-950 looking up at 970.
Ethereum 1790-1810 looking up at 1880.

Weekend Doko Transformation! Following the steep decline of the big pancake from a high of 970 to 958 early Saturday morning, the Doko army has temporarily retreated from the upward stage, and the market is experiencing a correction wave.
Currently, from the four-hour Bollinger Bands, the market is testing lower levels as it pulls back near the midline, and with the arrival of the weekend, market attention is decreasing. In the short term, the market may once again experience horizontal oscillation. Yumi believes there is no need to panic; the bulls are still favored on the daily chart, and with the support of large funds, as long as the strong support levels of 950/1750 hold, a unified pullback should be expected. During the May Day holiday, the rapid rise of Doko was followed by a correction, which is reasonable under the chaotic tariff situation where the market cannot always move in one direction.
Yumi believes that after a slight pullback in the short term, the market will break upwards again next week. Resistance levels are 990/1900, and support levels are 950/1750.
For short-term trading, it is suggested to first go down and then up to align with market trends; for medium to long-term, maintain a view towards the resistance level around #非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #特朗普就职百日 .

【Non-farm Employment Data Exceeds Expectations, Unemployment Rate Remains Unchanged】
In April, the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment increased by 177,000, higher than the expected 130,000. The unemployment rate in the U.S. remained steady at 4.2% in April, in line with market expectations.

After the news was released, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose sharply by more than 20 points, while U.S. Treasury yields fell to their lowest point of the day. Traders reduced bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, expecting nearly four rate cuts this year.

【Institution: Non-farm Data Exceeds Expectations, Buying on Dips May Continue Until Tariff Suspension Ends】
Chris Zaccarelli, Chief Investment Officer at Northlight, stated that the better-than-expected employment data has relieved the market, although concerns about a recession remain. However, the momentum for buying on dips may continue until the tariff suspension period ends in July.
If the Trump administration continues its original tariff plan at that time, the market may see a repeat of the first week of April's trends; if it adjusts policies and exempts unreasonable tariffs, the real economy and market will be more at ease, but current risks have not been alleviated.

Currently, with the addition of large buy orders and continuous positive news, Bitcoin maintains an upward trajectory, recently breaking through the 978 level. If the market can touch 990, it will welcome the dawn of a return to 100,000.

Yumi entered the market yesterday morning, looking at 960/1850 from a low position. After a day of intense competition, Bitcoin continues to rise, and the market closed at 2383 in the early morning. During the May Day holiday, Yumi is always online, looking forward to achieving outstanding performance together with everyone.

During the holiday, Yumi still entered the low point of the Silk Road after a pullback. After the May Day white plate fluctuated and rose, it welcomed another breakthrough in the evening. In the early morning, Aunt collected honey 67 times, working hard and enjoying happiness together! #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #特朗普就职百日

The overall trend of Bitcoin is relatively flat, with resistance and pressure coexisting. Bitcoin is oscillating around 968, while Ethereum retraced to around 916 in the afternoon and then stabilized again around 1830.

Currently, on the hourly chart, there are alternating movements. Since breaking below 970, the market has not had much retracement space, which can be considered a normal corrective trend. The four-hour Bollinger Bands show an upward opening trend, consolidating and repairing in the high range, while continuously refreshing in the low range, indicating that the bulls are dominant.

In the evening, the operation can still maintain a pullback strategy. Bitcoin can be bought at 960-965 in the evening, targeting 980. Ethereum can be bought at 1800-1820, targeting around 1900. #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #特朗普就职百日

Although the market in the early hours could not stabilize at 970, the pullback was not significant. The big pie sank to around 960 and made another upward push, while the aunt also warmed up to 1850. A large amount of buying appeared in the morning, indicating that the main force is quietly accumulating positions, showing bullish signs. Yumi's early morning buying has continuously followed up and is collecting honey.

Currently, from the four-hour K-line perspective, Hangqin is running near the upper line, and the overall trend has significantly increased a level since May began, with low points constantly moving up and high points continuously breaking through. This indicates that the bullish signal is initially appearing, and there is a large short-term upward trend.
In the morning, Yumi's short-term suggestion is to continue the bullish operation as in the early hours.
Big pie 960-965 bullish target looking at 975
Aunt 1815-1835 bullish target 1880
Although the medium to long-term bullish route remained unchanged last week, it continues to align towards strong resistance at 985/1950, with support levels at 950/1800#加密市场反弹 #特朗普就职百日 #Strategy增持比特币 #亚利桑那比特币储备 .

After the market maintained a horizontal fluctuation for about a week, it has retreated and then quickly surged. It has now broken through strong resistance, and the upper channel is now clear.
From a four-hour perspective, Hangqin has broken upward for five consecutive bullish candles, indicating strong momentum from the duo army. It is worth noting the position at 970; if Hangqin can stabilize above this level, it will look towards resistance at 985/1950. Conversely, we need to observe the market's pullback strength after the surge. Support is seen at 950/1800, and we will continue to monitor the market situation, setting up defenses according to our own positions to guard against the risk of pullbacks after breakthroughs.

In the early morning, Yomi continues to pull back along the Silk Road.
Big pie targets 970 from 958-963.
Aunt targets 1900 from 1820-1840.

After the release tonight (ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, GDP), key signals for Bitcoin's recent consolidation:

• Data below expectations: Economic concerns may raise expectations for a Fed rate cut, potentially driving up crypto assets due to easing expectations and demand for safe-haven assets.

• Data above expectations: Stronger economy may reinforce Fed tightening expectations, increasing the appeal of dollar assets, putting crypto markets under pressure from capital outflows and price corrections.

• Data in line with expectations: Market reaction may be subdued, crypto assets could continue to consolidate while waiting for Friday's non-farm payroll report or technical signal for direction.

Youmi believes there are two scenarios for tonight's market:
1. If the price of Litecoin rises sharply, it may first break above around 965, then peak and pull back, continuing to grind within the current consolidation range. After that, it will depend on the distribution of new large positions before Friday to determine if the bottom has truly been reached.

2. If the market reacts negatively after the data release, the price may pull back down, but given the current stable consolidation range, the extent of the pullback is not expected to be significant. Just watch the strong support at the bottom around 915.

In summary, a true trend reversal is not expected at this time; tonight's news is merely a prelude to Friday's arrival and preparation for future signals. A real turning point has yet to be determined, and due to holiday factors, market activity is limited. Therefore, Youmi suggests maintaining light positions for short-term trading as the best approach.
#美股财报周来袭 #特朗普税改 #Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普就职百日

After a continued decline in the early morning, the pancake gradually warmed up to around 950 in the morning. In the afternoon, the market experienced slight fluctuations, with ongoing oscillations in the early morning. Prices switched between the 955-935 range, and the shrinking trading volume on the four-hour K-line indicates insufficient upward momentum.
With Labor Day approaching, market attention has weakened as everyone enters a festive mood.

The main players are optimistic about whether the evening news can drive the market out of its consolidation state. In the afternoon, it is recommended to short high and buy low in the short term, with resistance levels at 960/1850 and support levels at 930/1780#特朗普就职百日 #Strategy增持比特币 #美股财报周来袭 .

In the afternoon, after a pullback at a low point, Yumi continues to work behind the scenes, and although evening is not the best retreat point, the results are always good. Auntie collected 23 bags of honey.
The reason I bring this up is not for any other reason, but just to tell everyone: good opportunities in the market are not always present. What we need to do is seize opportunities during the highs and persist during the lows. In the process of carrying burdens and moving forward, we will eventually reach our desired expectations.
In short, Yumi is responsible for guidance, you are responsible for moving forward, and as long as we proceed steadily, making a name for ourselves in the cryptocurrency space is not a difficult task! #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #亚利桑那比特币储备 #特朗普税改

Yumi's early morning pancake, the concubine's double cabin enters at a low position, steadily collecting honey at 1032 after the morning market fluctuates upwards.
Reasonably arranging the timing of entry and exit is particularly important in contracts, but for beginners, it is often difficult to see the signals and situation on the market, sometimes relying on luck, and sometimes following the market trends and heat, naturally leading to greater losses than gains.
No one wants to see their hard-earned money go to waste, Yumi provides daily insights and suggestions, whether you can keep up depends on your own effort and execution, Yumi always answers questions and helps friends in the crypto community solve practical problems #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普税改

Today, the white piano continues to experience wave-like fluctuations. The overall structure of the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart is developing horizontally, with insufficient upward momentum and strong support remaining in place. This indicates that it will continue to operate in a horizontal range in the short term. With the approach of May Day, the market is also trending towards stability, whether it moves upward or downward, we will see when it can effectively break out of the wide fluctuation range. The current resistance levels are 958/1880, and the support levels are 920/1750.

On the daily chart, the overall trend remains bullish. Although the white piano is hovering above the midline in the short term, the Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, indicating that the passage ahead is opening. After the release of key information later, there will inevitably be a wave of upward fluctuations. In the medium to long term, I personally still lean towards 980/2000.

In the evening, during the fluctuation range, we will continue with the old routine of high selling and low buying along with the white piano. Since we cannot be prophets at the moment, let's be followers of the market and respond to fluctuations objectively for effective control.

This week, the market will welcome a large amount of economic data, which is likely to fall far short of expectations, exacerbating market volatility caused by tariffs over the past few weeks.

Schedule for U.S. economic data release from Wednesday to Friday this week:

• Wednesday: Preliminary Q1 GDP data, April ADP private sector employment report, March PCE inflation report

• Thursday: Final manufacturing PMI data, April ISM manufacturing PMI data

• Friday: April non-farm payroll report

Economist Adams pointed out that U.S. economic data this week will be below expectations and will be influenced by concerns of businesses and consumers regarding the economic trajectory.
He stated that if future data worsens, forecasters will need to adjust economic outlooks; current market volatility may intensify, with the key being whether economic deterioration will prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Adams believes that a policy shift could drive economic acceleration in 2025, but if tariffs remain, corporate spending and hiring may slow significantly this year.

Regarding Trump's extreme tariff remarks from previous weeks, they are largely a negotiation strategy, superficially using public opinion to guide the market and the public regarding tariff implementation, rather than being the final destination for tariff rates.

The first hundred days of Trump's second term:

On Monday, Trump posted on “Truth Social,” accusing The New York Times, The Washington Post, ABC News, and Fox News of recent polling inaccuracies, calling these media outlets despicable criminals.
He claimed that his winning vote count far exceeded polling predictions, that the media continued to cheat and lie even after apologizing, and demanded an investigation into media and Fox News pollster election fraud issues. Meanwhile, Fox News found that, aside from border security, voters were dissatisfied with Trump on most issues.

The market is currently in a relatively stable wide fluctuation range, oscillating between 920-960, with the large pancake forming a dense chip area around 950, where support and resistance overlap, and competition is intense. This price range has concentrated a large amount of trading, showing a clear intention of main force to protect the market. If the oscillating range falls below support, there is a risk of a rapid pullback.

The tariff war conflict and doubts about economic recession persist, and the most optimistic interest rate cut is still after January. Market discrepancies continue to ferment, making short-term fluctuations inevitable.

On Monday, the US dollar index fell, losing the 99 mark at the end of trading, ultimately closing down.

The three major US stock indices had mixed results, with the Dow Jones rising by 0.28%, the S&P 500 up by 0.06%, and the Nasdaq down by 0.1%.
Bitcoin rose by 0.83%, while Ethereum fell by 0.61%.

What seems like a brief period of calm actually hides complexities, as the market is brewing a global tariff storm initiated by the US, specifically targeting China and launching a 90-day tariff suspension as a means to coerce other countries into economic cooperation with China, plunging the global economy into difficulty. As the US-China trade war deepens, there has been no substantial progress in the major power game.

Although Trump has postponed the highest equivalent tariffs for most countries until July, the trade war he initiated has already led to a decline in cargo volumes at US ports, increasing the risk of a global economic recession, while inflation expectations among most Americans have surged. With a significant drop in container shipping volume between the US and China, concerns about supply shortages have once again become a focal point. Some believe that, in the long run, the trade war has damaged the financial markets, reducing the attractiveness of US assets such as the dollar and stocks to investors.

Recently, at a press conference held by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, a foreign media reporter questioned whether China has a responsibility to first ease the situation in response to US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's statement that "China should de-escalate the tariff war." Foreign Ministry spokesperson Geng Shuang responded that the tariff war was initiated by the US and that there are no winners; if the US wants to negotiate a resolution, it must stop exerting pressure and engage in dialogue on the basis of equality, respect, and reciprocity.

In other words, the tariff challenge initiated by the US aims to resolve its own fiscal issues through increased tariffs and enhance its own strength, only to find that the outcome is mutually harmful and unsatisfactory.
China is the first not to bear the burden; the US also wants to coerce other countries into suppressing those who are the first to say no. After encountering hard resistance, the attitude gradually softened, wanting China to make the first concession while applying pressure, which is purely about saving face and wanting both sides—this is a bit greedy. It resembles the foolish son of a landlord, who is more likely to fail than succeed.
The one who tied the bell on the tiger must untie it; he must bear the consequences of his own actions and cannot expect others to foot the bill for his mistakes.

#加密市场反弹 #特朗普税改

In the early morning, Yumi's pullback along the Silk Road has been confirmed, and the goal for the Bitcoin has been reached, with the current navigation tune warming above 945.

Currently, the hourly MACD double lines are sticking together, and the RSI is around 50, indicating a balanced situation for the market. If there is no significant improvement in the short term, the market is expected to move within a consolidation range, with resistance levels at 960/1880 and support levels at 928/1750.

Yumi continues to enter the market at low levels in the morning.
Bitcoin 938-945 aims for 955.
Auntie 1765-1785 aims for 1850#Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普税改 #美股财报周来袭 #特朗普暂停新关税 #以太坊的未来 .

After the market broke through the high of 955 in the evening, the Duotou was blocked again and fell back to 934. The concubine even fell back below 1750, indicating that the upper pressure was heavy.
At present, from the hourly level, the market is running below the midline. The weakness of the Duotou ended the upward momentum of the white plate. In the short term, all indicators in the early morning have a downward trend. If the Hangqin can pull back to above 945 again in the morning, it means that the shock range still exists. The Duokong game is deadlocked. If the market continues to test downward, pay attention to the position of 920/1700. The market is changing rapidly. Short-term operations are recommended.
In the early morning, Youmi firmly retreated to Duo Silk Road
Big cake 928-933 Duo target 945
Concubine 1720-1740 Duo target 1820#Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普税改 #美股财报周来袭 #特朗普暂停新关税 #以太坊的未来

In the evening, Hangqin once again exerted upward momentum, with Bitcoin breaking through the 950 mark. After a pullback in the morning, the hourly chart has shown continuous bullish bars, indicating a significant increase in short-term momentum. The range fluctuations from last weekend have been effectively alleviated on the white board.

If there are no signs of a rebound in the market, Hangqin is expected to continue the assault on the 975 area, while Youmi's overall retreat today continues to validate the Silk Road. Dan can exit or reduce positions to continue looking upward based on their own holdings.

Currently, the MACD on the hourly level continues to touch upward, indicating that the upward channel is steadily progressing in the short term. The phenomenon of declining on the four-hour chart is gradually diminishing, suggesting that the contest of Hangbo is about to reveal its outcome. At this time, it is necessary to be cautious of the rebound risk in Hangqin and observe changes after the US stock market opens in the evening.

In the evening, Youmi's retreat on the Silk Road continues.
For Bitcoin, the suggestion is to target 965 within the 948-950 range, with a stop-loss at 940.
For Ether, the suggestion is to target 1860 within the 1785-1805 range, with a stop-loss at 1760.