分析师龙哥

Is the moment of intense tension for the big pancake about to arrive? At this stage, the global economy is experiencing significant turbulence, and the international situation is also very dangerous, with even the fighting nation of Russia evacuating its citizens! This indicates that the recent sharp rise in capital may be orchestrated!

Currently, Bitcoin is about to complete the formation of a downward trend, and it could potentially drop anytime within the range of 108,000 to 110,000. Smart money may collectively flee during this stage. It remains uncertain whether the large bullish candle in U.S. stocks will trend downward later in the night! If U.S. stocks decline later in the night, Bitcoin will surely start to drop within this range 📉!

Long Ge's view is that at this moment, one should not chase the rise, as it is easy to hit the top. If one does want to chase, Bitcoin must stabilize at 110,000 or pull back to around 103,500 before chasing. A short position can be initiated with a small amount near 109,000, with a stop loss at 110,500!
#加密市场反弹 #热门话题 $BTC

Beijing time Wednesday at 20:30, the U.S. will release the May CPI data, with forecasts of a month-on-month CPI remaining at 0.2% and a year-on-year increase to 2.5%; core CPI is expected to rise to 0.3% month-on-month and 2.9% year-on-year. There are differing opinions within the Federal Reserve on the impact of tariffs; Waller believes it is a one-time increase, while Kugler is concerned about its persistence. The market expects a 45 basis point rate cut before the end of the year, with the first cut possibly in September. The U.S. Treasury will auction 39 billion in 10-year and 22 billion in 30-year bonds.

Tonight's CPI will significantly influence the trend of Bitcoin, with the relationship as follows:
CPI high → Rate hike expectations increase: If the CPI data exceeds expectations, it indicates significant inflation pressure, and the Federal Reserve may maintain rate hikes or delay rate cuts. In a high-interest-rate environment, dollar liquidity tightens, and investors tend to sell risk assets (like Bitcoin) in favor of low-risk assets like the dollar or U.S. Treasuries, putting downward pressure on Bitcoin prices.
CPI decline → Easing expectations strengthen: When CPI continues to fall, indicating easing inflation, the market will expect the Federal Reserve to possibly cut rates or maintain low rates. At this time, the attractiveness of the dollar weakens, and with loose liquidity, Bitcoin's narrative as an 'anti-inflation asset' may be reinforced, attracting funds and pushing prices higher.

Therefore, tonight's data performance should be a key focus!

Tonight, Bitcoin is exactly the same as what I said before! Especially the WIF altcoin, which is basically 100% in line with my prediction!

Tonight's abnormal surge is something many people don't understand, and even with the huge incident in Los Angeles today, it didn't affect Bitcoin's rise, indicating that this Sino-U.S. trade meeting has very positive implications!

First, it seems likely that U.S. stocks will surge tonight, and then there's the question of whether Bitcoin will hit the 110,000 mark tonight. Another question is whether, if we can't break through 110,000 tonight, we will draw a line from 108,000 to around 100,000! As for WIF, those who bought at 0.8 and saw it rise to 0.93 can continue to wait in the 0.8-0.85 range for a dip to add more, while those more aggressive can short from 0.93-0.95, with a stop loss at 0.98, to reap a wave of profit from the dip!

Has the BTC market rebound signal started? After Bitcoin defended 100305, the market began to rebound on Friday. Although the old horse and the golden retriever are at odds, the market started to stabilize after a big wave of fluctuations and declines. This wave of decline has seen a significant amount of long positions liquidated based on the data!

This is how the market works; when a large number of short positions are entered, capital often hedges. Long Brother pointed out in the last article that Bitcoin should short around 106000 in the last wave, while Ethereum could short at 2580 to gain a profit. This wave indeed captured a profit!

At this stage, BTC's rise can be described as very slow, with two possibilities: the capital market is slowly accumulating low-priced chips, waiting for a big surge when it reaches 105000, and then shorting at the high point of 110000. The second possibility is that Bitcoin will fluctuate back and forth between 100000 and 105000 for a long time, continuing to wash the market and raise funds, and then break through the 110000 mark. However, this premise relies on a favorable macro environment. At this stage, Long Brother suggests entering the market in small amounts when WIF is at a low price, with an entry range of 0.8-0.82 and a stop-loss at 0.78. Why enter WIF? Because its current market range is between 0.8-1, so its upside potential is still quite good!

Who would have thought that a phone call could be so valuable?

Tonight's market trends have been influenced by a phone call, and looking at the gold trends, it's clear that the international situation is still quite chaotic!

However, Long Ge is still optimistic about the high short strategy. Shorting Bitcoin at 106,000 and Ethereum at 2,680 are both good choices. Currently, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a consolidation phase and have not yet entered a true bull or bear market, so essentially, one can ride out a wave and wait for the market to rise again before shorting!

BTC market doesn't need to look at candlestick charts, just pay attention to whether the US tariffs bring good news. Is this news going to bring good news next week?

BTC has also reached a critical moment at 100,000, let's see if it starts to rebound at 101,000-102,500! The large short dividends mentioned yesterday at 12,093,922,803 have also appeared twice. This weekend, Bitcoin has shown sideways adjustment, we will see if a favorable situation appears on Monday to drive it up. If good news comes and there is still no upward movement, it indicates that Bitcoin will continue to decline.
#加密市场回调 #热门话题

24-hour extreme reversal, the current tariff war in the United States 🇺🇸 significantly affects the rise and fall of Bitcoin. At 7 AM Beijing time, the U.S. federal court ruled to halt Trump's tariff legislation, but by around 3 AM Thursday, the tariffs were restored.

This national legislation is too casual; last night's U.S. tariff concerns led to a significant surge, and now it seems that with the restoration of tariffs tonight, there is a high probability that it will drop again today! Meanwhile, Bitcoin has already peaked at 110,000 and has retraced for the third time.

This time, Bitcoin has pulled back to 105,580. From a trend perspective, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a step-like decline, but it is very difficult for retail investors to grasp every fluctuation. Why do I say this? From the news perspective, Trump has not been a president since he took office, but rather a businessman. He understands how to utilize public opinion to boost his economy, and we can only analyze his statements to follow his lead. Not to mention the current altcoins, at this stage, Bitcoin is being used to settle debts, and it's well known that the U.S. treasury bonds maturing in June will certainly lead to significant volatility in Bitcoin.

Therefore, it can be concluded that Bitcoin will experience a very high wave in the later stages; 110,000 may not be the peak, and the current decline might be aimed at shaking off retail investors holding on. We can see from the altcoin 26,722,396,100 that Long Ge initially thought his peak would only reach around 1; currently, this kind of upward trend could be the next WIF. After all, WIF has previously surged to a high of 4.8, so it can be concluded that WCT will also enter a period of significant growth. Now we need to closely monitor its peak and short at the peak to perfectly capture a large short profit!

$WCT is about to rise to a new high again. As Bitcoin continues to hover around the 110,000 high point, it can be predicted that WCT will welcome a new high. However, it is important to pay attention to two very important things!

The first is that Trump has anchored digital currency to the US dollar and US treasury bonds through legislation, which indirectly ties US treasury bonds to digital currency. The maturity of 6.5 trillion US treasury bonds in June will be a decisive factor in the global economic recession.

The second is the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, with both sides ignoring Trump’s call for a ceasefire. This will raise global risk aversion sentiment to a new height, so Bitcoin is destined to experience a significant drop at the 110,000 position!

Meanwhile, WCT continues to rise among new coins, and it is expected to encounter a downward trend around 0.78-0.88. Therefore, it may be considered to short at 0.78-0.88, with a stop loss at 0.9.
#WCT暴富密码 #热门话题

Bitcoin has risen by $10,000 in four days, and altcoins have also grown wildly. At this stage, a large number of shorts have entered the market. As retail investors, I can only say that we should not be impatient and wait for Bitcoin to make a big spike before entering the market!

Bitcoin is anchored to the US dollar, and the newly revised US bill increases the debt ceiling by 4 trillion. I don’t know if you understand this news, which means that Trump will play a big game before the US debt collapses. At this stage, the world is selling US debt, and the chain reaction is that Bitcoin will rise sharply, and will fall rapidly at a high point 📉, which requires the current large amount of short-selling funds to explode first, so Brother Long judges that Bitcoin will be spiked at the stage of 114500-116000.

So in the next stage, Brother Long’s view is that there will be indirect spikes in this area of ​​114500-115500, and the stop loss is 116000!

#比特币走势分析 #热门话题 $BTC

It has been a few days since I last came to the square. The Bitcoin market on May Day has once again come down from its high point! On May Day, Long Ge didn't make a trade, as he was busy with other matters! Now, the Bitcoin market is looking at the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on the 8th.

The view is still at the 90,000 support level. If the Federal Reserve releases positive news on the 8th, then Bitcoin will start to rebound between 88,000 and 90,000. Without good news, those who have been shorting from 95,000 will have made a fortune!

Long Ge judges that Trump will pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and if the Federal Reserve insists on not cutting rates, then we could see significant fluctuations in Bitcoin between 90,000 and 80,000! So right now, around 92-95, don't rush to take action; shorting should wait for 95-97 for the market, while going long should be ambushed between 88-90, with 88,000 as the stop-loss level!
#美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场回调 $BTC

Bitcoin surged 5000 points overnight last night, which should be related to the upcoming adjustments in tariffs. Today's market can be said to be in a sideways trend. Yesterday's article already indicated that if Bitcoin breaks through 90,000, then shorts will have to liquidate massively, and indeed, 250 million was liquidated in 24 hours!

Now there are a few very important pieces of news. One is that India and Pakistan are about to go to war, and Pakistan has even prepared nuclear weapons; the news is very explosive! The second is that Trump has called on Putin to cease fire. Is the world entering another tense moment?

At this point, we need to see if the high point of 95,000 can be broken and whether 90,000 can be held. The trades in between are very uncomfortable, as the current market will likely fluctuate within this range, and a bad mindset can easily lead to stop-losses. Long Ge's approach is to wait to short at the high of 95,000-96,000, with a stop-loss at 96,800!

When trading, one must set stop-losses. Last night, Long Ge's trade opened a short at 89,500 and also lost at 91,000. Losses are not scary; what is scary is holding onto a position until liquidation! As long as the timing is right, profits can still be made!

Tonight the US stock market should open down significantly, dragging Bitcoin lower. There are two key points tonight: the low point is 74000, which is the miners' bottom line, and the high point is the resistance level around 88000-90000!

At this time, Long Ge feels that we shouldn't hold spot positions, after all, we are not experts like Liangxi. Their sources of information are more accurate than ours, and their on-chain data analysis is at an expert level! Therefore, their understanding is destined to make money! What we need to grasp are the foolproof two-point lines: just the high and low points. We will go long at 74000 on a rebound and short near 89000 on a decline. There’s no need for so much line drawing data!

Tonight we are bearish, mainly shorting on rallies! Near 74000 we can buy a small amount at the bottom, and if it drops to 70000 we can exit!
#加密市场反弹 #热门话题 $BTC

Right now, the Bitcoin market is really at the mercy of tariffs! The golden retriever said to pause the tariff war, and immediately tonight's market might explode to 85,000. Last time, Long Ge said to buy around 88,000-90,000 and is still optimistic about this operation; let's see if we can shoot up with a big spike tonight!

Now, it's possible to play with small funds at the bottom of the market, after all, this wave of good news is still expected to rise significantly. However, everyone still needs to pay attention to the golden retriever's mood changes; after all, we all have deep experience with that. There's also a possibility tonight that 74,000 is the miners' bottom line, and it might spike up before coming back down for a dip, so we can consider buying around 75,000 to go long; although the likelihood is very small, there's a chance to make a profit!

After Trump's speech, Bitcoin, along with bulls precisely inserting needles, caused the liquidation of shorts. This wave of market movement depends on whether BTC can stabilize at 80,000; if it can't, I still favor bottom-fishing at 65,000!

As for WIF, it is also following in the footsteps of big brother Bitcoin. As mentioned in the previous article, whether WIF can rise depends on whether big brother is strong enough or if he can pump it up! Tonight's strategy is to short by entering high at the position of 86,000-88,000, with a stop loss at 90,000, depending on tonight's situation!

Bitcoin went crazy last night, and the golden retriever's trade war could witness a historic financial crisis! The A-shares can be said to have plunged today! Last night, there were claims that financial sharks were going short on Bitcoin, which is quite accurate; global funds are scared and have all entered safe-haven assets!

This wave of Bitcoin is worth watching to see if it can break through the 60,000 mark. If it turns back around the 65,000 range, it should be a good rebound opportunity. If it goes down further, then as Long Ge mentioned in his previous article, it will be time to short at highs; there’s no need to watch the market because Bitcoin will enter a phase of scrambling for exits!

If WIF can't lift Bitcoin this time, it could very well enter a phase of extremely low zeroing out! Whether it can rise again depends on destiny!
#巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 $BTC

Tonight the US stock market is going to be big, Bitcoin is down, today focus on 79000, if it breaks this position tonight, then the market will truly enter a bear phase!

WIF feels like it’s going to zero!! The market cap has dropped below 93%, this has clearly wiped out those holding spot. At least with contracts, one can still open short positions for liquidation, but with spot, it’s really a total loss! Long brother has also lost in this altcoin. There’s no choice, will wait for the wind to come before entering the market again, at this stage, only looking to short on rallies.
#美国加征关税 #热门话题 $BTC

Bitcoin shows a trend of starting from the daily chart, and recently altcoins have also been stirring, like Dogecoin where some whales have significantly increased their holdings! Bitcoin also has large investors increasing their positions at the 84000 mark! Currently, Long Ge's view is still a high short strategy because the 89000-90000 range will be a very strong resistance level. As long as Bitcoin does not break through this resistance level during this period, it will experience repeated ups and downs! Therefore, for swing trading, one can open a short around 88000, with a stop loss at 91000!

WIF shows an upward trend, and Long Ge previously mentioned going long at 0.5 should be profitable now! We just need to see if it can break through 0.6!
#热门话题

Over the weekend, Bitcoin reached a peak at 88765, hitting a small top. In the previous article, Long Ge mentioned that this surge in Bitcoin was aimed at blowing up several large short positions. They all started shorting around 84-85, and it's clear that this big rise is targeting those accounts!

Long Ge's bearish outlook is still correct. After the significant rise in Bitcoin, there will definitely be some whales starting to harvest. The current strategy is to see whether Bitcoin will continue to drop below 85000 points. There are two possible movements for Bitcoin now: one is to continue dropping to around 80000-81000 for a bearish trend, and the other is to find support around 85000 and continue upward!

Now let's take a look at the WIF cryptocurrency. Long Ge mentioned in earlier articles that if WIF rises above 0.5, it can be a good opportunity for a long position. It indeed appears to be the case! Now, WIF must hold above 0.5 tonight; if it does, then 0.5 will be the lowest point. If it breaks below, we will look to go long at 0.45!
#热门话题 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC

Tonight, Bitcoin is highly likely to spike around 85,000. After all, there are still so many short positions around 84,000, and they are 40 times leveraged. Moreover, there are no signs that this giant whale is planning to stop loss, let alone take profit!

So tonight, we can focus on the volume spike around 85,000 to consider shorting! Long Ge thinks that shorting at 85,500 with a stop loss at 86,100 is a good strategy. Those who open short positions need to control their positions to prevent Bitcoin from directly rising to 90,000! After all, the current market situation is too abnormal!
#加密市场反弹 #热门话题 $BTC

Last night, a giant whale made a 40x short position near 84000 in Bitcoin. Tonight, we will see if he will be forced to liquidate. It's said that his liquidation price is around 85000. There are quite a few activities tonight, and Long Ge thinks that if WIF can hold above 0.5, it could be a good time to enter a long position!

The gold market is expecting to rise to 3500 in the future, so will Bitcoin break through the 110,000 mark later? Let's observe tonight's market trend before making a move! The recent market conditions have been really tough, as they are mostly based on lagging news. Therefore, one needs to watch the market closely before entering.