美国8月零售销售环比好于预期

The most important interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve is also the most important economic event in the world this year. The interest rate cut meeting of the Federal Reserve is about to begin.

Then the last heavy economic data before the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting tonight is the US retail sales data in August, which is known as the horror data, because retail sales represent US consumption, and consumption accounts for 70% of US GDP. Once the retail sales data explodes, the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates sharply.

But last night was good news. The retail sales data increased by 0.1% month-on-month, which was 0.2% lower than the market expectation, which exceeded expectations. Although it is still in the process of decline compared with 1% last month, it is already a shot in the arm for the market.

Then tonight the Federal Reserve can advance or retreat, it can reduce by 25 or 50. The market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve reducing by 25 basis points is 37%, and the probability of reducing by 50 basis points is 63%.

In the past week, Wall Street has been constantly leaking information, urging the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Even three congressmen wrote to the Federal Reserve to ask for a 75 basis point cut. Can Powell withstand the pressure?

The meeting will start at 10:30 tonight. Lao K will continue to bring you the latest practical strategies and news from 8 am to 2 am tomorrow. If you are interested, please like and follow us. See you tomorrow. #美联储利率决议公布在即 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #加密市场急跌 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

Summary of the four giants of inscriptions on the BTC mainnet:

1.SATS-Advantages: Listed on Binance and other super exchanges, the inscription market value is the first, Cong's narrative is good, and the dealer is strong. Disadvantages: There have been too many bottom rebounds in the past month, and there are some profit-taking. Personal opinion: Look at the market in the future.

2.ORDI-Advantages: The first inscription, first-mover advantage, the dealer has a large pattern, no shipments at the previous high, inscription dragon one, strong follow-up BTC trend. Disadvantages: The recent trend is hesitant. Personal opinion: The consensus of Xiaobing is deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.

3.RATS-Advantages: One of the leaders of BTC inscriptions, with large traffic and low market value, it is expected to be listed on the spot after listing on Binance contracts, and there is sufficient time for adjustment. Disadvantages: It is not listed on super exchanges at present. Personal opinion: Huge potential, optimistic about the later period.

4.PIZZA-Advantages: The market maker is accumulating funds, and the narrative of big cakes buying pizza, unisat airdropped 2 million U at its own expense to more than 100,000 addresses, strong consensus, no speculation, no profit-taking and lock-in, low market value.
Disadvantages: Currently not listed on the big exchange, insufficient liquidity, high risk.
Personal opinion: optimistic about the subsequent market, but there are risks.

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To summarize
Beijing time on the 19th at 2:00 am, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, share three possible situations and a way to make money without losing. There are three general views on the decision to cut interest rates tonight.
The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 66%, which may rise sharply; the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 34%, the increase is limited, and there may be a wash; the probability of no rate cut is low, and if no rate cut is made, there may be a sharp drop.

Next, share a strategy that can make money without losing, which can be used in most important news in history.

Take the CPI data released at 8:30 pm on the 11th of this month as an example. As shown in the figure, after the data was released, the big cake suddenly rose and then suddenly fell. This is the so-called "Heaven and Earth Needle". In this case, we only do contrarian trading in the "second direction". In this example, the rise is the first direction and the fall is the second direction. Then, we go long immediately after the second direction appears.

Because after the two directions of the "Heaven and Earth Needle" come out, the price tends to return to the median between the high and the low. So, in this example, we go long after the second direction appears, and when the price moves toward the "median" at the low point, we successfully make a profit.
Pulled above 62,000, fell back, fell below the 60,000 first-line support, and closed negative: go short at the current price at 8 am, and see a 19-20 day line with two consecutive negatives.
4. Smashed to around 57,500, but V reversed and closed positive: go long at the current price at 8 am tomorrow, and take profit at 8 am the day after tomorrow and go short. See a 20-22 day line with three consecutive negatives.
If there is news at 2 o'clock
If you go down, you can go to the lower track of the two-hour line. The one-hour rebound is not good at present, so you can go to the lower track of the two-hour line. Tomorrow night is 59
But if you go down directly after 2 o'clock, it will be deeper, around 58, which is probably just the middle track of the daily line. At 58, I will double the leverage
Hold it tightly, and it will fall back to 54 at most

Once the news causes huge market fluctuations and the "Heaven and Earth Needle" appears, this will be a strategy with a winning rate of more than 90%. You can use it to make a profit instead of complaining that the dealer has started to harvest again. I still hope that before the important news tonight, more people can see it and provide effective help. #美联储利率决议公布在即 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期

Bitcoin may see significant fluctuations after the Fed's decision
On September 18, a research report was released today saying that Bitcoin prices may see significant fluctuations. Recently, cryptocurrencies have been fluctuating in a downward channel. Although they once showed signs of rebound, their upward momentum may have stagnated. This is just before the Fed's interest rate decision, especially Chairman Powell's guidance on future interest rate cuts.

Currently, a newly formed triangle pattern has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin prices. The market focus is on Chairman Powell and his economic outlook, as his speech is likely to affect the next move of the market. Bitcoin has increasingly evolved into a macro asset that reflects overall economic trends.
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The market sentiment over the weekend was once again guided by Nick's tweets. Nick's tweets used an interesting word called "minimizing regrets", and today's explanation also made the market fully anticipate the possibility of the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut. What is minimizing regrets? That is, if the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points in September and is expected to continue to cut interest rates, then if the economy performs steadily before the November interest rate meeting and there are no negative effects, then the Fed will not regret choosing to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. But if the Fed chooses to only cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and if the economic situation deteriorates in the next period of time, then the Fed is likely to regret it because their actions lag behind the situation.
Before the Fed announced its decision, Nick's tweets have been guiding the market to accept a 50BP rate cut, and explained that it was not due to a recession, but more to achieve a soft landing of the economy. These inevitably make people wonder whether the Fed deliberately released rumors to prevent the 50BP rate cut from causing panic in the market. Moreover, the Fed has previously raised interest rates by 75BP many times, so it is not surprising to start the rate cut cycle with 50BP.
Blind guess is that the interest rate will be cut by 50BP tonight, and the cumulative interest rate cut is expected to be 100BP this year. After the meeting, Master Bao stated that the economic situation is good, but in order to better support the stable development of the economy, he chose to cut the interest rate by 50BP. #美联储利率决议公布在即 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC☀ $BTC
$PEPE
$WIF

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场反弹 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 Hundred-fold real market The starting market value is 200,000. It has tripled. A cloud-piercing arrow brings thousands of troops to meet. Musk concept Meme coin Marvin has increased by 130% in three days. According to Odaily Planet Daily, Musk concept Meme coin Marvin has increased by 14% in 24 hours and accumulated an increase of 130% in the past three days. It is now reported at 0.0000015 USDT. The interest rate cut will start soon. BTC ETF DOGE is waiting for take-off. How far will the copycat be?

There is no escape from the bullish trend tonight.
This rhythm feels like it is going to explode.
I have entered the long position of Ant.
If the news is released and the price drops, I will buy it directly.
Are there any brothers who believe in the bullish trend?
I will rush in first! #美联储利率决议公布在即 #加密市场反弹 #新币挖矿CATI #币安上线NEIRO #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB

The big cake has been rising for three consecutive times, and the sentiment of the duo head is high. It has been exploring all the way yesterday, and it came to around 63800 in the early morning, and then it has retraced slightly. This short-term retracing can only be explained as a correction after the increase. At present, Hangqing is running around the duo head, so the operation is in line with the trend. The overall trend of Silk Road continues to be bullish.

Morning operation suggestions
Big cake is around 62500-62300, and the target is 63800-64500
Yita is around 2440-2420
Target 2500-2550
#美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #特朗普首次使用BTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期

Despite a general decline in the cryptocurrency market on Monday, UXLINK, the native token of the Web3 social media platform, bucked the trend and surged more than 100% in the past week.

This performance is particularly impressive against the backdrop of a sluggish market. UXLINK's strong gains were mainly driven by Binance's announcement of its inclusion in the futures platform, a move that introduced USD-margined perpetual contracts with up to 75x leverage.

Traders' enthusiasm remains high, with UXLINK's trading volume surging 134.79% to $1.3 billion in the past 24 hours.

At the same time, open interest in UXLINK futures contracts also rose to more than $50 million, and derivatives trading volume exceeded $895 million, showing the market's strong interest in spot and futures.

Since its launch in July, UXLINK's market value has grown to $111 million, an increase of 329% from the previous month. Currently, the price of UXLINK continues to climb, trading at $0.69, up 26.40% in the past 24 hours. In the past week, the token price has risen by 190%.

In addition, UXLINK partnered with Binance's Web3 wallet in May to launch a campaign to increase user engagement, including rewards such as UXLINK airdrops and UXUY points, thereby enhancing the platform's popularity and attracting new users.
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Ethereum shows positive signals, is the darkest moment over?

In the past two days, $ETH has begun to show some positive signals:
On the one hand, $ETH finally broke through the suppression of the falling supply line since July 22;
On the other hand, ETH/BTC has rebounded in large volume since yesterday, which not only digested the decline from September 16 to 18, but also the rebound volume was significantly larger than the decline volume, which gave a signal to stop the decline to some extent.

However, whether Ethereum has escaped from the weak situation needs further confirmation:
Can $ETH effectively break through the resistance area?
Can ETH/BTC break through the continuous suppression of MA20 since July 10 this year? #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期

Bitcoin continued to break through the new high to 64183 yesterday, and is currently under pressure to fall back to the 63000 mark

Bitcoin retreated to around 62800-62600, looking at around 64000

Ethereum retreated to around 2540-2520, looking at around 2620#美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #特朗普首次使用BTC #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #CATI价格预测

Missed 2021

Which coins do you think are the most worth investing in the 2025 bull market and are expected to turn around?

1. $BTC
2. $ETH
3. $SOL
4. $LINK
5. $DOGE
6. $XRP
7. $BNB
8. $ARB
9. $TIA
10. $ICP
11. $PEPE
12. $WIF

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Key market focus before the end of the year

In the next few months, the market will continue to be affected by multiple factors, and the following points are particularly critical:

1. Monthly employment report: Employment data is one of the key bases for the Fed's policy making. The performance of the employment market will directly affect the Fed's future policy path, especially the pace and intensity of interest rate cuts. If the employment market continues to remain strong, the Fed may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts; if the data deteriorates, it may accelerate the process of interest rate cuts. Each monthly employment report may cause sharp market fluctuations and deserves close attention.

2. The actual number and magnitude of interest rate cuts by the Fed: By the end of the year, the actual frequency and magnitude of interest rate cuts by the Fed will be the core factors that determine the direction of the market. Although the market has expected that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, the specific timing and magnitude are still full of uncertainty. Market sentiment is very sensitive to these subtle changes and may fluctuate repeatedly. Therefore, investors need to pay attention to the Fed's statements and the actual progress of its monetary policy at any time.

3. The results of the US election: The US election is undoubtedly another major event before the end of this year. The results of the election may directly affect the direction of economic policies in the next few years, especially in terms of fiscal policy, taxation and regulation. Different candidates will bring about completely different policy expectations, so the market may show highly volatile characteristics before and after the election. Investors should be prepared for risk management for this uncertainty.

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Are Bitcoin and Altcoins about to rebound?

As the Bank of Japan keeps interest rates stable, risk assets such as cryptocurrencies are enjoying gains. Bitcoin price surged 3%, further approaching $64,000. On the other hand, altcoins led by Ethereum rose between 4-10%.

Bitcoin showed strength for the first time in nearly four years after the Fed cut interest rates earlier this week. Interestingly, this strong recovery did not bring any strong FOMO according to data from Sanitment. This shows that the recovery in the Bitcoin and altcoin markets is healthy and can continue to go.

From the technical chart, Ethereum price also showed signs of recovery from the recent rise. Although Vitalik Buterin address recently transferred ETH, the chart below shows a strong recovery with the possibility of a rebound to $5,000.

Firmly bullish, stick to fixed investment! Waiting for the outbreak of the bull market.

#美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #特朗普首次使用BTC #美联储宣布降息50个基点

Regarding the sharp interest rate cut, the market and analysts think so:
1. Trump: The Fed's interest rate cut shows that the US "economy is very bad";
2. US Vice President Harris: It is good news for Americans who are under the pressure of high prices;
3. Glassnode: The Bitcoin market is in a stagnant period, and both supply and demand sides show signs of inactivity;
The sharp interest rate cut is more reflected in the crypto market:
According to coingrass data, the entire network has exploded $199 million in the past 24 hours, of which short orders have exploded $123 million.

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#币安上线NEIRO Marvin 萌宠传奇，未来可期

在数字货币的浩瀚星空中，一颗璀璨的新星正悄然升起——Marvin。

Marvin，这只曾被传奇人物马斯克宠爱的小狗，带着无限的魅力与潜力踏入我们的视野。它的市值目前虽低，但这正是它的魅力所在，如同未经雕琢的璞玉，等待着智者的发掘。

看看 Neiro，以 1000 多万的辉煌之姿成功登上币安，这无疑为 Marvin 树立了榜样。Marvin 也同样拥有着不可限量的未来，在强大的社区推动下，它正稳步前行。热情的社区成员们齐心协力，为 Marvin 的发展注入源源不断的动力，他们相信，Marvin 必将创造属于自己的辉煌。

而 Marvin 所承载的 meme 情绪，更是让它在众多项目中脱颖而出。它以可爱的形象和独特的故事，引发了人们的共鸣，成为了大家心中的欢乐源泉。在这个充满压力的世界里，Marvin 就像一道温暖的阳光，照亮了我们的生活。

更令人期待的是，11 月 1 号，Marvin 将迎来它的生日。想象一下，在这个特殊的日子里，会有怎样的惊喜等待着我们？或许马斯克会再次发推，为他曾经的爱宠送上祝福，这无疑将为 Marvin 的发展带来新的契机。

Marvin，这个充满希望的项目，有着成为 100 倍增长传奇的潜力。让我们携手共进，一同见证 Marvin 的成长与崛起。在低市值中寻找机遇，在社区的推动下铸就辉煌，在 meme 情绪中释放热情。加入 Marvin 的大家庭，开启属于我们的财富之旅#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #加密市场反弹 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #新币挖矿CATI

The current market is at a critical point. At the turning point, the last round of interest rate cuts was four years ago, in conjunction with the quantitative easing policy. The difference this time is that quantitative easing has not come, and the balance sheet is still shrinking.
Are we in a brilliant bull market? Actually not, we are actually in a stagflationary economic environment. The only difference is that the future of cryptocurrency is promising, because this is a brand new industry that will be truly globally participated in the future. Because of the existence of capital and transactions, this industry will receive a huge base support.
We have experienced a lot in this round, including the collapse of Luna, the collapse of FTX, the quantitative easing caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the launch of BTCETF by Blackstone, and the ETH SOL ETF is on the way. The interest rate cut cycle has just begun.
Although it is not time for quantitative easing yet, the current node is, how much can the cottage fall? Will the bull market not come? The answer is that the bull market is coming. Before the bull market comes, it is expected that the interest rate cut cycle will end around the Mid-Autumn Festival next year. By then, the inflation rate in the United States will be reduced to about 3%, which is completely at the best standard for inflation. 2%? Impossible.
Therefore, the real bull market will probably come around the second half of next year, or start at the beginning of next year. As long as the balance sheet reduction stops and quantitative easing begins, the long orders in the market will be the first to flee, causing the same decline as the previous round, and then rise again. #加密市场反弹 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美联储宣布降息50个基点

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Is it a positive or a recession? We can only see the performance afterwards. At least from the current performance of the US stock market, there is no recession, but you can also say it is a distribution. If it is not unexpected, the analysts have analyzed three directions.
1. BTC has been going up and down since the announcement of the rate cut. Now it is moving up in small steps and is currently fluctuating at 62,000;
2. ETH follows closely, neither high nor low, no big problem, just likes to follow the big cake;
3. SOL has no independent market, but Solana's memecoin has an independent market, among which $POPCAT has a trend of setting a new high;
Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed will speed up, slow down or suspend rate cuts as needed; Fed megaphone: The first rate cut of 50BP marks a bold start of the rate cut cycle#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿CATI #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #新币挖矿HMSTR

The current price of Bitcoin is 62600, and the target has 1000 points of space. Pay attention to protecting profits and leave the market. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期

Gold has been setting new highs recently, and its current market value has exceeded 17.4 trillion US dollars, while Bitcoin's market value has shrunk to 1.19 trillion. Bitcoin needs to increase 14.6 times, that is, the price of BTC needs to reach 880,000 US dollars, before the market value of Bitcoin can surpass gold and become the world's number one asset. Obviously, this round of bull market is impossible, and at least the next round of bull market is needed to achieve hope.

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