Crypto芒果

As cognition continuously advances, one comes to understand: there is no absolute good or evil, right or wrong in the world.

Everyone is trapped in their own level of energy, leading to different life choices.

This realization teaches us: to accept our own uniqueness while respecting the differences of others, leaving space for each other to grow freely.

Cryptocurrency ETF Fund Dynamics: Bitcoin and Ethereum See Significant Net Inflows
Data shows that today, 10 Bitcoin ETFs had a total net inflow of 4,201 BTC, approximately $397 million.

Among them, iShares performed particularly well, with a single-day inflow of 2,523 BTC, increasing the total holdings to 588,687 BTC.

During the same period, 9 Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of 59,538 ETH, valued at approximately $10.7 million.

iShares also took the lead, with a net inflow of 30,272 ETH, bringing the current holdings to 1,215,231 ETH.

Funds flow between different investment targets, directly affecting price fluctuations, reflecting the strength of market buying and selling intentions.

When prices are low, institutions enter to build positions, and after achieving profit targets, they quickly exit, causing prices to rise and fall like tides.

From the perspective of capital flow, some targets attract a large influx of funds, some are at a moderate level, and others receive only a small amount of attention from funds.

Institutions tend to choose targets with good liquidity and strong market consensus, facilitating large-scale capital entry and exit;

Whereas for other targets, they may only serve as supplementary positions or backup investments to diversify risks and enhance overall returns.

Today's market has pulled back; there may be opportunities for buying at lower prices in the afternoon. After the holiday, there may be an upward trend, so it is essential to seize high points for timely selling, and avoid increasing positions at high levels; one must be cautious of risks even in a bull market.

Large capital usually enters the market only during deep pullbacks, so it is not advisable to casually increase positions in broad-based index funds recently; wait for opportunities after a significant drop.

Major market trends often start from the bottom, so patience is required to wait for the right moment to position oneself.

Li Xiaolai once said: The core of learning, executing, and seizing opportunities lies in calmly accepting the clumsiness at the beginning.

I have put down my anxiety about 'not being smart enough,' learned to restrain impulsive trading, and as a result, my wealth has begun to accumulate steadily—accepting clumsiness may be the starting point for mastering the rhythm of investment.

Bitcoin K-line Analysis and Trading Strategy
The K-line shows that recent consecutive bullish candles, hammer patterns, and bottoming formations highlight the strength of buyers. The three red soldiers pattern confirms the upward trend, and in the short term, it may test the resistance level of 95,700 USD.

If it cannot break through, a pullback is expected.

Trading suggestion: Short in the range of 95,200-95,500 USD, with a stop loss at 96,100 USD and a target price below 93,000 USD.

Short-term trading, especially day trading, is extremely risky. The root of this lies in the fact that price fluctuations in the short term are almost random, making it difficult for subjective human judgment to gain an advantage.

In reality, many traders harboring dreams of quick wealth often find themselves further and further away from breaking even. Even though there may be a few lucky ones who manage to exit in time, it is hard to change the inherently high risk nature of such trading.

For investors with limited capital but a desire for high returns, trend-following strategies may be a better choice.

This strategy does not require haste; sticking with it for a year or two may yield considerable returns and is suitable for long-term holding.

Its advantages include: on one hand, the long holding period does not exhaust energy excessively, having a minimal impact on daily life;

on the other hand, the key to trend-following is accurately identifying the true long-term trends.

From a macro perspective, the global economy has continued to weaken over the past few years, and geopolitical conflicts have intensified, indicating that the economic cycle has entered its final phase.

Against this backdrop, continued deterioration of fundamentals is a high-probability event, which also provides room for trend-following strategies to unfold.

AI Sector I think the upper cycle is really coming!

At the end of the bamboo AI sector, when the big differentiation occurs, it's easier to ambush the sectors with expectations!

VIRTUAL SHELL ORAI ALGO TAO

Bitcoin and Ethereum Monday Market Analysis and Trading Strategy
Bitcoin fluctuated over the weekend, continuing narrow volatility in today's morning session, currently reported at $93,800.

The weekend price trend met expectations, with limited fluctuations.

The daily chart shows that Bitcoin rebounded after a morning pullback to $92,700, supported by the seven-day moving average, but did not break through.

If it cannot break through $95,000, there is still a risk of a pullback.

The 4-hour chart presents a doji with long upper and lower shadows, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears, with the coin price in a consolidation range.

Trading suggestion: Short Bitcoin when it rebounds to the $94,500-$95,000 area, with a stop loss above $95,700, targeting $92,000-$92,500;

Ethereum is in sync, short in the $1,800-$1,830 area, targeting $1,730-$1,750; once this range stabilizes, a long position can be taken.

The weekend market has shown some recovery, but there are signs of decline. Although there is a rebound, there is slight resistance around $1800, which should not be difficult to break through.

However, there are significant resistances above, suspected to be a trap for bulls, with key resistance at $1860.

Trading suggestion: Lightly go long near $1788, with a target of $1820;

Short near $1860, with a target looking down to $1700.

The Alpaca project may become a model for 'dog dealer' operations.

Speculated core profit strategy: not relying on spot market delisting for profit, but rather controlling prices strongly for 30 days and exiting through futures delivery;

During the period from the 30th to May 2nd, dumping to harvest remaining value.

If there is insufficient opposing volume before the 30th, first dump to induce a short position, and after accumulating short positions, then raise the price to contract delivery, completing the closed-loop harvesting.

Bitcoin failed to stabilize at 95,000, and the market is caught in chaotic fluctuations.

The market lacks a clear direction, and the curse of "falling whenever there is a meeting" continues.

It is recommended to adapt to the rhythm, eliminate external distractions, and focus on one's own trading logic.

The Role of Trading Emotion Varies by Stage:
In the novice stage, one should focus on refining mechanical trading strategies, with clear rules and disciplined execution; emotions are a distraction;

During the period of excessive trading, emotions can easily spiral out of control amidst profit and loss fluctuations, hindering rational analysis;

Mature traders, on the other hand, convert emotions into a part of their strategy and risk management, going with the trend.

Those who emphasize 'emotion management' in the early stages often lack capital and have no well-formed strategy.

Cryptocurrency Morning Analysis and Trading Strategy
Weekend trading is light, with a slight increase in the early session yesterday but declining volume, indicating weakening upward momentum.

On the 4-hour technical analysis, MACD shows bullish signals, but the bearish candlestick and reduced volume suggest insufficient upward momentum, with a potential short-term pullback;

RSI is at 45, neutral; EMA7 provides support, while EMA30 and EMA120 reflect weakening in the short term.

Trading Strategy for Bitcoin: Short at 95200-94400, stop loss at 96200+, target at 93600, if broken, look for 92600-92000; Long at 92400-93200, stop loss at 91600-, target at 93500-94300.

Ethereum: Short at 1845-1810, stop loss at 1880+, target at 1780-1735;

Long at 1720-1750, stop loss at 1680-, target at 1800-1840.

SUI Price Trends and Trading Suggestions
SUI started to pull back after hitting the resistance level of $3.8 yesterday, achieving over 70% increase since the recommendation. It is advisable to observe the market temporarily in the short term.

If you wish to enter the market later, it is suggested to position around $3.2.

Additionally, another cryptocurrency S has seen an increase of over 10%. Although the increase is still small, there is still potential for growth. It is advised for holders to grasp the rhythm and hold patiently.

Chasing after the price rises once the market starts often leads to missed opportunities; investors should position in advance to avoid missing out.

From the perspective of social psychology, groups lacking moral cultivation generally exhibit typical characteristics of cognitive bias in values.

Such individuals often have significant perceptual distortions in interpersonal interactions, making it difficult for them to correctly identify the positive social signals emitted by others.

When others show care and goodwill, they not only fail to form positive cognitive feedback but are also prone to cognitive inversion—interpreting the other's tolerant understanding as a weakness to be exploited, and misreading respect and concession as a compromise with ulterior motives.

This cognitive misalignment manifests behaviorally as a continuous breach of boundaries. As goodwill interactions deepen, they gradually amplify their self-centered awareness, incorporating others' contributions into their rightful entitlements.

In their cognitive framework, external goodwill does not stem from the moral cultivation of others but serves as evidence of their own superiority, thereby constructing a distorted logic of value assessment.

Continued inappropriate interactions are likely to create a vicious social cycle, where the sustained output of goodwill may give rise to an attachment personality with a weak sense of responsibility.

Over time, the positive patterns of interpersonal interaction will be disrupted, and the benefactors may find it difficult to receive emotional rewards, potentially falling into relational exploitation due to excessive giving, resulting in a dual depletion of personal psychological resources and social support systems.

Four Key Investment Principles
1. Prioritize Survival: Any strategy that has a risk of losing everything should be decisively abandoned; survival is the first rule of investing.

2. Precise Timing: Understand market hotspots and capital flows, grasp macro trends, and combine candlestick patterns with sentiment analysis to select quality targets.

3. Patient Waiting: Patiently wait for targets to reach ideal price levels, building positions in batches; once holdings reach target ranges, gradually take profits.

4. Strict Execution: Adhere to the above principles, repeat operations, and use discipline to avoid human weaknesses.

True wealthy individuals deeply understand the principle of going with the flow: they strive hard during good times and know when to withdraw during downturns. They act low-key and are humble, understanding the cyclical nature of prosperity and decline.

There was once a client worth several billion who went bankrupt overnight due to the financial crisis, yet remained remarkably calm.

In response to others' comfort, he instead reassured everyone: "Fortune and misfortune are hard to predict, experience and family remain, and my son can inherit everything in the future."

This calmness demonstrates the power of emotional stability—only by not forcing against the flow can one calmly face the ups and downs of life.

Last night, Bitcoin broke through $95,500, but the upward momentum has been insufficient in the past two days. Despite being at a high level, it shows signs of being 'overheated'.

For instance, trading volume surged around $95,000, but no effective breakthrough was achieved, with intense competition between bulls and bears, and investors are in a wait-and-see mood. In this situation, the market is susceptible to manipulation by large players.

Bitcoin continues to test the $95,500 - $96,500 range, which is a resistance level that has been unable to break through multiple times in the past.

Even though a new high was reached, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) did not rise in tandem, but instead declined, indicating a lack of upward momentum and weakening upward forces in the market.

The price turned downward from around $95,700 - $95,200, with a short-term target possibly pointing to the $93,000 - $92,000 support range.

If this support level is broken, it may trigger a new round of declines; conversely, if it stabilizes here, it may welcome a rebound opportunity.

Today's market turnover rate continues to rise. According to data verification from the exchange, no large-scale external turnover has been observed, which may indicate internal asset transfers within the exchange, and the selling pressure has not significantly affected the coin price.

As the weekend approaches, US stocks closed higher this Friday, and market sentiment is optimistic.

Key GDP data will be released next week, and investors can relax for now.

Currently, a large amount of BTC is transferring from the $81,000 - $91,000 range to $93,000, returning to a strong support and bottoming area.