黄焖南纶

So hard, this CPI wow, will BlackRock continue to push Ethereum up in a one-sided manner tonight???

Brother James, the robots of the organization have cleared the way for you, let's sacrifice to the heavens, Brother James. #巨鲸JamesWynn动态

Stop it, Brother Zhan. You're putting so much weight on my car. How come you haven't exploded yet? #巨鲸JamesWynn动态

The big brother speaks firmly, and is also very resolute when cutting losses and reducing positions.
A real man never looks back #巨鲸JamesWynn动态

Brother James really is a counter-indicator, opened a position and was immediately targeted and hit down, 7000 Bitcoin positions still have 4700 left, I even gave back my UNI. Now the price just happens to reach the buy order position of institutional robots.
The liquidation price of 107000 has cut over 2000 Bitcoin positions and then replenished, brother don’t do this.
Brother's liquidation position is around 106300, I hope brother can withstand the pressure, or just cancel the order, brother, you’re blocking my car. #巨鲸JamesWynn动态

On-chain big gambler Boss J's liquidation position is near 107000, and after liquidation, about 5500 BTC will be cleared.
Currently, Bitcoin is still within a rising logic, and the upper pressure has been confirmed multiple times. This time, the pressure is near 109888, and the institutional buy orders at the bottom are estimated to accumulate around 107200. It's uncertain whether the exchange will insert more; if they do something malicious, they must give Boss J a heavy blow. The price difference is 300 dollars, but Boss J has a relatively good point: the liquidation position is good, basically at the bottom of a strong rising logic. If it drops below the rising logic, it will be gone.
The advice for the big gambler is to increase the position below 106. #巨鲸JamesWynn动态

4.30 The monthly line will be closed, a big fluctuation is about to come, risks continue to intensify
Macroeconomic:
PCE↑ (higher than expected) → Inflation warming up → The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates or delay rate cuts → US dollar strengthens → Bitcoin (risk asset) falls.
PCE↓ (lower than expected) → Inflation cooling down → The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates → US dollar weakens → Bitcoin (anti-inflation asset) rises
Waiting for macroeconomic results.

Technical:
The major market trend after the breakout is nearing its end, be cautious of risks with tail spikes.
BTC daily - 4-hour level market analysis
Bitcoin is currently in a volatile range, with persistent pressure around 95500 above, and bottom support around 92500 below, fluctuating back and forth. However, the risk is relatively high tonight. If short, I still recommend shorting around 96400 with me to see if it will drop. If it doesn't drop and instead rises, then it's time to chase the long on the right side.

ETH altcoin analysis
Ethereum is a bit stronger, but still weak. Resistance is around 1850 above, and support is around 1750 below. If it breaks below 1680, I recommend going short.
The market is chaotic, be cautious of risks. #特朗普就职百日

4.23 The market has reached a dangerous position, Bitcoin has been fluctuating for a few days, altcoins are catching up
Macroeconomic:
CPI has good news, but the data from the U.S. is starting to be severely manipulated. However, the data indicates that there might be some decent technical market movements coming up, and those good technical movements are expected to be rebounds.
Technical:
The market has completed a breakout, and a significant trend has emerged. Most altcoins have not outperformed Bitcoin; Bitcoin still holds a strong logic. If there is a decline, it will need to fluctuate for a few days. During this fluctuation, altcoins will also catch up for a while. Let's observe first, no need to rush.
BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
The Bitcoin trend has deviated from expectations; it hasn't fully retraced to 80,000 for me to enter. However, after moving in the right direction, it can still be entered. The market moves according to logic but also deviates from it; Bitcoin is performing too strongly. Now Bitcoin is fluctuating for a few days, and altcoins still have a few days to play; the remaining focus is primarily on risk.
The upper limit pressure is around 94,800, while the bottom support has risen to around 90,500. It is expected that fluctuations will occur around this position. Let's take a look, no need to rush.

ETH Altcoin Size Level Analysis
Ethereum has become a bit firmer, but it is still underperforming. It broke through the strong area around 1,750; if it retraces, it can continue to go long. Around 1,780, stop-loss can be used for speculative trades. The resistance for going up is around 1,850; it still follows the strong breakout logic. Wait to consider shorting when it hits resistance, with a stop-loss, to see if it can bounce back.
The market is chaotic; pay attention to risks. #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #加密市场反弹

Yesterday I was chatting with a sister, he said the square chart is really good, then our team's tech boss spent a few hours + tweaking the database to create a real-time trend prediction square chart, hahahaha, times are changing too fast. #特朗普施压鲍威尔

4.18 Some counterfeit funds continue to flow out, Bitcoin still fluctuates within the oscillation range
Macroeconomic:
CPI data has been positive, but the current data in the U.S. is starting to show serious fabrication. However, the data indicates that there may be some decent technical market trends coming up, which means looking for a rebound.
Technical:
The market has been oscillating within the range, with upper pressure between 86200-85500 and support around 83000. It's been oscillating back and forth for almost a week, constantly fluctuating and wearing out.
BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's trend is quite delicate, with the 80,000 area still allowing for a bullish logic entry, and upper pressure still around 85500.
The current risk has ended, and it has been moving within the oscillating range. The cost of market fabrication is rising, and if it continues to struggle to rise, it feels problematic. It remains under upper pressure between 86200-85500, with support around 83000 to carry out range oscillation trades. Once it breaks down or breaks up and retests, one can chase long or short for right-side breakout trades.

ETH Counterfeit Large and Small Level Analysis
Ethereum continues to be useless, useless, useless. The intraday bottom continues to lower, with chip positions for upward movements around 1595, 1615, and final pressure around 1642. The most recent support is around 1560, and the pressure above Ethereum is quite heavy, making it difficult to trade. We still wait for a direction to emerge, with an extreme position around 1480.
The market is chaotic, be aware of risks. #Solana激增 #鲍威尔发言

4.17 Shanzhai funds continue to flow out, although Bitcoin is in a volatile range, it has followed a downward logic
Macroeconomic aspect:
CPI has released good news; the data from the United States is now seriously fraudulent, but the data indicates that there could be some relatively good technical market conditions coming up, and that good technical market condition means looking for a rebound.
Technical aspect:
The decline that the market has been waiting for has finally arrived; this four-hour trend has been grinding down for long enough, but it's not a major issue because since it has started to fall, the next step is either a rebound or a bearish logic. This time the target hasn't been reached yet, so just wait for the rebound and continue to observe the market's decline.
BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's trend is quite delicate; around 80,000 still presents an opportunity for a bullish logic to enter, while the upper pressure remains around 85,500.
However, the current risk has ended; the uncertainty at high levels emerged when the 865 position couldn't hold, and it dropped directly without going up. Coupled with news, it has harvested the market. The upcoming market conditions still seem comfortable; the rebound is bearish, and only after breaking above 845 during the day would one consider a stronger move.
There should still be one more significant level, which is coming back to around 80,000 for a long position. The upper range of 85,500-86,000 still follows a bearish logic, at worst, it’s a high short and low long range trading trend.
ETH Shanzhai Major and Minor Level Analysis
Ethereum continues to be useless, useless, useless. The daily bottom continues to lower, with chip positions for upward movement around 1595, 1615, and final pressure around 1642. The support position below is around 1510.
The market is chaotic; please pay attention to the risks.

4.16 Finally, a direction has been established. The main logic remains a rebound, waiting to make another buy when the drop reaches the target.
Macro perspective:
CPI has shown good results. The data in the U.S. is now severely falsified, but the data indicates that there may be some decent technical movements to come, which means it's time to look for a rebound.
Technical perspective:
The market's awaited drop has finally arrived. This four-hour trend has been in decline for a long time, but it’s not a big issue because now that it has started to drop, the next move will either be a rebound or a bearish logic. The target has not yet been reached; just wait for the rebound and continue to observe the market's downward movement.
BTC daily - 4-hour level market analysis
Bitcoin's movements are quite delicate, but as long as it doesn't drop below 80,000, it remains in an upward trend, so the market is still looking decent. If it can pull back, then it's time to enter long positions.
However, the current risk has ended. The uncertainty at high levels has emerged; the 86,500 position couldn't hold, and it dropped directly, which, combined with news, harvested the market. The upcoming market movements will be comfortable; rebounds will be bearish, and only after surpassing 845 will it be considered strong.
There should be another large-scale movement, so if it approaches around 80,000, we will look for a long, seeing if it can break 86,000; if not, it will be dangerous.
ETH altcoin large and small level analysis
Ethereum continues to be worthless, worthless, worthless. It has reached around 1,570 today, which is approximately the last support. However, the rebound looks particularly weak, so it may not reach around 1,620 to continue shorting. If it drops below 1,570, the sell-off will continue, but this position can also be used to gamble on a short-term bullish position, looking above at 1,610-1,625 before deciding to short depending on the situation.
The market is messy; please pay attention to risks. #加拿大推出SolanaETF #Metaplanet增持比特币

4.15 Market decline is weak, waiting for upward movement, future expectations are good but let's hold on for now until the direction emerges

Macro perspective:
CPI has released good news, but the data from the U.S. is starting to be seriously manipulated. However, the data indicates that there may be some relatively good technical market trends coming up, meaning we are looking at a rebound.
Tonight, there will be issues related to tariffs, so the market may wait for the tariff information to be released. The specific risk arises from potential news stimulation tonight.
BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's trend is quite subtle, but as long as it doesn't fall below 80,000, it still shows an upward trend, so the market looks decent. If it can pull back, it's a good time to enter long positions.
However, the current risk comes from the uncertainty at high levels. Right now, 85,200 is a strong resistance level, but if the market is to fall or rise, this position will not be blocked. So, 86 serves as pressure; if broken and retraced, then we chase the upward movement.
84,200 serves as support; if broken, we directly chase the downward movement.
ETH Altcoin Large and Small Level Analysis
Ethereum continues to be worthless, worthless, worthless. There is still a probability of testing around 1,580 during the day. If it does not break below, it remains a volatile area of high short and low long positions. After breaking, look for around 1,480, with resistance still around 1,660. It is recommended to focus on Bitcoin and not on Ethereum's worthlessness.
The market is chaotic, be cautious of risks. #美国半导体关税 #巨鲸动向

4.11 The news tests people's hearts back and forth, still in a large range fluctuation, but this time it is highly likely to break out.
Macro aspect:
CPI has been good, but the data in the U.S. is starting to be seriously falsified. However, the data suggests that there may be some relatively good technical market movements coming up, so the good technical market movements will be looking for rebounds.
Today there is a PPI report, and it also faces the risk of Trump tearing up the already completed tariff agreement at any time, testing psychological pressure back and forth, continuing to walk through the technical range fluctuation.
BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin has broken the fluctuation trend and is starting to look for a bottom. The rebound is still high for shorts. The short-term bottom appears to be near 74, but this position is not the bottom because a larger bottom has not emerged yet.
However, in the short term, it is still in a fluctuation trend, testing back and forth. The last high point was around 83500, and this time the high point is coming to around 84500-85100 to short, while long positions are preparing to exit at this position.
ETH Altcoin Size Level Analysis
Ethereum continues to be wasteful, wasteful, wasteful. The first rebound around 1550 has been completed, and now the target is 1580 and around 1620 above, no need to look at anything else as it doesn't have much significance.
Ethereum is also doing range trades, but the bottom of the range trade may break to around 1185 at any time, while the large-level pressure is around 1750.
The market is chaotic, please pay attention to risks. #CPI数据来袭 #币安LaunchpoolWCT

Waste Ether, the giant whale has already liquidated the price to 901, a three-digit number is definitely coming, next is the time to predict the bottom, what position is the bottom?
If 9 breaks, it will directly liquidate 300,000 Ether, if it falls further to liquidate, breaking 777 will liquidate another 70,000 or 80,000 Ether, going down like this has no bottom. #ETH

4.09 Waste Ether, even the whales have to give up, the target of 1200 has turned into 900, waste, waste, waste

Waste Ether, the whales have all been liquidated and the price has reached the three-digit number starting with 900. Good, good, good, now the crypto world is getting interesting, the sins committed in the last life have been paid off by buying Ether in this life. Damn. Recently, the risks come from US-China tariffs and CPI, Trump continues to go crazy.
Macroeconomic situation:
The risks from tariffs continue and Powell still refuses to back down. The US is now entering a deeply troubled period, with high inflation and an economic recession resulting in stagflation; the risks continue.
Has this week already bottomed out? I don't feel so, but this round of rebound will be relatively fast, as the market is quickly digesting expectations, just as it is said that the US stock market has also reached a key support position, but the rebound is a high short, the timeline is not yet here. No need to rush.
BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin has broken the oscillation trend and is starting to find the bottom. The rebound is still short; in the short term, the bottom appears around 74, but this position is not the bottom, because a major bottom has not yet appeared. The position for the rebound short reached yesterday, and today continues with the rebound short. However, today’s bottom may turn into 72-73, still looking to rebound short.
ETH Altcoin Size Level Analysis
Ether continues to be waste, waste, waste. The same high short point, no logical consideration, the rebound is bearish and high short, the extreme position is looking at the beginning of 900, no analytical thoughts left.
The market is a mess, beware of risks. #美国加征关税 #交易心理学

4.08 Expected digestion part, the rebound is still a high short logic, but this time the rebound will last a little longer, and the rebound will mostly remain in the high short

The risk of tariffs continues and Powell remains unwilling to back down, the United States is now entering a period of deep trouble, with high inflation and economic recession in a stagflation cycle, risks continue.
Has the bottom been seen early this week? I feel it hasn't, but this round of rebound will be relatively fast, the market is quickly digesting expectations, as mentioned, the US stock market has also reached a critical support position, but the rebound is still high short, the timeline is not yet up. No rush.
BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin has broken the oscillating trend and is starting to find the bottom, the rebound is still short. In the short term, the bottom appears around 74, but this position is not the bottom, as a larger bottom has not yet appeared. In the short term, looking for the top, a more stable position is around 82500, with significant pressure around 808, but it is still recommended to stay high short, low long as long as it does not break below 77.
ETH Altcoin Size Level Analysis
Ethereum continues to be a waste, waste, waste. The same high short point, no logic to consider, the extreme rebound this round is around 1750, also around 1680 is fine, anyway, it's still high short. For low long, you can try after some pullback, as long as it does not break below 1530.
The market is a mess, watch out for risks. #美国加征关税 #风险回报比

I can now be certain that the so-called closed-door meeting will not result in any actions beneficial to the market. To put it bluntly, today's surge in the Nasdaq due to a fake news report shows that the economy is still quite resilient and has a promising future. So why lower interest rates in advance?
Why inject liquidity into the market? #加密市场回调 #美联储闭门会议

Currently, it has been discovered that there is a closed-door meeting to discuss the Federal Reserve's discount rate and bank prepayment.

The discount rate is a change made during significant financial issues, while prepayment is an emergency loan and short-term liquidity loan provided through the discount window when banks face financial problems.

Historically, what happened in such meetings:

(1) During the 2008 financial crisis
October 2008 closed-door meeting: The Federal Reserve urgently lowered the discount rate by 50 basis points and expanded the collateral range to alleviate the banking liquidity crisis, briefly boosting market confidence.
Effect: Although the long-term bear market did not change, bank stocks rebounded in the short term.
(2) Impact of COVID-19 in March 2020
March 15th emergency closed-door meeting: The Federal Reserve lowered the discount rate from 1.75% to 0.25% and initiated quantitative easing (QE), leading to a rebound in the U.S. stock market after a sharp decline.
Effect: The S&P 500 rose by approximately 30% in the following month.
(3) Before the September 2024 interest rate meeting
Market 'Pre-FOMC Drift' phenomenon: Historical data shows that stock and bond markets have a high probability of rising during the week of the Federal Reserve meeting (e.g., a surge in U.S. stocks before the September 2024 meeting).
Reason: Investors are betting on dovish signals or policy support.

The possible impact of the closed-door meeting on April 7, 2025:
Current meeting background:
Stock market crash pressure: Trump's tariff policy has caused market turmoil, and the swap market has priced in five interest rate cuts within the year, with expectations of an emergency rate cut next week.
Potential positive scenarios:
If the Federal Reserve lowers the discount rate or releases easing signals, it may drive a short-term rebound in U.S. stocks.
If the situation remains unchanged, the market may fluctuate due to unmet expectations.