大圣趋势论
公众号《土豆谈币》：在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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Pepe's 30-day crazy run! The stock price has risen by more than 100%, but is the bull market coming to an end? Where will the stock price go in the future?
PEPE has been rising for a while, setting new highs. At the same time, a whale bought billions of PEPE.
Does this indicate that the memecoin is ready to continue its massive bull rally?
PEPE hits new high
Investors have made handsome profits over the past month as the price of meme coins has surged. In fact, the rally has taken meme coins to new all-time highs.
According to CoinMarketCap, PEPE has risen by more than 100% in the past 30 days. Thanks to this, more than 97% of PEPE investors have achieved profits, according to IntoTheBlock.
Does this indicate that the memecoin is ready to continue its massive bull rally?
PEPE hits new high
Investors have made handsome profits over the past month as the price of meme coins has surged. In fact, the rally has taken meme coins to new all-time highs.
According to CoinMarketCap, PEPE has risen by more than 100% in the past 30 days. Thanks to this, more than 97% of PEPE investors have achieved profits, according to IntoTheBlock.
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The previous cryptocurrency world was a secret pride, now it's an anxiety that cannot be spoken out loud.
In cryptocurrency projects, the more we research, the more we feel empty, especially when seeing billions of worthless coins that some people analyze as not expensive, and seeing institutions saying that contract data will drive up the price for projects worth hundreds of billions, the more painful it is. Where is the value in the cryptocurrency world?
In the past bear market, we believed everything would come back; now in the bull market, we know many projects are dying forever.
In cryptocurrency projects, the more we research, the more we feel empty, especially when seeing billions of worthless coins that some people analyze as not expensive, and seeing institutions saying that contract data will drive up the price for projects worth hundreds of billions, the more painful it is. Where is the value in the cryptocurrency world?
In the past bear market, we believed everything would come back; now in the bull market, we know many projects are dying forever.
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The next support for BTC is at 101512,
if it can't hold, it will go down to 96-98.
If it can hold, we will continue to observe the situation of the main force accumulating positions.
if it can't hold, it will go down to 96-98.
If it can hold, we will continue to observe the situation of the main force accumulating positions.
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From the liquidation heatmap data of Bitcoin, it can be seen that regardless of whether the price rises or falls, there is a large amount of contract liquidity waiting to be liquidated, and the trend remains that the contract market is dominant.
When the price rises, there are large and extra-large short positions waiting to be liquidated in the 110200-114150 area; when the price falls, there are large and extra-large long positions waiting to be liquidated in the 107950-104450 area.
When the price rises, there are large and extra-large short positions waiting to be liquidated in the 110200-114150 area; when the price falls, there are large and extra-large long positions waiting to be liquidated in the 107950-104450 area.
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Today, from God's perspective, the price of $ETH is indeed very strong. Even though $BTC has fallen by more than 1.5%, ETH's decline is less than half of Bitcoin's. Such a situation has rarely occurred in recent months, and investors do have greater expectations for ETH.
This can also be reflected in the data of spot ETFs. Previously, the purchasing power of ETH spot ETFs was around 10% of BTC, but recently it has risen to 30% and even occasionally more. Traditional investors have shown a significant increase in interest in ETH.
Yesterday, American investors net purchased over 43,000 ETH, which is the highest figure in the last 20 days, and among them, investors from BlackRock bought nearly 30,000 ETH.
This can also be reflected in the data of spot ETFs. Previously, the purchasing power of ETH spot ETFs was around 10% of BTC, but recently it has risen to 30% and even occasionally more. Traditional investors have shown a significant increase in interest in ETH.
Yesterday, American investors net purchased over 43,000 ETH, which is the highest figure in the last 20 days, and among them, investors from BlackRock bought nearly 30,000 ETH.
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Tonight at 8:30, the Americans will announce the CPI
Bet big or bet small, make your decision now
Generally, when news is announced, I personally give up on short-term trading
Bet big or bet small, make your decision now
Generally, when news is announced, I personally give up on short-term trading
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Oversold Rebound! Trading Volume Surges 57%, Whales are Frenziedly Accumulating, $0.21 is Just the Beginning!
In the past 24 hours, Dogecoin (DOGE) price has risen nearly 3%, with trading volume surging by 57%, indicating a significant increase in market activity. Analysts point out that multiple bullish signals are converging, and Dogecoin may experience a strong rally in the coming days. Below is a technical analysis of Dogecoin's bullish potential and price targets.
Trader KJThaLibra shared a bullish forecast for Dogecoin based on the following four technical analyses:
RSI Bullish Divergence: The daily chart shows that although the price has made lower lows, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed higher lows, suggesting a weakening of downward momentum.
Trader KJThaLibra shared a bullish forecast for Dogecoin based on the following four technical analyses:
RSI Bullish Divergence: The daily chart shows that although the price has made lower lows, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed higher lows, suggesting a weakening of downward momentum.
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Today's increase breaking through 110,000 USD has led to an increase in turnover rate. Investors who bought in during the disputes over Chuanma are the main focus of today's reduction. It is estimated that they believe the probability of BTC breaking through a new high in the short term is low, or even if it breaks through a new high, the momentum for further upward movement may not be strong enough, and a pullback could even occur. However, it is indeed short-term investors who are mainly trading, while earlier investors remain indifferent.
From the support data, the range between 93,000 USD and 98,000 USD remains the most stable position. Even though BTC's price has broken through 110,000 USD, there hasn't been much turnover from investors at this level. Currently, the main turnover is still provided by investors between 100,000 USD and 105,000 USD.
From the support data, the range between 93,000 USD and 98,000 USD remains the most stable position. Even though BTC's price has broken through 110,000 USD, there hasn't been much turnover from investors at this level. Currently, the main turnover is still provided by investors between 100,000 USD and 105,000 USD.
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If you are still heavily invested in altcoins right now, I suggest you keep the following key points in mind:
1. Clear high leverage: Immediately remove all altcoin contract leverage (especially above 5x) to prevent liquidation.
2. Optimize positions: Convert some altcoins into Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH), avoid being fully invested in altcoins, and keep some USDC cash to maintain flexibility, allowing for both offense and defense!
Three steps for retail investors to save themselves, ensuring safety:
1. Decisively cut losses: Clear out high-risk coins (such as Meme coins, high unlocks, dead chains), and convert 50% to USDC or BTC.
2. Wait for signals: Pay attention to BTC dominance, ETH/BTC exchange rate, and Federal Reserve policies; do not heavily invest in altcoins before the trend is clear.
3. Select assets carefully: Only keep cash flow-based DeFi (such as AAVE, UNI), compliant RWA (such as ONDO), and technology leaders (such as SOL), and give up 'gambling' positions.
The market has shifted from the old rotation of 'Bitcoin bull → Altcoin bull' to the new logic of 'Institution accumulation → selective rise of quality projects.' Retail investors should either follow institutional investment (dollar-cost averaging in BTC/ETH) or take a sniper approach to accurately bet on altcoin survivors; the middle ground is the most dangerous.
1. Clear high leverage: Immediately remove all altcoin contract leverage (especially above 5x) to prevent liquidation.
2. Optimize positions: Convert some altcoins into Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH), avoid being fully invested in altcoins, and keep some USDC cash to maintain flexibility, allowing for both offense and defense!
Three steps for retail investors to save themselves, ensuring safety:
1. Decisively cut losses: Clear out high-risk coins (such as Meme coins, high unlocks, dead chains), and convert 50% to USDC or BTC.
2. Wait for signals: Pay attention to BTC dominance, ETH/BTC exchange rate, and Federal Reserve policies; do not heavily invest in altcoins before the trend is clear.
3. Select assets carefully: Only keep cash flow-based DeFi (such as AAVE, UNI), compliant RWA (such as ONDO), and technology leaders (such as SOL), and give up 'gambling' positions.
The market has shifted from the old rotation of 'Bitcoin bull → Altcoin bull' to the new logic of 'Institution accumulation → selective rise of quality projects.' Retail investors should either follow institutional investment (dollar-cost averaging in BTC/ETH) or take a sniper approach to accurately bet on altcoin survivors; the middle ground is the most dangerous.
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The new platforms on SOL are now about taking turns to pump prices, mutually draining liquidity, and vying for attention.
Yesterday, we saw products like the Golden Dog $PCULE and $KLED on several Launchcoins, today it's the IP and cultural Golden Dog $CRYBB and $USELESS on Bonk, as well as the rapid scheme $VERSE from Pump.
Will the situation of competing voices among Believe, Bonk, and Pump be ended by Pump issuing tokens? This is a question I haven't quite figured out.
- Objectively, Pump will drain liquidity, which will affect the expectations of new platforms competing (generally speaking, issuing tokens is the endpoint);
- Subjectively, it feels like there aren't that many retail investors in the market willing to take over Pump, and a higher valuation for Pump means that the valuation ceiling for other new platforms will also rise.
It seems that the funds and buying sources for these new platforms' pumps and those who are willing to buy Pump are not entirely the same group? Just like how the plasma absorption had no impact on the overall market.
Yesterday, we saw products like the Golden Dog $PCULE and $KLED on several Launchcoins, today it's the IP and cultural Golden Dog $CRYBB and $USELESS on Bonk, as well as the rapid scheme $VERSE from Pump.
Will the situation of competing voices among Believe, Bonk, and Pump be ended by Pump issuing tokens? This is a question I haven't quite figured out.
- Objectively, Pump will drain liquidity, which will affect the expectations of new platforms competing (generally speaking, issuing tokens is the endpoint);
- Subjectively, it feels like there aren't that many retail investors in the market willing to take over Pump, and a higher valuation for Pump means that the valuation ceiling for other new platforms will also rise.
It seems that the funds and buying sources for these new platforms' pumps and those who are willing to buy Pump are not entirely the same group? Just like how the plasma absorption had no impact on the overall market.
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Bitcoin stabilizes at 10.5, will it surge to 120,000? Ethereum attracts $280 million leading altcoins? MCAA, JANITOR, EGL1 surge! A big opportunity for 100x wealth on-chain!
Today's hot opportunity:
1. Regarding interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve is currently very firm. There will be interest rate cuts within the year, but the number and extent are limited. Based on current comprehensive information, a rate cut in July is unlikely, and the probability of maintaining the rate in June is 99.9%.
2. On the SOL chain, over the weekend, COSTCO was released, quickly generating $1.3 million, then poured in, leading many KOLs to criticize, and it then slowly rose to around $5 million, becoming increasingly difficult to play.
3. The ongoing rolling on BSC has resulted in diminishing returns and increasing scores. If adjustments are not made, the studio will roll over retail investors. Retail investors who are still trying to boost scores need to set up anti-squeeze capabilities properly. Over the weekend, someone was directly squeezed for $47,000.
1. Regarding interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve is currently very firm. There will be interest rate cuts within the year, but the number and extent are limited. Based on current comprehensive information, a rate cut in July is unlikely, and the probability of maintaining the rate in June is 99.9%.
2. On the SOL chain, over the weekend, COSTCO was released, quickly generating $1.3 million, then poured in, leading many KOLs to criticize, and it then slowly rose to around $5 million, becoming increasingly difficult to play.
3. The ongoing rolling on BSC has resulted in diminishing returns and increasing scores. If adjustments are not made, the studio will roll over retail investors. Retail investors who are still trying to boost scores need to set up anti-squeeze capabilities properly. Over the weekend, someone was directly squeezed for $47,000.
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Last year's biggest benefit for BTC was the spot ETF
This year's biggest benefit for BTC is strategic reserves
Divided into national-level strategic reserves and enterprise-level strategic reserves
Recently, enterprise strategic reserves have emerged, for example, Gamestop announced an increase of 500 million dollars in Bitcoin holdings, Trump's media plan aims to establish a 2.5 billion dollar Bitcoin treasury, MicroStrategy and Metaplanet continue to increase their BTC holdings, and if BTC reaches a new all-time high again, I believe more companies will join 51101K
#BTC走势分析
This year's biggest benefit for BTC is strategic reserves
Divided into national-level strategic reserves and enterprise-level strategic reserves
Recently, enterprise strategic reserves have emerged, for example, Gamestop announced an increase of 500 million dollars in Bitcoin holdings, Trump's media plan aims to establish a 2.5 billion dollar Bitcoin treasury, MicroStrategy and Metaplanet continue to increase their BTC holdings, and if BTC reaches a new all-time high again, I believe more companies will join 51101K
#BTC走势分析
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Is Bitcoin nearing $98,000? Is ETH dropping to $2,200? Is SUI soaring? MASK crashing and earning $3,178! Can we still trust the wealth myths brought by CZ with BC and ANA?
Today's non-farm data is also good; even Trump specifically published an article congratulating the employment data and wage data, and he also criticized Powell. I hope the sentiment of today can continue over the weekend, let's have a good weekend first.
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has experienced significant price fluctuations, but the turnover rate of BTC continues to decline, showing limited interest from most investors in short-term price changes. The main turnover still comes from early investors who chased high prices, and the market overall has a strong wait-and-see sentiment. From a support level perspective, the range of $93,000 to $98,000 remains solid, while the accumulation of chips between $100,000 to $105,000 has increased, but is mostly held by short-term investors and has not formed effective support.
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has experienced significant price fluctuations, but the turnover rate of BTC continues to decline, showing limited interest from most investors in short-term price changes. The main turnover still comes from early investors who chased high prices, and the market overall has a strong wait-and-see sentiment. From a support level perspective, the range of $93,000 to $98,000 remains solid, while the accumulation of chips between $100,000 to $105,000 has increased, but is mostly held by short-term investors and has not formed effective support.
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Overestimating human nature can lead to hurt
Being overly trusting and believing in a person can easily result in personal loss. People only reveal their true nature, or the 'evil' within human nature, when their interests are harmed or when things do not go their way.
A liter of rice nurtures a benefactor, while a斗 of rice nurtures an enemy. Sometimes, being too good to others not only fails to elicit gratitude but may even breed resentment. A liter of rice might serve as a lifesaver in a moment, but a斗 of rice provided over time can lead to hatred when you stop giving. The other person may not see your help as assistance but rather take it for granted. When you cease your support, they feel you have taken away something that belonged to them, without recognizing that it was never theirs to begin with.
Human nature is like this: the farmer and the snake, the beggar and the merchant. Being too good to others without any expectation of reciprocity can devalue your contributions and might even lead to resentment. Only by ensuring that the other party has something to contribute can they truly appreciate your kindness.
Being overly trusting and believing in a person can easily result in personal loss. People only reveal their true nature, or the 'evil' within human nature, when their interests are harmed or when things do not go their way.
A liter of rice nurtures a benefactor, while a斗 of rice nurtures an enemy. Sometimes, being too good to others not only fails to elicit gratitude but may even breed resentment. A liter of rice might serve as a lifesaver in a moment, but a斗 of rice provided over time can lead to hatred when you stop giving. The other person may not see your help as assistance but rather take it for granted. When you cease your support, they feel you have taken away something that belonged to them, without recognizing that it was never theirs to begin with.
Human nature is like this: the farmer and the snake, the beggar and the merchant. Being too good to others without any expectation of reciprocity can devalue your contributions and might even lead to resentment. Only by ensuring that the other party has something to contribute can they truly appreciate your kindness.
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Regarding the ups and downs between Trump and Old Horse, with such a hot topic there will inevitably be many PVP schemes, I suggest brothers to do less P, as they are already victims, let's reduce some secondary harm.
Given the nature of this old man, the story won't just flip back and forth a few times without causing chaos; retail investors around the world will be played like monkeys by him. The best strategy is to watch the changes quietly and respond to changes with stability $KBBB $MUSK
Given the nature of this old man, the story won't just flip back and forth a few times without causing chaos; retail investors around the world will be played like monkeys by him. The best strategy is to watch the changes quietly and respond to changes with stability $KBBB $MUSK
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ETH didn't expect to fall with such news. Dong Wang and Ma Yilong are directly tearing each other apart.
In addition to causing Tesla stocks to plummet, it also dragged down the crypto market. Such a scene is truly something I've never seen before. Both inside and outside the group, I've expressed my bearish thoughts. The market has now responded, but I think it hasn't fallen enough.
It's worth mentioning that ETH, despite falling so much, is still operating within the framework since May. 2400 is the support that the bulls cannot break below. Tonight there will also be unemployment and non-farm data. If the data is good, the 2400 level could continue to rise towards 2500. If the data is bad, it could directly break below 2400 and drop to 2200, and finally, we can get some cheap chips!
In addition to causing Tesla stocks to plummet, it also dragged down the crypto market. Such a scene is truly something I've never seen before. Both inside and outside the group, I've expressed my bearish thoughts. The market has now responded, but I think it hasn't fallen enough.
It's worth mentioning that ETH, despite falling so much, is still operating within the framework since May. 2400 is the support that the bulls cannot break below. Tonight there will also be unemployment and non-farm data. If the data is good, the 2400 level could continue to rise towards 2500. If the data is bad, it could directly break below 2400 and drop to 2200, and finally, we can get some cheap chips!
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Trump Forces the Federal Reserve! Epic Bitcoin Turnaround, When to Buy the Dip? Ethereum Races to 3000! IGGY Soars! MEME Winds Rise Again! Hidden Wealth Codes on the Chain!
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly surged, attempting to break through the 30-day moving average (around $105,000), but today it retraced to that moving average, with the market engaging in speculation at this critical point. Overall market volatility is limited, but events are dense, and structural signals are clear, indicating that the crypto market is welcoming deep integration with mainstream finance.
Macroeconomic background: The $10 billion U.S. debt buyback has attracted attention, Trump continues to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in an attempt to alleviate economic pressures. Meanwhile, Musk publicly 'breaks up' with Trump, warning of the worsening U.S. debt crisis and calling for a reevaluation of fiscal spending. This adds uncertainty to the market, and caution is still needed.
Macroeconomic background: The $10 billion U.S. debt buyback has attracted attention, Trump continues to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in an attempt to alleviate economic pressures. Meanwhile, Musk publicly 'breaks up' with Trump, warning of the worsening U.S. debt crisis and calling for a reevaluation of fiscal spending. This adds uncertainty to the market, and caution is still needed.
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Possible scenarios ahead:
First dip, retail investors: bottom fishing,
Second dip, continue to buy,
Third dip, borrowing to bottom fish,
Fourth dip, the bear market has come, better to cut losses.
Each time it’s the same script, but at the real bottom, few people dare to buy or are optimistic. Looking back at around 76000, you’ll know, it’s only been 2 months.
#BTC
First dip, retail investors: bottom fishing,
Second dip, continue to buy,
Third dip, borrowing to bottom fish,
Fourth dip, the bear market has come, better to cut losses.
Each time it’s the same script, but at the real bottom, few people dare to buy or are optimistic. Looking back at around 76000, you’ll know, it’s only been 2 months.
#BTC
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This morning,
ETH, you didn't enter a long position,
So for the short position, I personally suggest waiting around 2680,
Currently, the market is dragging,
On the 1-hour level, there hasn't been a volume surge yet,
We can only wait patiently
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
ETH, you didn't enter a long position,
So for the short position, I personally suggest waiting around 2680,
Currently, the market is dragging,
On the 1-hour level, there hasn't been a volume surge yet,
We can only wait patiently
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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The issuance of Pump tokens serves as a warning to the entire industry's values.
It marks the peak of the meme economy but also exposes the crisis of values in the industry. As the biggest winner of the MEME cycle, the myth of wealth creation is backed by bubbles and foundations that can collapse at any time. Essentially, it is just a tool for issuing tokens based on short-term trends. Nowadays, the issuance of tokens at high valuations resembles taking advantage of the moment and cashing in for safety.
When 'speculative fervor' can determine pricing more than 'technological innovation,' the values of the industry will be completely distorted.
#币圈暴富
It marks the peak of the meme economy but also exposes the crisis of values in the industry. As the biggest winner of the MEME cycle, the myth of wealth creation is backed by bubbles and foundations that can collapse at any time. Essentially, it is just a tool for issuing tokens based on short-term trends. Nowadays, the issuance of tokens at high valuations resembles taking advantage of the moment and cashing in for safety.
When 'speculative fervor' can determine pricing more than 'technological innovation,' the values of the industry will be completely distorted.
#币圈暴富
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