稳健王安南

Those who encounter faith can be saved, but those who meet the nameless waste their efforts,

Sweet dew does not moisten rootless grass, exquisite teachings only ferry those with destiny!
🌍: TT- TT1002

BNB is now 602 directly🈳, looking at 570, defense 610#加密市场反弹 #特朗普税改

Today's intraday market is overall in a volatile state. From a technical perspective, there is certain pressure above.
Ethereum has just experienced a brief pullback after a surge and has now entered a consolidation pattern. As for reversal signs, none have appeared yet; it is still in a consolidation phase. If a rebound reaches a high point, the strategy of continuing to short should be adopted.
Ethereum 1850🈳, looking at 1750, defending 1890#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币

Why is it said that Bitcoin needs to break through the $100,000 mark again for altcoins to experience a significant surge?
The $100,000 mark for Bitcoin has become an important psychological anchor in the crypto market, which can be seen from the behavioral logic of institutional investors—multiple venture capital firms' research reports indicate that when BTC breaks this threshold, its asset attributes will accelerate the evolution towards the 'digital gold' value storage paradigm. The structure of market liquidity may therefore undergo significant differentiation: mainstream tokens will exhibit a stronger liquidity siphoning effect, while the explosive period for altcoins may only truly arrive after BTC completes a critical breakthrough.
From the perspective of market evolution logic, the emergence of two altcoin seasons in March and November 2024 essentially represents a paradigm shift window formed by Bitcoin breaking its historical high. When BTC breaks through previous highs, it not only breaks a two-year psychological shackles in the market but also triggers professional institutions, including quantitative funds and market makers, to adjust their asset allocation strategies. These market participants, who possess strong pricing power, tend to prioritize liquidity depth, fundamentally reshaping the value of the altcoin market.
The current liquidity contraction in the market is concerning; on-chain data shows a continuous outflow of total market value from stablecoins, and CEX spot trading volume has shrunk to deep bear levels. This funding pressure creates a negative cycle with market confidence—institutional investors, lacking clear price coordinates, tend to maintain low-risk exposure.
Therefore, breaking through the integer threshold for Bitcoin not only has technical significance but more importantly, it builds a new market consensus; this confidence premium can often leverage a funding effect of 5-10 times the actual liquidity. From the perspective of behavioral finance, when FOMO emotions resonate with market makers' liquidity supply, the market will enter a true value reassessment phase.

In May, there will be multiple messages, including the Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision, Powell's monetary policy press conference, speeches from Federal Reserve officials, unemployment claims, non-farm employment data, inflation expectations, month-on-month CPI, and year-on-year housing price index, among other key indicators.
As May approaches, in response to the market's multiple messages this month, we are launching a systematic training course that covers comprehensive content including position management, technical analysis, risk control strategies, trend wave operations, and interpretation of news.
Trend analysis, long-term layout, wave operations, short-term speculation. Navigate the changing market with a diversified approach. May is the time to set sail and team up. Join hands to overcome the market turbulence in May together! $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹

Currently, from a technical analysis perspective, the market is undergoing a phase adjustment at the daily candlestick level, with prices maintaining a consolidation pattern in the high region, showing a relatively clear horizontal trend in the short term. The MACD indicator on the four-hour cycle is currently below the zero axis, releasing bearish momentum, suggesting there is some selling pressure resistance above. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching 60, still operating in a neutral range, and has not yet reached the overbought or oversold critical values, reflecting that the forces of bulls and bears in the market are temporarily balanced. From the one-hour candlestick of Bitcoin, the price of Bitcoin has moved directly from above the lower Bollinger Band to below the upper Bollinger Band, trending upwards, and will test the pressure of the upper band.

Bitcoin is around 95400🈳, looking down to 93000, 93360539798$ETH $SOL #以太坊的未来 8557564133

Stay firm and secure your gains

The rise and fall cycle of altcoins is usually divided into four stages: turning point, testing, one-sided, and acceleration.
The real market trend does not appear out of nowhere, but unfolds step by step along this path.
Currently, most altcoins are still in the turning point stage, such as AXL JUP INJ CHZ.
A small number have entered the testing stage, such as BCH, RAY XRP.
Very few have emerged from a one-sided rise, such as SUI FART TRUMP.
As for the acceleration stage, it is not visible in the market yet.
This means that the overall market is still far from a trend reversal, participants' sentiment has not formed a consensus, and the price structure has not completed a true support and resistance conversion.
In such a stage, the best strategy is: quietly find high-odds positions and wait for the market to mature on its own, rather than staring at candlestick charts and repeatedly hypnotizing yourself with 'I’m going to miss out.' $BTC $ETH $SOL

The big pancake can now be 94400🈳, first look at 92000#特朗普暂停新关税

A normal pullback as expected, currently mainly testing and fluctuating around 95000. This is a densely packed area from the previous fluctuations, which presents considerable resistance, and BTC has also risen significantly over the past week, so it needs to slow down.
Don't rush, but it should also be noted that the rise from the bottom has already exceeded 26%, which is a significant increase and requires caution for a larger pullback. In short, a pullback is an opportunity. $BTC $ETH $SOL #特朗普暂停新关税 #币安Alpha上新

It's been several days, let's collect a wave first $BTC $ETH $SOL #币安Alpha上新 #TRUMP晚宴

The current market is fluctuating near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the opening of the Bollinger Bands is gradually narrowing, which indicates that market volatility may gradually decrease. The divergence signal at the hourly level shows that the bullish candlestick body is shrinking, and signs of a bearish rebound indicate a short-term exhaustion of bullish momentum, which may trigger a technical correction. Attention should be paid to whether the MACD forms a top divergence and whether the RSI breaks below the 50 midline. The effectiveness of the current resistance level at 95,000 is relatively high, and a short-term bearish strategy is reasonable, but we must be wary of sudden positive news breaking the balance.

Bitcoin is around 94,000 🈳, looking down to 91,000.

From the perspective of indicator analysis, the market is likely to maintain a range-bound fluctuation in the short term. Bitcoin is slowly trending upward, touching the 95300 line and then facing pressure to pull back again. The overall market is still in a high-level fluctuation, with bullish momentum gradually weakening. Although there is a technical rebound demand in the short term, the rebound strength is limited, so the main strategy remains to short at high levels.

Bitcoin is around 95000🈳, looking down to 93000 #特朗普暂停新关税 #币安Alpha上新

Bitcoin, after a surge yesterday that broke through the upper Bollinger Band, failed to maintain a strong upward trend, and technical indicators showed signs of divergence. This suggests that short-term adjustments may be faced.
Considering that the market is usually more stable over the weekend, it is expected that Bitcoin will continue to fluctuate within a high range! Currently, it is in a sideways state, with no further signs of a downward trend yet. On the four-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands show a tightening pattern, indicating the possibility of further declines. The key resistance level of 96000 is particularly important in the dynamic of a rapid retreat after a brief surge.
Bitcoin is around 95000, looking down towards 93000.

Short-term entry, wait for an hour to stabilize after a drop
Taught everyone the entry patterns,
1. Long lower wick
2. Higher bottom
3. Increased volume, 2-3 candles
4. MACD golden cross
5. Set stop loss at the previous low, be bold.
6. In short-term trading, only look at patterns, not prices; if you look at prices, you won't be able to enter
Using this method, you can almost always profit. $BTC $ETH $SOL

The methods of breaking free from losses in the cryptocurrency market depend on the holding situation, currency trend, degree of being trapped, and expectations for the future market.
Common methods for breaking free include decisive action, high selling and low buying, averaging down, and short hedging.
Decisive action is recommended when the currency shows a clear downtrend to stop losses and exit in a timely manner;

High selling and low buying can be used to reduce or increase positions during a fluctuating trend;
Averaging down suggests continually increasing purchases as prices fall to average the cost;
Short hedging can be done by shorting the same or related currencies in the futures market for hedging. The prerequisites for breaking free are clear thinking and decisive action; one must not blindly chase highs and sell lows, nor be greedy or fearful, and should not be overly worried about gains and losses.

Effectively managing positions and risks, setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, and not overly relying on technical indicators and news, while combining personal analysis and judgment. In the cryptocurrency market, breaking free requires flexible responses and rational decision-making to successfully extricate oneself.

Some altcoins have begun to show a 'mini-spring' rhythm - the overall rebound speed is fast and the magnitude is strong, giving the appearance of great momentum.
In such a market, while prices are rising, for it to develop into a trend, a sustained trend, or a reversal market, at least three points must be observed:
1. Clear price structure
2. Continuous influx of large amounts of capital
3. Market sentiment shifting from disagreement to consensus. Without these foundations, no matter how strong the rise, it may just be 'rising and then resting'. Similar to 'lottery-type' small-cap altcoins, a V-shaped reversal can occur, and a 100% rise in one or two days is not uncommon.
If such opportunities arise, take the chance to make a profit; if not, don't force it.

🈳Continue holding to see 9️⃣2️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣, now a few hundred points 🈳 I can't really look at #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $SOL

From a short-term perspective, Bitcoin still faces strong resistance. The key resistance level above is 95000. In the candlestick pattern, the doji and inverted hammer alternate, visually reflecting the continuous decay of bullish momentum; the Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, with the upper band flattening, indicating that the short-term upward space is severely compressed, and the market shows signs of 'weak upward momentum'.

Bitcoin is around 94000 🈳, looking down to 92000 $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹

If you are heavily invested and it's too deep, don't panic. Here are a few methods that will definitely help you:
1. You can hold on until the end.
Once you lock in a spot, as long as you don't cut your losses, you can't think that you've lost everything. But the prerequisite is that you have financial support to bear all the risks, and you don't have to cut losses to exit; trading cryptocurrencies must use spare money!
2. Use a 50% stop-loss method, wait for the price to drop further, and when the market shows stop-loss signals, then put all your bullets in to lower the average price and wait for the price to rise!
3. Directly exit with a 100% stop-loss to avoid further losses from the price drop. Generally speaking, short-term investors using this method are mostly speculative short-term investors because they are in a downward trend. In the case of small unilateral trends, the longer short-term investors hold, the greater their losses will be!$BTC $ETH $SOL