土豆谈币
公众号：土豆谈币,在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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Stunning Reversal! Why Can ALPACA Surge Even When It Is Being Delisted? Main Forces Operate and Retail Investors' Sweat Feeds the Dogs!
On April 24, 2025, when An An announced the delisting of ALPACA, it felt like a meteor crashing into the crypto world; everyone thought it was just another commonplace "token funeral." But what happened next was comparable to a super magical show of Wall Street + Las Vegas!
This small token, ranked outside the top 200 by market cap, staged a stunning reversal in 72 hours that made Bitcoin pale in comparison—not a 50% crash, but a rocket-like surge of 400%! The short-selling army was executed every hour under a -2% "bloodthirsty fee," with the liquidation amounts of three exchanges exceeding $50 million, setting a record for the bloodiest massacre in altcoin history!
This small token, ranked outside the top 200 by market cap, staged a stunning reversal in 72 hours that made Bitcoin pale in comparison—not a 50% crash, but a rocket-like surge of 400%! The short-selling army was executed every hour under a -2% "bloodthirsty fee," with the liquidation amounts of three exchanges exceeding $50 million, setting a record for the bloodiest massacre in altcoin history!
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Incredible operation, using DOGE to defraud billions! Dogecoin skyrocketed 12% in a week, and institutions are still frantically bottom-fishing!
According to a 44-page confidential report released today by the Senate Democratic Committee, Tesla CEO Elon Musk is suspected of using Dogecoin (DOGE) to manipulate federal agencies, evading over $2 billion in massive fines! The report directly points to Musk's alleged intervention in law enforcement through the so-called "DOGE", even causing several investigations to "mysteriously disappear"!
Core accusations:
"DOGE Bribery Network": Musk is accused of using Dogecoin to woo executives and undermine regulatory agencies
"2.37 billion fine evaporated": Subsidiaries (Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, etc.) face 65 investigations, but most are "mysteriously terminated"
Core accusations:
"DOGE Bribery Network": Musk is accused of using Dogecoin to woo executives and undermine regulatory agencies
"2.37 billion fine evaporated": Subsidiaries (Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, etc.) face 65 investigations, but most are "mysteriously terminated"
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交易的五个阶段，你在哪一层？
一、新手乱撞期
盲目入场，频繁操作
赌徒心态，逆势扛单
80%的人在此阶段淘汰
二、系统迷恋期
疯狂研究指标公式
迷信技术，追求完美陷阱
99%的人陷入亏损循环，最终放弃
三、认知突破期
接受市场不可预测
建立机械交易系统重生
从预测派转向规则派开始止亏
四、稳定盈利期
机械执行，直觉交易
稳定盈利，心态平和
把交易当工作，盈亏波澜不惊
五、交易大师期
行云流水，直觉交易
大幅盈利却心如止水
市场即我心，我心即市场
大道至简
一、新手乱撞期
盲目入场，频繁操作
赌徒心态，逆势扛单
80%的人在此阶段淘汰
二、系统迷恋期
疯狂研究指标公式
迷信技术，追求完美陷阱
99%的人陷入亏损循环，最终放弃
三、认知突破期
接受市场不可预测
建立机械交易系统重生
从预测派转向规则派开始止亏
四、稳定盈利期
机械执行，直觉交易
稳定盈利，心态平和
把交易当工作，盈亏波澜不惊
五、交易大师期
行云流水，直觉交易
大幅盈利却心如止水
市场即我心，我心即市场
大道至简
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Is the myth of Dogecoin wealth reappearing? Experts shout "DOGE aiming for $10 (can you believe it?)"
The legendary analyst in the cryptocurrency world, ÐOGECAPITAL (X platform @DimaPotts36), recently threw out a "nuclear-level" prediction: based on his exclusive ten-year weekly model, Dogecoin (DOGE) may sprint to double-digit prices in this cycle! The eye-catching title "DOGE $10?!" instantly ignited the community, and this wildly shared chart actually hides even crazier details — the upper target points directly to $69.42, creating a bizarre resonance with the mysterious number "69420" in the cryptocurrency circle!
Does the devil's graph hide the wealth code?
In the "magic chart" released by Potts, a rising regression channel spanning a decade shocks the audience: the lower track extends from the prehistoric low of $0.0001 in 2015 to the current $0.12, while the upper track astonishingly points towards $69.42 by the end of 2025! Even more chilling is that three perfectly round bottoms form a "three-stage rocket booster," with the current price being compressed at the tip of the $0.17 triangle — this precisely overlaps with DOGE's months-long consolidation position, as if the market is gathering strength for an ultimate leap.
Does the devil's graph hide the wealth code?
In the "magic chart" released by Potts, a rising regression channel spanning a decade shocks the audience: the lower track extends from the prehistoric low of $0.0001 in 2015 to the current $0.12, while the upper track astonishingly points towards $69.42 by the end of 2025! Even more chilling is that three perfectly round bottoms form a "three-stage rocket booster," with the current price being compressed at the tip of the $0.17 triangle — this precisely overlaps with DOGE's months-long consolidation position, as if the market is gathering strength for an ultimate leap.
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Incredible! Bitcoin rebounds 30%, is there going to be a big explosion in May? SIREN profits over 100%, PENGU skyrockets 156%, is the next Dogecoin on the way? Accumulate strong coins on dips.
This weekend basically met the expected trend, with BTC continuing to fluctuate narrowly between 94K-95K overnight, dipping below 92.8K but quickly recovering. As of the time of writing, BTC is stable around 94K.
It rebounded nearly 30%, so why hasn't it built momentum for further increases? In the past two weeks, Bitcoin has rebounded nearly 30% from its lowest point, but Google search volume for Bitcoin remains low. The participation of retail investors in this round of Bitcoin's rise is not high; it is mainly driven by institutions.
The closing price of BTC's monthly line is also above last week's weekly line and the yearly line. If it can maintain above $93,600 this week, it will further increase the probability of a surge in May. Conversely, if it falls below this level, it may weaken the likelihood of a strong second half of the year. Whether it can stabilize in the coming days will provide key confidence for the market trend.
It rebounded nearly 30%, so why hasn't it built momentum for further increases? In the past two weeks, Bitcoin has rebounded nearly 30% from its lowest point, but Google search volume for Bitcoin remains low. The participation of retail investors in this round of Bitcoin's rise is not high; it is mainly driven by institutions.
The closing price of BTC's monthly line is also above last week's weekly line and the yearly line. If it can maintain above $93,600 this week, it will further increase the probability of a surge in May. Conversely, if it falls below this level, it may weaken the likelihood of a strong second half of the year. Whether it can stabilize in the coming days will provide key confidence for the market trend.
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Intraday Market Analysis
BTC 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The intraday expectation remains in consolidation, with intraday support at 92500-93000 and resistance at 94500-95000.
ETH 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The intraday expectation remains in consolidation, with intraday support at 1700-1750 and resistance at 1830-1880.
BTC 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The intraday expectation remains in consolidation, with intraday support at 92500-93000 and resistance at 94500-95000.
ETH 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The intraday expectation remains in consolidation, with intraday support at 1700-1750 and resistance at 1830-1880.
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SEC has approved the XRP ETF, why did it only rise 3 points? Is BG the next Matcha? Is TA the next Federal Reserve chairman?
On April 10, 2025, the SEC just appointed a new chairman, and on April 27, the XRP ETF was approved, combined with over 70 crypto ETFs waiting for SEC review in 2025.
If the third ETF gets approved, there will be a fourth ETF approved. It seems this year is going to be the year of ETFs?
So why did XRP have such great news yet only rose three points? That's too disappointing!
Because it’s another day of being toyed with by fake news: the SEC has approved three futures ETFs for ProShares Trust's XRP ETF, not a spot ETF.
In short, if there are more and more crypto ETFs in the future, it may have a diversion effect. Personally, I think American grandpas and grandmas still prefer BTC.
If the third ETF gets approved, there will be a fourth ETF approved. It seems this year is going to be the year of ETFs?
So why did XRP have such great news yet only rose three points? That's too disappointing!
Because it’s another day of being toyed with by fake news: the SEC has approved three futures ETFs for ProShares Trust's XRP ETF, not a spot ETF.
In short, if there are more and more crypto ETFs in the future, it may have a diversion effect. Personally, I think American grandpas and grandmas still prefer BTC.
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ALPACA surged 10 times, why did it flash crash 40% today?
Let's talk about why ALPACA surged 10 times and then crashed 40%.
Why did ALPACA surge 10 times?
This wave of alpaca's pump is due to delisting. We know that small-cap tokens are generally easy to pump, but why is no one pumping? Because even if it goes up, it can't be sold. So to avoid losing money on sales, there must at least be a contract.
If the contract trading volume and open interest are very low, and no one is playing, then the market maker cannot build sufficient chips at a low position or close enough chips at a high position. This is because closing long positions will lead to a price drop.
ALPACA created hype due to the delisting incident, leading many to short, which resulted in a large contract open interest. Therefore, the market maker can open many long positions and then pump the spot market, creating a price difference and earning fees. Here, a 2% fee every hour provides the market maker with unlimited funds to buy spot.
Why did ALPACA surge 10 times?
This wave of alpaca's pump is due to delisting. We know that small-cap tokens are generally easy to pump, but why is no one pumping? Because even if it goes up, it can't be sold. So to avoid losing money on sales, there must at least be a contract.
If the contract trading volume and open interest are very low, and no one is playing, then the market maker cannot build sufficient chips at a low position or close enough chips at a high position. This is because closing long positions will lead to a price drop.
ALPACA created hype due to the delisting incident, leading many to short, which resulted in a large contract open interest. Therefore, the market maker can open many long positions and then pump the spot market, creating a price difference and earning fees. Here, a 2% fee every hour provides the market maker with unlimited funds to buy spot.
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Bull Market Returns! Bitcoin Surges Past 100,000! ETH Breaks Even! Major Events Next Week Will Shake the Market, Revealing New Meme Coins with 100% Surge in May and New Mainstream Targets!
In the past week (2025w16), BTC suddenly surged, breaking away from the 85k horizontal level, with a continuous rise accumulating 1000 dollars, reaching a level of 95k. The week opened at 88.5k, peaked at 95.7k, and bottomed at 88.5k, with a Saturday close of 94.4k, for a weekly increase of about 6.67%.
Today, BTC's needle continues to fluctuate around 94k, and it is normal for the market to rise for a few days and then spike contracts.
Current core focus opportunities:
1. Meme coins rebound: Trump leads the charge, pengu, bonk, turbo, pnut follow suit.
2. AI track rebound: ai16z, aixbt, virtual, turbo and other oversold rebounds, with a weekly increase covering March's decline.
Today, BTC's needle continues to fluctuate around 94k, and it is normal for the market to rise for a few days and then spike contracts.
Current core focus opportunities:
1. Meme coins rebound: Trump leads the charge, pengu, bonk, turbo, pnut follow suit.
2. AI track rebound: ai16z, aixbt, virtual, turbo and other oversold rebounds, with a weekly increase covering March's decline.
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Yesterday, BTC remained in consolidation, the trend is healthy, and it has reached a resistance zone, making a short-term breakout difficult; adjustments are needed. Recent attention should be paid to the fundamentals; only if there are positive developments will there be upward momentum. Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process, and the expectation for the day is continued consolidation. Appropriately reduce holdings established in the past few days to avoid the risk of a pullback. The long-term market is recovering, so be patient and wait.
ETH is consolidating in sync with BTC, and the trend is healthy; the expectation for the day is continued consolidation. Those entering the market can consider reducing holdings appropriately while waiting patiently for stabilization.
The altcoin sector is consolidating in sync with the mainstream; most cryptocurrencies show little movement. After the mainstream stabilizes, one can consider starting to follow up. BSC has launched its latest activities; pay more attention to the MEME market, and wait for the subsequent activation of the BSC ecosystem. The ecological heat on the SOL chain is recovering, so it can also be closely monitored.
ETH is consolidating in sync with BTC, and the trend is healthy; the expectation for the day is continued consolidation. Those entering the market can consider reducing holdings appropriately while waiting patiently for stabilization.
The altcoin sector is consolidating in sync with the mainstream; most cryptocurrencies show little movement. After the mainstream stabilizes, one can consider starting to follow up. BSC has launched its latest activities; pay more attention to the MEME market, and wait for the subsequent activation of the BSC ecosystem. The ecological heat on the SOL chain is recovering, so it can also be closely monitored.
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Most people in the crypto space are gambling
Instead of investing
That's why there are scams, contracts, etc.
During good market conditions, they gamble big
So you must gamble in the area you are skilled at; it's not about whether you can play, but whether it's worth betting on. I used to advise my fans not to engage in contracts, but now I find that quite ridiculous. Only by gambling yourself can you know if you're skilled or not.
Moreover, being on-chain is also gambling, just in a different form.
I used to think it was impressive to lead everyone to make money together; now I realize that letting go of the urge to help others is important. Everyone needs to walk their own investment path; that's the right approach. Even if you help others make money in the past, their understanding won't improve, and they will eventually return to their old ways. Besides, investing itself is a game; you might follow your own instincts, but others will criticize you for being foolish if they incur losses.
So it's inherently gambling, with no distinction between high and low or rich and poor; most VC coins are scams. Regardless of whether someone graduated from a prestigious school or came from an institution, they just want to gamble in the market and take your money.
By 2025, investment seeks inner reflection.
Instead of investing
That's why there are scams, contracts, etc.
During good market conditions, they gamble big
So you must gamble in the area you are skilled at; it's not about whether you can play, but whether it's worth betting on. I used to advise my fans not to engage in contracts, but now I find that quite ridiculous. Only by gambling yourself can you know if you're skilled or not.
Moreover, being on-chain is also gambling, just in a different form.
I used to think it was impressive to lead everyone to make money together; now I realize that letting go of the urge to help others is important. Everyone needs to walk their own investment path; that's the right approach. Even if you help others make money in the past, their understanding won't improve, and they will eventually return to their old ways. Besides, investing itself is a game; you might follow your own instincts, but others will criticize you for being foolish if they incur losses.
So it's inherently gambling, with no distinction between high and low or rich and poor; most VC coins are scams. Regardless of whether someone graduated from a prestigious school or came from an institution, they just want to gamble in the market and take your money.
By 2025, investment seeks inner reflection.
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Huge Pump! Bitcoin's Massive Surge in May, Altcoins Rebound! When Will TRUMP Harvest? AIOT Earned Over $100, How to Maximize the SIGN Airdrop!
Those who have been making trends these past two weeks should be quite happy; market sentiment has improved, and there are fewer panic messages. But at times like this, one must be cautious! To put it plainly, this is all part of the market makers' strategy! For those who haven't secured profits yet, make sure to set trailing stop losses; don't let your gains slip away!
The next few days may not be very stable, but the rebound trend might last another week. Remember, it's a rebound, not a reversal!
Today is the weekend (next week is Labor Day), the U.S. stock market's gains on the last trading day of the week are still acceptable. This sentiment will be quite optimistic over the weekend. I hope to have a relaxed weekend since next week will see more important GDP data released. Let's enjoy the weekend.
The next few days may not be very stable, but the rebound trend might last another week. Remember, it's a rebound, not a reversal!
Today is the weekend (next week is Labor Day), the U.S. stock market's gains on the last trading day of the week are still acceptable. This sentiment will be quite optimistic over the weekend. I hope to have a relaxed weekend since next week will see more important GDP data released. Let's enjoy the weekend.
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When BTC stabilizes above 95,000, which altcoins are worth looking forward to?
1. AI: The last narrative was initiated by AI, starting from the combination of GOAT and memes, and later exploring more possibilities and applications. In May and June, there were a bunch of AI conferences, and the concept's popularity skyrocketed! Representative coins other than those in the table: TAO, FET, VIRTUAL, ARC, ALCH, Zerebro
2. L1: Public chain coins have always been a relatively stable choice when the altcoin season arrives. The overall logic is that the development of public chains determines the ceiling of their ecological projects, while also capturing the most liquidity. Representative coins: SOL, SUI
3. Meme: There is consensus on-chain, and cash off-chain, with alternating surges. These projects have strong on-chain native consensus, completely independent of exchange control, making it easy to create a wealth effect. Representative coins: PEPE, FARTCOIN
4. DeFi: There are real business models, earning fees, interest spreads, and token issuance fees. The network effects of leading projects are very strong; the closer we get to the altcoin season, the more opportunities to make money. Projects with funds can buy back, creating a positive cycle. Representative coins: HYPE, JUP, AAVE
Overall, AI is the new narrative, L1 is a stable bottom position, Meme plays with consensus and culture, and DeFi can make money while buying back.
1. AI: The last narrative was initiated by AI, starting from the combination of GOAT and memes, and later exploring more possibilities and applications. In May and June, there were a bunch of AI conferences, and the concept's popularity skyrocketed! Representative coins other than those in the table: TAO, FET, VIRTUAL, ARC, ALCH, Zerebro
2. L1: Public chain coins have always been a relatively stable choice when the altcoin season arrives. The overall logic is that the development of public chains determines the ceiling of their ecological projects, while also capturing the most liquidity. Representative coins: SOL, SUI
3. Meme: There is consensus on-chain, and cash off-chain, with alternating surges. These projects have strong on-chain native consensus, completely independent of exchange control, making it easy to create a wealth effect. Representative coins: PEPE, FARTCOIN
4. DeFi: There are real business models, earning fees, interest spreads, and token issuance fees. The network effects of leading projects are very strong; the closer we get to the altcoin season, the more opportunities to make money. Projects with funds can buy back, creating a positive cycle. Representative coins: HYPE, JUP, AAVE
Overall, AI is the new narrative, L1 is a stable bottom position, Meme plays with consensus and culture, and DeFi can make money while buying back.
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Today is the turning point for artificial intelligence. In the past, various exchanges frantically launched AI-related tokens, indicating that AI is currently a major fundamental trend. However, the earlier performance was so outrageous that it made me doubt whether AI could be the biggest scam in this market.
WLD has basically broken its initial price, but whether there is a possibility of recovery, I won't draw a conclusion at this point. I recall one token that experienced a resurrection, which is the hoof token, now known as POL. It surged by ten times and then fell back, only to later rise a thousand times.
As for WLD, let's leave it to the market to decide, as the current fundamental conditions are different from those of the past MATIC. The recent OM, which saw a drop of over 94% in one day, also showed a similar trend.
WLD has basically broken its initial price, but whether there is a possibility of recovery, I won't draw a conclusion at this point. I recall one token that experienced a resurrection, which is the hoof token, now known as POL. It surged by ten times and then fell back, only to later rise a thousand times.
As for WLD, let's leave it to the market to decide, as the current fundamental conditions are different from those of the past MATIC. The recent OM, which saw a drop of over 94% in one day, also showed a similar trend.
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Seize the upcoming May market! Huge pump for Bitcoin? AI track + Chain Games are about to take off! Altcoins continue to surge, these coins are set to skyrocket!
Overnight, BTC continued to rise, challenging $94k again. Tomorrow is the last trading day of this week, and next week will be the time for GDP speculation. In the latest data, GDPNow has again lowered the GDP forecast for the first quarter of the U.S.; this data will be an important basis for determining the trading difficulty in May.
The recent market for BTC shows a decline in turnover rate, and short-term bottom-fishing funds have begun to exit, while early investors and those holding losses are choosing to wait and see. On-chain data clearly shows that the accumulation of chips in the $83K-$85K range has decreased, while the accumulation around $92K-$93.1K has increased.
It is said that there are many trapped positions at $95-$100k (or $93-$98k). Most of these investors should not be short-term investors, resulting in higher stability. Therefore, breaking through this resistance range will require some effort. In the short term, Bitcoin may slightly rebound in the $92-$94K range before falling again; it is recommended to focus on bearish positions.
The recent market for BTC shows a decline in turnover rate, and short-term bottom-fishing funds have begun to exit, while early investors and those holding losses are choosing to wait and see. On-chain data clearly shows that the accumulation of chips in the $83K-$85K range has decreased, while the accumulation around $92K-$93.1K has increased.
It is said that there are many trapped positions at $95-$100k (or $93-$98k). Most of these investors should not be short-term investors, resulting in higher stability. Therefore, breaking through this resistance range will require some effort. In the short term, Bitcoin may slightly rebound in the $92-$94K range before falling again; it is recommended to focus on bearish positions.
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Surge Alert! Dogecoin (DOGE) Breaks Key Level, Short Sellers Face Impending Liquidation Wave in the Crypto Circle!
Dogecoin strongly breaks through a key pattern, with bulls targeting the $1 goal.
Recently, Dogecoin (DOGE) has attracted widespread market attention as its price successfully broke through a key bullish pattern—the classic 'cup-and-handle pattern', which typically signals sustained upward trends. After a period of narrow fluctuations, DOGE finally broke through significant resistance, igniting traders' enthusiasm for going long. Analysts generally believe that if buying momentum continues to strengthen, Dogecoin is expected to open up greater upward space.
Although the breakout is exciting, the market's focus has shifted to whether the bulls can maintain this achievement. If subsequent buying pressure is strong enough, DOGE may challenge higher resistance levels and even initiate a new upward trend. However, if it fails to stabilize above the breakout area, the price may face a risk of correction, making this stage a 'moment of success or failure' for Dogecoin.
Recently, Dogecoin (DOGE) has attracted widespread market attention as its price successfully broke through a key bullish pattern—the classic 'cup-and-handle pattern', which typically signals sustained upward trends. After a period of narrow fluctuations, DOGE finally broke through significant resistance, igniting traders' enthusiasm for going long. Analysts generally believe that if buying momentum continues to strengthen, Dogecoin is expected to open up greater upward space.
Although the breakout is exciting, the market's focus has shifted to whether the bulls can maintain this achievement. If subsequent buying pressure is strong enough, DOGE may challenge higher resistance levels and even initiate a new upward trend. However, if it fails to stabilize above the breakout area, the price may face a risk of correction, making this stage a 'moment of success or failure' for Dogecoin.
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Bitcoin has a "big event" at the end of April! SOL ETF has been approved, sucking blood from ETH again? SUI soared 54%! Wash the market, find a good ambush point (with layout strategy)
The US stock market rebounded by more than 2% due to the easing of tariffs and the reduction of political uncertainty, but BTC failed to rise synchronously and entered a narrow range of fluctuations, indicating that its linkage with the US stock market has weakened. Tomorrow is the last day of trading this week. Starting next week, it will be time to gamble on GDP. In the latest data, GDPNow has once again lowered the US GDP in the first quarter. This data will be an important basis for determining the difficulty of trading in May.
On-chain data shows that despite a small correction in BTC, the overall market sentiment remains stable, the turnover rate has declined, short-term bargain hunting funds have begun to leave, and early and loss-making holders choose to wait and see. The center of gravity of price support is also changing, the $83,000 line is gradually lost, and the holdings in the $93,000 to $98,000 range have increased, indicating that medium- and long-term investors are more willing to hold coins.
On-chain data shows that despite a small correction in BTC, the overall market sentiment remains stable, the turnover rate has declined, short-term bargain hunting funds have begun to leave, and early and loss-making holders choose to wait and see. The center of gravity of price support is also changing, the $83,000 line is gradually lost, and the holdings in the $93,000 to $98,000 range have increased, indicating that medium- and long-term investors are more willing to hold coins.
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🪂 #AirdropStepByStep — Step-By-Step Airdrop Guides
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