本轮牛市周期预期

In the cryptocurrency market, effective risk control strategies are essential for investment products. Here are some methods worth considering and applying for investors.

First, reasonably control the leverage ratio. Leverage is a double-edged sword; while it amplifies returns, it also amplifies risks exponentially.

Second, set stop-loss points. A stop-loss acts like a safety line for investors. When the price of Bitcoin moves in an unfavorable direction and reaches the pre-set stop-loss level, timely closing the position can effectively limit losses and prevent further escalation of losses.

In summary, effectively using risk control strategies allows investors to better protect their asset safety during investments, even when faced with severe market fluctuations like this one, thereby minimizing losses and avoiding dire situations.

#本轮牛市周期预期
As a seasoned cryptocurrency investor, I share my experiences and insights. Interested in the cryptocurrency market but unsure where to start? Click on the profile picture to view the introduction, and let's witness the moment of miracles together.

Tuesday afternoon, Bitcoin and Ethereum short-term strategy!
With market sentiment continuously warming and institutional holdings increasing, the heat in the cryptocurrency market has reignited. Last night, the coin price soared, directly breaking and stabilizing above the 100,000 mark. The bullish strategy from Shihan has been validated again, and as the coin price stands above the 100,000 mark, it brings great confidence to investors and reinvigorates the entire cryptocurrency market.
Currently, although the coin price has shown some pullback in the short term, the trend indicators across various cycles resonate with a bullish trend. The 4-hour K-line has shown a significant rise without quickly retracting its gains but is instead continuing to maintain a high-level oscillation and consolidation rhythm. The head and shoulders pattern remains, and although the hourly chart has shown a pullback, the intensity is not strong. The 100,000-101,000 area has already shown some support signs, and it is expected that after the pullback adjustment, the head and shoulders pattern will continue to rise further.
As for Ethereum, it also followed Bitcoin upward yesterday, reaching a high near 3,744 before showing a pullback adjustment, which was also relatively weak. The 4-hour chart has continuously closed with long lower wicks, indicating that there is clear buying support below. The operation should continue to refer to the morning strategy, focusing on entering after the pullback.
On Tuesday afternoon, Bitcoin should continue to enter positions in the 101,000-101,500 area, with a short-term target still looking at the 103,000-103,500 area, and the wave target around 105,000 remains unchanged. Ethereum should continue to reference the 3,600-3,630 area, with a bullish outlook around 3,800 remaining unchanged!
January has many overall favorable factors, including cash compensation from FTX and a potential incremental capital of 16 billion USD. On January 20, Trump takes office, and a series of cryptocurrency bills are on the way, especially regarding BTC strategic reserves and changes in various chairpersons such as the SEC and the Federal Reserve. The news may begin to be digested in advance, ushering in a moment of unobstructed highlights for cryptocurrency. As the year-end approaches, seizing the opportunity for a turnaround is just one move away! #BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC

The recent surge in ETH has suddenly reversed sharply; the path of ascent has been rocky for several days, while the decline has been rapid like a cliff.

Currently, the price has fallen back to the support level of the 4-hour moving average. We will observe the situation here and wait for the market to stabilize. Key support to watch below is around 3300, considering buying on dips; while above, the target is aimed at the 3520 area.

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Four waves of short positions in the stone plate layout, with a total of 2500 typical spaces.
The county framework can be directly observed, targeting 101800-102300#BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC #币安MegadropSOLV #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

Recently, market sentiment has begun to fluctuate. It's often said that 'one upturn changes three views'; if the market rebounds slightly with a few bullish candles, there will immediately be calls of 'the bull market has arrived.'

Conversely, when a few bearish candles do not change the majority's perspective, someone will shout 'the bull market is over.'

However, reality is often unexpected. Continuous gains do not necessarily indicate the arrival of a bull market; the main players could be trapping the market at high levels. Likewise, continuous declines do not equal the beginning of a bear market; instead, they might be quietly accumulating at low levels.

The key question is whether the 98000 we discussed yesterday is a high point or a low point. Clarifying this issue will help you understand how to operate next.

The market is filled with various analyses and opinions, and the cacophony of voices can easily disturb sentiment.

Those with unstable mindsets tend to rush to exit after making a small profit.

Real opportunities are often seized by those with rich experience.

Many people say to 'hold' during a bull market, but when exactly should you start holding, and for how long? No one will give you a clear answer.

What if you hold for a few months and then realize it was a mistake? What price level should you hold to, until when, and when should you sell? Many people feel lost.

Without a clear judgment logic of your own, listening to others say 'you should hold during a bull market' may not be the cure; instead, it could be poison.

From January's trend, it almost aligns with the predictions made at the beginning of the month.

Now, you just need to patiently wait for the explosion of altcoins; opportunities are expected in about 1-2 weeks.

Can Ethereum continue to rise and fall slowly? Latest strategy analysis

After testing the resistance on Monday, the trend of Ether retreated and plunged into a washout. Today, we will give an estimate of the market follow-up through the weekly level. The weekly level refers to the direction, so the trend is more important than the price. Please refer to it for reference.

The key area below is the 3200-3000 line. The support in this area is what needs to be focused on next. If there is a trend of falling below this area, then as long as the 2800-2700 line is given, the spot can be leveraged.

The daily market level of Yitai once again fell below MA60. The previous K line closed the physical negative line. There is a demand for closing needles on the intraday K line, so it appears that it will continue to pursue the downward trend with caution. The 4H level market has been falling continuously. The support of the 3300 line at the lower edge of the small box in front is temporarily used as a reference. If it falls below, pay attention to the area near the previous low. Refer to the short-term temporary support to intervene. When entering the market, you must make a reasonable plan for risk control. There will be non-agricultural data released this week, and the market will fluctuate greatly.

Ethernet short-term suggestion: 3280 is not broken, it is more than 3320-3300, look at 80-150 points

3130 is not broken, more than 3180-3150, look at 80-150 points.

After ten years of sharpening a sword, we are far-sighted and reach new heights in the currency circle with real insights. The plan is just the beginning, and steady compound interest is our goal! The new year is approaching, those who climb the slopes and those who fill the pits, please pay attention and rush forward together! #加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #市场调整策略 #本轮牛市周期预期 $BTC $ETH $XRP

This Friday is Non-Farm Payroll day, and today is Wednesday. It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released early Thursday morning, which needs to be closely monitored.

Additionally, due to the mourning of President Carter on Thursday, the financial markets will be closed. Data that was originally scheduled to be released on Thursday has mostly been moved up to this evening. Therefore, the current focus is on tonight's market movements.

From the current market situation, after a big drop, there is often a rebound for recovery. We should be a bit more patient with the long positions we entered in the morning.

Firstly, pay attention to yesterday's support level of 98800. If this level is broken today, it will turn into a resistance level, so we should closely observe whether it can be broken. If the market is relatively weak, it may likely test the low point from last night's close again.

During the daytime trading session, we should focus on the rebound situation based on the level of 97000. Furthermore, we should pay attention to the rebound trend starting from the secondary low support level.

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Bull Market Characteristics:
• First 8 months: Slow fluctuations, consolidation adjustments, gradual capital allocation.
• Last 2 months: Rapid surge, market sentiment explosion, forming the main upward wave.
• Final 2 months: Crazy topping, sentiment reaches a peak, but risks also escalate.

Current Judgment:
• The bull market began in October 2023, currently in the mid-stage consolidation period, with the real explosion yet to come.
• According to historical patterns, the explosion period is expected between February and May 2024, with the main upward wave completing most of the gains in just a few months.
• The entire bull market may end around July 2025, followed by a bear market.

#本轮牛市周期预期
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Recently, market sentiment has gradually warmed up, and everyone is discussing the turning point of the market.

As the saying goes, "One rise changes three views." If the market continues to rise with several bullish candles, everyone will believe that a bull market has arrived.

On the contrary, if several bearish candles appear consecutively, many will begin to feel that the bull market has ended.

However, reality often slaps us in the face. Continuous rising does not mean a bull market is imminent; sometimes, the major players will induce retail investors to take over at high prices. Similarly, continuous decline does not necessarily mean that a bear market will continue; the major players may be accumulating at low levels to pave the way for a subsequent rebound.

The core issue is whether we can accurately determine if $98,000 is a peak or a trough. Understanding this question will help us know how to operate.

The market is filled with various emotional analyses and predictions, and many times these only disrupt investors' judgments.

When market sentiment is unstable, many people, even if they buy at low prices, will choose to take profits and exit after a slight rise, ultimately allowing most profits to be taken by experienced players.

Regarding whether to hold during a bull market, when to hold, and for how long, no one can provide a clear answer.

If we blindly follow the trend and discover mistakes after holding for several months, what should we do? Even if we hold until a certain price, we may still be confused about when to sell.

Without a clear investment logic, simply believing in slogans like "a bull market should be held" may ultimately become self-limiting.

Looking at the market trend in January, it is almost consistent with the strategy analysis at the beginning of the month.

Next, the explosive period for altcoins may still need to wait 1 to 2 weeks; be patient and hold, and be prepared.

#BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC

Inexperienced traders may not understand this; it doesn't matter if you go against the trend, just stick to your stop-loss discipline, right? However, experienced traders will realize that at the level of merely 'knowing' but not 'understanding', all techniques have no absolute efficacy.
The rules you set can be changed; rules are determined by people, and people can also change them. Even if someone supervises the execution, as long as it is not based on legal enforcement, you will still trample on that supervision to the ground. No one is willing to bear the consequences of not changing according to your wishes.
$BTC
#BTC重返10万
#本轮牛市周期预期
#微策略持续增持BTC

Yesterday we conducted a brief analysis of the market, predicting that the trend will continue to decline, but emphasized that the long-term outlook remains optimistic. Today's market trend is as expected, having reached the support area around 0.41 and quickly showing signs of a rebound.

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📣The volatility is large at night. Here are a few simple ways to get out of the trap to help you quickly get out of the trap and turn losses into profits!

(1) Locking orders and adding positions to spreads: After being trapped, it means that our judgment is wrong. The market is moving in the opposite direction of our price. When it rebounds or falls to a certain height, it is estimated that the short-term high point has been reached. We must continue to increase the locked order funds to ensure that the locked order position is greater than the trapped order position. Through this technique of mainly following the trend, we can increase the spread earned by locking orders. Finally, when the total funds make up for the loss, we can complete the unwinding and make a profit. Then we can sell all of them?

(2) Bottom-up adding positions: After being trapped, we must be patient and dare to lock positions. Because of the characteristics of the currency, some prices and bottom signals appear, especially the rebound signals and bottom signals of the K-line of large cycles such as the weekly line, which will be very stable. As long as the bottom signal of the large cycle appears, we must boldly unlock, buy on dips, and increase positions. Once the large cycle rebounds, we can get out.

(3) Reduce the average price method: After being trapped, if you are trapped at a relatively low point, you don’t have to worry, because the future trend of digital currency itself determines the future value of digital currency, and there will inevitably be room for rebound. At this time, you should continue to buy on dips, and increase your position once every 15% of the decline to reduce the average price. In this way, when the mainstream currency rebounds, you can get out of the market. This technique is also called the pyramid method.

(4) Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong, and there is really no chance, choose a certain rebound space to stop loss. The unilateral market of digital currency is very large, especially when the reverse order is trapped at a high or low position, you must decisively stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can re-order and guarantee the principal.

If you are currently trapped, you can take a screenshot and find me in time. I will guide you one-on-one until you successfully get out of the market. The market situation changes rapidly. If you can’t grasp the trend, please click on the avatar to follow the homepage introduction to find me in time. I will be responsible to the end! #BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #币安MegadropSOLV #比特币走势观察 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Do simple things repeatedly
Do complex things simply
The results will be reasonable
No need to reason
You can't even see the trend clearly
What direction to talk about
Such a simple rhythm
Weak short position
What is more stable than high altitude
It's already midnight
Another short-term victory
900 points are perfectly grasped
Being greedy and not being able to chew
Being flexible is also a tactic
No real-time guidance at midnight
The market has been too big in the past two days
I believe many people are uncomfortable
Unwind online, one seat #加密市场回调 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC $BTC $ETH

In the last Federal Reserve meeting, the hawkish interest rate cut by the Fed led to a reduction in the expectation of rate cuts in 2025 to 2 times. The release of economic data has once again dampened expectations for rate cuts.
It's almost time for Trump to take office, but the debt issue has once again become prominent. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that the Treasury Department expects the U.S. will hit its debt ceiling as early as between January 14 and 23, 2025, and may need to take "extraordinary measures" to avoid the federal government falling into debt default, in order to maintain the credit and fiscal stability of the United States.
The market for 2025 is indeed uncertain, but the core factor determining market trends is the performance of the U.S. economy; everything else is a short-term influencing factor. Good economic data clearly indicates a good economic condition, so after a high probability of a negative impact, BTC will likely rebound.
However, for altcoins, it may be difficult to have a trend-driven bull market. In today's crypto market, the number of altcoins is overwhelming, and many are investments incubated by VC firms, with market values too high, continuously unlocking and cashing out, while ecological development cannot keep up with their market value. In the future, it is likely to still fluctuate passively with the market, with a high probability of "falling a lot and then rebounding, and after the rebound, continuing to fall."

#本轮牛市周期预期 #DeFAI热点

ETH's recent rise is relatively weaker than BTC. In every wave of trend initiation, it is still the leader that takes the lead, followed by the second. However, the positive expectations for ETH have not yet materialized, and several institutions are showing a buying state. A slower rise could also be a strategy to control prices and accumulate.

On the 4-hour level, there is a continued momentum to challenge 4000. On a smaller scale, last night's false breakout, although it couldn't break above the ascending channel, is still within the parallel channel. The current 3650 has formed effectively; if it holds, we may continue to push upwards tonight. If it breaks below, pay attention to the situation in the 3550-3500 range, which could also be a good opportunity to re-enter the market.

In the next couple of days, Sen Ge will gradually provide three to four spot cryptocurrencies.
They are similar in growth to $HIVE , all being coins that are at the bottom.

With the New Year approaching, Ming Ge will continue to work hard
To keep leading fans to profit, there is always more, never the most.
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Continuous attention: $ACT $HIVE $PNUT SUI DOGE

#BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #币安MegadropSOLV #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #币安Alpha上新

1.7 Tuesday's Review of Intra-Day Layout and Midnight Layout

From the current market perspective, the evening Bitcoin has retreated from the high of 102000 to the lowest area of 98000, and has begun to fluctuate, with no further extension of the downward space.

The intra-day layout is as follows ↓: (Five single trades and one total of 2000 points)

First Wave: Bitcoin 102055 Long, 101439 Exit, gained 616 points!

Second Wave: Bitcoin 102144 Long, 101354 Exit, gained 790 points!

Third Wave: Bitcoin 101345 Long, 100825 Exit, gained 520 points!

Fourth Wave: Bitcoin 102055 Long, 101439 Exit, gained 616 points!

Fifth Wave: Bitcoin 100736 Long, 100218 Exit, lost 518 points!

From the four-hour perspective, the Bitcoin market shows an increase in long positions, forming a downward crossing, KDJ running below the opening, and MACD running downward with a dead cross. From the one-hour structure, the Bitcoin market shows an increase in long positions, gradually reaching its peak, running below the lower track, and the momentum is gradually weakening, beginning to shift towards a downward trend.

In terms of operation, it is recommended to target around 96500-97000 and look towards 98000-99500.

In the vast sea of people, you meet Ye Fan, that is fate! There are often thousand-mile horses, but few good trainers. Just as the thousand-mile horse achieves the good trainer, the good trainer also achieves the thousand-mile horse, so choice is very important. #BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC #币安MegadropSOLV #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

You bought ETH for $3,000, and then the price rose to $3,500, putting you in a great mood. Next, ETH continued to soar to $4,000, and your excitement reached its peak.

However, the good times didn't last long; ETH quickly fell from $4,000 back to $3,500, and at that moment, you began to feel disappointment and regret, thinking that if you had sold at $4,000, you could have made an extra $500. The sentiment at $3,500 is completely different.

ETH still has the potential to rise to $5,000, which has never changed; the only thing that has changed is your mindset.

If you do not adjust your mindset, you might face one of the following two outcomes:
1. Missed profits: If the upward trend is not over, you may fear a pullback and prematurely take profits at the wrong time, missing out on further gains.
2. Loss of profits: If the upward trend has ended, you may stubbornly wait for the price to return to previous highs before selling, resulting in continuous price drops and loss of all profits.

Neither of these scenarios is ideal. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust your mindset and not chase selling at the highest point. We should make decisions based on our expectations of the market. If we believe the market will continue to rise, we should hold on and not worry about short-term pullbacks; if we believe the market has ended, we should sell promptly and not hope to return to the highest point.

Recently, I have been paying attention to a potential coin on the Ethereum chain ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ. Interested friends can keep an eye on it, as it could see a 5-10x increase in the short term.

#BTC重返10万 #微策略持续增持BTC #本轮牛市周期预期 #币安MegadropSOLV #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ $ETH
$BTC
$XRP