加密小栀

Weak rebound during the day, real decline at night.
How much longer can the US stock market hold up? The large-scale upward channel of the US stock market has already been broken! Only deeper declines will follow.
Today, this tax is added to one thing, tomorrow that tax is added to another. The market is highly sensitive! Like a startled bird.
Bitcoin follows the US stock market. Recently there haven't been new lows. It seems relatively strong. But when it really falls, it will be a complete crash!
High altitude, remember high altitude. The bull is gone, the bull is gone. #MGX投资币安 #CPI数据来袭 #掌握市场

$NEIRO current price near 0.00026, enter directly. Currently, there is a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the 4-hour level, the right shoulder has been completed and has retested support, starting to bounce back. Once the neckline is broken, there will be at least a strong acceleration upwards, so go long to bet on a head and shoulders bottom breakout.
Target first at 0.0003, stop loss at 3 points, enter and wait for the pump! #跟单交易 #美国2月PPI数据低于预期

To put it simply and clearly, here is my view on the current U.S. stock market:
First, the U.S. stock market may have entered a long-term bear market;
Second, due to the rapid decline in the previous period, there may be a "bounce" in the short term of 1-2 weeks;
Third, in facing a "bear market bounce," there are two trading strategies:
(1) Do not chase the bounce, hold cash and wait, then re-enter short positions at the high points of the bounce;
(2) Chase the bounce, then go short at the high points in the east, and re-enter short positions.

The altcoin sector is consolidating in line with the mainstream market, showing a mild upward trend. It is recommended that investors remain patient and consider following strategies only after the market stabilizes. In the blockchain field, new projects have recently emerged, particularly the Odin platform on the BTC network and the TIEM project on the SOL network, both of which are quite attractive and worth close attention. For investors who already hold altcoins and are currently in a state of being locked in, it is advised to patiently wait for the market to warm up.

In terms of fundamental news: There is currently no important primary market information being released.

Primary market information reminder: Please pay attention to new projects appearing on the blockchain networks, especially the Odin project on the BTC network and the TIME project on the SOL network.
#CPI数据来袭 #掌握市场 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批

There is a significant difference between the concepts of reversal and rebound. In the current situation, it is not suitable to chase high purchases, and the short-term highs have already emerged, making it difficult to continue breaking upward. On the contrary, the focus of short-term trading should be on short selling. Last night, before the release of the CPI data, I suggested short selling around 84450 and taking profits in batches below 81300. I then recommended going long below 81300 and taking profits within the range of 82400-83000. Wasn't that operation quite successful? Opportunities are right in front of us, and when it’s time to seize them, we must act. In short-term trading, prediction is merely an aid; flexibility in response is key. Operations should be based on the actual market situation, rather than simply going long because the market has rebounded, as that requires weighing the risks of a surge followed by a drop. Similarly, it is not about short selling merely because one is bearish, but decisively intervening to short when feeling market pressure. Going long and chasing highs or selling lows is basic operation that everyone can do; what is truly needed is the ability for technical analysis and flexible responses to market changes.

#美国加征关税 #MGX投资币安

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February in the United States has declined overall and is below market expectations. However, it may not be realistic to expect that this data alone will prompt a V-shaped reversal in the cryptocurrency market. This is merely a necessary condition for market improvement, not a sufficient one. The primary reason is that the market has not yet clarified whether the February CPI has fully reflected the impact of the tariff policies from the Trump administration, making it difficult to determine if this decline marks a trend change. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market faces numerous uncertainties, including the trade war, debt ceiling negotiations, the timing of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the timing for halting balance sheet reduction. Regarding the lower-than-expected CPI data for February, the market should currently maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude.

#CPI数据来袭

It's never too late to start; the most frightening thing is that you never dare to take the first step. The market has been quite volatile this month, with many opportunities emerging for both short-term and medium-term trading. The chances and timing for entering the market have increased accordingly, making this month's performance quite impressive. In fact, achieving such results is not complicated; the key lies in understanding the market's patterns and structures. Once understood, participation becomes relatively simple. Currently, the entire market is slowly and steadily rising.

When structural space opens up, the market officially enters an adjustment phase. During this stage, we must maintain confidence in the trend because adjustments after a rally are the norm in the market. Structurally, the market still has the potential to break through previous highs. Therefore, at this stage, we should maintain a range-bound approach, following the market's rhythm. The short-term cycle has been oscillating at the upper track, indicating that the market is still gathering momentum, and the overall trend is expected to remain bullish. In terms of short-term operations, we can adopt a low-buy strategy. Although we previously proposed a short-selling strategy after a rebound, the strength of the current rebound is considerable, so we need to consider following the trend to go long.

Specifically, Bitcoin can be considered for purchase around 83,500, with the first target looking towards 85,000 and the second target towards 88,000. For Ethereum, a purchase can be considered around 1,870, with expectations that the price can break above 2,000.

Market sentiment is permeated with a sense of panic, but my stance is firm: 📌 We are currently not in a bear market phase, but rather in a mid-term adjustment process. I estimate that the market's bottom range will be between $65,000 and $70,000 (referring to the mid-term support level in the monthly chart). 🚀 Regarding the subsequent trend, I hold an optimistic view, believing that prices have the potential to rise to highs of $180,000 to $200,000, and only after forming a bull market peak will we officially enter a bear market cycle. ⚡ In terms of short-term operational strategy, the middle track of the speed resistance line has become a key reference point. If a rebound occurs at this position, it may provide the last exit window for short-term investors. 🔍 I have completed a full set of logical deductions and am confident in this analytical data, but due to various reasons, I am currently unable to disclose more details.

#加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新

Tonight, the annual data for the U.S. seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released, and significant market volatility is expected, so please be sure to manage your positions cautiously. Since 'the understanding king' returned to the public eye, the volatility of Bitcoin (BTC) has noticeably intensified, and the recent fluctuations in the market may even surpass the volatility levels of the past year, easily witnessing price swings of over ten thousand dollars.

#SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #美国加征关税

How to determine if the market has bottomed out can be based on the following observations:

1. When the market is at a low point and accompanied by high trading volume, it often indicates that panic selling may be nearing its end. High trading volume reflects a large number of investors trading at low levels, which may mean that selling pressure is gradually being released.

2. Pay attention to whether long-term value investors like Buffett and Bridgewater Associates are starting to increase their holdings in quality stocks. The movements of these well-known investors are often seen as market indicators, and their buying behavior may suggest that they believe the market has investment value.

3. Market bottoms are often not achieved in one go; they may go through multiple rounds of tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Therefore, even if the market shows a first rebound after a decline, it does not necessarily mean that a true bottom has formed, and investors should remain cautious.

4. For long-term investors, a staggered approach to buying is a more prudent bottom-fishing strategy. By buying in batches, one can reduce the cost of buying at a single point in time while avoiding the risks that may come with a one-time heavy investment.

#CynthiaLummis重提比特币法案 #币安Alpha上新 #MtGox钱包动态

Recalling the night before the bull market started in 2021, the financial storm that erupted at the 312 node is still vivid in memory. On that day, all investors who went long were not spared; they all faced a 100% liquidation, and the market was filled with a strong sense of pessimism. Even more surprising was that those who attempted to catch the bottom by shorting also could not escape the market's ruthless crushing, suffering the same fate of liquidation. In this brutal storm, it seemed that only the short-selling tycoons who understood the art of shorting survived, as they adhered to their short strategies and never ventured into long trades.

However, unexpectedly, after the 312 incident, the market underwent a dramatic change, initiating a magnificent and sustained upward trend that also 'harvested' the previously seemingly invincible short-selling tycoons. Now, the trajectory of history seems to be repeating itself. The current market decline is exceptionally rapid, and contract leverage has been completely cleansed. What signal does this phenomenon convey? Perhaps, it is the market gathering strength for a new round of bull market, as the curtain of the bull market is quietly lifting. Of course, this is just a reasonable speculation. After all, the financial market is always full of twists and turns, brimming with countless uncertainties.

In such a market environment, if one wishes to achieve long-term stable investment, it is essential to closely follow market trends and strictly manage positions. Once a bull market truly arrives, it often lasts for a considerable period, so do not easily miss this rare opportunity.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场反弹

Whether Liangxi is at the peak or trough of his career, I have never overly praised or belittled him; I simply know this person, yet have never had any interaction. What truly moves me is not Liangxi's ability to profit from contract trading, but his unwavering spirit of persistence and never giving up. Many people may lose their fighting spirit after experiencing one or several failures, but Liangxi has faced countless setbacks over the years and still maintains a high fighting spirit. Just this alone is enough to be admired!

#ETH巨鲸清算 #加密市场回调

#美股大跌

In the face of continuous declines, the market seems to have developed an immunity to negative news, and the expectations for interest rate cuts in March have almost evaporated. Looking ahead, the probability of a rate cut in May is 52.1%, and by June, this probability leaps to 86.2%. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve may take steps towards cutting rates in June, seeing this as an opportunity for a potential reversal of the bullish trend. According to the analysis of Bitcoin's 30-day liquidation situation, the bullish forces are currently nearing exhaustion, indicating that the market may enter a new phase of clearing out bearish forces. The first ray of dawn seems to be quietly approaching, suggesting that the market may welcome a new round of rising cycles.

Yesterday, influenced by the severe fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, the cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent storm, with Bitcoin (commonly known as 'big cake') falling below the $77,000 mark, and the price of Ethereum also dropping below $1,800, leaving many investors anxious.

The U.S. stock market suffered a heavy blow on Monday, becoming the trigger for market volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average initially fell by 2%, the S&P 500 index dropped by 2.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite index plummeted by 4%. In terms of individual stocks, Tesla (TSLA.O) crashed by 15.4%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell nearly 5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) also decreased by 5%. Meanwhile, blockchain-related stocks were similarly hit, with a certain blockchain company’s stock price falling by 15.03% in August, Canaan Creative (CAN.O) down 14.17%, MicroStrategy (MSTR.O) down 16.68%, and Coinbase (COIN.O) plummeting by 17.58%.

In the trading circle, hot events are emerging one after another. A trader known as 'Insider Bro' utilized 50x leverage for trading, successfully making over a million dollars, which has sparked widespread discussion. Another trader, Liang Xi, also reaped substantial rewards from a trade last night, achieving profits in the tens of millions, successfully turning things around. Since 2021, Liang Xi's performance in the contract market has been legendary.
#加密市场回调 #Strategy申请发行优先股 #BBVA获批提供BTC及ETH交易

The US Consumer Confidence Index has hit a new low, indicating that Americans are tightening their belts and reducing investments, which may lead to continued economic deterioration or possibly a reversal.
The last four lows:
1. November 2022, bear market bottom;
2. May 2023, a phase of boredom, small bull market began in October;
3. November 2023, small bull market in full swing;
4. July 2024, the eve of the November bull market.
The current low does not mean an immediate V-shaped recovery, but it does indeed indicate we are entering a range for building a bottom position.

All eyes in the current market are focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut dynamics. There are only 8 days left until the next interest rate meeting, but according to CME data, the market believes there is a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates in March, which means the hope for a rate cut in March is nearly extinguished. However, for a rate cut in May, the market gives a probability of 52.1%, while the probability for a rate cut in June is as high as 86.2%, indicating that the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to implement a rate cut in June.

The current market conditions resemble the dull period of 2024. Last year we were looking forward to the results of the U.S. election, while this year everyone is anticipating the arrival of rate cuts.

The current stalemate in the market is quite troublesome; investors looking to buy the dip are worried that prices will continue to fall, while those taking a wait-and-see attitude are afraid of missing out on opportunities. For those investors who no longer have excess funds to enter the market, perhaps choosing to 'lie flat' is a good option, not having to watch the market constantly; maybe in a few months, the market will rebound. For those investors with remaining capital reserves, it may be worthwhile to discuss how to accurately buy the dip together.

#Strategy申请发行优先股 #加密市场回调 #加密市场观察

As Bitcoin continues to decline, MicroStrategy may become a ticking time bomb hanging over the cryptocurrency market.

In the cryptocurrency space, MicroStrategy stands out for its unconventional operational methods. The company has adopted an extremely aggressive strategy—hoarding Bitcoin through leveraged financing. It holds hundreds of thousands of Bitcoins, accounting for over 2% of the entire market share, which is quite significant. MicroStrategy has always believed that the long-term price trend of Bitcoin will be upward, and therefore, it is willing to continuously increase its Bitcoin holdings through the issuance of bonds and stocks.

However, the persistent decline in Bitcoin prices has brought enormous risks to MicroStrategy:

On one hand, the risk of debt default has sharply risen. To accumulate Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has issued a large number of low-interest bonds. Currently, its average cost of acquiring Bitcoin is approximately between $35,000 and $40,000 per coin. Once the price of Bitcoin falls below this cost range, the company's assets will significantly shrink. And when the bonds mature, creditors will not ease their demands due to the drop in Bitcoin prices; they will still insist on timely repayments. Considering that MicroStrategy only generates about $500 million in annual profits from its software business, this amount is trivial compared to the repayment of huge debts, making the risk of debt default imminent.
On the other hand, this could also trigger a panic sell-off in the market. If Bitcoin prices plummet, MicroStrategy may be forced to sell a large amount of its Bitcoin holdings to repay its debts. Once these Bitcoins flood into the market, their sheer quantity will be hard for the market to bear, further driving down Bitcoin prices and creating a vicious cycle.
Against the backdrop of continuously falling Bitcoin prices, MicroStrategy faces a tough choice: whether to rely on its strong financial reserves to tough it out and become a "lone hero" in the cryptocurrency market, or to ultimately implode due to inability to sustain itself, becoming a "ticking time bomb" that triggers market turmoil.

#美股大跌 #MtGox钱包动态 #ETH巨鲸清算

2025 Pepe Price Outlook: Analyzing the Ups and Downs of Pepe Coin and Its Future Direction
Pepe Coin, a digital asset that has experienced many ups and downs, how will its future trajectory be depicted? Let's delve into the analysis together.

Historical Reflection: Between 2023 and 2024, Pepe saw astonishing explosive growth, strongly demonstrating the immense profit potential that meme coins can stimulate. However, it is worth remembering that past glories do not directly predict future market performance.

Subtle Influences of Market Trends: The unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market is well known, and meme coins are especially affected by market sentiment and speculation. If the market atmosphere remains optimistic, Pepe Coin may rise again, creating new peaks.

Balancing Speculation and Actual Utility: Compared to some competitors, Pepe Coin lacks solid practical application scenarios to support it, aside from community-driven speculation. Without new development opportunities, its growth momentum may quickly weaken.

Can Pepe Coin Continue Its Glory? Some market analysts believe that as long as trading volume and market demand remain strong, Pepe Coin still has the potential to climb further.

Exchange Boosting Effect: If Pepe Coin can maintain its market heat and successfully list on mainstream trading platforms, this will undoubtedly inject new momentum into its price increase, propelling it to new heights.

Beware of the Risk of Losing Momentum: However, we must also face the challenges that Pepe Coin may encounter. If user participation declines or the social media culture shifts, Pepe Coin's market position may be seriously threatened.

In summary, the future path of Pepe Coin is filled with uncertainty. Nonetheless, we will closely monitor its market dynamics in hopes of capturing every possible opportunity.
#美国犹他州比特币法案 3#CZ分享KOL时间代币化构想 #白宫首届加密货币峰会

When the current price of Bitcoin is 82600, a short selling strategy has been implemented, yielding a profit of a thousand points.

In the afternoon, with the Bitcoin price fixed at 82600, we chose to short sell, and the current coin value has dropped to 81400, creating a profit space of 1200 points during this period, with the downward price trend still ongoing.

I have pointed out that the downward channel is already unobstructed, and the door to wealth has opened accordingly. In this situation, seizing the opportunity to short sell at a high position is to step onto the express lane of wealth growth.

#鲸鱼囤币 #稳定币淘金热 #加密市场回调

This week has several key points that require close attention. First, this week serves as a prelude to the interest rate cut meeting, and market volatility is expected to be relatively stable, as traders may choose to take action at critical moments before and after the meeting, known as 'up and down pinning'.

In addition, there are several important economic data releases worth noting: the U.S. CPI data for February will be released on Wednesday at 20:30, the core PPI data for the U.S. will be released on Thursday at 21:30, and the initial value of the one-year inflation expectation will be released on Friday at 22:00.

Before and after the Federal Reserve meeting, the market may experience a brief downward adjustment, known as 'downward pinning', which may form a short-term bottom. If the support level of 79000 cannot be maintained, the price may further decline to around 73000. At such a low point, a considerable rebound opportunity is expected.

#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #非农就业数据来袭