吴志宇论趋势

Just updated the ideas, continue to watch for a rebound. The market quickly reached the 95000 level, so for operations, the long positions in the early morning can be exited as appropriate. Short-term focus continues on the resistance area of 95500-96000. If it doesn't break, you can continue to try to enter short positions, with a stop loss above 96000. For the downside, just pay attention to the area of 93000-93500! ​#Strategy增持比特币

Tuesday, good morning on a new day!
Overnight, the price of Bitcoin rebounded after a pullback, remaining within a range of fluctuations. However, the more this operates, the simpler it becomes. To be honest, under the current rhythm, both long and short positions can yield profits without breaking through key levels, making it a good time to accumulate. After the high short strategy from last night was realized, a pullback to around 93000 and 92000 was suggested for long positions. The price of the coin reached a low of 93300 before rebounding, and the trend basically met expectations. In fact, finding the right pressure and support areas during this rhythm is crucial; avoid chasing one-sided trades by following the highs and lows. It is relatively easy to secure profits.
Currently, the short-term market has rebounded again, with the pullback lows continuing to rise. The early morning trends have been quite evident; the movements in the early hours usually have some continuation in the morning session. This is a straightforward pattern that doesn't require much elaboration. Looking at the larger trend, it still remains in an upward adjustment rhythm without significant changes, primarily showing a step-by-step backward movement. However, during this time, one should also be cautious of potential breakout actions. In the morning strategy, the focus is still on finding pullback opportunities to follow the trend for long positions, initially looking for the rebound wave to have opportunities to continue refreshing the highs!

On Tuesday morning, if Bitcoin pulls back to the 93300-93800 area, continue to follow long positions. The upper level should first focus on the 95500-96000 area; if it breaks through, continue to follow the trend!

#Strategy增持比特币
Since the rebound from the Bitcoin bottom at the 74400 line, the price has continued to fluctuate upwards, and recently it has been maintaining high-level oscillations. After multiple instances of downward spikes in the smaller K-line, the price quickly rebounded, continuously refreshing high points, and each pullback has not shown signs of continuation. Even in the case of technical indicators showing high-level divergence, the price drop has limited space. Since breaking through the downward trend line, the daily line has steadily risen, maintaining an overall upward channel. In the short term, although the price encountered some profit-taking and retreated after rebounding above 95000, this does not change the technical pattern that is forming an ascending wedge. Recent on-chain data shows that the proportion of large holders continues to rise, and the net outflow of BTC from exchanges also indicates that investors prefer long-term holding rather than short-term selling. The multiple pullbacks in the short term belong to a healthy trend! Currently, although there is a short-term pullback, the support below is still relatively strong. Each time the key support is tested, new buying power tends to come in, leading to continuous refresh of high points. Based on this, short-term operations should focus on the gains and losses of support; if the pullback stops, it is advisable to consider entering long positions!
For Ethereum, the current price has slowed its downward movement after pulling back to the support area, showing strong support and buying power. Currently, the high-level death cross signal in technical indicators is gradually being digested. Once the death cross is fully resolved, ETH may regain upward momentum. In the short term, the bearish continuation is weak, and it is basically approaching the support area. In the evening, pay attention to its strength; if it halts at the support, one can follow up with long positions in Bitcoin!
On Monday midnight, in the evening, there may be short positions above 94500, and one can exit based on their own situation. Below, pay attention to around 93000 and 92000, where halting could indicate a long position, looking for a rebound in the 95500-96000 area. For Ethereum, focus on the 1700-1730 area, and if it halts, directly reverse and enter long positions, aiming for around 1830! #Strategy增持比特币

On Monday evening, September 4, 2023, we firmly maintain a bearish outlook. After a rebound in Bitcoin price to around 95,500, the trading volume has shrunk at high levels. The bullish momentum has exhausted and has failed to create new highs. According to the conventional interpretation of this pattern, if BTC price cannot break through the previous high and stabilize, the phenomenon of increased trading volume followed by stagnation may trigger large-scale selling pressure from short-term profit-taking. In this situation, we decisively entered short positions and have already secured over a thousand points with half of our holdings, while the remaining position is still held for further observation!
Currently, after the price pulled back to around 93,700, it rebounded near 94,500. To ensure that the subsequent rise is more sustainable and powerful, the current oscillation adjustment can be viewed as a continuation pattern aimed at repairing overbought technical indicators, digesting locked-in positions and profit-taking selling pressure, while also building up energy for a further breakthrough. However, considering that the current market is in an adjustment phase under pressure and the price is relatively at the high end of the oscillation range, it temporarily does not have the conditions for a direct strong breakout in the short term; the market may need more time to digest the resistance. Based on this, a further pullback adjustment is expected in the short term to release some pressure and optimize the technical pattern, after which a new round of upward movement may start at a more solid support level! Therefore, in the short-term strategy, continue to short at highs and only enter long positions when the key support below is not broken!
On Monday evening, for aggressive traders, Bitcoin's current price around 94,600 can still be lightly shorted, and increase short positions in the rebound area of 95,000 to 95,500! Pay attention to 93,500 and 92,500 below. The pressure for Ethereum is still concentrated around 1,830; in the short term, continue to reference this pressure for a short position first, while paying attention to around 1,730 below, and stop before synchronizing into a long position on Bitcoin!

#Strategy增持比特币 In the cryptocurrency market, the recent BTC price has shown an extremely strong trend, consistently maintaining a high level of fluctuation. From the perspective of the smaller time frame candlestick charts, there have been multiple instances of downward wicks, but they were quickly recovered, accompanied by clear signals of a stop in decline, which undoubtedly indicates that the bullish forces currently dominate the market. Since the start of this round of upward trend, the BTC price has hardly experienced any strong pullbacks. Even when the technical indicator MACD showed a high-level divergence, the price did not experience a significant drop, further corroborating the strength of the bullish momentum.

From a technical pattern analysis, the current BTC price may be forming an ascending wedge pattern. It is worth noting that the trading volume has slightly shrunk at high levels, which often suggests that the market may be building momentum for the next breakout. According to the regular interpretation of this pattern, if the BTC price fails to break through and stabilize above the previous high in the short term, or if there is a phenomenon of volume stagnation, it could likely trigger a large-scale sell-off of short-term profit-taking. In this case, blindly chasing the price is not recommended.

Looking at ETH, its short-term price is currently in a high-level fluctuation range. There have been several instances of upward and downward spikes during the trading day, but after each spike, the price quickly recovers lost ground, which fully demonstrates that ETH has strong support and buying power. Currently, the high-level death cross signal in the technical indicators is gradually being digested by the market. Once this death cross signal is completely resolved, ETH is likely to regain upward momentum.
The current price range of ETH is exactly the starting area of the previous decline, with a large amount of trapped positions above. Additionally, this round of ETH's upward speed is relatively fast, and the pullback space is limited, thereby accumulating a certain amount of profit-taking pressure. To ensure that the subsequent upward trend is more sustainable and powerful, the current high-level fluctuation can be seen as a continuation pattern of the upward trend. The role of this pattern is to repair the overbought technical indicators, digest the trapped positions and profit-taking pressure, while accumulating energy for further breakthroughs. However, given that the current price is in a key resistance zone, the possibility of a direct breakout in the short term is relatively low, and the market may require more time to effectively digest these resistances. Considering the above factors, it is expected that ETH may experience a pullback in the short term to release some pressure and optimize the technical pattern.

Monday evening, Bitcoin market analysis and trading suggestions!
Currently, the Bitcoin price is fluctuating around 94600. In the short-term 4-hour chart, after a dip to the lower band this morning, it started to rebound. The market continues to oscillate back and forth between the upper and lower bands. The Bollinger Bands are parallel and starting to narrow, with bullish rebound momentum gradually exhausting, and the pressure area above remains evident. In the hourly chart, the candlestick shows a V-shaped reversal pattern with consecutive bullish candles, and it has now reached the upper edge of the oscillation range. The volatility is beginning to weaken, while the KDJ three lines are turning down from high positions, indicating weakened bullish signals. The RSI is around 45, the market is neutral, and the overall trend is leaning towards oscillation and consolidation. If the rebound does not break the highs, short-term bearish pressure may continue to maintain a wide oscillation pattern!
As for Ethereum, the 4-hour candlestick shows consecutive bullish candles, but the rebound space is rather limited. The highs and lows are continuously contracting. The bulls are trying to push higher but have failed to refresh the previous highs and are facing resistance. In the short term, the 1830-1850 resistance area remains significant, with the RSI around 45. The overall trend is one of oscillation and consolidation, and the likelihood of continuing to rise is low. In the short term, it is advisable to continue to reference the concentrated pressure area to short first!
On Monday evening, Bitcoin traders who followed up around 94300 in the afternoon should continue to hold. Those who have not entered can short at the current price of 94700 with a light position. If the rebound does not break 95700, increase the short position. Continue to pay attention to the 92000-92500 area below. For Ethereum, continue to short in the 1830-1850 area, and the focus remains unchanged on the 1730-1750 area below!
#空投发现指南

After experiencing a weekend of volatile consolidation, Bitcoin continues to show narrow fluctuations in the early trading session today, with the current price hovering around 93,800 USD. Looking back at the entire weekend, the market's volatility was limited, and the price range perfectly matched the previously anticipated consolidation trend.
On the daily chart, after two days of consolidation, the price saw a pullback this morning but rebounded after touching the 92,700 level. Although a support level has formed near the seven-day moving average, the overall lower boundary has not been broken. If the price cannot break through the 95,000 level and set a new high, there remains a risk of a pullback. On the short-term 4-hour chart, a long candlestick with upper and lower shadows has formed, indicating intense market competition between bulls and bears. Overall, the current price is still within a range, and given that it is at the upper boundary of the rebound and consolidation zone, it may be wise to short once in the concentrated pressure area, and go long again if the support does not break on a pullback!
On Monday afternoon, short Bitcoin in the 94,500-95,000 area, placing stop-loss above the previous high of 95,700, while paying attention to the 92,000-92,500 area below! As for Ethereum, similarly short in the 1,800-1,830 area, and monitor the 1,730-1,750 area below, reassessing for a long position afterward!
#美股财报周来袭

Otherwise, how could it be called totally unreliable? 😂😂😂

After a strong performance in the first half of the week, Bitcoin's market gradually shifted to a volatile rhythm. After reaching a high and retreating from the 91600 line yesterday, it halted its rebound. In the morning, a short position was suggested above 94000. The price rebounded to around 94400 and then once again corrected downwards, stopping at the 92700 line. Currently, the market is maintaining a sideways fluctuation around 93500.
From a short-term perspective, the resistance above and support below are very clear. With insufficient liquidity, the possibility of a unidirectional movement in the short term is not very high. Today is Friday, and if there is still no breakout action in the evening, the volatility rhythm will continue. On the 4-hour chart, the rebound high point of the price has shifted downward, and the strength is gradually weakening. The indicators are becoming increasingly blunt, and the current MACD has entered a bearish cycle, while the market is showing volatility. This suggests that after the morning's retracement, the price halted its rebound, but the volume did not keep up, forming a top divergence pattern. A subsequent retest may be quite significant, coupled with the fact that the market is relatively positioned in the upper-middle range of the fluctuation zone. Therefore, for the short-term strategy tonight, continue to treat it as a high short position!
On Friday evening, Bitcoin continues to reference short positions above 94000, with a retest of the 91600-92000 support area stopping further action. As long as there is no breakout, continue to treat it as a range! If there is a breakout action in the evening, we will adjust and follow the trend accordingly.
#比特币市值排名

The pancake market has entered a volatile rhythm, and there isn't much to analyze. A simple chart will suffice, clear and straightforward! Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, don't overthink it! #比特币市值排名

Ethereum, suggested to short at 1800 during the early morning. The overnight coin price peaked at around 1777. The daily K-line has broken the EMA30, and this is the first time it has returned to the EMA30 area to form short-term support. Although the coin price has rebounded above 1800, the overall trend is still in a downward structure. According to Ethereum's consistent characteristic of following the decline but not the rise, the possibility of continuing to break upward in the short term is low.
In the 4-hour chart, the overnight K-line stopped at the EMA15 area, and the trend indicator's upward expansion faced resistance. The MACD volume ended and began to decrease, with the DIF and DEA forming a death cross at high levels. After the Bollinger Bands opened up, the K-line fell to the middle track and stopped to rebound, showing clear short-term support. Similarly, the pressure at the top of the oscillation range is also clear, forming a short-term oscillation box in the 1800-1830 area. Therefore, in short-term operations, it is very simple: just intervene around the upper and lower edges of the box without breaking support and resistance.
On Friday morning, Ethereum is suggested to short at the upper edge of the box in the 1800-1830 area, while still paying attention to the 1680-1700 area below. For the short-term, treat it as a range.

On Friday, both upward and downward movements encountered resistance, unable to break through the range-bound fluctuations!
At midnight, we provided reference points of 94000 and 95000 for short positions. Overnight, Bitcoin's overall volatility was not very large, with the high only reaching around 93600. The rebound strength weakened, and the price stabilized at a high level, entering a fluctuation phase.
From the current pattern, the daily K-line formed a clear hanging man after closing as a small bullish cross on the previous day. The EMA trend indicator is still contracting upward, with the EMA15 trend line about to overlap with the EMA120. The K-line has also returned to operate within the Bollinger Bands, making it unlikely for a single-sided movement to occur in the short term, while the probability of range-bound fluctuations increases.
On the 4-hour line, the price of Bitcoin halted its rebound and formed a symmetrical triangle trend at a high level. Although the EMA trend indicator still leans toward bullish, the MACD shows a divergence trend at the top of the K-line, indicating clear signs of major selling at high levels, especially following consecutive large bullish candles. Therefore, caution is advised when chasing at high levels.

On Friday morning, Bitcoin maintained the midnight strategy, with a short position still recommended near the 94000 area. The focus remains on the 91600-92000 range below, with additional long positions if a retracement stops. The strong resistance above is still around the 95000 line! #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

On Thursday morning, we provided a bearish outlook. The price of Bitcoin declined from around 93,800, first touching the support at 92,000. After that, we closed short positions with a profit of over 1,200 points. Subsequently, the price rebounded but struggled near 92,500. We initiated a second short position as the price broke the support during the European trading session, reaching 91,600, which allowed us to gain another 800 points (the second short strategy has been updated; details can be found in previous texts). The market then rebounded again and is currently oscillating around 93,000.
During the European trading session, although we suggested a breakdown below 92,000 aiming for 90,600, the momentum was insufficient, and the price only reached around 91,600 before stopping the decline and rebounding. From the current pattern, there is strong resistance at 95,000 while there is also some buying support below. After a doji star on the daily K-line, the price has been consolidating at a high level, and bullish momentum is starting to weaken. Although there was a rebound after breaking support in the afternoon, the possibility of a double bottom cannot be ruled out. In the 4-hour chart, the K-line is still under pressure at the MA10 daily line, with the MACD showing a dead cross at a high level with decreasing volume. After the rebound correction, there is still a need for a pullback. Therefore, for the midnight outlook, we will continue to approach it with a short stance. If the second retest confirms support, we can continue to look for bullish opportunities.
Regarding Ethereum, although we suggested a rebound above 1,800, the daily line is in a downward structure. After a pullback to around 1,720 during the day, it also showed signs of stopping the rebound. However, in the short term, the resistance above is evident, while support below is relatively strong. The probability of continued oscillation in the short term is high, and currently, the price is at the upper range of the interval. Therefore, in the short term, we will also approach Bitcoin with a short stance first and consider going long only after it stops falling.
On Thursday midnight, we took a light short position for Bitcoin near 84,000, with a stop loss if the rebound does not break 95,000, protecting against 95,500. We will focus on the daily low point around 91,600-92,000, and consider going long again after it stops falling. For Ethereum, we will continue to reference the short position in the 1,800-1,830 area, focusing on the 1,700-1,730 area below, and consider going long again after it stops falling. #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

Trump is going to be driven crazy by US debt; several trillion in US debt is due in June and needs to be rolled over. Now US debt is being sold off, yields are rising, and tariffs are visibly pushing prices up. The Federal Reserve is worried about rising inflation and is reluctant to lower interest rates. When June arrives, if US debt cannot be refinanced or if interest rates are particularly high, Trump might become the terminator of dollar hegemony. #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔

At present, the daily line has shown a short-term convergence signal after rebounding to the 95000 line. Although this round of increase has significant space and strength, in terms of sustainability, whether linked to US stocks or gold, there are currently no conditions for a direct breakthrough to new highs. For the overall risk market, liquidity constraints still exist. In the short term, the recent net inflow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs is continuously increasing, along with the total market capitalization of stablecoins also increasing. However, accompanied by profit-taking at high levels, the upward momentum is weakening. At the same time, in terms of technical indicators, MACD is at a high level in the bullish cycle, and RSI has shown overbought conditions, so there is an expectation of a pullback to adjust the indicators in the short term. On the 4-hour line, the candlestick has shown consecutive bearish fluctuations, the auxiliary indicators have formed a dead cross at high levels, and the 7-day EMA has fallen and broken. There is still a risk of a retracement adjustment in the short term, and one should also be cautious of a 'door' market scenario. Therefore, in the short-term approach, without clear confirmation of support, one should continue to treat the short term with a high short strategy! On Thursday evening, Bitcoin's rebound in the 82500-83000 area still leans towards short positions. Watch the 90000-90600 area below. For Ethereum, it ultimately continues to face resistance below 1850 and has started to pull back, currently having fallen below the 1750 level. Continue to pay attention to the strength of the rebound in the evening; if it cannot stabilize above 1800 again, maintain a strategy of shorting on highs, with the initial target around 1680!

Yesterday, Bitcoin quickly fell back after a pin bar rebound at the 94900 line, giving a pullback space of nearly 3000 points. After stopping, it rebounded to the 93800 line and consolidated at a high level.
Currently, from the daily chart perspective, the price reversed and closed up yesterday, maintaining operation above the upper Bollinger Band. Market sentiment is relatively sluggish, with the daily level seeing two consecutive days of closing up and the closing price stabilizing above 93500, confirming the continuation of the upward trend from 88000 to 94696. However, yesterday’s candlestick body narrowed with a decrease in trading volume, indicating a lack of strength in chasing higher prices at the high level. On the short-term hourly chart, the Bollinger Band shows an upward opening. The 4-hour level indicates that after recently breaking the previous high, the price has retraced, forming a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow, suggesting short-term profit-taking pressure. There is clear support at the key position of 92000 below. The short-term continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation. Currently, the RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating a need for a pullback adjustment in the short term. In the afternoon, continue to pay attention to its pullback strength. The afternoon strategy is to continue holding the short position that was followed up in the morning, and if the pullback confirms support without breaking, continue to look for a rebound!
On Thursday afternoon, friends with short positions above 83500 can continue to hold and look for 92000. If it touches near the support and stops, they can reverse to go long, continuing to look for bullish rebounds to refresh the high point! #加密市场反弹

Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded sharply to the 94900 line and then quickly fell back, providing a retreat space of nearly 3000 points. After stopping, it rebounded to the 93800 line and then consolidated at a high level. Currently, from the daily chart perspective, the price reversed yesterday and closed positive, maintaining above the upper Bollinger Band. Market sentiment is relatively sluggish, with the daily level closing positive for two consecutive days and the closing price stabilizing above 93500, confirming the continuation of the upward trend from 88000 to 94696. However, the entity of yesterday's K-line narrowed accompanied by a decrease in trading volume, indicating a lack of strength in chasing high prices. From the short-term hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, and the 4-hour level shows that after breaking the previous high, the price has retreated, forming a bearish candle with a long upper shadow, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure. The key support level at 92000 clearly holds, and the short-term continues to maintain a consolidation pattern. Currently, the RSI is in the overbought area, suggesting a need for pullback adjustments in the short term. Continue to pay attention to its pullback strength in the afternoon. The strategy in the afternoon is to continue holding short positions if there are follow-up short positions above 83500, looking down at the 92000 line. If it approaches support and stops, one can reverse to enter long positions and continue to look for the bullish rebound to refresh the high points! #加密市场反弹

Thursday, the rebound of Bitcoin weakens, with obvious resistance at the 95000 level, and short-term continues to oscillate and consolidate!
Last night, the Bitcoin market saw a spike rebound to the 94900 level before quickly retreating, stopping at the 91900 level and rebounding above 93000, beginning to oscillate and consolidate. In the early morning hours, after the bullish momentum slowed down, we suggested a high short strategy, looking for a pullback adjustment. As of now, the market has not broken out, with both bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war, and the price continues to face strong resistance at the 95000 level, making it difficult to break through. In the short term, it may continue to oscillate in a compressed pattern. From the four-hour chart, although the support level below effectively resists the bear attacks, there is obvious selling pressure above, and the accompanying indicators show a decrease in volume. The short-term upward movement is weak and requires adjustment. Therefore, in the morning strategy, we still look for a pullback adjustment to complete the correction and build strength before continuing to take long positions with a bullish outlook!
On Thursday morning, Bitcoin rebounded near 94500, continuing to short first, while still paying attention to the 92000 level below. If it retraces and stops, decisively reverse to take long positions and continue to look for bullish momentum to extend!
#加密市场反弹

Wednesday, Bitcoin retraces to confirm support, rebounds from the bottom, still bullish!
Yesterday, after we set up the wave position and took profit of over 5800 points, we continued to suggest a long position at the current price in the morning. In real trading, the short-term position quickly realized a space of 1000 points. Subsequently, the price entered a consolidation phase, and from afternoon to evening, we continued to suggest a retracement to catch the wave. After Bitcoin dipped to the 81900 line to confirm support, it stopped, and the ten-pole once again followed the bullish position to capture over 1300 points before exiting. Currently, the price is running around the 83700 line, and if the short-term rebound does not break, there will still be adjustment actions.
Currently, in terms of trends, Bitcoin's white pole continued to rise and then underwent a retracement adjustment, just as we mentioned earlier, stopping near the 92000 position. Bitcoin was unable to maintain yesterday's sharp upward trend today, but it did refresh the high point. Currently, in the short term, the 4-hour price is encountering certain resistance around the 95000 line, forming a short-term high point, while the support below still focuses on the MA120 daily moving average and the area around 92000. As for Ethereum, the trend is basically consistent with the analysis in the afternoon article, with prices forming a short-term resistance level at the MA256 daily moving average on the 4-hour level. If it cannot stabilize above 1800, there will also be a retracement adjustment in the short term. Therefore, in the midnight strategy, if the rebound does not break, short once and continue to watch for adjustments, touching the key support to stop before continuing to enter bullish positions to refresh the high point.
On Wednesday midnight, Bitcoin rebounded in the 94500-95000 region, short once, and still focus on the area around 92000, stopping before going long again. For Ethereum, refer to the 1830-1850 region to short once, watching for a retracement adjustment in the 1700-1730 area, stopping before synchronously entering bullish positions to continue refreshing the high point!

#加密货币总市值重回3万亿 On Wednesday morning, we provided a reference buy suggestion at the support level of 92000 and a current price suggestion to go long at 93000, with an optimistic outlook for 95000. After the price pulled back to around 82500, it rebounded and reached a new high at 94450. Subsequently, bullish momentum has slightly diminished, and the price is currently adjusting slightly at around 83500, with the pullback still not significant, as the bulls maintain a strong stance.
On the daily chart, the candlestick pattern has recently formed a V-shaped reversal structure, with strong support below, accompanied by an increasing bullish candlestick, indicating clear bullish funding. Currently, in the short term, the price is fluctuating in the range of 82500-84500; although there has been a slight pullback, the price has maintained an upward channel after breaking through the previous downtrend line, and market sentiment remains optimistic. Meanwhile, the price is above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are in a golden cross formation, supporting the bullish trend. There is still room for a short-term rise, but indicators at the hourly level show a weakening of upward momentum, with DIF and DEA contracting at high levels, indicating a demand for adjustment in the short term. Therefore, in the evening outlook, we will still treat it with a bullish mindset after the adjustment stops!
On Wednesday evening, for Bitcoin, we continue to buy in the range of 82500-83000, with the target still looking at 95000 first. If it breaks and stabilizes, the next target to watch is around 96800. For Ethereum, after the rebound, it has been fluctuating near 1800, and the bullish momentum has also weakened. In terms of operations, it is suggested to synchronize with Bitcoin, and to follow up after a pullback adjustment, focusing on around 1750 below. If the pullback stops, it can be bought, with the target unchanged, continuing to look at the 1850-1880 range.