吴志宇论趋势

In the end, it still held firm. After the adjustment, it is currently in a breakeven state. The plan is to sell off the adjustments once it rebounds a bit more, leaving the base position to continue holding. As long as it doesn't break below the 4-hour upward trend line on a pullback, it remains within the box range. For the evening, the short-term strategy continues to refer to Figure 1! #币安HODLer空投NXPC

Are we going to face another collapse, brothers? At noon, we suggested entering long positions around the reference low of 102500 from yesterday, with a market entry around 102600. In the afternoon, the price dropped to near 102200, and we have already seen some rebound action, but the momentum is not very strong. If the market further retraces and breaks below 101800, there is a possibility of revisiting the previous low of 100600 or even falling below the 100,000 mark. In the afternoon, we will focus on this position as the current bullish defense level; breaking below it means stop-loss and switch to short positions. Below, we need to pay attention to the gains and losses around the 100,000 mark! If the situation is not right, withdraw in a timely manner. We must not harbor any luck-based mentality; even if we need to stop at the previous low to re-enter long positions, we must firmly execute our trading plan! Stop-loss at 101800! #币安HODLer空投NXPC

From yesterday until now, the overall volatility of Bitcoin has not been significant.
It is still within the range we predicted, and in the short term, our handling of the ups and downs has been quite perfect. After a continuous rise and fall, the market needs an adjustment phase to recover. Overall, neither the bulls nor the bears have continuity; the retracement strength given yesterday and now is not strong. In the short term, we can continue to layout around the range.
From the current trend structure, it is still in a process of fluctuation, with the small cycle still in a downward pullback. The short-term space is slightly converging, and prolonged stagnation and fluctuation is the main tone. It is not a strong one-sided trend; the K-line pattern on the 4-hour chart is basically flat, with no significant change compared to the previous day. This dull pattern leads to uncertainty in strength from day to day. The Bollinger Bands continue to maintain a flat trajectory, with small space, making it difficult to see strength or weakness. The K-line entity is dull, and the current coin price is relatively at the lower edge of the fluctuation range. In the afternoon, we still treat it with low volatility first, and if there are changes in the market, we will adjust accordingly!
On Thursday afternoon, reference the low point of 102500 from last night for buying the dip. The target remains to look first at the 103500-104000 area. Ethereum maintains the morning strategy unchanged, with a buy in the 2550-2580 area, and the target continues to focus on the 2680 line!

Ethereum, on the daily chart, the bullish momentum is still very strong, with the price reaching a peak of 2740, which is not much different from our previous bullish outlook of 2800. Although there was a pullback last night, it stopped near the support level of 2550, and the bullish trend remains.
On the 4-hour chart, although there have been consecutive bearish candles, the candlestick bodies are very small. The MACD shows a continuing trend of divergence at the top, with DIF and DEA spreading downwards from a high position. Currently, the market is showing a spinning top pattern and a dark cloud cover pattern, indicating that there may still be some pullback actions in the short term. Therefore, for short-term operations, simply wait for a pullback to touch the support without breaking it to enter long positions!
On Thursday morning, Ethereum pulled back to the 2550-2580 area to enter long positions, with attention on the two levels of 2680 and the peak of 2740 above. If the rebound faces resistance, then a short position can be followed up accordingly! #代币发射平台竞争加剧

Thursday, good morning to a new day!
Overnight, there was not much change in the Bitcoin market, which basically maintained a high-level oscillation rhythm, with the price bouncing back and forth within a range. Last night, the price retraced to the golden ratio 0.786 support point, which is above the support point of 102500, and then began to rebound, but the strength was not strong. The K-line is oscillating at a high level, forming a consolidation pattern after a slight pullback. The MACD top divergence trend has not ended, and the volume is decreasing. The DIF and DEA are contracting, plus the Bollinger Bands have formed an upward channel. The K-line is facing resistance at the upper pressure level of 106300, and it is expected to continue maintaining the range rhythm in the short term.
The current four-hour K-line shape is more apparent, especially as the K-line has been operating at the top of the EMA trend indicator. The bulls are starting to contract, and the situation of top pressure moving down is quite obvious. The MACD has been continuously reducing volume and increasing positions. The DIF and DEA are close to the 0 axis, and the top divergence pattern has spread to the mid-line trend level. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands is focusing on 105200, and the lower track is focusing on 101800. The range will not break; refer to the upper and lower edges of the range for short-term operations! Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around 103200, relatively at the lower edge of the range, so in operation, we give a layout first with a buy on the dip, and after the rebound, if it does not break the range, we can intervene again!
On Thursday morning, buy in the 102500-103000 area first, and focus on the 104000-104500 area above. If the rebound faces pressure, then we can sell high and buy low around the range! #美国加征关税

In the afternoon, we suggested to continue buying at the 103000 level on the retracement, and the price reached the expected pullback to the 102800 level. Around 103000, decisively follow up and buy more. Currently, the price has rebounded to around 103800, providing over 800 points of space and is still held!
At present, on the short-term 4-hour chart, the candlesticks continue to report small gains and maintain above the middle track, which has provided a very clear stabilization signal. In terms of small-scale patterns, an afternoon pullback has been completed. Although the bullish rebound is slow, it has certain continuation. After the price rebound, there has been no significant pullback correction, and all moving average indicators show a slow upward trend. There is still an expectation for further upward movement, just be patient and wait for the bulls to gain more strength!
On Wednesday evening, those who followed up on the 103000 level in the afternoon can take some profits based on their own situation, leaving some positions to continue holding, aiming for the target of 105000. As for Ethereum, there isn't much to discuss. A strong trend provides a buying opportunity on the pullback. Aggressive traders can directly buy near 2600, targeting the high point near 2740! #美国加征关税

In the cluttered world of investment information, understanding the core of a creator requires patience and reflection. Market opinions should not be a weather vane swaying with the wind; the bloggers worth paying attention to should have investment philosophies like a stable beacon, capable of adhering to a clear trading system regardless of bull or bear market fluctuations, rather than being obsessed with the noise of short-term ups and downs, weaving an illusory myth of returns with flowery language.

It is advisable for investors to give themselves a period of observation, peeling back the layers in ongoing content tracking to discover those who truly possess valuable insights. After all, blindly focusing on numerous information sources that lack discernment not only makes it difficult to gain effective inspiration but also wastes precious time.

A special reminder: in the festive atmosphere of a bull market, the most destructive elements are often not the levels of positions but the voices around us that constantly create anxiety and amplify greed. Maintaining independent thinking is essential to anchoring the correct direction amidst the market waves. #BTC走势分析

In the morning, we provided a short-term support level at 103000 for buying on dips. The lowest point for Bitcoin stopped at the 103400 line. So far, the rebound strength is not very strong, basically maintaining a small range of oscillation and consolidation. The technical structure has not changed significantly. Watching the price move up and down, there isn't much room for fluctuation, and there haven't been any large ups and downs. However, I have previously mentioned that the more stable it is, the easier it is to trade because the form and structure are present. As long as you don't chase, trading around the high and low points of oscillation can yield good results. The daily chart still shows no change and remains in a bullish structure, but currently, the momentum is lacking, entering an adjustment phase. There are no significant news impacts, and with insufficient liquidity, we expect a process of low points moving up and oscillating in the short term. For pullbacks, look for opportunities to go long.
On Wednesday afternoon, Bitcoin continued to rely on the support level of 103000 for buying on dips. Focus on the 104000-104500 area above; if the rebound faces resistance, short positions can be taken to continue looking for adjustments.
Regarding Ethereum, it has been showing strong performance recently, with highs being broken repeatedly. In this strong rhythm, there is no need to hesitate; just follow the trend. Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks, with the focus still on the 2800 line above!

Wednesday, good morning on a new day!
Yesterday, after Bitcoin's price bounced back from a pullback, it fluctuated and rebounded, returning above 104,000 during the early hours. Our recommendation for a long position has come to fruition as expected. Currently, although the price continues to consolidate around 104,000, the resistance area at 105,000 has not been broken, and there is still a possibility of a pullback under pressure; do not chase high prices!
On the daily chart, the candlestick is likely to close positive, basically recovering most of the previous decline, and bullish sentiment is warming up again. The highest price during the early hours rebounded to around 104,900, and the bearish sentiment has been basically digested. On the 4-hour chart, the price is maintaining its position in the upper-middle track. Overnight, the price fluctuated little, basically in a small range of oscillation, but the price has returned above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The short-term trend is clearly dominated by oscillation leaning towards long positions. In the morning outlook, as long as the price can maintain above 103,000, there is still strength for an upward attack!
On Wednesday morning, Bitcoin continues to reference the 103,000 line for low entries on long positions, with the upper focus on the 105,000 line, and then the previous high near 108,000. As for Ethereum, during the early hours, the bulls strongly broke the high, reaching a maximum of around 2,740. Currently, there is a slight pullback, and the pattern is relatively strong. In the morning, after testing the 2,600-2,650 area, continue to go long, with the target unchanged at 2,800! #CPI数据来袭

In the evening, the CPI release was favorable, which also alleviated bearish sentiment. This is one of the factors for the continued rebound in coin prices tonight. Currently, the daily chart remains in a bullish structure. After the white coin price rebounded from the bottom, it has been fluctuating and slowly rising. Currently, the coin price has returned above the 104,000 mark. I have mentioned before that small cycle corrections will not change the larger trend structure, and the space and intensity of the correction are basically within expectations. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, it is still in a range correction trend, using time to exchange for space to digest bearish sentiment. The morning's pullback was mainly due to profit-taking after yesterday's price surge, but there has not been large-scale selling by institutions. In this case, it will not have strong continuation. For the midnight strategy, we can continue to adopt a low-buy approach when the coin price provides a pullback for correction!
On Tuesday midnight, Bitcoin pulled back to the 103,000 line to continue buying long, with the target still looking at the 105,000 line first. Ethereum has now returned to around 2,600. Pay attention to whether the high point refreshes at midnight. If it faces resistance and pulls back, continue to reference the 2,550 line to buy long, with the target looking first at the 2,760 line. #CPI数据来袭

In the afternoon, we clearly indicated that positions can be taken near 101500, and we are also following up in batches in the ten-point range. After gaining over 1000 points in the afternoon, we followed up again near 102500. Currently, we have given another space of over 900 points and are still holding on to it!
From a technical perspective, BTC has rebounded for four consecutive weeks. This week, with the "reciprocal tariff war" entering its third phase, favorable factors within the industry and strong buying pressure have led to BTC increasing by over 10.46% this week. Although there has been a short-term pullback, the overall trend remains upward. In the short-term 4-hour chart, after the price stopped at the 100600 line, the K-line pattern alternated between bullish and bearish, showing obvious signs of a bottoming out. Bulls are expected to gradually regain dominance, so in short-term operations, it is advisable to buy on dips!
On Tuesday evening, positions can be taken on Bitcoin near the 102500 line in the afternoon. You can take some profits based on your own situation, while continuing to hold the remainder with a target near 105000. Similarly, continue holding long positions near 2450 for Ethereum, with attention on the 2560-2600 area above! #CPI数据来袭

Tariff policy eases, why has Bitcoin seen a cliff-like correction after a strong breakout? CPI data is coming, who will dominate in the tug-of-war between Bitcoin and Ethereum?

On Tuesday, after Bitcoin experienced a cliff-like drop early yesterday morning, the bearish forces were contained after touching the 100,600 line, and the price halted and began to rebound, currently maintaining a fluctuation around 102,500. Although from a short-term perspective, the MA short-term moving average is below the mid to long-term moving average, indicating a short-term downward trend, the long-term trend remains strong, and the bullish structure has not been damaged. Both EMA144 and EMA169 show an upward trend. Last night's drop, along with profit-taking, was also one of the reasons for the price decline. However, the volume during this drop at the daily level is not significant, and it cannot be concluded that the trend has turned bearish. Therefore, in the short-term strategy, it is advisable to maintain a low-buy approach, with attempts to buy in the 101,500-102,000 region, while paying attention to the 103,500-104,000 line above.
As for Ethereum, after the price stopped at the 1,380 line, it reversed the downward trend after a long period of oscillation and slow rise. Recently, there have been three consecutive daily primary increases, and after breaking through, it has risen sharply, with an increase of nearly 40%. Currently, the market is experiencing the first daily stagnation and the first pullback structure in 4 hours, but the momentum is not too strong. Judging from the wide structural volume, the concentrated area of Ethereum's locked selling pressure is between 2,280-2,730, with the concentration of 2,400-2,600 being the most significant! From the perspective of the market structure below 2,000, the main players have done a large-scale isolation, and most of those who bought at the bottom have basically rotated their positions. Currently, it is a position rotation + forced rotation from locked positions! At the same time, Ethereum's breakout has brought about a wave of rising market sentiment, which has been released! The market will undergo a period of consolidation and differentiation after the recent rise, and I personally believe that the strong rotation in the concentrated area indicates that, after a wide-range consolidation, the market still has an expected upward cycle! Therefore, in the short term, attempts can be made to buy in the 2,400-2,450 region, with initial attention to the 2,550 line above, and then to the high point of 2,620!
Also, at 20:30 this evening, the U.S. April non-seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate will be released, with an expected 2.4%. If the data meets or falls below expectations, it may further solidify the narrative of "inflation declining," adding fuel to risk assets!

Clear indication to buy low during lunch break and watch for a rebound. Currently, Tenpan has already taken down 1000 points of space to exit. If there is a pullback to the 101500-102000 area in the afternoon, it can still be bought. First target is around 103500!

Overnight, the Bitcoin market halted its rebound after touching the 100688 line, and is currently consolidating around 102000. From a technical structure perspective, the larger structure has not changed; the price is still operating above previous highs. This pullback is more of a technical correction within an upward trend, and the bullish dominance remains unchanged.
However, it is worth noting that if the bears extend their downward movement and break below the early morning low, the price may return below the 100,000 mark, posing a risk of further weakening and continued pullback in the short term!
In the short term, the MACD histogram at the 4-hour level continues to show negative values, and the fast and slow lines are in a downward trend, indicating weak short-term momentum. Both EMA7 and EMA30 have been breached. Overall, the trend appears bearish on the 4-hour chart, with a key focus on the 100,000 mark. If it can hold above, this round of pullback may end, and the bulls will welcome a counterattack!
On Tuesday afternoon, for major coins, buy in the 101000-101500 area, with resistance around 103500. For Ethereum, buy near 2440, with resistance around 2550.

On Monday, under the influence of eased tariff policies, the price of Bitcoin rebounded sharply to the 105800 line, showing strong bullish performance. However, in the evening, there were Twitter reports stating that the U.S. Treasury is investigating financial institutions for illegal use of cryptocurrencies. Although this news has not been confirmed, it triggered panic in the market. In the sensitive environment of the cryptocurrency market, investors reacted quickly to negative news, leading to a large sell-off, and both Bitcoin and Ethereum retraced. This sudden situation means that our long positions established at the 103400 line in the evening are still being held at a loss!
From the current pattern, although this round of retracement is not enough to change the daily bullish structure, the strong rhythm has been interrupted. In smaller time frames, after the price retraced, it did not provide a significant rebound, and the pattern has started to weaken gradually. In the short term, it may face further corrections. On the 4-hour chart, the candlestick shows a large bearish drop, but after touching the lower boundary, it has paused. In the evening, we will focus on its continuation; if there are signs of a halt, we can still consider entering long positions. If the bearish trend continues and breaks below the 101800 line, Bitcoin may fall again below the 100000 mark!
On Monday midnight, Bitcoin is supported in the 101800-102300 area for long positions, with the upper focus on the 103700-104500 area, defending at 101000—if it falls below, decisively stop loss and reverse position. Ethereum's overall retracement space is relatively small; in the evening, continue to reference around 2450, which is near the midline of the 4-hour chart, for long positions, and focus on around 2580 above!

After the afternoon pancake surged to a new high, we suggested that there might be a short-term pullback correction. Currently, in the ten-phase, we are following up on short positions during the pullback phase. The price is showing weakened retracement strength, with short positions taking a profit of over 900 points. In the evening update, we suggest entering long positions at the 104000 line. Although the current retracement strength slightly exceeds expectations, it is not a major issue. In the evening, we can continue to enter long positions at the 103000 line during dips, with the target remaining unchanged, continuing to look for bullish continuation at the 106600 line! #贸易战缓和 #策略交易

On the afternoon of #贸易战缓和 , a joint statement was suddenly made between China and the United States, reaching a consensus on the tariff issue, which caused the cryptocurrency market to respond with a surge, once again hitting a new high. Our recent low-difficulty strategy has been validated again!
Currently, Bitcoin has pulled back after reaching the 105800 line,
showing a typical short squeeze pattern at this high level. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's weekly MACD has formed a golden cross, an important indicator that often signals a strengthening trend. More importantly, this rise is also accompanied by strong expectations for interest rate cuts and substantial capital influx! In the short cycle, after a divergence appeared, the price has pulled back, with both MACD and RSI indicators showing weakened upward momentum. Although the market has shown a pullback, both the strength and space are within a reasonable range; healthy trend development often requires reasonable corrections to digest, which will help build momentum for future rises.
As for Ethereum, trading volume continues to explode! For three consecutive days, the 24-hour trading volume has surpassed Bitcoin, with prices skyrocketing over 40%. In May, the market focus is undoubtedly on ETH! Ethereum reached a peak of 2624, and the gap between $2,566 and $2,623 has been filled, leaving only the gap between $2,911 and $3,237. Based on the current pattern, the probability of a continued bullish attack is very high, so in the short-term strategy, continue to focus on bullish positions!
On Monday evening, Bitcoin continues to reference around the 104000 line for long positions, targeting around 106600 remains unchanged! Ethereum, relying on the 2500 line, continues to buy on dips, with the initial target set at the 2800 line!
In the current unidirectional trend market, we always adhere to the principle of right-side trading, avoiding chasing highs and cutting losses, and following the trend, which can largely mitigate risks and achieve good profit space. Meanwhile, I will also share my personal views with everyone every day, and you are welcome to discuss and follow the public account: Wu Zhiyu on Trends!

Always going long and always enjoying it, another round of hearty eating! There have been ongoing talks about tariff negotiations recently, and once the situation eases, it will undoubtedly benefit the crypto market. This is also the reason we have been consistently advising to buy the dips recently! #😂😂😂#贸易战缓和 #策略交易

In the past two days, there has been a constant reminder to look for buying opportunities around the 103000 level, and even yesterday, the idea was updated to target the 106600 level. Currently, the highest reached is around 105860, congratulations to those who followed the idea and profited!

The main reason for this sudden surge is still the impact of tariff policies. In recent days, there have been continuous reports about negotiations on tariff issues, and it is highly likely that the U.S. side will concede. This is also why we have been firmly bullish recently. With the news now settled, there may be a short-term correction ahead. Therefore, it is not advisable to chase prices higher; it is better to patiently wait for a pullback opportunity to enter long positions!

On Monday afternoon, based on the 104500-105000 area, continue to buy with unchanged targets, still looking at the 106600 level. For Ethereum, reference the 2500 level in the morning, and based on individual circumstances, consider taking some profits while holding the rest with a target of 2800!

#贸易战缓和

Still a back-and-forth rhythm, in the morning we provided a reference to buy on dips around the 103000 line, and followed up at the 103700 line. We aim to take profit at 105000 as expected. The new week welcomes a good start with a gain of over 1300 points. Buying on dips has been our main theme recently. On Monday morning, the rebound occurred as expected, although it was within our expectations, it was also surprising how fast it came. However, this is not important; what matters is that we achieved the expected rebound and were able to capitalize on it.
Currently, in terms of technical structure, there isn't much major change in the short term. The price has once again retested near the morning position, and the daily chart has provided a rebound according to the normal pattern, refreshing the high point again. Although the strength isn't very strong, since the trades have consistently broken upwards, there will still be some continuity. Looking at the daily structure, we should continue to maintain a bullish and buying approach. The small cycle pullback is just a normal adjustment, and after the adjustment, we can continue to buy on dips based on the positions provided in the morning!
On Monday afternoon, continue to buy on dips around the 103000 line, with the target initially set at the 105000-105500 area, with Ethereum near 2480. Pay attention to the 2580-2600 area above!