我来时一阵风
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Occasional Trader
1.3 Years
资深财经博主，微博🔍 “我来时一阵风” 公众号“我来时一阵风”策略更新请移步。
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Everyone is taking off! The first week of the golden September and silver October, everyone is turning over the cabin, everyone is having fun! Everyone is having fun! The afternoon non-agricultural analysis clearly shows a bearish outlook of 53,800! It will be here in a flash! A basket of 42,000u in the stone plate is stored!
Just ask if it is the god in your heart! Whether you swim in the deep sea or are autistic alone, don't be discouraged. There is nothing that cannot be solved in a week. If there is, it will take two weeks! The state is very good, go! #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB
Just ask if it is the god in your heart! Whether you swim in the deep sea or are autistic alone, don't be discouraged. There is nothing that cannot be solved in a week. If there is, it will take two weeks! The state is very good, go! #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB
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It's the weekend, let's take a look at the distribution of futures liquidation map under the long cycle of big pie;
During the March cycle, last night's drop liquidated the last wave of long liquidity in the range of 100,000 to 110,000, causing the current balance of long and short liquidity in the futures market to be disrupted again, with high short liquidity becoming the heavier side of the scale;
If the price does not intend to break below the lower edge of the 100,000 range, then the final target of the subsequent market will head towards 114,700...
However, liquidity distribution beyond one month usually has a higher degree of distortion, because the liquidation map only marks the liquidity after futures positions are opened, while closing positions will not be displayed. Therefore, we cannot know exactly how much liquidity is left in this dense short liquidity liquidation area at high levels;
After all, the price could have directly penetrated before, but it chose not to liquidate and turned around due to the conflicts in the Middle East...
This has made subsequent liquidity analysis even more difficult...
#美国国债 #加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 $SOL $BTC $ETH
During the March cycle, last night's drop liquidated the last wave of long liquidity in the range of 100,000 to 110,000, causing the current balance of long and short liquidity in the futures market to be disrupted again, with high short liquidity becoming the heavier side of the scale;
If the price does not intend to break below the lower edge of the 100,000 range, then the final target of the subsequent market will head towards 114,700...
However, liquidity distribution beyond one month usually has a higher degree of distortion, because the liquidation map only marks the liquidity after futures positions are opened, while closing positions will not be displayed. Therefore, we cannot know exactly how much liquidity is left in this dense short liquidity liquidation area at high levels;
After all, the price could have directly penetrated before, but it chose not to liquidate and turned around due to the conflicts in the Middle East...
This has made subsequent liquidity analysis even more difficult...
#美国国债 #加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 $SOL $BTC $ETH
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Attention!! Today, the indicator has finally confirmed a demand zone of 100,000 at the daily level. According to common patterns, the latest demand that appears is usually not broken on the first test. Therefore, the closer the current price gets to this demand zone, the more it is worth going long.
At the short-term level, we cannot determine whether the price will make a second test (I personally believe there is still a chance);
Thus, the possibility of the black converging triangle drawn in the chart being valid is relatively high; this indicates that the market may still oscillate within this range for the next one to two weeks, but this convergence will ultimately end with a breakout.
That is to say, after July, we can consider shifting from a short-term mindset to a trend-based mindset.
Currently, due to the slow upward movement of the daily channel, the upward space for prices has been opened, and the potential target can reach 112,700, which is just above the new high.
At the same time, since the daily line has confirmed a break below the upper line of the oscillation channel, this signifies that the previous bullish trend at the daily level has finally come to a complete end. The subsequent market will likely oscillate between a high range and a shift to a bearish trend;
In summary, if a high-range oscillation is chosen, there is still a possibility of a brief breakout above the new high by a few hundred dollars. If a shift to a bearish trend is chosen, the first target will be the midline of the daily channel: around 97,700;
Based on recent macro data performance and market sentiment, I tend to prefer the scenario of continuing to oscillate in the high range.
#加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #加密概念美股 $BTC $ETH $XRP
At the short-term level, we cannot determine whether the price will make a second test (I personally believe there is still a chance);
Thus, the possibility of the black converging triangle drawn in the chart being valid is relatively high; this indicates that the market may still oscillate within this range for the next one to two weeks, but this convergence will ultimately end with a breakout.
That is to say, after July, we can consider shifting from a short-term mindset to a trend-based mindset.
Currently, due to the slow upward movement of the daily channel, the upward space for prices has been opened, and the potential target can reach 112,700, which is just above the new high.
At the same time, since the daily line has confirmed a break below the upper line of the oscillation channel, this signifies that the previous bullish trend at the daily level has finally come to a complete end. The subsequent market will likely oscillate between a high range and a shift to a bearish trend;
In summary, if a high-range oscillation is chosen, there is still a possibility of a brief breakout above the new high by a few hundred dollars. If a shift to a bearish trend is chosen, the first target will be the midline of the daily channel: around 97,700;
Based on recent macro data performance and market sentiment, I tend to prefer the scenario of continuing to oscillate in the high range.
#加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #加密概念美股 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Saturday, the bears are strong, Bitcoin and Ethereum have collapsed comprehensively, sharing strategies for the future market.
The next day, the bears exerted force again, with Bitcoin dropping to a low of 102,300 before stabilizing, while Ethereum followed closely, reaching a low of 2,365. In the afternoon, a short position was set at 106,300, and by the evening, a profit of 2,300 points was realized, while Ethereum also captured a gain of 70 points. If you are feeling confused and are unable to make good decisions, perhaps it’s time to stop and learn in order to better grasp every moment of the market.
Speaking from a technical perspective, the current price action on the 4-hour chart is slightly retracing and adjusting near the MA60 and the upper band, with BOLL in a contracted state. Therefore, whether the short-term bullish trend can continue depends on whether the price can stay above the MA60 and whether BOLL can transition from a contraction to an expansion state.
Regarding operational advice, for those trading short-term, pay attention to the performance of the important support level at 102,000. If the support level breaks, you might consider following the trend and entering short positions; if the price holds above the support and rebounds with volume, you might cautiously try to position long at lower levels.
Saturday's recommendation.
Bitcoin at 102,500-103, target 104,500.
To be honest, the recent market has been quite volatile. If you feel lost and are not able to capitalize, perhaps take a moment to learn and come closer to me for warmth.
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
The next day, the bears exerted force again, with Bitcoin dropping to a low of 102,300 before stabilizing, while Ethereum followed closely, reaching a low of 2,365. In the afternoon, a short position was set at 106,300, and by the evening, a profit of 2,300 points was realized, while Ethereum also captured a gain of 70 points. If you are feeling confused and are unable to make good decisions, perhaps it’s time to stop and learn in order to better grasp every moment of the market.
Speaking from a technical perspective, the current price action on the 4-hour chart is slightly retracing and adjusting near the MA60 and the upper band, with BOLL in a contracted state. Therefore, whether the short-term bullish trend can continue depends on whether the price can stay above the MA60 and whether BOLL can transition from a contraction to an expansion state.
Regarding operational advice, for those trading short-term, pay attention to the performance of the important support level at 102,000. If the support level breaks, you might consider following the trend and entering short positions; if the price holds above the support and rebounds with volume, you might cautiously try to position long at lower levels.
Saturday's recommendation.
Bitcoin at 102,500-103, target 104,500.
To be honest, the recent market has been quite volatile. If you feel lost and are not able to capitalize, perhaps take a moment to learn and come closer to me for warmth.
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Large pancake 4h bottom divergence, first made a short bullish move, still the previous viewpoint: short bullish long bearish.
This week's closing will be very important, depending on the weekly top segmentation structure, currently it is a fluctuating game, next week there will also be options expiration, and it is very likely that there will not be a significant trending direction.
Doing fluctuations along the upper and lower edges of the central zone would be very nice.
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
This week's closing will be very important, depending on the weekly top segmentation structure, currently it is a fluctuating game, next week there will also be options expiration, and it is very likely that there will not be a significant trending direction.
Doing fluctuations along the upper and lower edges of the central zone would be very nice.
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Although the market has been a bit boring these past two days, there are still opportunities; there are strategies for dealing with fluctuations. Go long from 104 to 105, and pocket 1000 points! The strategy is spot on, and action leads to peak performance!
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型 #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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The market has been a bit dull in the past couple of days. The resistance for BTC was 105,500 from the morning of the day before yesterday, ETH faced resistance at 2,532-2,550, and SOL at 149.5, all of which have not broken through since then. The recent support levels of 103,300, 2,444, and 141.5 have also not been breached.
Therefore, there is not much room for significant operations at the moment. However, on the 2-day and 3-day levels, there is a need for further corrections. It would be more appropriate to wait for a dip before entering with a low long position.
Therefore, there is not much room for significant operations at the moment. However, on the 2-day and 3-day levels, there is a need for further corrections. It would be more appropriate to wait for a dip before entering with a low long position.
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Friday, Bitcoin and Ethereum Morning Insights
Overall, Bitcoin shows no obvious changes on the technical front. The daily level continues to be pressured by the MA and the middle band. As long as this line is not broken, it will be difficult to reverse temporarily, maintaining a weak oscillating pattern. The support below is currently effective, so we will wait for another dip; if it breaks, we will look for new support to enter.
As for Ethereum, the daily technical level is currently blocked by MA7, with additional pressure from the middle band. In short, the breaking point of the box structure is getting closer. In the short term, we can similarly follow Bitcoin, waiting for another dip in the support area; if it breaks, we will refer to the MA60 near the daily level.
Operational Recommendations
Bitcoin: 104100-3500 range, target around 106000-7000
Ethereum: 2480-2500 range, target around 2600
That's all for now, sorry for any inaccuracies. If you recognize the strategy, let's push forward together! #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 #我的交易风格 #GENIUS稳定币法案 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Overall, Bitcoin shows no obvious changes on the technical front. The daily level continues to be pressured by the MA and the middle band. As long as this line is not broken, it will be difficult to reverse temporarily, maintaining a weak oscillating pattern. The support below is currently effective, so we will wait for another dip; if it breaks, we will look for new support to enter.
As for Ethereum, the daily technical level is currently blocked by MA7, with additional pressure from the middle band. In short, the breaking point of the box structure is getting closer. In the short term, we can similarly follow Bitcoin, waiting for another dip in the support area; if it breaks, we will refer to the MA60 near the daily level.
Operational Recommendations
Bitcoin: 104100-3500 range, target around 106000-7000
Ethereum: 2480-2500 range, target around 2600
That's all for now, sorry for any inaccuracies. If you recognize the strategy, let's push forward together! #鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突 #我的交易风格 #GENIUS稳定币法案 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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In a strong bullish phase, pullbacks are opportunities to enter!
After a significant intraday retracement, Bitcoin has seen a rebound from the bottom. The price has already broken through the short-term resistance area, but has not yet surpassed the key resistance zone of the daily Bollinger middle band at 106,500. Currently, the trend is above 105,000, but multiple attempts have failed to break through again.
From a technical structure perspective, the 4-hour level continues to rise, with a bullish arrangement diverging, and there is still momentum for upward movement. A pullback provides another opportunity to go long, and in the strong bullish situation in the short term, it is recommended to buy on dips.
Wednesday's Suggestions
Bitcoin 105,000-5,500, target around 107
Ethereum 2,530-2,550, target around 2,650
#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突 #币安HODLer空投HOME #美国加征关税 #X平台封号 $BTC $ETH $XRP
After a significant intraday retracement, Bitcoin has seen a rebound from the bottom. The price has already broken through the short-term resistance area, but has not yet surpassed the key resistance zone of the daily Bollinger middle band at 106,500. Currently, the trend is above 105,000, but multiple attempts have failed to break through again.
From a technical structure perspective, the 4-hour level continues to rise, with a bullish arrangement diverging, and there is still momentum for upward movement. A pullback provides another opportunity to go long, and in the strong bullish situation in the short term, it is recommended to buy on dips.
Wednesday's Suggestions
Bitcoin 105,000-5,500, target around 107
Ethereum 2,530-2,550, target around 2,650
#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突 #币安HODLer空投HOME #美国加征关税 #X平台封号 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Get in the bearish position, waiting for takeoff!
Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded after a pullback near the 103750 level, and the price subsequently moved up to around 105800 before facing resistance and retracing again. It seems both bulls and bears are starting to get stuck, but we are currently in a weak phase, indeed!
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows that after a previous one-sided rise, we are now experiencing a short-term decline, and the overall trend is weakening. The strength of the rebound is relatively small, so we should not chase prices easily at this stage. Looking at the 4-hour chart, it indicates a volatile downward trend, and under weak conditions, rebound opportunities should be short!
Monday morning suggestions:
Short Bitcoin at 106-105, target focusing on 103-101.
Short Ethereum at 2540-60, target focusing on 2450-2300.
Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded after a pullback near the 103750 level, and the price subsequently moved up to around 105800 before facing resistance and retracing again. It seems both bulls and bears are starting to get stuck, but we are currently in a weak phase, indeed!
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows that after a previous one-sided rise, we are now experiencing a short-term decline, and the overall trend is weakening. The strength of the rebound is relatively small, so we should not chase prices easily at this stage. Looking at the 4-hour chart, it indicates a volatile downward trend, and under weak conditions, rebound opportunities should be short!
Monday morning suggestions:
Short Bitcoin at 106-105, target focusing on 103-101.
Short Ethereum at 2540-60, target focusing on 2450-2300.
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The market has once again completed its fluctuations in the early hours, with the price dropping from the 110,000 mark to around 108,000. It can be observed that the market is basically oscillating back and forth, and Ethereum has also seen a significant rebound. Currently, it is in a consolidation structure, having touched the upper high point around 2,711 before facing pressure and falling back. The overall rhythm remains in a wide range oscillation.
From the current market perspective, the four-hour structure shows that after multiple attempts to test the low, a new low has not formed, and each time it hits the bottom, it is followed by a secondary attempt to reach a higher point. The longs and shorts are in a tug-of-war, and a one-sided structure has not formed a certain continuation space. On the hourly chart, the price is showing a horizontal consolidation trend, and the continuous decline has not exerted lasting force but has undergone a technical correction followed by a second accumulation of strength. The rebound high points are gradually weakening. For intraday operations, it is suggested to look for a rebound and short positions below 107,000.
For Bitcoin, short positions can be taken at 109,200-109,700, targeting around 106,000.
For Ethereum, short positions can be taken at 2,660-2,690, targeting around 2,550.
#比特币2025大会 #特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库 #币安Alpha上新 #巨鲸JamesWynn动态 #内容挖矿赢最高100%WCT返佣 $BTC $ETH $XRP
From the current market perspective, the four-hour structure shows that after multiple attempts to test the low, a new low has not formed, and each time it hits the bottom, it is followed by a secondary attempt to reach a higher point. The longs and shorts are in a tug-of-war, and a one-sided structure has not formed a certain continuation space. On the hourly chart, the price is showing a horizontal consolidation trend, and the continuous decline has not exerted lasting force but has undergone a technical correction followed by a second accumulation of strength. The rebound high points are gradually weakening. For intraday operations, it is suggested to look for a rebound and short positions below 107,000.
For Bitcoin, short positions can be taken at 109,200-109,700, targeting around 106,000.
For Ethereum, short positions can be taken at 2,660-2,690, targeting around 2,550.
#比特币2025大会 #特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库 #币安Alpha上新 #巨鲸JamesWynn动态 #内容挖矿赢最高100%WCT返佣 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Attention!! This wave of BTC has directly reached the top of the monthly Bollinger Band upper line, and SOL's rise has hit the 5-day Bollinger Band upper line. Currently, the 5-day MACD for BTC and SOL has first shown a weakening signal for upward momentum.
However, the 5-day MACD for ETH has not yet shown a weakening signal for upward momentum, as it lags behind BTC and SOL. So far, it has not rebounded to touch the 5-day Bollinger Band upper line near 2800. Will this gap be filled?
Returning to the significance of the first emergence of a weakening signal for upward momentum at the 5-day level. If another 2-3 signals appear in the next two weeks (calculating just approaching the June 19 Federal Reserve interest rate meeting), then a large bearish candle will appear downward. The nearest support at the 5-day level is 104600. However, the weekly MACD is still opening upwards, and it will only show a weakening signal for upward momentum when it drops to 102000, at which point a deeper adjustment will occur. We are already approaching the end of May; April and May have been rising, and June, as the last month of the second quarter, is likely to be a transitional month for a downward shift. It’s impossible to keep rising; the capital required for BTC to be above 110k is too large, and if it can't keep up, it needs to adjust and build momentum again.
Therefore, in the short term, it is not recommended to chase high prices during the upward process; instead, one should wait for a pullback to the support points to buy low. One should grasp the low long positions in the short term. As long as 112000 is not broken, it indicates that 108800 is not stable. If it pulls back, it may break below 108200, with the needle falling within the strong oscillation range of 107700-106300. Therefore, low long positions can only be taken by buying in at 107700-106300. If the price later drops below 106000, it indicates that it has fallen out of this oscillation range, and then we can look downward towards the range of 105000-102400!
However, the 5-day MACD for ETH has not yet shown a weakening signal for upward momentum, as it lags behind BTC and SOL. So far, it has not rebounded to touch the 5-day Bollinger Band upper line near 2800. Will this gap be filled?
Returning to the significance of the first emergence of a weakening signal for upward momentum at the 5-day level. If another 2-3 signals appear in the next two weeks (calculating just approaching the June 19 Federal Reserve interest rate meeting), then a large bearish candle will appear downward. The nearest support at the 5-day level is 104600. However, the weekly MACD is still opening upwards, and it will only show a weakening signal for upward momentum when it drops to 102000, at which point a deeper adjustment will occur. We are already approaching the end of May; April and May have been rising, and June, as the last month of the second quarter, is likely to be a transitional month for a downward shift. It’s impossible to keep rising; the capital required for BTC to be above 110k is too large, and if it can't keep up, it needs to adjust and build momentum again.
Therefore, in the short term, it is not recommended to chase high prices during the upward process; instead, one should wait for a pullback to the support points to buy low. One should grasp the low long positions in the short term. As long as 112000 is not broken, it indicates that 108800 is not stable. If it pulls back, it may break below 108200, with the needle falling within the strong oscillation range of 107700-106300. Therefore, low long positions can only be taken by buying in at 107700-106300. If the price later drops below 106000, it indicates that it has fallen out of this oscillation range, and then we can look downward towards the range of 105000-102400!
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On Tuesday, the bears once again provided an opportunity to jump in, go short directly, and close your eyes to short!
As the new week begins, it is indeed exciting, with a market that fluctuates by tens of thousands of points, all while avoiding a washout with high energy. Looking back at yesterday's setup, shorting at 106 down to 102, with a 4000-point space hitting us in the face! Clearly stated, clearly marked, feel free to take a closer look with a magnifying glass, I just want to say that taking action is peak performance, and opening your eyes means taking off!
Returning to the technical side, after a large bearish pullback on the 4-hour chart, we see a series of bullish stretches, but the short-term trend is relatively weak. Overall, we continue to maintain a bearish outlook. Although there is currently a rebound, the strength is relatively weak and does not indicate a reversal; continue to short during the day!
Tuesday's Recommendation
Short Bitcoin at 106, with a target of 103 to 101
The same formula, the same flavor! #Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha空投SOON #我的EOS交易 #BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 $BTC $ETH $XRP
As the new week begins, it is indeed exciting, with a market that fluctuates by tens of thousands of points, all while avoiding a washout with high energy. Looking back at yesterday's setup, shorting at 106 down to 102, with a 4000-point space hitting us in the face! Clearly stated, clearly marked, feel free to take a closer look with a magnifying glass, I just want to say that taking action is peak performance, and opening your eyes means taking off!
Returning to the technical side, after a large bearish pullback on the 4-hour chart, we see a series of bullish stretches, but the short-term trend is relatively weak. Overall, we continue to maintain a bearish outlook. Although there is currently a rebound, the strength is relatively weak and does not indicate a reversal; continue to short during the day!
Tuesday's Recommendation
Short Bitcoin at 106, with a target of 103 to 101
The same formula, the same flavor! #Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha空投SOON #我的EOS交易 #BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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The entire network suggests a bearish outlook at 102, just one step away! 106 has fallen all the way down, and the space of 4000 points is surely enough for you to take a pot, the light at the top of the mountain, illuminating you in a thousand ways!
#我的EOS交易 #BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC $ETH $XRP
#我的EOS交易 #BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Micro-level observation on the divergence between BTC futures and spot prices:
It can be seen that after the price surged to 106,000 in the early session, the first 'door' appeared, leading to a price drop, while the spot premium continued to rise, indicating that retail short sellers had entered the market heavily, hence there is a possibility of further liquidation, as they provided a large amount of short-term high-leverage liquidation above the price;
Subsequently, the price surged again, but the premium of the cryptocurrency was decreasing, indicating that retail long buyers also... entered the market heavily, thus increasing the amount of short-term high-leverage liquidation below the price;
Thus, there is again downward liquidation pressure on the price...
Why was BTC so volatile on Monday morning? The reason is simple: after a whole weekend of low volatility, a lot of eager funds were impatient to participate in trading.
The cause of all this was precisely a wave of price increase caused by institutional reallocation or spot purchases last night, during which the spot premium basically remained unchanged, indicating no divergence between futures and spot;
In the subsequent pullback, high-leverage short futures took the initiative first, then all were wiped out, followed by high-leverage long futures also taking the initiative, currently in a quite delicate state.
In summary, the key to watch next is whether the premium can rise again with the price drop, then the third door would be completed, and a fourth door could be drawn... breaking a new high again!
If the premium starts to decline with the price drop, then in this back-and-forth game of drawing doors, the shorts might achieve final victory...
Simply put, it’s about watching which side the spot major forces tend to support in this fierce battle between futures bulls and bears~
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？ #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
It can be seen that after the price surged to 106,000 in the early session, the first 'door' appeared, leading to a price drop, while the spot premium continued to rise, indicating that retail short sellers had entered the market heavily, hence there is a possibility of further liquidation, as they provided a large amount of short-term high-leverage liquidation above the price;
Subsequently, the price surged again, but the premium of the cryptocurrency was decreasing, indicating that retail long buyers also... entered the market heavily, thus increasing the amount of short-term high-leverage liquidation below the price;
Thus, there is again downward liquidation pressure on the price...
Why was BTC so volatile on Monday morning? The reason is simple: after a whole weekend of low volatility, a lot of eager funds were impatient to participate in trading.
The cause of all this was precisely a wave of price increase caused by institutional reallocation or spot purchases last night, during which the spot premium basically remained unchanged, indicating no divergence between futures and spot;
In the subsequent pullback, high-leverage short futures took the initiative first, then all were wiped out, followed by high-leverage long futures also taking the initiative, currently in a quite delicate state.
In summary, the key to watch next is whether the premium can rise again with the price drop, then the third door would be completed, and a fourth door could be drawn... breaking a new high again!
If the premium starts to decline with the price drop, then in this back-and-forth game of drawing doors, the shorts might achieve final victory...
Simply put, it’s about watching which side the spot major forces tend to support in this fierce battle between futures bulls and bears~
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？ #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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The market trend on Monday has emerged, coincidentally clearing the short liquidity that appeared on January 31, which is the 106k~107k area we have repeatedly mentioned;
With the boring oscillation market of last week coming to an end, both bulls and bears in the current market have begun to gradually accumulate considerable liquidation volume.
According to the reasoning from last Monday's citation...
The overall structure of the current market remains a volatile upward trend, so although the short liquidity is not as much as the long, one cannot simply assume that it should be time to liquidate the longs...
Only when the bullish trend structure of the price shows signs of damage can one consider the possibility of a deep pullback or even a reversal, and this critical threshold is around 100600!
As for the current situation, or rather the market expectations for this week, I still believe we can maintain a bullish outlook or stick to the original range oscillation idea;
As long as the two low-density long liquidation zones below the current price do not gradually turn into high-density, then the price can continue to test the previous highs and proceed with liquidations.
If any negative news occurs this week causing the price to break below the lower edge of the current range, then this long liquidity will trigger a chain liquidation, until around 91000;
Similarly, if the market continues to buy, then the short liquidity above can also trigger a chain liquidation, pushing the price up to around 117000...
You can refer to my chart and label the price positions yourself. The upper edge of the yellow rectangle above the price are potential resistance levels, while the lower edge of the yellow rectangle below the price are potential support levels!
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？
#山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
With the boring oscillation market of last week coming to an end, both bulls and bears in the current market have begun to gradually accumulate considerable liquidation volume.
According to the reasoning from last Monday's citation...
The overall structure of the current market remains a volatile upward trend, so although the short liquidity is not as much as the long, one cannot simply assume that it should be time to liquidate the longs...
Only when the bullish trend structure of the price shows signs of damage can one consider the possibility of a deep pullback or even a reversal, and this critical threshold is around 100600!
As for the current situation, or rather the market expectations for this week, I still believe we can maintain a bullish outlook or stick to the original range oscillation idea;
As long as the two low-density long liquidation zones below the current price do not gradually turn into high-density, then the price can continue to test the previous highs and proceed with liquidations.
If any negative news occurs this week causing the price to break below the lower edge of the current range, then this long liquidity will trigger a chain liquidation, until around 91000;
Similarly, if the market continues to buy, then the short liquidity above can also trigger a chain liquidation, pushing the price up to around 117000...
You can refer to my chart and label the price positions yourself. The upper edge of the yellow rectangle above the price are potential resistance levels, while the lower edge of the yellow rectangle below the price are potential support levels!
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？
#山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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A short selling counterattack, catching you off guard! The most genuine voices on the internet, 106 drop to 104! Will it explode?
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
#BTC挑战11万大关 #美国加征关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 $BTC $ETH $XRP
See original
Not much to say, not much to chatter, continue to look down on the empty order, at this stage almost everyone is bullish, stick to your choice, go against the current!
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 #以太坊安全计划 #稳定币日常支付 $BTC $ETH $XRP
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #山寨季何时到来？ #币安AlphaSUI生态交易竞赛 #以太坊安全计划 #稳定币日常支付 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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