crypto肖晓

The soon-to-be delisted ALPACA has surprisingly surged against the trend, with an increase of 242%!\n\nThis is the way of the market makers: reverse operation! Do you dare to short? Then let’s make you liquidate!\n\nMany retail investors see that this coin will be delisted and assume it will definitely crash, so they choose to short. However, how could the market makers let you profit so easily? Clearly not! They simply raise the price, smashing the short positions!\n\nTherefore, when trading, one should not be limited by conventional thinking; instead, cultivate reverse thinking and reassess market trends!\n\n#Strategy增持比特币 #阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备

In the cryptocurrency world, many people are eager to take action.

However, it is precisely during unclear market conditions and scarce opportunities that many mistake "stopping" for "wasting time."

In fact, this is an illusion.

Truly mature traders will actively choose to slow down when the market direction is unclear, rather than being eager to act.

#SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #亚利桑那比特币储备 #特朗普税改

On April 30, BTC is still oscillating in a high range. Looking at the intraday trend, there may be a liquidity raid above 95500, attempting to challenge the resistance level. If the resistance at 96200 can be effectively defended, a pullback support area at the 4-hour level may appear.

If you want to perform intraday operations, you can choose to open positions near 95800, with the target support levels to pay attention to being 936 and 927.

#币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币 #

After long-term verification in the market, 90% of losses come from the following 9 fatal mistakes:

Blindly chasing prices: Seeing prices soar, unable to resist jumping in, resulting in buying at a high point.

Wrong entry points: Unable to judge market trends, always building positions in unfavorable locations.

Emotional trading: Unable to control emotions, frequent operations lead to losses.

Stubbornly holding on: Being overly attached to a specific coin, ignoring market change signals.

Refusing to reflect and grow: Only blaming the market during losses, never considering issues with one's own operations.

Lack of technical analysis: Trading based on intuition, not understanding basic analytical methods.

No planning: Buying and selling without rules, acting on whims, lacking a clear trading strategy.

Panic trading: Fidgeting and anxious during market fluctuations, chasing highs and cutting lows, missing opportunities.

Holding onto hope: "This time is different," leading to deeper gambling and worsening losses.

#Strategy增持比特币 #阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备

We can abstract the core idea of the trading system as follows:

Expected profit per trade = Win rate × Profit per win – Loss rate × Loss per loss, simplified to: average profit per trade minus average loss per trade.

For example, considering three types of roles:

Retail Investor: Win rate is 45%, expected profit = 0.45 × 1.5 – 0.55 × 1 = +0.125

Regular Trader: Win rate is 50%, expected profit = 0.50 × 1.5 – 0.50 × 1 = +0.25

Professional Trader: Win rate is 55%, expected profit = 0.55 × 1.5 – 0.45 × 1 = +0.375

As we can see, from retail investors to regular traders, a 5% increase in win rate nearly doubles the profit; while a 10% increase in win rate results in a 200% increase in expected profit. This gap is much larger than we imagined.

#AI概念币领跑 #阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备

Pin Bar Washing

Method: Create a sharp drop in a very short time, forming a long lower shadow, and then quickly pull the price back.

Characteristics: The candlestick chart shows a 'pin bar' pattern, where after the long lower shadow appears, the price recovers to its original position or close to it.

Purpose: Through a sudden large fluctuation, force stop-loss orders to be triggered, thereby creating market panic.

Operational details:
Pin bar washing is usually accompanied by the cancellation of on-chain orders and liquidity interference, further exacerbating price fluctuations.
The operator usually takes on chips below, restoring the price after the wash and continuing the original trend.

#阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备 #空投发现指南

The current emotions are intense; they rise quickly and fall just as fast. By the time you see it, it's already several million, and the ceiling is mostly very limited.

In a secondary market, attention is lacking, and no one is there to play with you.

So there is liquidity, but it's mostly from experts; retail liquidity is very low.

Experts rely on early information sources and can analyze the market and chips; how can we play? It's impossible to quickly understand so much on a mobile phone; besides the big narratives, looking at narratives alone is useless.

I am preparing to learn some online analysis knowledge and will only play in the early stages, not in the secondary market.

#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #AI概念币领跑

April 29th Midday Market Observation

Bitcoin's short-term support level is at 92,800, with a defensive level at 91,600. It is recommended to engage in short-term operations in the 91,600-92,000 range, with a stop-loss set at 91,000.

If the defensive level holds, the market is expected to move upward.

The short-term pressure level above is at 95,700. A breakthrough would confirm a bullish trend, with targets at 96,800-98,500. Cautious traders may attempt near 98,500. Currently, the key support level on the four-hour chart is at 94,300.

Ethereum's defensive range is at 1,736-1,722. If the price retraces to this range, one might consider a small long position, with a stop-loss set at 1,700.

If this support range holds, the important pressure level on the four-hour chart is at 1,803. A breakthrough would target 1,856, 1,898, and 1,955; if the price falls below the support range, it may continue to decline.

The four-hour chart for Solana shows it is currently in a downward trend, with the last support level at 145. If this support level is breached, the target support range is 138-135, and one can consider low-position layouts in this range.

If it does not decline to this support level, one can wait for the four-hour close to confirm a breakthrough at 148 before considering a long position.

BNB is currently oscillating within a four-hour range, with the top pressure level at 609. A breakthrough would initiate an upward trend, with targets at 620, 636, and 642.

The bottom support level is at 592. If this support level is breached, there is a possibility of a decline to 576 and 566.

#AI概念币领跑 #阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备

4.29 Market Analysis BTC, ETH

Hello brothers, good afternoon! After a round of pullbacks at midnight, the big coin quickly rebounded, demonstrating strong resistance. At midnight, including the clear emphasis in the morning, it is currently suitable to operate around the top and bottom of the consolidation range. However, some brothers still hesitate to decisively take positions after a dip, instead asking whether they can chase after the rebound approaches the peak of the consolidation, which truly makes me laugh and cry.

The big coin is currently in a high-level consolidation on the daily chart, with wide fluctuations on the 4-hour chart. It is still advisable to adopt a strategy of selling high and buying low, focusing on the key level of 94300, with resistance at 95700, 96900, and around 98500 above.

If the 4-hour closing breaks below 94300, a pullback is expected, with support levels to watch at around 93500, 92700, and 91880.

Ethereum also maintains a 4-hour level of fluctuation. The core support level is 1795. If this position is not effectively broken in the 4-hour timeframe, it still has upward momentum after a short-term pullback, with resistance levels at 1825, 1855, and 1880 above.

Conversely, if the 4-hour closing breaks below 1795, a phase of pullback is expected, with support at 1780, 1765, 1740, and 1720 below.

#阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备 #空投发现指南

WLD is currently testing support around 1.12, showing signs of stabilization.

Key technical levels are as follows:

Resistance levels:

1.15 (short-term resistance level)

1.187 (24-hour high)

Support levels:

1.12 (currently testing support)

1.095 (24-hour low)

Market possibilities:

If it breaks through 1.15, it may open up further upward space.

If it faces pressure and falls back, it may test the 1.12 support level again.

In the short term, the price may remain in the current range and fluctuate.

#AI概念币领跑 #空投发现指南 #特朗普税改

On Wednesday, the U.S. Q1 GDP and March PCE data will be released, which is undoubtedly a crucial moment! From a cyclical perspective, if the market rises on Monday and Tuesday, then a pullback is likely to occur on Wednesday, and the reason triggering this pullback could be a significant piece of news, such as the release of U.S. GDP data.

The GDP data will directly reflect the health of the U.S. economy, with the market expecting a growth rate of 0.4%, which is rather conservative.

If the actual data exceeds expectations, U.S. stocks and Bitcoin may experience a surge. However, if the data falls short of expectations, the market could undergo significant fluctuations.

Additionally, PCE data reflects inflationary pressures, and the tariff increases in March may push prices higher. If the PCE increase exceeds expectations, market sentiment may be impacted. Therefore, Wednesday's release will be a key moment for the market!

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF #特朗普暂停新关税

Bitcoin (BTC) is gradually recovering lost ground on the 4-hour chart, maintaining a trend of upward fluctuations.

The short-term resistance level is around 96,500. It is important to note that on April 30, economic growth data from the United States will be released, which may raise concerns in the market. Therefore, before the data is released, the market may continue to fluctuate and consolidate.

The subsequent trend this week will focus on the first GDP data from the U.S. after the implementation of Trump's tariff policy.

Overall, ignoring the influence of external factors, Bitcoin's trend remains healthy.

Although there may be a demand for a pullback to the mid-line in the short term, as long as the price remains above the mid-line, the overall bullish advantage still exists.

#币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税 #币安HODLer空投SIGN

April 28 Market Hotspots Tracking:

The spot price of Bitcoin is about 40% lower than its energy cost.

Strategy is currently the 88th largest company by market capitalization in the U.S., setting a new record.

The U.S. SEC's cryptocurrency reform is facing new political pressure, especially in relation to Trump.

A researcher from the Ethereum Foundation proposed to raise Ethereum's gas limit 100-fold over the next four years.

Grayscale's GBTC has an implied annual income exceeding $268 million, surpassing the total of all Bitcoin ETFs.

Three former SEC legal advisors stated that after Paul Atkins took office, the enforcement focus has shifted, but will not completely deviate from the original direction.

#ProSharesTrustXRPETF #币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税

The current macro environment has passed the most difficult period, and market confidence is gradually recovering. As the market adjustment completes, the market is expected to shift from a rebound to a reversal.

If there is no interest rate cut in May, the likelihood of a rate cut in June will significantly increase.

At that time, combined with the introduction of policies such as tariff negotiations, the market may quickly take off.

Therefore, the entire month of May will be a good opportunity to position oneself at lower levels.

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安Alpha积分 #币安HODLer空投SIGN

When I first entered the cryptocurrency world, I was full of ideals, especially the concept of decentralization, envisioning a future on the blockchain that is transparent, open, and borderless.

However, the current situation is becoming increasingly disappointing.

The rise and fall of Bitcoin seems to depend on institutions and Trump, while ninety-nine percent of altcoins are merely the 'trophy shells' of venture capital circles, lacking substantial technological innovation or revolution.

The entire market seems to have lost its original intention, becoming like an absurd farce.

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税

On the morning of April 28, BTC finally showed a noticeable pullback, reaching the support level of 83100 mentioned the previous day. Although there was a slight rebound, I personally believe that the extent of this pullback has not yet reached the expected target.

Daily operation suggestion: Consider going long around 93000, with a target around 94100, and then reverse to short down to around 91600.

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF #币安Alpha积分

$ETH Short Position Operation Strategy Reference:

Currently, the ETH price is in the range of 1800-1820, it is recommended to consider directly positioning short. In terms of risk control, the stop-loss level is set above 1850. The initial target is aimed at around 1700.

During the operation, it is necessary to strictly control the position while closely monitoring BTC trends and overall market sentiment changes. It is recommended to take partial profits around 1750, gradually locking in gains to ensure profits are secured.

#以太坊的未来 #币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新

The real opponent is never the others in the market, but your own emotions.

In the cryptocurrency market, most people do not fail due to inadequate technical analysis, nor do they lose because of biased information judgment; instead, they are crushed by the greed and fear within.

When market fluctuations hit, emotions act like an invisible virus, quietly eroding judgment and weakening rational decision-making.

Watching others profit easily leads to FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), causing blind chasing of highs; when the account experiences a drawdown, there is a rush to cut losses in panic. On the surface, it appears to be trading in the market, but in reality, it is trading emotions. The market itself is neither good nor evil; what truly traps people in difficulties is the inability to control their emotional reactions.

The dividing line between top traders and ordinary investors is never about information asymmetry, but rather about the ability to maintain emotional stability over the long term.

Mature investors understand how to overcome the temptations and panic brought by volatility, always following discipline and plans, steadfastly executing strategies, and not being swayed by short-term fluctuations.

Without the ability to manage emotions, it becomes difficult to control operations; once operations are out of control, it is impossible to predict outcomes. Emotional management is a necessary path for every investor to mature.

#币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名

Previously, the aunt was strong, driving the rise of altcoins.

Now, altcoins are strong first, which in turn affects the aunt.

If altcoins have already skyrocketed, and the aunt doesn't come up with something big,

it would really be extremely embarrassing!

#币安Alpha积分 #币安HODLer空投SIGN #以太坊的未来

Ethereum closely follows Bitcoin's rhythm, currently showing signs of stabilizing around the $1800 mark, with market sentiment gradually warming up.

In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to primarily focus on long positions at lower levels, with short-term attention on the resistance level around $1850; if this range can be effectively broken, there is hope for further upward movement towards the $1900 area.

#币安Alpha积分 #币安HODLer空投SIGN #以太坊的未来