Crypto田田圈

现在市场情绪波动剧烈，价格涨得快，跌得也快，一转眼就看到几百万的资金进场，但大多数项目的天花板已经很接近。

二段市场的注意力集中度低，玩家少，流动性基本都掌握在高手手里，普通投资者几乎没有流动性可言。

高手依靠早期信息、精准的庄家分析和筹码把控，而我们却只能在手机上盯着看，很难及时获取足够的信息，除了了解大趋势，其他的分析显得力不从心。

所以，我打算转变策略，专注学习线上分析，专注早期市场，不再沉迷二段市场的短期波动。

#亚利桑那比特币储备 #空投发现指南 #特朗普税改

I really want to give this market a big slap! If it's going to change, just change it, dragging it out like this is just a way to cut both ends of the leek, right?

The market manipulators are really cunning. In the past few days, the market has not been completely synchronized with the U.S. stock market anymore; when the U.S. market drops, they pretend to drop, but during the day they pull it back up, making you mistakenly think that "it's not falling anymore, it's going to reverse."

But the more it is like this, the more you need to stay calm. When it's time to act, be quick, accurate, and ruthless; when it's not time to move, just treat it like watching a show.

#阿布扎比稳定币 #亚利桑那比特币储备 #空投发现指南

The current macro environment has emerged from the most difficult phase, and market confidence is gradually recovering. Once the market adjustment ends, the trend is expected to shift from a rebound phase to a reversal.

If there is no interest rate cut in May, the probability of a rate cut in June will significantly increase. At that time, combined with the progress of tariff negotiations and other policies, the market is likely to rebound rapidly. Therefore, the entire month of May will be a good opportunity for positioning at lower levels.

#空投发现指南 #特朗普税改 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

Short-term trading, especially day trading, carries significant risks, primarily because price fluctuations in the short term are mainly random, which makes it challenging to gain a sustained advantage through judgment.

Of course, some quantitative trading strategies involve advanced mathematics and algorithms, which differ from subjective human trading.

What I refer to are trading methods that rely on personal judgment; many people dream of making substantial profits through short-term operations, but they often find that they are moving further away from breaking even. This is evident when observing how many people get lost in short-term trading.

Of course, there are also lucky individuals who can pull back at the right moment, but that is merely an exception.

For those with limited capital who wish to earn more, they might consider trying trend-following strategies.

This approach does not require excessive anxiety; perhaps good returns can be seen in a year or two, and it allows for long-term holding.

On one hand, long-term holding, compared to frequent short-term operations, does not overly drain your energy and does not cause significant disruption to your life.

On the other hand, the core of trend-following lies in identifying a genuine long-term trend. In recent years, the global economy has been weak, and geopolitical conflicts have intensified, reflecting that we have entered the latter stage of the economic cycle.

Therefore, in the next phase, as the fundamentals continue to deteriorate, such phenomena will become more prevalent.

#美股财报周来袭 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF

The status of Bitcoin as an independent asset is increasingly strengthening

On April 22, after gold prices broke through $3,500 to reach a historic high, the inability to maintain the upward momentum further highlights Bitcoin's potential as an independent asset class.

Although there have been questions about whether Bitcoin can be called "digital gold," if Bitcoin can consistently maintain a price level above $90,000, investor confidence may significantly increase, laying the groundwork for future rises.

Furthermore, the increase in bearish leverage demand in the perpetual Bitcoin futures market diverges from the sentiment of professional traders.

In contrast, monthly Bitcoin futures contracts avoid fluctuations in funding rates, allowing traders to lock in leverage costs in advance.

On April 26, the two-month Bitcoin futures premium (basis rate) rose to its highest point in seven weeks, indicating that interest in bullish positions is on the rise.

This indicator is currently at 6.5%, and although it remains within the neutral range of 5% to 10%, it is clearly moving away from bearish territory.

The phenomenon of decoupling in leverage demand between perpetual contracts and monthly Bitcoin futures contracts is not uncommon. Even if retail traders maintain a cautious attitude, large-scale accumulation by institutions may be enough to push Bitcoin prices above $100,000.

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #ProSharesTrustXRPETF #币安Alpha积分

NEIRO

This coin can focus on the first rebound position above 0.0003, and there seem to be some signs of the operator's actions.

From July to November last year, the market value rose from 4500 to 1.3 billion, directly soaring by 280,000 times, an astonishing performance.

On BN, it was even more exaggerated, rising from 0.00031 to 0.003, ten times in ten days, a typical BN effect.

Recently obtained IP rights, preparing for peripheral development, which is considered a positive signal.

Now the market value has dropped from 1.3 billion to 59.4 million, a decline of 22 times, and 0.00138 should be close to the bottom.

Currently slowly rebounding to 0.24, not yet exploded.

With the MEME sector heating up again, NEIRO may also welcome opportunities.

#ProSharesTrustXRPETF #币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税

April 28th Altcoin Market Analysis:

PENGU: The price of this coin has surged significantly, increasing by 160% in a week. Looking back at previous positions, I exited at 0.09, which is now a bit regrettable. Watch for resistance at 0.0155 and support at 0.0096 today.

SOL: According to previous analysis, if the price stabilizes around 150, additional entry can be considered.

SUI: The intraday low pulled back to 3.39, and the order at 3.4 has been successfully executed, currently showing a profit of 7%. I maintain a bullish outlook.

TRUMP: Market enthusiasm has cooled, trading volume has decreased, and performance is weak; further attention is needed on related news stimuli.

Additionally, projects to watch recently include: JST, WLD, ZEC, PEPE, ORDI.

#ProSharesTrustXRPETF #币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税

LAYER is indeed strong, unable to be shaken off despite multiple callbacks. The market is holding up very well, making it one of the few strong options in this wave of market conditions.

You can appropriately allocate some points, as it feels like the real main upward trend is still ahead.

#币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税 #特朗普暂停新关税

Bounce ≠ Reversal

Maintaining a conservative attitude towards the overall market this year, it is expected that there will not be a dramatic bull market, but a short-term stage rebound is still possible.

Most altcoins are unlikely to return to their early 2024 highs, as there is currently a large amount of trapped positions above.

In the future, the survival of retail investors will become increasingly difficult, and professional traders will gradually take the lead. If strategies are not continuously updated and optimized, the situation of losses will only become more severe.

#币安Alpha积分 #特朗普暂停新关税 #币安HODLer空投SIGN

Latest Updates on Altcoins:

Recently, the AI sector continues to heat up, with multiple projects showing strong rebounds:

WLD: Previously close to being halved, but recently the trend has warmed up, with a significant volume increase. If it can firmly hold above the $1.4 mark, it is expected to challenge the $2 barrier.

FET: As the leader of the AI sector, it continues to perform impressively, having already doubled in this round of rebound. After successfully breaking through the $0.72-$0.82 range, it is expected to test around $1.2 in the short term.

LPT: Previously highlighted for attention in the $4.2 range, it has since surged nearly 50% within a week. Currently in a consolidation phase, if it can break above $8, it is expected to have the opportunity to challenge the $10 target.

On the other hand, the Meme sector is also lively, but there is a notable overall differentiation:

NEIRO: The trend is strong, recently achieving a doubling performance, with significant market attention.

DOGE: The trend is relatively mild, with a current increase of about 20%. If it breaks the $0.3 barrier subsequently, it may open up a larger upward trend.

#币安HODLer空投SIGN #以太坊的未来 #币安上线INIT

Common Reasons for Retail Investors Losing Money:

This project has a product, it should go up.

As the first coin of the platform, it has to rise to have potential.

The front row is optimistic, it definitely won't go down.

If the project team doesn't pump, how can they offload, it will definitely rise.

After unlocking, there will definitely be a wave of increase to offload.

The project team is about to hold a meeting, it will definitely drive the price up.

#以太坊的未来 #币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新

Waking up, SUI and TRUMP have started to surge again,

These two coins seem to be competing to see which can spike higher, making people exclaim "breathtaking."

For SUI, the resistance level above is at $3.7, with support around $3.2, hoping to play a wave of high selling and low buying in the range;

As for TRUMP, the recent surge has been too fierce, and I do not plan to get involved in the short term, as market sentiment is too exuberant, and it is highly likely to spike further before adjusting downward.

Stay rational and act when the time is right.

#币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名

The reason why the rich are rich is not only because of their strength, but also because they understand how to follow the trend. When luck is on their side, they will pursue victory and double their efforts; when the situation is unfavorable, they know when to withdraw and conserve their strength.

They are accustomed to acting low-key and treating others with humility, leaving room for themselves. Those who have truly experienced great storms often understand the cyclical nature of fate more clearly.

I once encountered a client whose assets exceeded billions at the peak of his career. However, a sudden financial crisis caused his business to collapse. What was surprising was his remarkably calm attitude—while we tried to comfort him, he instead comforted us.

He said, "The good and bad of fate are never monopolized by one person. Although I have returned to zero overnight, my experience remains, and my children are still here. A few years later, my son will inherit the wisdom and lessons I leave behind; there is still hope for everything."

His composure allowed us to truly understand what emotional control means. Moving with the trend and stopping against it, without forcibly resisting the trend, is the true high-level wisdom of dealing with the world.

#币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名

OM shows strong momentum breakthrough, the market may enter an accelerated upward phase.

The current OM price is around 0.523, demonstrating a clear strong breakout trend, with bullish momentum continuously accumulating and market sentiment steadily warming up. The key resistance level is about to face a substantial test; if it can break through effectively, it may trigger a larger scale upward trend.

It is recommended to pay attention to potential entry opportunities in the 0.515–0.525 range.

The first stage target can be set at 0.540;

If momentum continues to be released, further probing up to 0.565 is not difficult;

In a strong market, 0.590 also has the possibility of being achieved.

Current trading volume is gradually increasing, and the market structure is becoming tighter, suggesting that the market may be brewing a new round of explosion.

The time is approaching; grasp the rhythm and do not miss the window.
#比特币市值排名 #TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

The current market is quietly changing its playstyle. VCs are no longer satisfied with merely profiting from the secondary market; instead, they are choosing to personally lead first-tier projects in 'VC+MEME' or 'VC+AI', controlling the market to raise excitement, quickly harvesting profits, and retreating swiftly, with a pace that is overwhelming.

Especially in the Solana ecosystem, the space for storytelling is becoming increasingly narrow, and market manipulation has evidently become the main theme. Once imaginative pure MEME projects are now compressed by high-frequency liquidity operations, with market cycles coming one after another, yet the window of opportunity for retail investors is shrinking.

Looking back at history, the 2017 bull market was driven by exchanges creating wealth myths, but as this cycle enters its second half, on-chain capital has become the protagonist, with hotspots constantly rotating—from TON to AI to MEME—each wave appears trendy, but in reality, it is merely a replication of old tactics.

Especially in the AI sector, despite the banner of technological innovation, the core logic of many projects remains to attract traffic through hot topics, then create a narrative to build buying sentiment—seemingly technology-driven, but fundamentally a MEME logic.

In the face of this situation, investors need to be particularly vigilant. No matter how big the opportunity seems, do not act blindly and impulsively; often hidden beneath the excitement are the shrewd layouts of early capital and the 'fate of retail investors buying in'.

#币安上线INIT #币安Alpha上新 #TRUMP晚宴

Vans has finally erupted, showing strong momentum.

Unfortunately, I couldn't hold on and missed this wave, I can only lament that the timing came a bit late.

In today's market, to capture a complete wave of profits, it truly requires immense patience and self-discipline.

Only by persisting in waiting can one reap genuine opportunities.

#以太坊的未来 #币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名

The Real-Life Map of Jianghu Laws: Eight Deep Survival Logics

Core of Jungle Survival: In the gray areas not yet covered by rules, what truly determines the power of discourse is strength, not identity.

Path of Resource Leap: To break through class barriers, the key is to access upper-level thinking and resources, rather than stubbornly focusing on personal abilities.

Barrier of Primitive Accumulation: The first pot of gold is the hardest to obtain; once primitive accumulation is achieved, subsequent growth often shows exponential leaps.

Turning Point for Class Crossing: Most turning points for those who start from scratch come from a benefactor's empowerment and key connections.

Threshold of Responsibility Pressure: Being willing to take risks and handle affairs is the ticket to entering higher circles; those who avoid responsibilities can only remain at the bottom.

Truth of Resource Allocation: Quality resources are never just waited for; they are fought for with strength, and “fairness” is often a self-comfort for the weak.

Wisdom of Game Theory: Do not be swayed by short-term temptations, but decisively seize strategic opportunities; this is the dividing line for winners.

Cognitive Blind Spots of Class Language: The expressions of those in high positions often hide information thresholds; maintaining rational interpretation is essential to truly understand the hidden rules behind the “moat.”

#比特币市值排名 #TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

In terms of current market attention, Ethereum's popularity is no longer as high as Dogecoin. Although Ethereum has invested heavily in technological evolution, the biggest problem is that it has not been able to effectively retain users.

The transition from PoW to PoS mechanism upgrades has caused a gradual loss of the massive global user base of GPU miners; in terms of ecology, although there are numerous Layer 2 networks, they develop independently and lack coordination, which has intensified internal competition and led to a significant outflow of resources and funds.

Moreover, Ethereum has provided almost no support in the Meme sector, resulting in a substantial amount of speculative funds flowing into the Solana ecosystem. The slow progress of system upgrades, coupled with the continuous sell-off of assets by the official team, has gradually weakened the confidence and enthusiasm of early supporters.

#加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔 #加密市场反弹

（Greed Index + Fear Weight） × Cognitive Blind Spot = Probability of Being Harvested.

So, the core logic of harvesting is nothing but the "Three-Part Setup": Stirring up greed, amplifying panic, and precisely exploiting blind spots.

Now the question arises, how do we break this routine?

The truth is—there are no new scripts under the sun. Every opportunity that seems like a "windfall" actually hides traps; every moment that feels like "it's my turn to get rich" is often the beginning of being exploited.

To break the situation, you must cultivate a skill: to analyze the situation like a manipulator, but never make their choices.

Staying alert and acting cautiously is the only solution to navigate through the harvesting cycle.

#币安Alpha上新 #比特币市值排名 #TRUMP晚宴

In this round of rebound, which assets in your portfolio have seen the most significant gains? It's worth taking a look back.

Remember, in a volatile market, focusing on strong coins is key —

They often lead the way during the oversold rebound phase, indicating that funds and sentiment are still active, serving as a barometer for market enthusiasm, and are more likely to continue strengthening.

On the other hand, those obscure altcoins that remain 'flat' during the overall recovery are likely being marginalized by the main players, falling into a state of being abandoned or temporarily discarded, making it difficult to perform in the short term; holding onto them is just wasting time and opportunity cost.

Selecting strong assets and avoiding stagnation is the kingly strategy in a volatile market.

#比特币市值排名 #TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿