韭菜互助

I feel that a calm mindset is essential for successful investing, so I will try to avoid emotional trading in the future. From now on, I will only communicate with those who share the same frequency, and I will reject comments from non-followers to filter out a lot of negative information. Since you don’t believe, if you are not my fan, there’s no need to follow me, and I don’t need you to criticize my content; I don’t want to see it.

Most people in the crypto world are in the same boat, and I hope to establish a supportive communication atmosphere in my posting area, where we can help each other.

In the zero-sum game of the capital market, the fate of the 'retail investor' is not predetermined. When retail investors begin to abandon the solitary speculative mindset and shift towards a mutual assistance model of knowledge sharing and experiential symbiosis, they embark on the evolutionary path from prey to predator.

True mutual assistance among retail investors should focus on three dimensions: establishing a rational investment perspective, breaking the curse of 'buying high and selling low' through regular reviews; building an information firewall, replacing blind obedience to rumors with cross-validation; and forming a risk-sharing mechanism to hedge individual cognitive biases with collective wisdom.

When retail investors stop hurting each other, learn to think about the market using logic beyond candlestick charts, replace gambling psychology with position management, and substitute emotional fluctuations with industry research reports, the collective awakening of the group will eventually shake the underlying rules of the capital game.

The essence of mutual assistance is to enable each investor to undergo a transformation from 'the harvested' to 'the value discoverer' in solidarity.

Therefore, it has been newly named 'Mutual Assistance Among Retail Investors', hoping that my followers can grow and transform together and achieve wealth growth soon.

There are people who believe that worthless individuals without even a few hundred dollars can help them make money, I laughed out loud 😅

Every time I see posts like this, I can't help but laugh out loud😅

In this case of $DF , no matter what stop loss you set, it will be directly liquidated. Stop loss is limited price, marking, and optimal price, among which limit price stop loss is the most foolish.

$DF what the hell, you set a stop loss at 0.1, and you hit me at 0.115? I should have only lost 200u, but you made it 800u

$DF is really disgusting, every time it fluctuates by 20%.

$OM The empty profits were eaten up by funding fees, really disgusting, I'm not playing with you anymore, pure manipulation, don't touch it, let the big players play by themselves.

$OM Anyway, this year I'm going against you, on June 2nd I will release another portion of profitable positions, placing orders at high levels, waiting for your rebound, I will continue to short in waves, the position built on July 3rd will remain unchanged.

#美国数字资产储备

Market Data Analysis and Trading Suggestions for the Evening of March 14 (Brief Version, see article for details)

I. Performance of Major Cryptocurrencies

​$BTC Bitcoin (BTC)​

Current price is $82,924 (up 0.5% in 24 hours), with a low of $79,931 and a high rebound to $84,158 in the last 24 hours. The technical outlook shows bearish dominance; if it falls below the psychological level of $80,000, it may trigger a chain sell-off.
​
$ETH Ethereum (ETH)​
Price fluctuated slightly within the range of $1,888-$1,924 (-0.3% to +1.5%), with a 24-hour trading volume of $18.67 billion. The key support level is $1,876; if it fails to hold, it may further test $1,807.
​
$XRP XRP
Driven by Ripple obtaining a license from Dubai's DFSA and ETF approval, it rose against the trend by 3% to $2.29, with a 24-hour trading volume of $5.76 billion. Short-term attention is on the breakout of the resistance level at $2.34.
​
Meme Coins
​TRUMP: Soared by 12% to $11.81, becoming today's top gainer. ​DOGE/SHIB: Down by 2% and 0.5% respectively, with a clear divergence in market sentiment.

II. Overall Market Dynamics​Market Capitalization and Sentiment:

The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market shrank to $2.68 trillion (-1.3%), with the Fear and Greed Index falling to 18 (extreme fear).​Policy Disturbances: Trump's tariff policy and expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cooling (Dollar Index at 106.8) continue to suppress risk assets.​

Liquidation Risk: The remaining 74,000 BTC from FTX may be auctioned on March 15, which could exacerbate market volatility.

III. Trading Strategy Recommendations​Short-term Trading:

Open short positions for BTC in the range of $84,000-$85,000 (stop loss at $88,000), targeting $80,000.
If XRP breaks through the resistance level at $2.34, it can be chased up to $2.50. ​

Long-term Allocation: If BTC retraces to the range of $76,000-$78,000, build positions in three batches for spot trading (accounting for 40% of total position).

(Note: The above analysis is based on data from the evening of March 14, 2025. The market is ever-changing; decisions should be made in conjunction with real-time dynamics.)

#MGX投资币安

Morning Market Data Analysis and Trading Suggestions for March 13 (Brief Version, detailed in the article)

I. Overall Market Performance

​$BTC Bitcoin (BTC)​

The morning price rebounded from a low of $76,560 after pulling back from a high of $79,844, currently reported at $83,840 (up 2.7% from the previous day), but the hourly level still shows a downward structure. The total liquidated amount across the network in the last 24 hours reached $870 million, mainly due to forced liquidation of leveraged long positions.

​Key Signal: The weekly level has broken below the support level of $84,500, forming a “descending triangle” pattern, with technical targets pointing to the range of $76,000-$78,000.

​$ETH Ethereum (ETH)​

The morning price rebounded after dropping from a high of $1,894 to a low of $1,752, currently reported at $1,839 (down 2.7% from the previous day). The on-chain staking rate has dropped to 18%, and the TVL of DeFi protocols has retreated by $45 billion from its peak.

​Key Signal: The 4-hour MACD indicator is showing a “water without roots” pattern, indicating a short-term adjustment demand.

II. Trading Strategy Suggestions
​
Short-term Trading:

BTC to establish short positions in the range of $84,100-$86,300 (stop loss at $88,500), target $80,000.

ETH to pay attention to the resistance level of $1,930-$1,910, rebound for short (target $1,830).

Long-term Allocation: If BTC pulls back to the range of $76,000-$78,000, build spot positions in 3 batches (accounting for 40% of the total position).

(Note: The above analysis is based on the morning data of March 13, 2025. The market is ever-changing, and decisions should be made considering real-time dynamics.)

#CPI数据来袭
In the evening, the price of the second cake hovers above the 1950 range. I stare at the K-line chart on the screen, my fingers hovering over the keyboard for a long time—"Unity of Knowledge and Action" shines brightly in the memo, but I ultimately click the confirm button. Binance's cooling-off period feels like a shackle, temporarily locking my 200 oil in the account, as I switch to a 30x leveraged short position on some easy platform, with the stop-loss line drawn at the warning line of 2005.

In the early morning, the kitchen is filled with the aroma of congee, and the neon lights from the late-night stall shatter into a galaxy on the glass window. I stare at the alternating red and green on my phone screen and suddenly remember that saying, "Romance is wasting time slowly eating and wasting time slowly drinking tea." Every rebound of the second cake seems to mock my stubbornness, and the thought that "returning to zero is the best outcome" ferments into an obsession in the alcohol.

As dawn breaks, I pack my bag and head towards the restaurant. In the seafood clay pot congee, I suddenly understand, "Life is long, with both sunshine and rain, but if you have a passion in your heart, even if time is desolate, you can still run to the mountains and seas." The short position at 1950 is still at a loss, but the sweat on the gym treadmill makes me hear the echo of "Life is originally dull, but when you run, there is wind."

When night falls, I raise a glass to the pressure level of 2000 points. In the torrent of data, I tell myself, "Don't enter the market until the position is right; saving your life is crucial." In the trading room at three in the morning, the sound of keyboard clicks overlaps with the heartbeat, forming the rhythm of fate—this might be what "Love is the poem left by the galaxy on earth," and on the battlefield intertwined with numbers and human interactions, we are all our own poets.

Good night, brothers. Tonight's moonlight falls on the stop-loss line, like a galaxy sprinkled with diamonds on the trading desk. $ETH

#加密市场反弹

March 12 Morning Market Data Analysis (Brief Version, Detailed in Article)

According to the morning market data and latest developments, the cryptocurrency market continues to experience a fluctuating bottom-seeking trend. Below are the key analyses:

1. Overall Market Performance
​$BTC Bitcoin (BTC)​
Morning price rebounded from a high of $79,844 to a low of $76,560, currently reported at $82,240 (up 2.7% from the previous day), but the hourly level still shows a downward structure. The total liquidation amount across the network in the last 24 hours reached $870 million, mainly due to forced liquidation of long leveraged positions.
​Key Signal: The weekly level has broken below the $84,500 support level, forming a 'descending triangle' pattern, with a technical target pointing to the $76,000-$78,000 range.

​$ETH Ethereum (ETH)​
Morning price fell from a high of $1,894 to a low of $1,752, currently reported at $1,839 (down 2.7% from the previous day). The on-chain staking rate has dropped to 18%, and the DeFi protocol TVL has retreated by $45 billion from its peak.
​Key Signal: The 4-hour level MACD indicator shows a 'no root water' pattern, indicating short-term pullback demand.

2. Core Driving Factors
​
Macro Economic and Policy Shocks

The Federal Reserve's March meeting minutes suggest persistent inflation, with interest rate cut expectations cooling down. The US dollar index remains high at 106.8, and the capital absorption effect of traditional safe-haven assets is squeezing the cryptocurrency market. The Trump administration has expanded energy sanctions on Iran, intensifying the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and increasing market risk aversion.
​
Market Sentiment and Technical Breakdown

The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 12 (extreme fear), with Bitcoin spot ETFs experiencing a net outflow for 8 consecutive days, totaling $2.9 billion. The Bitcoin MVRV ratio has fallen to 1.2, nearing the historical bottom threshold (1.0), and the long-term holders' (LTH) chip ratio has rebounded to 65%, potentially indicating the approach of a phase bottom.

3. Risk Warnings

​Extreme Volatility Risk: The auction results for the remaining assets of FTX (approximately 74,000 BTC) on March 15 may exacerbate market volatility. ​Technical Breakdown Risk: If BTC falls below the psychological barrier of $80,000, it may trigger algorithmic trading programs to follow suit and sell off.
​
Policy Uncertainty: The EU's 'Cryptocurrency Anti-Money Laundering Bill' may increase compliance costs, leading to institutional capital withdrawal.

(Note: The above analysis is based on morning data from March 12, 2025. The market changes rapidly, and decisions should be made in conjunction with real-time dynamics.)

#ETH巨鲸清算

Market Data Analysis for March 11 Morning (Simplified Version)

I. Overall Market Performance

​Bitcoin (BTC)
The price reached a morning low of $77,459 (down 2.76% from the previous day), breaking below the key support level of $80,000. The current 4-hour candlestick shows a bottom divergence pattern, but the resistance level at $83,254 is clearly suppressing upward movement, indicating a "short squeeze" operation by the market makers.

​Ethereum (ETH)
Dropped below the $1,900 threshold to $1,862 (24-hour decline of 7.83%), nearing the secondary support level of $1,800. The Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols has retraced by $45 billion since the peak of Trump's election, reflecting weak market confidence.

II. Core Driving Factors

​Extreme Volatility and Margin Liquidation

The entire network saw over $164 million in liquidations within 24 hours, with Ethereum experiencing a single-hour liquidation of $56.97 million. Whales were forced to sell 25,800 ETH (loss of $31.75 million) due to the looming liquidation of their leveraged positions.
Shorts dominate the market, with Bitcoin showing five consecutive daily losses, and the lower Bollinger Band continues to widen, indicating insufficient buying power.

​Policy and Macroeconomic Pressure

Japan has reduced the Bitcoin capital gains tax from 55% to 20%, but the market is more concerned about the Federal Reserve's high interest rate policy and the trade friction risks arising from Trump's tariff plans. The tech sector in the U.S. stock market evaporated over $3 trillion in a single day, putting pressure on cryptocurrencies as risk assets.

III. Risk Warning

​Extreme Volatility Risk: Quantitative programs may trigger chain stop-losses, and the CPI data on March 12 may heighten expectations for interest rate hikes.
Technical Breakdown Risk: If BTC falls below $76,836, it may initiate a medium-term bear market, while ETH losing the $1,800 level will open up downward space.
Policy Uncertainty: The details of the strategic Bitcoin reserve execution remain unclear, and the risk of a Department of Justice sale still exists.

IV. Operational Strategy Suggestions

​Short-term Trading:

Position long BTC in the range of $77,000-$76,836 (stop loss at $75,000), and short it when it rebounds above $81,000 (targeting $77,000).
For ETH, focus on the $1,800-$1,850 range for oscillation, engaging in high sell and low buy.

​Long-term Allocation: If BTC pulls back to the $75,000-$76,836 range, build positions in batches (accounting for 40% of total position); increase positions in ETH below $1,800 (accounting for 20%).

(Note: The above analysis is based on the morning data of March 11, 2025; the market is volatile, and decisions should consider individual risk tolerance.)

$OM Today's market is a bit boring, the short positions I closed yesterday at 6 have just been re-entered at 6.3, continuing to watch, if it rises, I'll add to my short position.