According to the morning market data and latest updates on March 13, 2025, the cryptocurrency market is showing a fluctuating rebound; here is the key analysis:

1. Performance of major cryptocurrencies

  1. Bitcoin (BTC)
    The morning price rebounded from a low of $76,000 to a high of $83,737 before falling back, currently at $83,840 (up 2.7% from the previous day), with a 24-hour trading volume of $46.2 billion. The weekly level is still suppressed at $84,500, but short-term technical indicators show a demand for oversold recovery.

  2. Ethereum (ETH)
    The price fluctuated between $1,752 and $1,963, currently at $1,869 (down 0.5% from the previous day), with a 24-hour trading volume of $26 billion. On-chain data shows the staking rate has dropped to 18%, and DeFi protocol TVL has retreated $45 billion from its peak.

  3. XRP
    Driven by Franklin Templeton's submission of an XRP ETF application, the price surged 7% to $2.17, with a 24-hour trading volume of $5.58 billion. The progress of the Ripple lawsuit remains a key variable.

  4. Solana (SOL)
    The price rebounded 2% to $122 in the morning, but Indian exchanges showed a price drop of 1.53%, indicating significant market liquidity differentiation. Caution is needed regarding the impact of remaining assets from the FTX liquidation on altcoins.

2. Overall market dynamics

  • Market capitalization and sentiment: The total market capitalization of the crypto market has risen to $2.67 trillion (+3.5%), but the fear and greed index remains at 12 (extreme fear).

  • Liquidation pressure alleviated: The total liquidation amount across the network dropped to $389 million (-58%), and the rush to close leveraged long positions has temporarily paused.

  • Policy disturbance: Trump's tariff policy and the cooling expectations of Fed interest rate cuts (USD index at 106.8) continue to suppress risk assets.

3. Key technical signals

  1. Extreme volatility risk: The auction of the remaining 74,000 BTC from FTX on March 15 may trigger a chain reaction.

  2. Policy uncertainty: The EU (Cryptocurrency Asset Market Bill) may increase compliance costs, leading to institutional fund withdrawals.

  3. Technical breakdown risk: If BTC falls below the psychological barrier of $80,000, it may trigger algorithmic trading programs to sell off.

5. Operational strategy recommendations

  • Short-term trading:

    • BTC shorts positioned in the range of $84,100-$85,300 (stop loss at $88,500), target $80,000.

    • ETH focus on resistance at $1,930-$1,910, short on rebound (target $1,830).

  • Long-term allocation:

    • If BTC pulls back to the range of $76,000-$78,000, build spot positions in 3 batches (40% of total position).

    • Allocate 5%-10% to gold ETFs (such as GLD) or USD stablecoins (USDC) to hedge systemic risk.

(Note: The above analysis is based on morning data from March 13, 2025; the market is constantly changing, and decisions should consider real-time dynamics.)