Currently, SOL/USDT is in a multi-period bearish resonance phase. It is recommended to open short positions in the rebound range of 153.0-153.5, with a strict stop loss at 154.33 and a target of 149.0. This strategy requires caution regarding the potential reversal risk of the hanging man pattern on the 1-hour chart. If the price breaks above 154.33 with significant volume, an immediate stop loss is necessary.
Trade instruction Trade direction: Breakout long Position entry price range: 156.5-157.0 (Break confirmation zone) Execution reason: Trend resonance: 4-hour Alligator line opens + 1-hour candlestick engulfs, multi-period forms a trend closure. Order flow game: After triggering the short stop-loss orders above 157.0, liquidity vacuum zone reaches 161.8. Risk-reward ratio: Stop loss at 153.0 (Alligator line tooth line + gap support), take profit at 166.99 (Bollinger band upper track), profit-loss ratio 1:4.6.
I. Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-Period Technical Patterns 1. Moving Average Patterns and Price Position 4-hour chart: Moving Averages in Bullish Arrangement: MA20 (0.17576) > MA40 (0.16684), price (0.18053) holding above MA20, indicating a medium-term bullish trend. Alligator Indicator: Lips line (MA5), Teeth line (MA8), Jaw line (MA13) diverging upwards, indicating the alligator is opening. 1-hour chart: Moving Averages Convergence: MA20 (0.17893) and MA40 (0.17762) are densely clustered in the 0.178-0.180 range, price (0.18045) has broken through MA20, indicating a strengthening of short-term momentum.
I. Comprehensive analysis of multi-cycle technical patterns 1. Moving average system and price position 15-minute chart: Moving average bearish arrangement: Price (150.88) is below MA20 (151.86), EMA5/10/20 presents a bearish arrangement (152.6→151.86→150.33), short-term pressure. Bollinger Bands: Price is close to the lower band (150.33), with the middle band (151.86) forming resistance, the channel opening is downward. 1-hour chart: Moving average convergence: MA20 (150.52) and MA40 (150.07) are dense in the 150.00-151.00 range, price (152.4) breaks MA20, short-term momentum strengthens.
Key factor analysis 1. Moving average patterns (multi-period verification) ◦ 15-minute chart: EMA(60) 1,777.31 and EMA(125) 1,762.61 are horizontally conjoined, price is close to the Bollinger Band upper limit (1,777.31), short-term volatility is biased upwards. ◦ 4-hour chart: EMA(60) 1,739.48 and EMA(125) 1,694.96 form a bearish arrangement, but the price stands firm at the middle track (1,761.39), in the 'bull-bear critical zone.' ◦ Conclusion: Short-term volatility is neutral, need to wait for direction choice. 2. Price trend and key support and resistance ◦ Trend: Daily level is still in a descending channel (1,770-1,721), but the price is close to the Bollinger Band middle track (1,761.39), increasing demand for oversold rebound.
$Trading Instructions 1. Trade Direction: Go Long (light position test order). 2. Execution Reason: ◦ Technical Logic: ▪ 15-minute long lower shadow + 4-hour RSI bottom divergence, short-term oversold rebound probability > 60%; ▪ Price close to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (1,770.32) and EMA60 (1,738.90), stop loss space controllable (risk about 1.3%); ▪ Target 1,776.54 (BOLL upper band) + 1,780.31 (Fibonacci level), profit-loss ratio > 2:1. ◦ Market Environment: Betting on a rebound in a large cycle downtrend, strict stop loss required. 3. Confidence Level: 7/10 (need to beware of 4-hour bearish trend pressure).
$ETH Trading instructions 1. Trading direction: Open long (light position test order). 2. Execution reason: ◦ Technical logic: ▪ 15-minute long lower shadow + 4-hour RSI bottom divergence, short-term oversold rebound probability >60%; ▪ Price is close to the lower Bollinger Band (1,738.51) and the 24-hour low (1,721.22), with controllable stop loss space (risk about 1.2%); ▪ Target 1,757.85 (Bollinger Band upper band) + 1,770 (channel upper band), profit-loss ratio >2:1. ◦ Market environment: Betting on rebounds in a large cycle downtrend, strict stop loss required. 3. Confidence level: 7/10 (need to be wary of 4-hour bearish trend suppression).
I didn't expect the reversal to come so quickly, it caught me off guard. I've been saying that the reversal is getting closer, and everyone should buy on the dip and wait for the rise. I thought that in April, with the tariff war, trade war, and military tensions still unsettled, it would take until early May for things to start warming up. But the market can change in ways you least expect. Furthermore, Trump is fanning the flames by making big profits through TRUMP. His presence is certainly not a good thing. What seems like a booming market may hide lurking crises that are unknown. However, one thing is certain: the market has indeed reversed in terms of its shape, and we should primarily focus on buying on the dips. There’s nothing good about trading coins; making money is what matters most. Currently, this wave has come too suddenly, and many retail investors couldn’t react in time, getting severely trapped in short positions and unable to move. But one thing is clear: violent rises without substantial positive news are unsustainable and may have considerable side effects later, with potential deep corrections. In any case, for those doing spot trading, don’t enter the market unless there’s a significant drop. 1. Binance announced that before April 28, 2025, it will convert various delisted cryptocurrencies, including TORN, OMG, and MDX, to USDC. Hurry up and eliminate the unscrupulous pests in the crypto circle. Retail investors are scared of getting cut.
2. Bitcoin price surged significantly on April 24, breaking through $93,500. Reports state that the son of the U.S. Commerce Secretary has partnered with SoftBank and Tether to launch a $3 billion cryptocurrency investment plan, intending to purchase a substantial amount of Bitcoin. I believe this should have been done long ago; it's only being announced now, and they’ve already started cashing out.
3. Meme coin TRUMP skyrocketed by 50% in a single day. Its issuer launched a marketing campaign where the first 220 "top influencers" will have the chance to dine with Trump. Can we trust Trump? He might just pump and dump.
4. The Ethereum mainnet is scheduled to implement the Pectra upgrade on May 7, aimed at improving network performance and security. ETH, if you don’t rise this time, we might vote to delist you.
5. Tether Treasury has minted an additional 1 billion USDC. It seems there are still many retail investors chasing the rise.
6. On Friday, $7.2 billion in BTC positions will expire, with the current put/call ratio at 0.73, the maximum pain point at $85,000, and the current price at $92,735, indicating a big win for the call option buyers.
ETH market is volatile, light positions for trying long
• Opening timing: Wait for the 15-minute candlestick to close bullish and break through 1748 (5-day moving average) to confirm bullish signal. • Position management: ◦ If the price stabilizes above 1750, add positions targeting 1770; ◦ If the price breaks below 1720, immediately stop loss and reverse to short (speculating on trend continuation). • Market state adaptation: Currently at the end of the oscillation range, suitable for short-term reversal strategies, avoiding overnight gap risks. Risk warning • Core contradiction: Short-term oversold rebound vs Mid-term bearish trend. • Invalid condition: If the 4-hour level breaks below 1722, the trend turns bearish, stop loss and reverse position is needed.
1. Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-Period Technical Patterns 1. Moving Average System and Price Position 6-Hour Chart: Moving Average Arrangement: MA(5) 1,769.22 → MA(10) 1,784.00 → MA(20) 1,792.00, price continues to be pressured below MA(20), with a clear bearish arrangement. Trend Signal: MA(5) crosses below MA(10) forming a death cross, price rebounds to MA(10) then falls back, indicating a bearish medium to long-term trend. 4-Hour Chart: Moving Average Entanglement: MA(5) 1,740.86 → MA(10) 1,756.48 → MA(20) 1,769.22, price repeatedly tests the resistance of MA(10) (1,756.48), with insufficient short-term rebound momentum.
$ETH I. Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-Period Technical Patterns 1. Moving Average System and Price Position • 4-Hour Chart: • Moving Average Arrangement: MA(5) 1,769.76 → MA(10) 1,782.27 → MA(20) 1,790.00, price continues to be pressured below MA(20), bearish arrangement is clear. • Trend Signal: MA(5) crosses below MA(10) forming a death cross, price rebounds to MA(10) then faces resistance and falls back, medium to long-term trend is bearish. • 1-Hour Chart: • Moving Average Entanglement: MA(5) 1,769.89 → MA(10) 1,773.70 → MA(20) 1,777.64, price repeatedly testing MA(10) resistance (1,773.70), short-term rebound momentum is lacking.
The continuous surge in gold is certainly not a good omen! Everyone should closely monitor two places: first, the battlefield in Ukraine. If Trump is forced to withdraw, Ukraine and all of Europe will throw themselves into action. If Putin dares to use nuclear weapons, he will meet his end even faster! Second, Iran. The current conflict with the Houthis is merely a prelude to striking Iran. If Russia cannot mediate, the countdown to a combined attack by the US and Israel on Iran will begin!
Ukraine has rejected Trump's peace plan. Rubio has canceled his trip to London to discuss this plan today. The Ukrainians are incredibly tough.
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs hinted that China is willing to discuss tariff issues with the United States but will not do so under the ongoing threats from the Trump administration. A spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: "China's stance on the tariff war initiated by the US is very clear. We do not wish to fight, but we are not afraid of fighting. If it comes to fighting, we will accompany it to the end; if it comes to talks, our door is wide open."
Recently, this surge came almost without warning and was completely controlled by the market makers. However, a reversal pattern has appeared. After a pullback, the focus should be on going long. As for spot trading, enter during the pullback; it’s okay to hold cash for a while. Wait for the tariff war to truly settle down and for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates; a surge is inevitable. This situation may arise in June. In any case, regardless of the situation, if BTC pulls back to around 100,000, it's time to run. All those national reserve plans are nonsense. No wonder those sovereign countries are hoarding gold. When asked about buying BTC, everyone just laughs without responding and takes no action. They have seen through America's tricks.
One, Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-Cycle Technical Patterns 1. Moving Average System and Price Position • 4-Hour Chart: ◦ Moving Average Arrangement: MA(7) 93,294.3 → MA(25) 89,366.3 → MA(99) 84,582.8, with the price below all moving averages, indicating a clear bearish arrangement. ◦ Trend Signal: MA(7) strongly represses the price (current price 92,690.9 @ MA(7) 93,294.3), with a bearish trend in the medium to long term. • 1-Hour Chart: ◦ Moving Average Convergence: MA(7) 93,067.1 → MA(25) 93,428.0 → MA(99) 89,174.6, the price repeatedly tests the resistance of MA(7) (93,067.1), with insufficient short-term rebound momentum.
Analysis of BNBUSD perpetual contract trading strategy based on chaotic trading method (Combining 4-hour, 15-minute, 1-hour candlestick charts and market data) 1. Comprehensive technical pattern analysis 1. Moving average pattern and price position • 4-hour chart: ◦ Moving average arrangement: 5/10/20 moving averages in bearish arrangement (5 moving average at 612.3 → 10 moving average at 618.5 → 20 moving average at 625.0), price continuously under pressure below the moving averages (current price 604.79). ◦ Trend signal: Bearish arrangement of moving averages + price below the moving average system, clear bearish bias in the medium to long term. • 1-hour chart: ◦ Moving average entanglement: 5/10/20 moving averages densely interweave in the 604.0-608.0 range, price repeatedly tests moving average resistance (such as near 607.1), short-term rebound momentum insufficient.
Trading Direction: No action (wait and see) Execution Reason: Moving Average Shape Contradiction: 4-hour level: 5/10/20 moving averages entangled (93,000-93,800 range), price repeatedly fluctuates near 93,518, without forming a clear bullish or bearish arrangement (Alligator lines opening and closing). 1-hour level: Moving averages are densely entangled between 93,300-93,600, short-term lacks trend momentum, MACD histogram is close to the zero axis, volatility has shrunk to a recent low (ATR≈200 points). 15-minute level: Price fluctuates narrowly between 93,480-93,600, with the 5 moving average and 10 moving average repeatedly crossing, showing 'noise market' characteristics.
$ETH Trading Direction: Open Short Execution Reason: Moving Average Pattern: Daily Level (3rd Chart): 5/10/20 moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with prices continuously under pressure below the moving averages, indicating a bearish medium to long-term trend. 4-hour Level (1st Chart): Moving averages are intertwined, but the price has failed to stabilize above the 20 moving average (around 1,840), indicating insufficient short-term rebound momentum. 1-hour Level (2nd Chart): The price is repeatedly hindered around 1,797, the 5 moving average crosses below the 10 moving average forming a death cross, indicating a weakening short-term structure. Support and Resistance: Key Resistance: 1,800-1,820 range at the 4-hour level (recent high point concentration), 1,850 at the daily level is strong resistance.
Today's performance of Sol is not considered strong, but there was a small rise. The good news is that this rise has allowed it to firmly establish support around the 144 level on the 4-hour chart. When it rebounds again and reaches 158, the probability of reducing positions increases, so we can just patiently wait.
We had Ray positioned around 1.6, and after reducing positions above 2.3, we added back near 2.2. This allows everyone to reduce positions near 2.5. This rise peaked at 2.48, and friends with unfilled orders can reduce positions here. After reducing, continue to set the add-back position near 2.2.
We had PYTH positioned around 0.12, and after reducing positions near 0.147, we allowed everyone to add back near 0.13. After the add-back, today's rise has expanded our profits, and we can set the reduction position near 0.15.
Today is a day full of harvests. I'm sending some BNB to everyone, hoping to pass on this good luck to you and cheer everyone on. However, while being happy, we must not let our guard down. The market is only rebounding, and whether it can reverse needs further observation.
Looking at BTC like this, it seems like it just needs one more needle to go down, everyone needs to hold on against this needle, under normal circumstances, could it pierce around 91500? Damn it, it's reached my stop-loss position, it won't just stare at my small gains, will it? $BTC
In case it has already run away, wait to see if it breaks or not 146😅
五味子
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In the morning, I did a wave, SOL short, entered the market at 142.2 I told everyone in the Binance KOL group, Those who follow up, take profits in batches. If BTC continues to surge, it may surge to around 146.5. Those who have eaten the pork knuckle rice, don't be too greedy. 👇👇👇 币安王牌KOL专属群(五味子)