$Trading Instructions
1. Trade Direction: Go Long (light position test order).
2. Execution Reason:
◦ Technical Logic:
▪ 15-minute long lower shadow + 4-hour RSI bottom divergence, short-term oversold rebound probability > 60%;
▪ Price close to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (1,770.32) and EMA60 (1,738.90), stop loss space controllable (risk about 1.3%);
▪ Target 1,776.54 (BOLL upper band) + 1,780.31 (Fibonacci level), profit-loss ratio > 2:1.
◦ Market Environment: Betting on a rebound in a large cycle downtrend, strict stop loss required.
3. Confidence Level: 7/10 (need to beware of 4-hour bearish trend pressure).
4. Stop Loss Price: 1,732 (1 dollar below the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, reasonable margin of error).
5. Take Profit Price: 1,780 (48 dollars away from stop loss, risk-reward ratio 1:3.7).
6. Trailing Stop Loss Percentage: 0.0005 (if the price breaks through 1,776.54, start trailing stop loss to lock in profits).
Strategy Execution Details
• Opening Timing: Wait for the 15-minute candlestick to close positively and break through 1,766.67 (middle band of the Bollinger Bands), confirming bullish signal.
• Position Management:
◦ If the price stabilizes at 1,776.54, increase position to target 1,780;
◦ If the price drops below 1,732, immediately stop loss and go short (betting on trend continuation).
• Market Condition Fit: Currently at the end of the consolidation range, suitable for short-term reversal strategies, avoid overnight gap risk.
Risk Warning
• Core Contradiction: Short-term oversold rebound vs. medium-term bearish trend.
• Invalid Condition: If the 4-hour level drops below 1,732.99, the trend turns bearish, need to stop loss and reverse position.
• Alternative Plan: If the price does not break through 1,766.67, and a bearish engulfing pattern appears in 15 minutes, close long and wait.
