加密 昌健

Recently, the cryptocurrency circle of friends has been flooded with a new regulation, which is the "Interpretation of the Supreme People's Court and the Supreme People's Procuratorate on Several Issues Concerning the Application of Law in Handling Criminal Cases of Money Laundering"

In short, this is a new regulation jointly issued by the Supreme People's Court and the Procuratorate to combat money laundering crimes. This new regulation has 13 articles, with the focus on comprehensively combating money laundering crimes.

In particular, Article 5 explicitly includes "virtual asset transactions" as a catch-all clause for money laundering crimes.

According to Article 13 of the Interpretation, the new regulations will come into effect on August 20, 2024.

After the "Interpretation" was officially implemented, it attracted widespread attention, especially the provisions on virtual currency.

After the promulgation of the two high courts and one law, the criteria for determining "serious circumstances" of money laundering crimes were clarified, and we need to pay special attention to the issue of withdrawals.

Previously, the biggest risk of withdrawing cryptocurrencies was freezing your card or confiscating your funds.
But now, not only will your bank card be frozen, you may also be convicted of money laundering.
After the new regulations are introduced, the following two aspects need special attention regarding the issue of deposits and withdrawals: the first is the obligation to guard against funds during the withdrawal process, and the second is the importance of the transaction contract.

1. How do we identify black money? How do we prevent receiving black money?

Talking about market trends every day might be tedious, so today let's discuss something different.
Let me share with you a prophet, Brandon Biggs. He is an American pastor who has gained global fame through his divine prophecies!

He not only accurately predicted the details of Trump being shot but also boldly revealed insights into the crypto space, the US economy, and even the global situation.
Even more exaggerated is that 75% of his predictions made in August 2023 have come true!
Today, let's delve into his latest prophecies and see what the world might look like in the coming years; it will absolutely send chills down your spine!

This week, the market is going to make a big move! The latest GDP data, PCE inflation data, and tech stock earnings reports will all be released.
Will these data points disappoint? How will Bitcoin and U.S. stocks move? Will they rise or fall? Let's break it down together.
1. Is there any progress in the tariff negotiations? What is the market's reaction?
The good news is that there has been some movement in the tariff negotiations!
South Korea and India have already begun talks, and Japan and the U.S. also plan to continue discussions at the end of April or early May.
What about the most watched China-U.S. negotiations?
Although Trump hasn't made much noise, this week, the village's finance minister and central bank governor will attend the World Bank and IMF meetings in the U.S., likely leading to some low-level communications.

Bitcoin has already made history: the U.S. has recognized Bitcoin spot ETFs, mainstream institutions and listed companies have started to embrace it, and global belief is gradually forming.
Even sovereign funds and centennial funds are accumulating Bitcoin, and Trump has even issued an executive order to include Bitcoin in U.S. strategic reserve assets.
But this is just an appetizer; the real money-making opportunities lie ahead.
Bitcoin's next big opportunity is approaching. Today, let's break down this opportunity together.
Why do Bitcoin and U.S. stocks seem tied together?
Many people feel that the price movements of Bitcoin and U.S. stocks are highly correlated. But is that really the case? In fact, this is an illusion.

This week, the global market was again like a roller coaster! The US-China tariff issue is hotly debated, with Trump saying one moment that talks with China are going well, and the next moment he says tariffs won't be lifted.

However, US stocks do not care about this, rising strongly on tech stock earnings, with Bitcoin also increasing by over 10%.
The weekend has arrived, and market sentiment is still good, but next week the GDP and tech giant earnings reports are coming. How will the market trend? Will it rise or fall?
Why are the US-China tariffs never-ending?

This week, the tariff issue continued to dominate the headlines. Trump initially claimed that good progress had been made with China and that he had spoken with them, leading the market to believe there would be a de-escalation.

In the past 24 hours, the U.S. stock market and cryptocurrency market have continued to rise, driven by the easing of Trump's tariff policies and dovish statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.

The Nasdaq index rose by 2.5%, and the S&P 500 index rose by 1.67%. Bitcoin reached $9,400, hitting a recent high.

The market's panic over tariffs has gradually subsided. Although news about the Sino-U.S. tariff struggle continues, the market has begun to adapt, and the reactions are not as intense anymore.

Important events in the past 24 hours:

1. Trump stated that tariffs on China will not reach 145% and will be significantly reduced.

2. Bessenet mentioned that a 'downgrade in relations with China' is imminent, but emphasized that 'America First' does not mean isolationism.

Yesterday, US stocks experienced a strong rebound, with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 indices all rising, each by more than 2.5%.

Bitcoin is also rising alongside US stocks, reaching a peak of $94,000.
The VIX panic index has temporarily fallen below 30, and market sentiment is warming up.
But it should be noted that the current market fundamentals do not have obvious benefits, and the policy environment is almost the same as when it plummeted the day before yesterday.
This indicates that investors' attention to the dispute between Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is declining, and the market is more driven by sentiment.
So what is the reason for this sudden surge?

Over the weekend, U.S. markets were closed, and Bitcoin experienced a rebound, breaking through $87,000.
What's the story behind this rise? Are the big players accumulating? What big move is the market brewing? Let's take a simple look.
Why did Bitcoin suddenly rebound?
This time, the main driver of Bitcoin's rise is MicroStrategy.
Yesterday, MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor stirred things up again. He released a Bitcoin tracker once more, and the market is guessing how much they will buy this time. Every time MicroStrategy makes a move, it brings a wave of market activity.

However, the overall market is a bit quiet at the moment.

Last night, US stocks plummeted, with the Nasdaq index dropping by 3.07%, the S&P 500 index dropping by 2.24%, and the Dow Jones index dropping by 1.73%, resulting in a loss of over $1 trillion in market value overnight.

The main culprit for this sharp drop is indeed the latest speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
The market was initially waiting for him to release some 'dovish' good news, but he instead threw out a bunch of 'hawkish' signals, completely shattering everyone’s hopes for an interest rate cut.
So what exactly did Powell say? Why did the market react so fearfully? How will things unfold in the future? Let's break it down today.
Why did Powell's speech scare the market?

Over the weekend, Bitcoin experienced a slight rebound and is currently fluctuating around $85,000.
U.S. stocks are also rebounding, the dollar is weakening rapidly, yet gold prices are hitting new highs.
This rebound is mainly due to the news that Trump temporarily exempted some tariffs on Chinese electronic products.
The market originally thought it could surge due to favorable policies, but was doused with cold water by the misalignment of Trump and Commerce Secretary Lutnick's rhythms.
Where is the problem? Trump seems to always like to reveal his plans to the team in advance, but the team can't keep up with his pace, and the news always leaks early.

Last night, Bitcoin suddenly plummeted, hitting a low of $77,153, with a daily drop of over 6%.

After opening, US Dow futures also plummeted by over 1,500 points, leading to panic selling in the market.

This time, Bitcoin mainly followed the decline of US stocks.

There haven’t been any significant negative news over the weekend, and Bitcoin's trading volume is also low, which doesn’t seem like institutional dumping, but rather a short-term risk-averse behavior.

Timing-wise, this drop coincides with the main trading hours in Europe and the US, possibly related to concerns that Europe might introduce retaliatory tariffs on Monday, prompting investors to exit preemptively.

Trump's tariff policy has finally taken effect, but the intensity is even stronger than everyone expected, leaving the market quite shaken.
U.S. stock index futures have seen a sharp decline, with both NASDAQ and S&P 500 futures dropping nearly 4%.

Bitcoin also experienced a significant drop after hitting a high, currently fluctuating around $83,400.
So what's going on here?
At first, Trump said the reciprocal tariff would be 10%, and the market was quite excited.
U.S. stocks surged, and Bitcoin nearly reached $90,000.
But then Trump changed his tone, saying this 'reciprocal tariff' is not simply fixed at 10%.
Instead, it's about how much other countries charge the U.S. in tariffs, and the U.S. will reciprocate half of that, starting at a minimum of 10%.

Recently, Trump announced that starting April 2, a 25% tariff would be imposed on all imported cars and threatened to escalate the trade war.

Once this news broke, the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up, U.S. stocks fell, and gold hit a new high.
Investors are worried that the trade war will escalate and are looking for safe-haven assets.
Why did U.S. stocks fall?

The recent drop in U.S. stocks is not only related to trade war concerns but also to several key data points, especially the core PCE inflation indicator, which the Federal Reserve values the most.

The previous value was 2.6%, and the market expects it to rise to 2.7%, indicating that inflation is already beginning to rise even before tariffs are added.

In recent days, the crypto market and US stocks have both rebounded, with Bitcoin once surging to $88,765, the Nasdaq index rising by 2.8%, and the S&P 500 up 1.9%.
What exactly happened behind this wave of increase? Let's analyze it today.
First, let's look at the reasons for this wave of increase.
Simply put, this wave of increase is caused by big players buying up assets and the relaxation of policies.
There are reports that Trump may not impose tariffs on all countries, meaning that a trade war will not fully break out.

Previously, the market was quite scared, worrying that Trump's tariffs would lead the US economy into recession, causing a crash in US stocks.

Recently, Binance dropped a bombshell; the new token delisting mechanism has arrived.
This has caused many retail investors to worry that the small coins they have painstakingly accumulated might be delisted by exchanges one day, resulting in a loss of money.
Today, let's talk about what this delisting mechanism is? Is your coin at risk? What should you do if your coin gets delisted?
First, let's take a look at what this delisting mechanism is about.
On March 21, Binance introduced a new feature called 'community governance'.

In simple terms, it allows users to vote on which coins can stay and which must be delisted.

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates? Will balance sheet normalization stop? How will the latest rate cut dot plot change? These questions not only relate to US stocks but will also directly affect the trends in the cryptocurrency market.
In recent days, US stocks and the cryptocurrency market have been fluctuating sideways, with everyone's focus on the Federal Reserve's meeting early this morning.
So what are the highlights of this interest rate meeting? Will the Federal Reserve cut rates?
I believe the possibility of a rate cut this time is very small, and it is likely that the interest rate will remain unchanged.
Why do I say this? Because recent economic data in the US has been quite strong; the labor market hasn't collapsed, and although inflation has decreased a bit, it is still around 3%, which is far from the Federal Reserve's 2% target.