This week's key macro events and important forecasts and interpretations of the crypto market, CoinAnk data shows:

June 24, Tuesday: Chairman #鲍威尔 of #美联储 delivers semi-annual monetary policy report testimony before the House Financial Services Committee.

June 25, Wednesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testifies before the Senate Committee on the semi-annual monetary policy report; Permanent Voting Member #fomc , New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.

June 26, Thursday: Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending June 21.

June 27, Friday: U.S. core #PCE Consumer Price Index year-on-year for May; U.S. final consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for June.

Deribit: Bitcoin options will see the largest quarterly settlement this Friday, with the maximum pain point at $100,000;

June 28, Saturday: Thailand SEC will block numerous crypto platforms.

We believe that the core of this week's macro events and crypto market forecasts lies in the impact of policy communication, economic data, and regulatory changes on market uncertainty. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's congressional testimony is a key event. The forward guidance from central bank communication (such as interest rate cut signals) has a far greater impact on market expectations than the current economic conditions described; a dovish stance may boost risk assets, while hawkish comments could increase volatility, especially in policy-sensitive areas like cryptocurrencies. This is due to the increased transparency of central banks, making the market more sensitive to policy signals, which may lead to changes in short-term capital flows.

The release of economic data will test the resilience of the U.S. economy. If the data is weaker than expected, it may strengthen expectations for rate cuts, driving a rebound in risk assets like the crypto market; conversely, strong data may heighten concerns and amplify volatility. The PCE, as an inflation indicator, may also affect exchange rates and cross-border capital flows, indirectly impacting the liquidity of the crypto market.

The large-scale settlement of #BTC options may trigger short-term price fluctuations, which, combined with policy uncertainty, increases the risk of leveraged positions being liquidated. Meanwhile, the Thailand SEC's blocking of multiple exchanges highlights regulatory divergence, similar events have previously heightened regional policy uncertainty, suppressing investment confidence, but have limited impact on the global market.