$BTC đïž Date: June 13, 2025
đ° Current Price: $103,574.42 (-4.56%)
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đ Key Changes vs Previous
đ Dropped ~$5.4K from $108,318
â Broke below EMA(25) & EMA(7)
đ Volume weak: 10.2K BTC < 5-day avg 15.6K BTC
â ïž RSI at 35.25 â oversold, but no bullish divergence
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đ Technical Breakdown
đ» Bearish Signals
Price collapsed below key supports: $107.8K & $105.5K
EMA(7) < EMA(25) â death cross active
RSI 35.25 â oversold, but momentum still negative
Weak volume = exhaustion selling or trap setup
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đ§± Support & Resistance Zones
Support Levels
$102,664 (24h low)
$100,000 (psychological)
$96,513 (major support zone)
Resistance Levels
$105,500 (EMA 25)
$106,253 (EMA 7)
$108,566 (24h high)
đŻ Breakdown Target: $91,018
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đź Price Prediction
âł Next 12â24 Hours
đ„ Base Case (60%): Retest $102,664 â break â $100,000
đ© Bounce Case (40%): RSI oversold bounce â $105,000 â $105,500
đïž 3-Day Outlook
â Daily close <$100,000 = bearish continuation
â
Reclaim >$105,500 = trend reversal potential
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đ§ Trade Plan
⥠Immediate Trades (Next 4h)
1. Aggressive Long (Oversold Bounce)
Entry: $102,700â$103,000
Target: $104,500 â $105,000
Stop: $102,500
Trigger: RSI >38 + 1h bullish close
2. Short Scalp (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $104,000
Target: $103,000 â $102,664
Stop: $104,500
Confirm: 15m close < $103,800
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đ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $102,600
Target: $100,000 â $98,000
Stop: $103,000
Confirm: 4h candle close < $102,500
2. Relief Rally Short
Entry: $105,300
Target: $103,500 â $102,000
Stop: $105,800
Trigger: RSI <40 reversal at resistance
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đĄïž Risk Management
Position Size: â€1.5% capital
Take Profit:
Long: 50% at $104,000, 50% at $104,500
Short: 50% at $102,000, 50% at $100,500
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% risk per trade
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âïž Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h close < $102,664
! RSI stays under 35
! Volume > 20K BTC on breakdown
! Widening EMA(7) < EMA(25)
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! RSI > 45 with price holding
! Bullish divergence on 1h MACD
! 4h close > $105,500
! Volume surge > 18K BTC
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â
Summary
BTC/USDT shows capitulation breakdown, but oversold bounce is possible:
đ Key Resistance: $105,500 (must reclaim to shift trend)
â ïž Key Support: $102,664 (loss = $100K test)
đ§ Best Setups:
1. Aggressive long near $102,700
2. Breakdown short below $102,600
3. Short relief rally at $105,300
đ« Avoid heavy longs until RSI flips >40 and volume confirms reversal
đŻ Exit 50% at $104,000 if long â protect gains in high volatility
Trade From here đ
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