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This week's key macro events and analysis of the cryptocurrency market forecasts:
The core contradiction in the cryptocurrency market this week revolves around the interaction between U.S. economic data and policy dynamics. According to Coinank data, Friday's employment and unemployment rate data will become a key guide for monetary policy expectations: if the data is weak (such as job growth below expectations or an increase in the unemployment rate), it may strengthen market bets on four interest rate cuts within the year, thereby boosting risk assets; conversely, if the data is strong, it will intensify concerns about the duration of high interest rates, suppressing market sentiment. Currently, BTC implied volatility has dropped to a low of 45%, indicating a lack of consensus among investors on short-term direction, but this also lays the groundwork for a rebound in volatility after the data is released.
The impact of Trump's policies on the market remains persistent. Previously, his tariff policies led to significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency assets (with a drop significantly greater than traditional assets), while recent easing of rhetoric has triggered a reversal in the market. This policy uncertainty enhances the correlation between cryptocurrency assets and traditional risk assets, especially against the backdrop of a weak U.S. stock market without signs of recession, where funds may accelerate rotation between the stock-bond market and the cryptocurrency market.
The specific impact path on the cryptocurrency market may exhibit bidirectional volatility characteristics: on the one hand, the interest rate cut expectations brought about by weak economic data may push BTC to test the psychological barrier of $100,000; on the other hand, the resilience of the job market may continue the current oscillation pattern. In the medium term, caution is needed regarding potential black swan events in policy (such as new tariff measures) and repeated adjustments in liquidity expectations. Investors are advised to pay close attention to changes in hedging demand in the options market and the sustainability of ETF capital inflows, as these two indicators will reflect institutional capital's assessment of systemic risk.

Will Bitcoin Take Off? Standard Chartered Bank: Crisis of Federal Reserve Independence May Boost BTC to New Heights

Recently, Bitcoin's market has heated up again, with prices once more surpassing the $90,000 mark! This time, in addition to the halving effect that occurs every four years, there is an unexpected boosting factor: the "power game" between Trump and the Federal Reserve.

According to insider information, the Trump team is studying how to replace Federal Reserve Chairman Powell before the end of his term in 2026, as Powell has been reluctant to cut interest rates, which has shaken the financial circles.

Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered Bank, recently released a report stating that if the independence of the Federal Reserve is indeed subject to political interference, Bitcoin could very likely experience a surge. After all, Bitcoin's decentralized nature makes it the best choice to combat traditional financial risks. Once the report was released, market sentiment was ignited.

Interestingly, Trump claims that "U.S. inflation is not serious" while warning, "If interest rates are not cut, the economy will decline." Even more absurdly, he recently stated that he wants to impose global tariffs, which is essentially pouring fuel on the already high inflation fire. As a result, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has risen to 4.425%, and the surge in long-term government bonds is considered a bearish signal. All these factors are potential warning signs that could lead to economic issues.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's trend is also quite strong. On-chain data shows that BTC has recently issued a buy signal on the weekly chart, and large holders (the so-called "whales") are still accumulating. Even more reassuring is that Bitcoin's network hash rate has just reached an all-time high, indicating robust network security.

In this regard, some analysts are quite optimistic about Bitcoin's future trajectory, even comparing it to historical gold price charts, predicting that by the end of 2025, Bitcoin could rise to $450,000!

Although this prediction sounds a bit exaggerated, given the current turbulent state of traditional financial markets, who can say it is absolutely impossible?

What do you think? If the Federal Reserve is indeed politically interfered with, how high do you think Bitcoin could rise? Is it time to boldly increase positions or to cautiously observe? Share your thoughts in the comments!

#比特币行情 #美联储 #加密货币投资 #经济形势

Political turmoil boosts crypto boom: Bitcoin ETF attracts $380 million in a single day, a three-month high

Against the backdrop of escalating conflicts between Trump and Fed Chairman Powell, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen strong inflows. On April 21, net inflows reached $381.4 million, the highest since January 30. Among them, ARKB led with $116 million, and products such as FBTC and BITB also received more than $40 million in funds. This inflow trend reversed the outflow of funds in the previous two weeks, showing that institutional investors are reinvesting in Bitcoin.  

This capital feast coincided with the turbulent political and economic situation. Trump recently publicly criticized Powell on his social media for "cutting interest rates too slowly", accompanied by news that he was considering removing the Fed Chairman through legal means. At the same time, Sino-US trade tensions and inflation concerns pushed gold to a record high, and Bitcoin also strengthened. It is currently around $88,500, and its total market value has returned to above $1.75 trillion.

Commenting on this situation, Kadan Stadelmann, chief technology officer of Komodo, pointed out that this reflects the wavering of investors' confidence in the traditional financial system. Because as people's trust in the traditional financial system declines, Bitcoin is becoming an important safe-haven option together with gold.  

It is worth noting that the market is showing a clear trend of differentiation. In sharp contrast to the popularity of Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum ETF has experienced capital outflows for 8 consecutive weeks, and lost another $25.42 million on Monday.

U.S. stocks also performed poorly, with the S&P 500 (S&P500) and Nasdaq (IXIX) both falling by more than 2.4% on Monday. This trend of capital rotation further highlights that under the current geopolitical and monetary policy uncertainties, investors prefer Bitcoin, which has the attribute of "digital gold".  

What impact will the personnel turmoil of the Federal Reserve have on the cryptocurrency market? Do you think the linkage between Bitcoin and gold will continue to strengthen? Leave your insights in the comment section! 

#比特币ETF #美联储 #加密货币 #市场动态

Erbing has once again hit the spot accurately!
Most of the friends in the afternoon have received it!
3175 is used to make Erbing, 3% of Cang, 100 times, target 3115, 3210
Not to say it is accurate every time, but the winning rate is also maintained at around 80%!
If you don’t believe it, you can go to 㪊 to see the strength, this is the truth👈
Anyone who follows me can click on my avatar to find me. #比特币减半完成
Currently, it is free to join, the room is so big, the number of places is limited, it can withstand verification, no need to worry! Deduct 1 to join #美联储 #ETH #BTC

The feeling of a full-position contract being liquidated

Watching the market drop bit by bit

It feels like someone is cutting your flesh bit by bit with a knife,

Every hit feels like a stab in the heart, and every breath is painful.

All your nerves and energy are affected by the market.

Although you have been suppressed for a long time and are very tired,

But

You still want to stare at it every minute and every second, not wanting to do anything, and can't sleep at all.

Even if you are very heartbroken and frustrated, you must persist, and you will only feel at ease when you see a rebound.

But reality is always contrary to one's wishes, and the market is still extremely fierce.

Especially when the point is close to the liquidation, when you are about to liquidate, you will silently say in your heart, it's over, it's over, you must hold on.

Your mental, emotional, and physical state are almost collapsed,

All struggles seem so futile,

Sure enough, it still exploded, but it was not as heartbreaking as imagined.

Instead, you will feel relaxed and relieved. You will no longer be so tired and can finally leave this cannibalistic environment. Decentralization and getting rich overnight are just beautiful dreams. You can sleep peacefully.

$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储 #比特币减半 #大盘走势 #ETH #BTC

Starting the new week with PA:

1. Consolidation in a low volatility environment below the previous all-time high of $69,000.

2. Sunday's surge may lead to Monday's plunge.

3. 56k is my next buy zone, but I didn't expect us to fall that low so soon (I believe the consensus level of $58,000 will not hold).

4. For me, investing $66,000 before falling to a new low makes more sense than losing money now.

PS: Yesterday's surge in ETH proves that altcoins may outperform Bitcoin whether it goes up or down
#BTC #美联储

HKETF is officially launched, and the price of Bitcoin has surged again, reaching the highest point of 64700. The low point given yesterday was 62280, and 61800 was added, which is basically the best point. Due to the late time, the market closed early to welcome the exit.

At present, Bitcoin has fallen back to around 63350, and will continue to rise during the day. If you are aggressive, you can consider opening a position now.

For a more conservative point, you can buy around 63000, and look up to 64500-65500, and defend 62500#香港加密货币ETF #美联储 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Unlocking data this week: Memecoin will unlock more than $140 million worth of MEME at one time

Optimism will unlock 24.16 million OP on April 29, worth about $63.54 million, accounting for 2.31% of the circulating supply;

dydx will unlock 33.33 million DYDX on May 1, worth about $70.67 million, accounting for 10.72% of the circulating supply;

Ethena will unlock 53.6 million ENA on May 2, worth about $45.37 million, accounting for 3.76% of the circulating supply;

Memecoin will unlock 5.31 billion MEME on May 3, worth about $141 million, accounting for 31.94% of the circulating supply.

Pay attention to the unlocked currencies and adjust your layout!

#美联储 #大盘走势

The market may fluctuate and wash in the short term, but friends who hold spot stocks don't need to worry too much, as long as they believe that the bull market is coming. There are several reasons:

1. After the Bitcoin halving, the number of mining will decrease, the circulating Bitcoin will also decrease, and the market demand is large, so the price may rise.

2. Before the halving, Bitcoin had adjusted by 18%, and many altcoins adjusted by more than 50%, which seems to have been adjusted in place. Judging from the market last night, the repeated wash is testing everyone's confidence in holding coins.

3. Europe is expected to start cutting interest rates in June, and the US balance sheet reduction is also decreasing, all in preparation for the US interest rate cut.

4. Bitcoin spot ETFs are still buying, and large institutions such as BlackRock and Fidelity are also buying. Grayscale has also reduced management fees. The outflow of Bitcoin will slow down and will soon turn to buying.

5. Many people think that the bull market is coming soon, and those large institutions must know better, so they are also actively buying.

But the bull market will not come as soon as it is said, and we need to be patient. Those who don’t have the patience to wait for the bull market may miss it.

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to learn more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the cryptocurrency circle, click on the avatar to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment, and leave a message.

#美联储 #Megadrop #新币挖矿

Why do many people in the cryptocurrency circle say that Chinese projects are not worth playing with? Is there any precedent?

Chinese projects are not packaged, and they focus on a simple and rough way to raise the price and run away. They finish one project in half a month and then go to the next one. In contrast, foreign projects are delicate, with a very technological page, VC platform, Dr. XX platform, various media promotions, and no rush to pull the market. They will only hang the leeks on the flagpole after half a year. Playing Chinese projects, you will see the door and start cursing after two months. Playing foreign projects, you still think you lost money because you didn’t study the technology well after two years.

Domestic projects are generally called local dog projects, which are in sharp contrast with overseas projects.
In terms of nature, they are all the same. Whether you are a public chain, defi, social, game or meme, everyone is raising funds for projects, regardless of whether you are noble or humble.
From actual past experience, overseas projects that can be spread to the Chinese cryptocurrency circle are often different from domestic local dog projects.
One is that the concept is more advanced. Many new concepts, whether reliable or not, are often first introduced overseas. After the track becomes popular, a large number of imitations and plagiarisms appear in China. Therefore, overseas projects in the same track often occupy the largest flow. Large enough flow means more liquidity. To put it bluntly, there are more buyers, and you at least have a chance to escape when the price falls.
The second is that overseas projects are open to the world and have their own investor communities in many countries. They harvest leeks from all over the world. Local dog projects often target the domestic currency circle, and the audience types are highly consistent, highlighting a narrowness.
The third is the target problem. Most of the project parties of domestic local dog projects come from wild ways, are full of the desire to redistribute wealth, and harvest very quickly. There is basically no code audit, and they rely entirely on shouting orders and CX. It is difficult for project parties to do some human work. Just look at the market and you will feel it. It is full of the beauty of a straight line up and down, and there is basically no aftermath after the goods are shipped. They treat the project as a one-time transaction and like to start a new project quickly. Overseas projects are a little more profitable. After the project party has shipped the goods, when the price drops to the bottom, they will also recover the sold chips at a low cost, and there will be another wave of opportunities in the future.In other words, even if they are both stuck, overseas projects can still have some hope, while local dog projects can basically give up and admit their losses.

If you want to know more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the cryptocurrency circle, click on the avatar to follow Tianmeng, which publishes market analysis and recommends high-quality potential currencies every day.
#美联储 #Megadrop #Meme币你看好哪一个？ #ETH #BTC

A piece of advice, trading is a happy game, don't make yourself so miserable. Insisting on only choosing the second type of buying and selling points to enter is a good way to stay happy. What is a real master? It is to cut the cow like a butcher, choose the direction with the least difficulty. Those who like to play with high difficulty all day long will not become masters. #美联储 #大盘走势 #BTC

#美联储 #热门话题
Read, got it

Tai Chi master, this old man

On the road of investment and trading, you are not alone and lonely! People are in a hurry for a few pieces of silver, and so are you and me. No one is immune.

In the necessary stage of the bull market, there will be several callbacks on the way up to clear most of the bubbles and return the value of the currency!

What we can do is to make value investments based on hot narratives, with the premise of ambush, rather than going to high FOMO! Instead of being dominated by anxiety, it is better to calm down and review why you missed the opportunity. Is it because of information gap? Or cognitive limitations? Or lack of currency selection logic? Or judgment and analysis ability?

I wanted to talk about the big cake from the perspectives of the meaning of encrypted digital currency, mining circle, ecology, value storage, traders, believers, etc. The idea is opened, the content is long, and it is written here. I don’t ask for the eternal name of heroes, but I ask for friends to walk the same road! I think friends who have the fate and patience to read my article today show that you are also a person with a story in your heart, and have a certain awareness and thinking ability. I hope we can become fellow travelers!

Whether Bitcoin will continue to rise sharply, the most important thing is whether there is any insider buying. If there is, then the negative news that drives Bitcoin to rise instead of falling can be used as a signal.

The copycats were slaughtered and cut in half! A healthy bull market requires constant cleaning to resolve the differences between long and short positions, exit the market with profit, and complete the exchange of chips.

90% of people will lose money in the 2024 bull market. This is an objective law of the capital market and cannot be changed!

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to learn more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the currency circle, click on the avatar introduction to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment, and leave a message

#美联储 $BTC

Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Strategy

Bitcoin built a top at the primary 64300 line yesterday and took a step-back route. It has been a relatively obvious short trend all day today. The price of the currency has dropped again to the lowest level of 61700. After a large step-back, the market is currently in a rebound state. The price of the currency is consolidating around 62000. From the daily line, it is in a negative state. The bottom is concerned about the support level of 61500-61000, and the top is under pressure at 63000-63500. Ethereum hit a high of 3365 yesterday and built a top and took a callback route. The price of the currency has been falling all the way today. The lowest price of the currency has reached 3110. At present, the daily line is also in a negative state. It is recommended to step back to the bottom and consolidate to take more. The market outlook needs to be raised. Pay attention to the support level of 3080-3030 at the bottom. Go long and buy the bottom when you step back near the support level. Real trading follows btc0298

Bitcoin operation suggestion: long orders are placed near 61500-61000, target: 63000-62500, risk control: 60500

Ethereum operation suggestion: long orders are placed near 3100-3050, target: 3230-3180, risk control: 3000#美联储

#美联储 #大盘走势 #以太坊ETF
$ETH $DOGE $BTC

Recently, many people say that the bull market has ended. In fact, most people do not have their own trading logic. They are bearish when the market falls and bullish when the market rises. Their emotions are affected by the market. I can tell you with certainty that the bull market has not ended. Once the trend is formed, it will not be easily reversed.

The overall framework analysis is actually very thorough. Because the Bitcoin spot ETF application and approval, the tens of trillions of dollars of huge financial empires managed by institutions such as BlackRock have leaked some funds into the currency circle, which helped Bitcoin break through the previous high before the halving. The recent decrease in institutional net inflows and the continuous net outflow of Grayscale have determined that the market must take time to adjust the rise in the past six months from the emotional perspective.

The economy has cyclical properties, and the cryptocurrency market also has bull-bear cycles. Each round of Bitcoin bull market has its own differences, but they also have commonalities. These commonalities will not disappear just because they are said to disappear. For example, every time BTC is halved, it will go out of the bull market about 10 months later, which has never changed. Combined with the current global macro, I personally think that at least in the next few months, there will be a volatile market. First, BTC will not fall too much; second, it is a BTC spot ETF itself, and it is reasonable that ETH's increase is weaker than BTC. Even the king of cottages is not good, and the disciples will not have a very eye-catching performance, which is the fact; third, in the past, cottages have gone into the bear market after a crazy increase of ten or dozens of times, and the wash is a big deal, but currently 95% of cottages have not seen much increase, and there is no basis for a deep decline; fourth, there is no inflow of off-site funds. After some new projects are listed on the second level, they will directly have a market value of hundreds of millions of dollars or more than one billion dollars. The ending is doomed. Once the heat is over, it will only fall.

It is easy to make the right choice from a high point, which is why meme coins can rise. Value coins are not good, so memes are used as market stimulants.

The market is always right. When the suppressed emotions begin to explode, when the Fed continues to cut interest rates, and when the trend reaches that point, what is coming will definitely happen. In this process, many things will happen that will make you negative, lose faith, be confused, panic, etc., but if they don't defeat you, then victory will belong to you.

Click on the avatar, follow me, and share my bull market strategy layout with my fans for free. I will be a free blogger just to increase my fans. If you come to me, I can take you ashore. I will not let my fans miss out in this bull market! Just lie down!

Zone waves2.46 entered less than 2 hours ago. The spot price rose by 22%. Take your friends to eat meat directly. Follow Jiuyu to eat meat #美联储 #Megadrop

Yesterday, the market bottomed out around 61,700 and counterattacked. The three waves given all reached the target perfectly and left the market.

At present, the market has made great efforts in the morning and has reached the 64700 line, but it has not been effectively extended. From the daily perspective, the currency price has been suppressed by the middle track. It is running between the middle and lower tracks and there are signs of Bollinger continuing to decline. In the short term, the currency price has been suppressed by the middle track. Although there is a certain rebound in the market, unless the Yang pulls up and the Yang line closes, it will be difficult to change the current short trend. In the short term, there may be temporary back and forth fluctuations. Waiting for the breakthrough to get out of the range will determine the continuity. Morning silk can still be Look at a retracement.

The big pie is around 64500-64800, look at around 63000.
Ether is near 3220-3240, look around 3100.

Personal opinions are for reference only, and the specific points are based on the stone plate. #大盘走势 #美联储

This dog farm is really not tiring. It’s about to turn around again~
Okay, it has fallen too deep and it’s time to rebound. There are also divergences in technical indicators that need to be corrected.

The rebound force may not be small, and there is also some meat to eat.
I made a two-way warehouse. The first level was 64,200, and the next level was 65,000.
But remember to be careful, it’s just a rebound, it’s not that fast to turn long.
The advantage of doing a two-way position is that you can lock in profits and avoid inserting pins in the future.

Proportion
1 (short order): 2 long order
Bought WIF multiple orders

This Wednesday and Friday will be non-farm payrolls. Don’t chase the sharp rise.
Don’t be short if it plummets. The slingshot is terrible! $BTC $WIF $PENDLE
#美联储 #非农数据 #大盘走势

Make a single-word formula

When entering the currency circle, first prepare to enter less and not rush in.
When it is sideways at a low level, buy heavily at a new low, it is a good time.

Sell when it goes high, and try not to trade when it goes sideways.
It has been sideways, which means to replace the decline with the sideways. You must hold your coins firmly, and it may rise at any time.

When it rises rapidly, you must always be prepared to sell, and it may plummet at any time.
When it slowly declines, it is time to cover your position little by little.

When it is consolidating at high and low levels, wait a while.
It is sideways at a high level, and then it goes up again. Seize the opportunity and sell quickly: it is sideways at a low level

It is a new low, buy in with full position, it is a good time.
Don't go up, don't sell, don't dive, don't buy sideways, don't trade.

Buy Yin, don't buy Yang, sell Yang, don't sell Yin, go against the market, and you will be a hero.
In the morning, it falls sharply, so you should buy. In the morning, it rises sharply, so you should sell. In the afternoon, it rises sharply, so you should not chase the afternoon fall. The next day, you should buy in the morning. In the morning, it falls sharply, so you should not sell. If it does not rise or fall, you should sleep. If you are stuck in a position, you should cover your position and seek to protect your capital and seek profit. This is greed.

Calm water surface, a wave of high, be careful behind, after a big wave of big rise, there must be a callback, K line for many days, draw a triangle upward trend, look for support, and calm water surface for downward trend, look for resistance.

Full position operation is a taboo, and it is not advisable to change erratically. You should know when to stop and enter and exit freely. Those who watch the opportunity to speculate and play are greedy and fearful in their mentality, and they are big books chasing ups and downs. Be cautious, calm, and free.

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to know more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the currency circle, click on the avatar introduction to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment and leave a message

#美联储 #Megadrop #新币挖矿