PCE

🚨 September Rate Cut Odds Plunge After Hot PCE Inflation Print
📢 The latest PCE inflation data has shifted market expectations in a big way.
🔹 CME FedWatch now shows just a 39.2% chance of a 25bps rate cut in September — down from 63.7% yesterday.
🔹 60.8% odds now favor the Fed holding rates steady yet again.
🔹 June PCE YoY: 2.6% (vs. 2.5% expected)
🔹 Core PCE YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.7% expected)
🔹 Both monthly PCE & Core PCE came in at 0.3% — matching forecasts.
🏛 This marks the second consecutive monthly rise in inflation, with May data also revised higher. The timing couldn’t be more critical, coming just a day after the FOMC held rates steady for the fifth straight meeting.
📊 With inflation remaining sticky and data consistently surprising to the upside, the Fed’s path forward just became more uncertain — and the market knows it.
🔍 All eyes on the next FOMC as the tug-of-war between inflation and rate cut hopes intensifies.
#FederalReserve #InterestRates #PCE #FOMC #Macroeconomics
https://coingape.com/september-rate-cut-odds-fall-as-pce-inflation-data-comes-in-hot/?utm_source=bnb&utm_medium=coingape

Here’s a crisper, high-engagement version of your update — perfect for finance-savvy audiences on X, Telegram, or newsletters:

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🇺🇸 U.S. Economic Data (Q2 - Preliminary): Key Releases Just In

🔹 Core PCE Price Index (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 2.5%
• Expected: 2.3%
• Previous: 3.5%
➡️ Inflation is slowing but still slightly hotter than expected.

🔹 Real GDP Growth (QoQ, Annualized)
• Actual: 3.0%
• Expected: 2.4%
• Previous: -0.5%
➡️ Sharp bounce back — growth stronger than forecast.

📈 Market Implications:
A mixed bag for the Fed:
• Inflation cooling ✅
• Economic resilience 🚀
Rate cuts might be delayed — or dialed in more cautiously. Expect market swings ahead.

🧠 Smart money stays alert.
#Fed #PCE #GDP #Inflation #Markets #FOMC #InterestRates #Economy

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Here’s a polished, fast-paced version of your update with sharper delivery and better impact for social or newsletter use:

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🚨 U.S. Economic Data (Q2 Preliminary) Just Dropped!
Two key indicators just hit the tape:

🔹 Core PCE Price Index (QoQ, Annualized)
– Actual: 2.5%
– Forecast: 2.3%
– Previous: 3.5%
➡️ Inflation continues to cool — but still running a touch hot.

🔹 Real GDP Growth (QoQ, Annualized)
– Actual: 3.0%
– Forecast: 2.4%
– Previous: -0.5%
➡️ Massive rebound — growth is back with a bang.

📊 What it means:
The Fed’s next move just got more complicated. Inflation's easing, but not quite enough. Meanwhile, the economy is running hotter than expected.

⚠️ Markets may get choppy — stay sharp, stay ready.

#GDP #PCE #FOMC #FederalReserve #MarketUpdate #Macroeconomics #Inflation #InterestRates

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🚨BREAKING: Two MASSIVE economic signals just hit the U.S. — and crypto traders should watch closely 👇

1️⃣ Core PCE (Inflation)
➡️ 2.5% this quarter (down from 3.5%)
➡️ Still ABOVE forecast (2.3%)
📌 Translation: Inflation’s falling, but not fast enough. Fed’s still watching.

2️⃣ GDP COMEBACK 💥
➡️ Real Q2 growth at 3.0%
➡️ Last quarter was -0.5% 😳
📌 The economy just bounced hard. This shows hidden strength.

📈 What now?
Volatility is *loading*. Fed moves are coming.
Smart money is shifting — are YOU?

#CryptoNews #FOMC #PCE #GDP #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #EthereumTurns10

Both 🇺🇸 US PCE & Jobs data came in slightly bearish for Bitcoin & other risk assets.

What do you think happens next? 👇

#PCEInflationWhatch #PCE

0731 Evening Market Data Interpretation

Bitcoin Short-Term Trend


In the short term, market trends are mainly driven by retail sentiment, with a high frequency of trading in the spot market. However, whale participation is low, with average order sizes at a 'normal' level, and trading volume in the futures market has cooled a bit, indicating that large funds remain quite cautious.

The upper resistance is at $118,000, and the lower support is at the $110,000 level. If it breaks below, it may trigger a chain liquidation.

The funding situation is somewhat differentiated: there was a net outflow of 4,292 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, and reserves continue to decline, which is a positive signal for the long term. Short-term bullish leverage sentiment remains, which also increases the potential volatility risk.

Macroeconomic Risks
The Fed's hawkish stance has been suppressing the market: they have kept interest rates unchanged, and Powell has not committed to a rate cut in September, leading to a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity, which has suppressed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Global trade conflicts have also escalated, with a new round of tariffs from the U.S. raising global supply chain costs, increasing expectations of sticky inflation, which may further delay the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, posing mid-term pressure on the market.

⚠ Must-Watch Events
8.1 8.30 U.S. June Core #PCE Data
8.1 U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data: This is a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy.
8.1 U.S. Tariffs on Non-Agreement Countries Take Effect: Pay attention to the practical impact on commodities and inflation.

🚀 Strategy Recommendations
Aggressive: It's not a good time to chase highs. You can wait for the PCE data to be released; if prices drop sharply to around the $110,000 support area and a stabilization signal appears, then consider lightly entering a long position.
Cautious: I strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already sent a clear warning signal, and macroeconomic uncertainty is particularly high.
For Those with No Positions: Continuing to hold no positions is the best strategy. The market volatility following the Fed's decision, coupled with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.

#白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #TradingSignals #行情推演

U.S. Stock Market Performance:

On March 28, 2025, U.S. stock futures experienced slight declines as investors awaited key inflation data from the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, anticipated to show an annual inflation rate of 2.5% for February. Additionally, new auto import tariffs announced by President Trump have impacted companies like General Motors, whose shares have continued to decline.

Cryptocurrency Market Movements:

Bitcoin experienced a decline of 2.21%, bringing its price to $85,113. Ethereum also saw a decrease, with its price dropping to $1,888.54, down 6.4% from the previous close. These fluctuations may be attributed to broader market uncertainties and investor sentiment shifting away from riskier assets.

Market Sentiment and Strategies:

Given the current market conditions, some investors are considering short positions, finding them more comfortable with minimal stop losses. Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer, Mike Wilson, suggests several strategic moves in light of rising recession fears:#USstock #PCE #cryptocurreny #Ethereum #bitcoin

I see many friends don't quite understand tonight's PCE data, so let me explain the impact of the data and how to view it in the current market in simple and easy-to-understand language:

Tonight at 9:30 PM, the U.S. will release the December PCE data, and the core PCE is key for the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation. The 2% target they've always mentioned refers to the core PCE year-on-year reaching 2%. So this data is quite crucial, as it can reflect the direction of inflation in the U.S. If the core PCE value is low, the market generally sees it as a good thing, possibly indicating that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates more often.

However, when the Federal Reserve makes decisions, they need to consider inflation, the labor market, and the economic situation as a whole. Looking at just one month of inflation data makes it hard for them to change their minds. Moreover, even if they want to cut rates more, it’s likely to happen after March. So, this inflation data isn't really that significant.

🚨BREAKING:

🇺🇸 US PCE DATA: 👇

U.S. CORE PCE RISES 0.4% M/M EXPECTED: +0.3%

U.S. CORE PCE RISES 2.8% Y/Y
EXPECTED: +2.7%
#BSCTrendingCoins #PCE

Every time I see the main forces washing the plates, there is an inexplicable excitement in my heart.
It's not because I like the decline, but that sense of 'calm before the storm',
like seeing a hunter lay out a trap, seeing the sun hidden behind the clouds,
watching a play about to begin.

Most people in the market panic and flee,
while I prefer to stand on the crest of the wave,
quietly waiting for that turning point.

Perhaps I am not looking at the market,
I am seeing through lies, deciphering routines,
searching for that thread of truth in the gray area.

Washing the plates is no longer fear,
but a delicate art,
it is a psychological game between the main forces and the masses.
And I would rather be the one who sits and watches the clouds rise.

#PCE #交易心理學 #市場觀察 #獵人視角 #金融哲學

$BTC fall because of Pce data is not good#us #pce

The annual rate of the US core PCE price index in March was 2.8%, and the expected rate was 2.7%
#pce

US core PCE records two-year low!
Tonight’s core PCE announced values ​​are too accurate! It actually reaches 6 digits after the decimal point!
Expected value 3.5%
Published value 3.462924%
Previous value 3.7%
PCE hit a two-year low in October!
This indicates that the probability that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in December is further improved!
It’s a perfect end to November! #pce

🇺🇸 FED UPDATE 🚨:

The Fed is set to release the US Core PCE Price Index for February this week 📅! 🔍 The market is predicting a rebound from 2.6% to 2.8% 📊.

What’s your prediction? 🤔👇

💬 Will it rise as expected, or will we see a surprise shift? Let us know your thoughts! 🧐

#PCE #CorePCE #FedUpdate #MarketForecast #Predictions
$BTC $XRP $TRUMP

Why is no one speculating in cryptocurrencies anymore? Are you all waiting for the PCE data tonight?

The core PCE data will be released tonight. Will BTC rise or fall?
#pce

⚠️LAST⚠️

👀Powell DOES NOT COMMENT on monetary policy or economic outlook in his speech

👉The focus is on this week's data, we have PCE, GDP, and minutes from the FED meeting. It's crucial to follow them closely as they will bring VOLATILITY

#Fed #Powell #PCE #MarketPullback #economy $USD1

If there are no good projects tomorrow, let's talk about macro issues😂
#pce

🚨 US PCE Inflation Holds at 2.3% — Rate Cuts on Hold?

📊 March’s PCE inflation data came in right on target at 2.3% YoY, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady at its May meeting.

🏛 As the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, this print keeps markets in wait-and-see mode on future policy moves.

#FederalReserve #Inflation #PCE #Economy #FOMC