非农就业数据

6.9 Market Analysis！！！

Hello brothers, good afternoon! A new week has begun 😀.

#大饼 , the script from the past two days is still in progress!!
On the 7th, I mentioned that the resistance was around the shoulder line at 107K, and this morning it has reached that level for verification. If it breaks above 107K, it will take off; if it doesn't break, it will pull back to the support below and then gradually move upwards. Overall, I continue to be bullish; a pullback to the support below is an entry opportunity. The script has completed 3/1, now we just let time verify it!!!

#以太 Script Logic: Ethereum has formed a 2H descending channel with expectations of a bull flag, but it hasn't broken out yet, so we can't confirm it's a bull flag. The key support level determining the bullish or bearish trend is around 2370. The market needs to break upwards from the 2H channel to see the previous high near the red line.
Operational suggestion: Enter on a pullback to the lower horizontal level, or when the candlestick holds up at the middle track of the channel without dropping, that is the entry point.

Intraday Focus: $KAIA $RVN $CHESS
#非农就业数据 #美国加征关税 #币安alpha上新

Let me briefly share my views on the current situation $BTC
I took a look around the market and the data #非农就业数据
Currently, there are a lot of people shorting the market #多空双爆
In other words, even if it drops to 104000 now, I believe not many people would dare to go long, because at the current levels, shorting feels very safe
Those going long are very afraid of a sudden drop; for those without positions, I suggest not to open any, and waiting is the best option
With so many short sellers around, there is a high probability of a sharp rally that will force short positions to cover
Stop losses on short positions or liquidations may lead to a chain reaction
During this process, there is a high likelihood that BTC will be pushed up to a price that cannot be predicted, possibly 106, 107, or 109
I believe many cautious traders may have liquidation prices even around 11
Once the shorts have been sufficiently squeezed, combined with the non-farm payroll news, there will be a sell-off; at that time, the Nasdaq will certainly plummet, and BTC is likely to drop back to the 92xxx range or even 86xxx range. But during this process, the most agonizing part is knowing it will drop yet being afraid of not being on the train
Knowing there will be a sharp rally yet still having to get on board to hold the position
This is just my personal opinion and may not be correct
If you think I have missed anything, feel free to give me feedback, teacher.

Many people had pre-buyed 59,000 points at noon, and now they have won 800-1,000 points. Both the technical and non-agricultural data are as expected. Congratulations to those who followed the master's real-time layout! #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据 #合约挑战

I don't know if this article will be limited in circulation. Regardless of whether you are making a profit or a loss, you must definitely remain in cash and wait before 8:30. Do not open positions casually! #非农就业数据

Not long ago, the German government staged a jaw-dropping Bitcoin selling drama. In a short period of time, it sold 1,300 Bitcoins in three batches to mainstream trading platforms such as Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp, with a total value of up to 75 million US dollars. This move was like throwing three boulders into the calm market lake, stirring up layers of huge waves!
This selling action was not only astonishingly fast, but also revealed an "impatient" sense of urgency to cash out, as if there was an emergency at home and money was urgently needed. Even the subtle fluctuations in the market were not taken care of, and they just wanted to quickly sell and cash out. The Bitcoin market is already in a sensitive period. This "willful" move by the German government has undoubtedly added fuel to the already fragile market sentiment, making people sigh: "This operation is simply a 'mudslide' in the market crash!"
What's even more ridiculous is that the selling was not completed at one time, but was carried out in three times, each time like a sudden "stress test" of the market, and each time accurately hit the sensitive nerves of the market. This is not a simple disposal of assets, but a carefully planned "art of market smashing". People are shocked and worried about the market's tolerance.
As for the reasons behind this, there are many speculations, but the most direct one is that the German government may face financial constraints and urgently needs to quickly recover funds by selling Bitcoin. However, such an operation method is undoubtedly a disregard for market rules and investor sentiment, which makes people question the prudence of its decision-making.
In short, the German government's Bitcoin selling action has undoubtedly brought an unexpected "storm" to the Bitcoin market. Although there may be some unavoidable difficulties behind it, such an operation method is undoubtedly a heavy and helpless "gift" for the majority of investors. For more inside information and in-depth analysis, please click on my avatar to find out!

#BTC走势预测 #非农就业数据

#非农就业数据 Tonight's non-agricultural data is expected to fall further. If the price of Bitcoin falls to 61,800 today, you can enter the market! $BTC

The "Trump trade" is suffering from a double whammy as Harris's approval ratings surge in U.S. election polls and expectations grow that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates. Compared with the "Trump trade", the strategy of a Harris victory is currently receiving less attention. However, this situation may bring some far-reaching market effects.
Possible market reaction to Harris' victory:
Bullish outlook for Asian markets: Huo Ming Li, macro strategist at Lombard Odier Singapore Ltd, pointed out that if Harris wins, we expect bullish sentiment on Asian stocks to increase. Harris is unlikely to trigger large-scale inflation worldwide, which will help maintain the current core anti-inflationary drivers in the United States.
Policy uncertainty: Sharma-Ong, an analyst at abrdn Plc, believes that the specific impact of the "Harris trade" is still unclear. If there is a blue wave in Congress, the Democratic Party may push to restart the child tax credit policy during the epidemic and increase corporate taxes, which may squeeze corporate profits and pose a challenge to the market.
Room for optimism: Hebe Chen, an analyst at IG Markets in Melbourne, said that Harris's lead currently mainly comes from her not taking major actions. This state provides room for the growth of optimism, but the specific impact needs further observation.
Lao Lin's homepage will continue to provide you with the latest market analysis and trading strategies. The next wave of opportunities is ready, and I look forward to discussing and communicating with you brothers and sharing more successful experiences and trading skills.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国政府转移BTC #超级央行周 #比特币大会 #非农就业数据

#eth

Facing the downward trend line, it also completed a breakthrough
This variety is weaker than BTC
ETH's risk resistance has always been weaker than BTC
There is a possibility of rising to the top of the box
Pay attention
The overall trend is still downward
s: 3030
r: 3155
Stop loss: 1.5% has a larger fluctuation
The same is the average approach
The overall trend is still downward #非农就业数据 #币圈超话 #区块链超话

#热点解析
#美联储何时降息？
#非农就业数据

Market hot spots:

1. The public chain FTM has risen, and will exchange the currency for the new EVM public chain Sonic, and launch a developer reward plan.

2. The public chain MAT has risen, and the ecosystem Quick and others have followed suit. MAT will exchange the currency for POL on September 4, mainly because the old currency has been fully released, and the new currency can continue to be issued.

3. The old DeFi FXS, UNI, AAVE, AEVO, etc. rebounded. V God publicly called for the ETH chain, and AAVE's quarterly revenue exceeded the peak of the previous bull market.

【Rising instead of falling? Is $W going to take off】

Token name: W

Current price: $0.751

📊 Market sentiment analysis
Recent news about Wormhole (W) indicates positive market sentiment due to the launch of the staking function and a sharp increase in price of more than 35% from the lowest level in May.
The price remained stable, reaching a high of $0.718, indicating that the sentiment in the crypto industry has improved.

📈 Technical analysis
Order book analysis: The order book shows strong support at $0.75 with 17,682.9 units and resistance at $0.751 with 36,467.1 units. This indicates that consolidation is likely around the current price level.
RSI: The RSI is currently at 65.32, indicating that the coin is approaching the overbought area, but has not yet reached it. The upward trend of the RSI in the past few hours indicates that buying pressure is increasing.
Bollinger Bands: The current price is very close to the upper Bollinger Band at $0.7527, which indicates that the price may be overextended and may face resistance.
Pivot Point: The price is currently at the pivot point of $0.75. The next resistance levels are at $0.756 and $0.762, while the support levels are at $0.744 and $0.738.
DMI: The ADX is at 19.74, which indicates a weak trend. However, the +DI (30.94) is above the -DI (18.89), which indicates bullish momentum.
MA: The moving average is at $0.701, which is below the current price, indicating a bullish trend.
MACD: The MACD is above the signal line and the histogram is positive, indicating bullish momentum.
KDJ: The K value is 87.72, the D value is 79.75, and the J value is 103.67, which indicates that the coin is in the overbought zone and may face a correction soon.

💡 Recommendations and Trading Strategies
Given the positive market sentiment and bullish technical indicators, it is recommended to go long.
For short-term trading, consider opening a long position near the current price of $0.751.
Set profit targets at the next resistance level of $0.756 and $0.762.
Set a stop loss below the support level of $0.744 to manage risk.
Due to the overbought signals of RSI and KDJ, the confidence level is moderate, and it is recommended to be cautious and monitor the position closely.

Technical analysis is based on the 1-hour candlestick chart indicator, and users who like short-term trading can refer to it.
#山寨季何时到来？ #非农就业数据 #BTC☀

#非农就业数据

The expected value is 17.5, which is very low. It is obviously preparing to release a value greater than 17.5. The current non-agricultural data is played by the Americans at will, losing its authenticity and authority, but it does have a huge impact on the US dollar

The value released tonight is greater than 17.5, the data is more favorable than the US dollar, and BTC continues to smash the market.

Indeed, it perfectly predicted the benchmark point of 4.2%, but now, with one long and one short position, what should we do? In online confusion, I will continue to maintain the 80,000 viewpoint unchanged! #非农就业数据 $BTC

5.2 (Friday) BTC/ETH Market Update
Bitcoin reached a daily high of 97388 yesterday. Ethereum rebounded to a high of 1872. I took the day off for Labor Day yesterday, so I didn’t update much; I only shared a bullish view in one post, which most of my friends may have missed.
Currently, on the chart, Bitcoin's daily K-line has taken off with a big bullish candle, breaking through the recent resistance at 95500. The first wave reached around 96700 and began to retrace, dropping to 95700 before rebounding again. The second wave's highest point reached around 97400 before starting to retrace. As of now, the lowest point has retraced to around 96300 and is beginning to show a slight rebound. The upper, middle, and lower bands are all opening upward and rising, and the KDJ lines have converged to form a golden cross, with overbought signals still heading upward. Therefore, in this case, we do not guess the top.
Currently, on the hourly chart, there is a rise followed by a drop, and it is in a retracement phase. I’d like to share the support levels below for reference when considering long positions. The lower support levels to watch are 96100/95500/94800, building long positions around these points, with take-profit targets at 97500, 98500, and 99500.

Ethereum only reached a high of around 1870 yesterday. Although it broke the previous high of 1860, it did not stabilize completely, which counts as a false breakout. However, the lows for Ethereum are slowly rising, and there are still opportunities for low buys on retracements. The support levels for Ethereum to watch are 1823, 1800, and 1770 for low buys, with targets looking at 1857/1872/1888.
The above is just my personal opinion and does not represent correctness or guarantee profitability. Everyone must approach it rationally and avoid blindly diving in; risk management is paramount at all times!
​$BTC
#非农就业数据 Pay close attention to the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30, and prepare for potential spikes.

Super Big Non-Farm Employment Ambush Order #非农就业数据
Ethereum 1830 plus
Add position 1812
Stop loss 1792
Target 1855-1870-1885

Don't expect the Ethereum ETF to be approved immediately!
Wake up, friends! The approval date of the Ethereum ETF has been postponed to around the 15th of this month, which means that before that, the capital flow in the market will stagnate, and only the funds between retail investors will circulate weakly.
The market was originally full of hope, thinking that good news would come as early as July 4, but the reality gave everyone a basin of cold water. According to internal sources, the deadline for submitting updated documents is July 8, and there will be a new round of approval process after that. This long wait has undoubtedly cast a shadow on market sentiment.
What is more concerning is that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission gave the latest feedback to the issuer last Friday, which means that the entire approval process is still in full swing. But don't forget that even if the ETF is finally approved, the incremental funds it brings may be far less than expected. After all, these products still need to pass a level before they are officially listed.
Therefore, we must be mentally prepared and stop pinning all our hopes on the approval of the ETF. For more insider information and market dynamics, please click on my avatar to learn more!

#币安热门推荐 #非农就业数据

🔥 **US April Non-Farm Data Exceeds Expectations!**
📊 Released Value: 177,000 (Expected: 130,000)
📉 Previous Value Revised to 185,000 (Originally 228,000)

✅ **Positive**: Job market is robust, economic resilience is evident
⚠️ **Attention**: Growth rate slowed compared to previous month + Federal Reserve policy direction

#非农就业数据 #FederalReserve #经济指标

Tonight is the time for important non-agricultural data to come.
It is likely to be positive, and I will give you a pin up and down.

BTC: Yesterday's support level was 63200, which has been broken.
If it falls to 62000 today, the downward trend will go to 61800.
If it falls below 61200 tonight, the downward trend will become inevitable.
So in the near future, you can wait and see the market trend with empty positions, and wait for the downward trend to turn before investing.
#美联储何时降息？ #非农就业数据

Seriously suspecting strong control over the unemployment rate! #失业率 #币安HODLer空投STO $BTC
#非农就业数据

The US side has actively contacted the Chinese side through various channels, hoping to negotiate on tariff issues. In fact, tariffs themselves are a means for the US to extort the interests of other countries through its global influence; ultimately, tariffs are only symbolically increased or kept at existing levels, while the benefits the US receives from various countries are substantial, which can reduce government deficits. Additionally, with the end of the Russia-Ukraine war approaching, the US will certainly not miss out on the mineral resources gained from Ukraine. These are actually positive signals. As a result, gold is declining.
Last night, the ADP PCE data was released, showing low employment numbers and a high personal consumption index, reflecting weakened corporate development and excessive inflation. These are negative for both the economy and the cryptocurrency market, with BTC dropping to 92,900 but then finding support at the 12-hour Bollinger middle band, returning to the 6-hour Bollinger range for fluctuations. It seems that the market has returned to a state of rising to break new highs, but from the Sunday line indicator analysis, a wave of selling is inevitable. The capital main force has not yet sold off; it is hidden, and we are being monitored by big data. Currently, the market trend is indeed tormenting, but do not be overly anxious; the more this time, the more cautious we need to be.
Summary:
The US government's recent actions are leaning towards benefiting the market, while ADP and PCE are negative, so let's see tonight's PMI and tomorrow's major non-farm data.
Remember a signal: on April 7, the market rose from 74,500 to a maximum of 95,750, an increase of 29.86%, rising 22,250 points. Today is May 1, and the monthly cycle should also have a correction before rising.
If it just rises like this, the weekly MACD will definitely golden cross, forming a bull trend, but the probability is very small; we are still looking at 89,000-90,500.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is on May 8, with 7 days left, closely monitoring the 12-hour Bollinger squeeze pattern. If the market does not break below the middle band in the next few days and maintains a flat three-line pattern, then it will not drop further, and the overall trend will reverse to an upward trend. Breaking 96,000. However, this situation seems too early to analyze at present, as the trend has not yet formed.
Solid: Bearish on 89,000-90,500, but continue to operate within the 6-hour Bollinger high short and low long range, using the 'short probe method' for entry and secondary risk protection for trades.
#BTC market analysis #非农就业数据 $BTC