非农就业数据
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🔥 **US April Non-Farm Data Exceeds Expectations!**
📊 Released Value: 177,000 (Expected: 130,000)
📉 Previous Value Revised to 185,000 (Originally 228,000)
✅ **Positive**: Job market is robust, economic resilience is evident
⚠️ **Attention**: Growth rate slowed compared to previous month + Federal Reserve policy direction
#非农就业数据 #FederalReserve #经济指标
📊 Released Value: 177,000 (Expected: 130,000)
📉 Previous Value Revised to 185,000 (Originally 228,000)
✅ **Positive**: Job market is robust, economic resilience is evident
⚠️ **Attention**: Growth rate slowed compared to previous month + Federal Reserve policy direction
#非农就业数据 #FederalReserve #经济指标
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Tonight's non-farm payroll data market expectations are relatively optimistic,
U.S. stocks are likely to take advantage of this to make another push, with a rebound range possibly swaying between 500 to 800 points. $BTC
Bitcoin is currently hovering between 96500 and 97300, with only two possible scenarios ahead:
If the data is strong, it will push directly to around 98000
If the good news turns into bad news, it will directly crash and pull back.
Don't bet on a single direction, keep an eye on key levels, take profits when necessary, cut losses when necessary, and don't stubbornly hold on.
#Strategy增持比特币 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #特朗普就职百日 #非农就业数据
U.S. stocks are likely to take advantage of this to make another push, with a rebound range possibly swaying between 500 to 800 points. $BTC
Bitcoin is currently hovering between 96500 and 97300, with only two possible scenarios ahead:
If the data is strong, it will push directly to around 98000
If the good news turns into bad news, it will directly crash and pull back.
Don't bet on a single direction, keep an eye on key levels, take profits when necessary, cut losses when necessary, and don't stubbornly hold on.
#Strategy增持比特币 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #特朗普就职百日 #非农就业数据
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U.S. Non-farm Employment Data to be Released at 8:30 PM Tonight
Market Expectations
Non-farm Employment Change: The market generally expects an increase of 135,000, with the previous value at 228,000. Some institutions (such as Bank of America) predict a higher value of 165,000.
Unemployment Rate: Expected to remain at 4.2%, unchanged from the previous value.
II. Data Background and Influencing Factors
Economic Environment
U.S. GDP contracted in the first quarter (J.P. Morgan forecast -1.75%), raising concerns about economic recession.
ADP non-farm data significantly below expectations, only 62,000, the lowest since July 2024, intensifying market expectations of a weak job market.
Policy Relevance
Non-farm data will affect expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the data is below expectations, it may strengthen the possibility of interest rate cuts; conversely, it may delay easing policies.
Non-farm Employment Change: The market generally expects an increase of 135,000, with the previous value at 228,000. Some institutions (such as Bank of America) predict a higher value of 165,000.
Unemployment Rate: Expected to remain at 4.2%, unchanged from the previous value.
II. Data Background and Influencing Factors
Economic Environment
U.S. GDP contracted in the first quarter (J.P. Morgan forecast -1.75%), raising concerns about economic recession.
ADP non-farm data significantly below expectations, only 62,000, the lowest since July 2024, intensifying market expectations of a weak job market.
Policy Relevance
Non-farm data will affect expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the data is below expectations, it may strengthen the possibility of interest rate cuts; conversely, it may delay easing policies.
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Tonight at 20:30, the non-farm payroll data is coming in strong. 🇺🇸 April non-farm payroll data is approaching, and the market is holding its breath for either surprises or delights.
Previous value: 228,000, expected: 135,000.
The change in non-farm payroll employment is a component of the employment report that mainly counts the changes in positions outside of agricultural production. This data is released alongside the unemployment rate and is compiled by the U.S. Department of Labor, announced on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM Eastern Time (which is evening Beijing Time). A decrease in data indicates that companies are reducing production, leading the economy into a recession; in the absence of special circumstances (such as interest rate changes), this is favorable for the dollar. An increase in the non-farm employment index reflects an upward trend in economic development, while a decrease indicates the opposite, and traders should be cautious.
Previous value: 228,000, expected: 135,000.
The change in non-farm payroll employment is a component of the employment report that mainly counts the changes in positions outside of agricultural production. This data is released alongside the unemployment rate and is compiled by the U.S. Department of Labor, announced on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM Eastern Time (which is evening Beijing Time). A decrease in data indicates that companies are reducing production, leading the economy into a recession; in the absence of special circumstances (such as interest rate changes), this is favorable for the dollar. An increase in the non-farm employment index reflects an upward trend in economic development, while a decrease indicates the opposite, and traders should be cautious.
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$BTC
The non-farm data and unemployment rate have been updated, and the non-farm data is bearish. The non-farm employment population is 177,000, expected 130,000, with the previous value revised from 228,000 to 185,000. The U.S. unemployment rate for May is 4.20%, expected 4.20%, previous value 4.20%, and the impact of population unemployment rate news is relatively minor. Those holding long positions should be cautious tonight regarding sharp fluctuations and try to maintain stop losses.
Due to the decline in the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, gold futures rose in light trading, but overall fell this week due to Thursday's sell-off. The easing of trade tensions and Trump's comments about not firing Powell have weakened gold's appeal. The updated non-farm data is bearish, with data below expectations, which may boost the Fed's interest rate cut expectations.
If Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, $3 billion in short positions will face liquidation; however, with tonight's data update, it seems difficult to reach the $10,000 mark in the coming days. Currently, around $97,500 remains a strong resistance level.
Support levels to watch: 95,500 94,600 92,700
Resistance levels to watch: 97,500 99,000 100,000
Follow Nini, click the homepage to learn more content～#比特币战略储备 #非农就业数据
The non-farm data and unemployment rate have been updated, and the non-farm data is bearish. The non-farm employment population is 177,000, expected 130,000, with the previous value revised from 228,000 to 185,000. The U.S. unemployment rate for May is 4.20%, expected 4.20%, previous value 4.20%, and the impact of population unemployment rate news is relatively minor. Those holding long positions should be cautious tonight regarding sharp fluctuations and try to maintain stop losses.
Due to the decline in the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, gold futures rose in light trading, but overall fell this week due to Thursday's sell-off. The easing of trade tensions and Trump's comments about not firing Powell have weakened gold's appeal. The updated non-farm data is bearish, with data below expectations, which may boost the Fed's interest rate cut expectations.
If Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, $3 billion in short positions will face liquidation; however, with tonight's data update, it seems difficult to reach the $10,000 mark in the coming days. Currently, around $97,500 remains a strong resistance level.
Support levels to watch: 95,500 94,600 92,700
Resistance levels to watch: 97,500 99,000 100,000
Follow Nini, click the homepage to learn more content～#比特币战略储备 #非农就业数据
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5.2 (Friday) BTC/ETH Market Update
Bitcoin reached a daily high of 97388 yesterday. Ethereum rebounded to a high of 1872. I took the day off for Labor Day yesterday, so I didn’t update much; I only shared a bullish view in one post, which most of my friends may have missed.
Currently, on the chart, Bitcoin's daily K-line has taken off with a big bullish candle, breaking through the recent resistance at 95500. The first wave reached around 96700 and began to retrace, dropping to 95700 before rebounding again. The second wave's highest point reached around 97400 before starting to retrace. As of now, the lowest point has retraced to around 96300 and is beginning to show a slight rebound. The upper, middle, and lower bands are all opening upward and rising, and the KDJ lines have converged to form a golden cross, with overbought signals still heading upward. Therefore, in this case, we do not guess the top.
Currently, on the hourly chart, there is a rise followed by a drop, and it is in a retracement phase. I’d like to share the support levels below for reference when considering long positions. The lower support levels to watch are 96100/95500/94800, building long positions around these points, with take-profit targets at 97500, 98500, and 99500.
Ethereum only reached a high of around 1870 yesterday. Although it broke the previous high of 1860, it did not stabilize completely, which counts as a false breakout. However, the lows for Ethereum are slowly rising, and there are still opportunities for low buys on retracements. The support levels for Ethereum to watch are 1823, 1800, and 1770 for low buys, with targets looking at 1857/1872/1888.
The above is just my personal opinion and does not represent correctness or guarantee profitability. Everyone must approach it rationally and avoid blindly diving in; risk management is paramount at all times!
$BTC
#非农就业数据 Pay close attention to the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30, and prepare for potential spikes.
Bitcoin reached a daily high of 97388 yesterday. Ethereum rebounded to a high of 1872. I took the day off for Labor Day yesterday, so I didn’t update much; I only shared a bullish view in one post, which most of my friends may have missed.
Currently, on the chart, Bitcoin's daily K-line has taken off with a big bullish candle, breaking through the recent resistance at 95500. The first wave reached around 96700 and began to retrace, dropping to 95700 before rebounding again. The second wave's highest point reached around 97400 before starting to retrace. As of now, the lowest point has retraced to around 96300 and is beginning to show a slight rebound. The upper, middle, and lower bands are all opening upward and rising, and the KDJ lines have converged to form a golden cross, with overbought signals still heading upward. Therefore, in this case, we do not guess the top.
Currently, on the hourly chart, there is a rise followed by a drop, and it is in a retracement phase. I’d like to share the support levels below for reference when considering long positions. The lower support levels to watch are 96100/95500/94800, building long positions around these points, with take-profit targets at 97500, 98500, and 99500.
Ethereum only reached a high of around 1870 yesterday. Although it broke the previous high of 1860, it did not stabilize completely, which counts as a false breakout. However, the lows for Ethereum are slowly rising, and there are still opportunities for low buys on retracements. The support levels for Ethereum to watch are 1823, 1800, and 1770 for low buys, with targets looking at 1857/1872/1888.
The above is just my personal opinion and does not represent correctness or guarantee profitability. Everyone must approach it rationally and avoid blindly diving in; risk management is paramount at all times!
$BTC
#非农就业数据 Pay close attention to the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30, and prepare for potential spikes.
康桑:
以太坊我也是打算低多进，1790左右
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Tonight, the non-farm payroll data is about to be released, and many people are not aware of whether this data is bad or good; they only know that there will be such a data announcement.
So I will briefly explain the impact of this non-farm payroll data on the global financial sector.
First, we need to understand what non-farm payroll data is. It is an economic indicator released monthly by the U.S. that measures the growth and decline of employment in the domestic non-farm sector.
Non-farm payroll data is a key indicator that stock markets must pay attention to, mainly affecting the U.S. dollar and traditional financial markets, while its impact on the cryptocurrency market is indirect.
The specific effects are as follows:
First, market sentiment. Non-farm payroll data is often used as an indicator of economic health. Better-than-expected results indicate a healthy economy, leading to increased investment, which usually manifests as a small surge in the stock market. If the data is poor, investors will reduce their investments and turn to safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin. Generally speaking, good data leads to rising stock markets, and cryptocurrencies follow suit, and vice versa.
Second, the quality of non-farm payroll data often impacts fluctuations in the U.S. dollar exchange rate, and stablecoins in the cryptocurrency market are typically pegged to the dollar at a 1:1 ratio, which directly affects the investment costs of cryptocurrencies.
An increase in the dollar may lead to a decline in cryptocurrencies, as their relationship is often inversely correlated.
Third, non-farm payroll data can exacerbate the volatility of cryptocurrencies. In a short period, there may be a concentrated emotional outbreak among investors, and the fluctuations of cryptocurrencies can be very severe.
Fourth, non-farm payroll data affects the U.S. market, and the U.S. is a global hegemon. Under the dollar's hegemonic economy, it impacts the global financial market, further influencing the rise and fall of cryptocurrencies.
As for tonight, the release of non-farm payroll data will provide a specific direction, and I will inform you of the specific position for building a position internally.
$ETH $SOL $BTC
#加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭 #非农就业数据
So I will briefly explain the impact of this non-farm payroll data on the global financial sector.
First, we need to understand what non-farm payroll data is. It is an economic indicator released monthly by the U.S. that measures the growth and decline of employment in the domestic non-farm sector.
Non-farm payroll data is a key indicator that stock markets must pay attention to, mainly affecting the U.S. dollar and traditional financial markets, while its impact on the cryptocurrency market is indirect.
The specific effects are as follows:
First, market sentiment. Non-farm payroll data is often used as an indicator of economic health. Better-than-expected results indicate a healthy economy, leading to increased investment, which usually manifests as a small surge in the stock market. If the data is poor, investors will reduce their investments and turn to safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin. Generally speaking, good data leads to rising stock markets, and cryptocurrencies follow suit, and vice versa.
Second, the quality of non-farm payroll data often impacts fluctuations in the U.S. dollar exchange rate, and stablecoins in the cryptocurrency market are typically pegged to the dollar at a 1:1 ratio, which directly affects the investment costs of cryptocurrencies.
An increase in the dollar may lead to a decline in cryptocurrencies, as their relationship is often inversely correlated.
Third, non-farm payroll data can exacerbate the volatility of cryptocurrencies. In a short period, there may be a concentrated emotional outbreak among investors, and the fluctuations of cryptocurrencies can be very severe.
Fourth, non-farm payroll data affects the U.S. market, and the U.S. is a global hegemon. Under the dollar's hegemonic economy, it impacts the global financial market, further influencing the rise and fall of cryptocurrencies.
As for tonight, the release of non-farm payroll data will provide a specific direction, and I will inform you of the specific position for building a position internally.
$ETH $SOL $BTC
#加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭 #非农就业数据
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The current price of $BTC is 94896. Currently, BTC is in a high-level consolidation phase. After a rapid surge, the subsequent movement is characterized by a narrow range of fluctuations, which can also be described as a converging triangle. This type of triangle does not have a clear direction, as it could move either upwards or downwards, unlike a bull flag or bear flag which indicate a specific direction.
We can see that on the daily chart for Bitcoin, when approaching the dense chip area near the previous level of 95000, there was a direct pullback of nearly 10,000 points. The previous positions are heavily trapped, and it is not easy to digest them. Additionally, market sentiment is relatively greedy, with many altcoins flying around to attract a large number of retail investors. For the market makers, this is a good time to harvest. Although there is a slight divergence in MACD and RSI, it has been consolidating sideways to digest, but the risk at this high level is extremely significant, and the returns are not proportional. It is safer to focus on short-term trading during the day. The non-farm payroll results will be out tomorrow. #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据
We can see that on the daily chart for Bitcoin, when approaching the dense chip area near the previous level of 95000, there was a direct pullback of nearly 10,000 points. The previous positions are heavily trapped, and it is not easy to digest them. Additionally, market sentiment is relatively greedy, with many altcoins flying around to attract a large number of retail investors. For the market makers, this is a good time to harvest. Although there is a slight divergence in MACD and RSI, it has been consolidating sideways to digest, but the risk at this high level is extremely significant, and the returns are not proportional. It is safer to focus on short-term trading during the day. The non-farm payroll results will be out tomorrow. #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据
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Staying up all night busy until now, just finished breakfast, going to sleep, will update the non-farm report in the afternoon
#非农就业数据
#非农就业数据
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Inferring tomorrow's non-farm payroll and unemployment rate from some small economic data from yesterday and today!
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
绣虎Anal
--
Passionate May!\nAn overview of important economic data in May, accompanied by various unlocks of different tokens!\nUsually, economic data can be ignored, but in the middle of the second quarter, at the beginning of a new month, especially during the passionate collision between Trump and Powell, it is still something to pay attention to!\nThe core keywords for market discussions triggered by these economic data before mid-May: interest rate cut expectations/economic recession, which is very likely, because what investment banks are most concerned about right now are these two things. The impact of tariffs will also gradually become apparent!\nFocus on non-farm payrolls/unemployment rate and Powell's speech; all small data before these three events may serve as leading indicators for these three important events, thus triggering market speculation! That's pretty much the idea.
来一口:
可能涨可能跌😁
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Morning Market Analysis on May 2, 2025
1: #BTC Bitcoin broke through the key resistance of 95,500 yesterday afternoon, the first wave surged to around 96,700 and started to pull back, dropping to 95,700 before rebounding again. The second wave reached a high point of around 97,400 and then began to pull back, as of now the lowest point has pulled back to around 96,300 and started a small rebound.
Above Bitcoin, there is pressure at minor levels of 96,800, 97,400, and further up at 98,500, with minor support below at 96,200 and 95,500.
In fact, this recent Bitcoin breakout was mentioned in a previous alert on the square, indicating a high probability of a breakout before it actually happened yesterday afternoon.
Last night, when Bitcoin pulled back to around 95,800 in the Binance Square live stream, I told everyone to go long. Our community entered at 95,780, with the first take profit point at 96,480 and the second at 97,380. Last night, it perfectly hit the second take profit point before starting to pull back. Don’t you think I’m amazing? Haha, please allow me to show off just once.
As long as Bitcoin maintains a pullback above 95,000, we can continue to look for upward movement. The high point has not yet been reached. Bears opening positions must set stop-losses, and the main strategy is to continue to accumulate on the dips, looking for support to build positions in batches.
2: #ETH Ethereum only reached a high of around 1,870 yesterday. Although it broke the previous high of 1,860, it did not stabilize completely, which can be considered a false breakout. Ethereum was relatively weak yesterday and did not keep up with Bitcoin's pace. Although it didn’t break through, the low points of Ethereum are gradually being raised, so it’s still possible to go long on dips, but be sure to set stop-losses at high points.
Above Ethereum, there are pressures at 1,870, 1,900, and 1,950, with minor support below at 1,820, 1,800, and 1,750.
3: #非农就业数据 Focus on the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30, to be cautious of sharp fluctuations.
If my sharing helps everyone, please like and share. Thank you all for your support 🙏
1: #BTC Bitcoin broke through the key resistance of 95,500 yesterday afternoon, the first wave surged to around 96,700 and started to pull back, dropping to 95,700 before rebounding again. The second wave reached a high point of around 97,400 and then began to pull back, as of now the lowest point has pulled back to around 96,300 and started a small rebound.
Above Bitcoin, there is pressure at minor levels of 96,800, 97,400, and further up at 98,500, with minor support below at 96,200 and 95,500.
In fact, this recent Bitcoin breakout was mentioned in a previous alert on the square, indicating a high probability of a breakout before it actually happened yesterday afternoon.
Last night, when Bitcoin pulled back to around 95,800 in the Binance Square live stream, I told everyone to go long. Our community entered at 95,780, with the first take profit point at 96,480 and the second at 97,380. Last night, it perfectly hit the second take profit point before starting to pull back. Don’t you think I’m amazing? Haha, please allow me to show off just once.
As long as Bitcoin maintains a pullback above 95,000, we can continue to look for upward movement. The high point has not yet been reached. Bears opening positions must set stop-losses, and the main strategy is to continue to accumulate on the dips, looking for support to build positions in batches.
2: #ETH Ethereum only reached a high of around 1,870 yesterday. Although it broke the previous high of 1,860, it did not stabilize completely, which can be considered a false breakout. Ethereum was relatively weak yesterday and did not keep up with Bitcoin's pace. Although it didn’t break through, the low points of Ethereum are gradually being raised, so it’s still possible to go long on dips, but be sure to set stop-losses at high points.
Above Ethereum, there are pressures at 1,870, 1,900, and 1,950, with minor support below at 1,820, 1,800, and 1,750.
3: #非农就业数据 Focus on the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30, to be cautious of sharp fluctuations.
If my sharing helps everyone, please like and share. Thank you all for your support 🙏
橙子酸:
非农怎么算利好利空呀
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What is US Non-Farm Data?
US non-farm data is an important economic indicator released monthly by the US Department of Labor, officially known as 'Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)'. It reflects the number of new jobs created outside the agricultural sector and the unemployment rate, measuring the health of the US labor market.
Non-farm data is a focal point for global markets as it directly reflects the level of activity in the US economy and indirectly affects the global economy.
Non-farm data is released on the first Friday of every month.
Composition of non-farm data
Non-farm employment numbers:
Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the US non-farm sector in the previous month. This figure reflects the growth or decline of the US economy.
Non-farm data is a focal point for global markets as it directly reflects the level of activity in the US economy and indirectly affects the global economy.
Non-farm data is released on the first Friday of every month.
Composition of non-farm data
Non-farm employment numbers:
Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the US non-farm sector in the previous month. This figure reflects the growth or decline of the US economy.
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$SOL Today's Major Trend!! Currently, the pullback of Solana is still very ideal, and those who are stuck at low levels are also quite obvious!!
I mentioned last time that brothers who were stuck in the 142~145 range, in the 151 range I suggested that you add to your position if you were stuck at a low level. If you added, the average price has now risen to 146, waiting for this wave to pull back.
Currently, the 4-hour chart has reached the pivot point, those who are stuck should not rush, wait for the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 8:30 PM
#非农就业数据 #solana #山寨币ETF展望
I mentioned last time that brothers who were stuck in the 142~145 range, in the 151 range I suggested that you add to your position if you were stuck at a low level. If you added, the average price has now risen to 146, waiting for this wave to pull back.
Currently, the 4-hour chart has reached the pivot point, those who are stuck should not rush, wait for the non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 8:30 PM
#非农就业数据 #solana #山寨币ETF展望
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Not to mention whether the unemployment rate is strongly controlled or not, today's unemployment rate value is not very good-looking. The referenced tweet tracks Waller's speech on 4/24, which emphasized the significance of the unemployment rate. Therefore, the fact that this unemployment rate remains unchanged is likely to give Powell an opportunity to discuss the unemployment rate in his speech next week, purely personal speculation! This should not be taken as any investment advice. #币安HODLer空投STO #非农就业数据 $BTC
绣虎Anal
--
Bullish
Watched a speech by Federal Reserve Governor Waller for a while, which briefly outlined three key points!
1: The increase in tariff measures may lead to layoffs; a good way to offset tariff costs is through layoffs, indicating to the market that there may be unexpected unemployment rates in the future.
2: The impact of tariffs has basically been realized in the first half of the year; more may manifest in the second half and may be a one-time impact rather than a recurring one.
3: Policies are still based on data; with rising unemployment rates, interest rate cuts may begin; the unemployment rate is a hard indicator for starting rate cuts, and that cannot be changed, but if the unemployment rate is too high, it becomes problematic. Additionally, there was a strong emphasis on the status of the Federal Reserve and Powell's position.
Nothing else to add; let's look forward to the release of the first non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate in May!
In summary, Waller's speech this time has sent some signals to the market, which is quite good.
The US stock market performed well today, but $BTC did not follow; not following is okay, it can rise later too!
#美联储何时降息？
1: The increase in tariff measures may lead to layoffs; a good way to offset tariff costs is through layoffs, indicating to the market that there may be unexpected unemployment rates in the future.
2: The impact of tariffs has basically been realized in the first half of the year; more may manifest in the second half and may be a one-time impact rather than a recurring one.
3: Policies are still based on data; with rising unemployment rates, interest rate cuts may begin; the unemployment rate is a hard indicator for starting rate cuts, and that cannot be changed, but if the unemployment rate is too high, it becomes problematic. Additionally, there was a strong emphasis on the status of the Federal Reserve and Powell's position.
Nothing else to add; let's look forward to the release of the first non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate in May!
In summary, Waller's speech this time has sent some signals to the market, which is quite good.
The US stock market performed well today, but $BTC did not follow; not following is okay, it can rise later too!
#美联储何时降息？
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绣虎Anal
--
Inferring tomorrow's non-farm payroll and unemployment rate from some small economic data from yesterday and today!
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
The rise in unemployment rate and decrease in non-farm employment are almost a foregone conclusion!
While favorable interest rate cut expectations increase the risk of economic downturn, that's just how it is, that's the situation!$BTC
#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？
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U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data (NFP) Released Tonight
The U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data is an important indicator of the health of the U.S. labor market, which typically has a significant impact on Bitcoin (BTC) prices. Strong job growth may raise expectations for interest rate hikes, thereby putting pressure on risk assets (like Bitcoin); while weak employment data may lead the market to expect interest rate cuts, which could boost Bitcoin prices.
📊 Overview of Latest Employment Data (as of April 30, 2025)
• ADP Private Employment Report: In April, only 62,000 jobs were added, far below the expected 115,000, marking the lowest level since July 2024, reflecting a cautious attitude of businesses amid uncertainty regarding policies and consumer outlook.
📊 Overview of Latest Employment Data (as of April 30, 2025)
• ADP Private Employment Report: In April, only 62,000 jobs were added, far below the expected 115,000, marking the lowest level since July 2024, reflecting a cautious attitude of businesses amid uncertainty regarding policies and consumer outlook.
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The US side has actively contacted the Chinese side through various channels, hoping to negotiate on tariff issues. In fact, tariffs themselves are a means for the US to extort the interests of other countries through its global influence; ultimately, tariffs are only symbolically increased or kept at existing levels, while the benefits the US receives from various countries are substantial, which can reduce government deficits. Additionally, with the end of the Russia-Ukraine war approaching, the US will certainly not miss out on the mineral resources gained from Ukraine. These are actually positive signals. As a result, gold is declining.
Last night, the ADP PCE data was released, showing low employment numbers and a high personal consumption index, reflecting weakened corporate development and excessive inflation. These are negative for both the economy and the cryptocurrency market, with BTC dropping to 92,900 but then finding support at the 12-hour Bollinger middle band, returning to the 6-hour Bollinger range for fluctuations. It seems that the market has returned to a state of rising to break new highs, but from the Sunday line indicator analysis, a wave of selling is inevitable. The capital main force has not yet sold off; it is hidden, and we are being monitored by big data. Currently, the market trend is indeed tormenting, but do not be overly anxious; the more this time, the more cautious we need to be.
Summary:
The US government's recent actions are leaning towards benefiting the market, while ADP and PCE are negative, so let's see tonight's PMI and tomorrow's major non-farm data.
Remember a signal: on April 7, the market rose from 74,500 to a maximum of 95,750, an increase of 29.86%, rising 22,250 points. Today is May 1, and the monthly cycle should also have a correction before rising.
If it just rises like this, the weekly MACD will definitely golden cross, forming a bull trend, but the probability is very small; we are still looking at 89,000-90,500.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is on May 8, with 7 days left, closely monitoring the 12-hour Bollinger squeeze pattern. If the market does not break below the middle band in the next few days and maintains a flat three-line pattern, then it will not drop further, and the overall trend will reverse to an upward trend. Breaking 96,000. However, this situation seems too early to analyze at present, as the trend has not yet formed.
Solid: Bearish on 89,000-90,500, but continue to operate within the 6-hour Bollinger high short and low long range, using the 'short probe method' for entry and secondary risk protection for trades.
#BTC market analysis #非农就业数据 $BTC
Last night, the ADP PCE data was released, showing low employment numbers and a high personal consumption index, reflecting weakened corporate development and excessive inflation. These are negative for both the economy and the cryptocurrency market, with BTC dropping to 92,900 but then finding support at the 12-hour Bollinger middle band, returning to the 6-hour Bollinger range for fluctuations. It seems that the market has returned to a state of rising to break new highs, but from the Sunday line indicator analysis, a wave of selling is inevitable. The capital main force has not yet sold off; it is hidden, and we are being monitored by big data. Currently, the market trend is indeed tormenting, but do not be overly anxious; the more this time, the more cautious we need to be.
Summary:
The US government's recent actions are leaning towards benefiting the market, while ADP and PCE are negative, so let's see tonight's PMI and tomorrow's major non-farm data.
Remember a signal: on April 7, the market rose from 74,500 to a maximum of 95,750, an increase of 29.86%, rising 22,250 points. Today is May 1, and the monthly cycle should also have a correction before rising.
If it just rises like this, the weekly MACD will definitely golden cross, forming a bull trend, but the probability is very small; we are still looking at 89,000-90,500.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is on May 8, with 7 days left, closely monitoring the 12-hour Bollinger squeeze pattern. If the market does not break below the middle band in the next few days and maintains a flat three-line pattern, then it will not drop further, and the overall trend will reverse to an upward trend. Breaking 96,000. However, this situation seems too early to analyze at present, as the trend has not yet formed.
Solid: Bearish on 89,000-90,500, but continue to operate within the 6-hour Bollinger high short and low long range, using the 'short probe method' for entry and secondary risk protection for trades.
#BTC market analysis #非农就业数据 $BTC
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