Welten 参谋王
ETH Holder
Frequent Trader
2.5 Years
币安邀请码 | A0813 | 币安广场创作者 | Youtube | 小红书 | 哔站 | 参谋王.Welten |
10 Following
72 Followers
36 Liked
1 Shared
All
Quotes
Videos
See original
🔥Breaking News
🔥Powell is said to resign on December 1
🔥If this is true, could the crypto world be in for a change?
A few words:
1. Short-term volatility is inevitable: Powell's sudden departure will likely cause the market to panic (after all, changing the Federal Reserve Chair is a major event), and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin may initially drop before recovering—everyone will have to guess whether the new chair will be a dovish advocate for "printing money" or a hawkish one who continues tightening.
2. Long-term outlook depends on the new chair's stance: If the new chair is a "rate-cutting" advocate favored by Trump (like the rumored Hascett), then with more liquidity, cryptocurrencies are likely to rise; but if the new chair remains hawkish, it might be more of the same.
3. Don't forget that Powell has always been quite conservative regarding crypto (he previously stated he wouldn’t consider Bitcoin as a reserve), and if the new chair is more open to crypto, that could be a long-term positive.
What do you think will happen after this is confirmed?
Will our circle drop first and then rise, or take off directly?
$BNB
$ETH
$BTC
#鲍威尔 #美联储主席候选人
Voting options:
A. Panic briefly, then rebound based on the new chair's favorable policies
B. Directly take off with favorable policies, the new chair will definitely loosen liquidity
🔥Powell is said to resign on December 1
🔥If this is true, could the crypto world be in for a change?
A few words:
1. Short-term volatility is inevitable: Powell's sudden departure will likely cause the market to panic (after all, changing the Federal Reserve Chair is a major event), and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin may initially drop before recovering—everyone will have to guess whether the new chair will be a dovish advocate for "printing money" or a hawkish one who continues tightening.
2. Long-term outlook depends on the new chair's stance: If the new chair is a "rate-cutting" advocate favored by Trump (like the rumored Hascett), then with more liquidity, cryptocurrencies are likely to rise; but if the new chair remains hawkish, it might be more of the same.
3. Don't forget that Powell has always been quite conservative regarding crypto (he previously stated he wouldn’t consider Bitcoin as a reserve), and if the new chair is more open to crypto, that could be a long-term positive.
What do you think will happen after this is confirmed?
Will our circle drop first and then rise, or take off directly?
$BNB
$ETH
$BTC
#鲍威尔 #美联储主席候选人
Voting options:
A. Panic briefly, then rebound based on the new chair's favorable policies
B. Directly take off with favorable policies, the new chair will definitely loosen liquidity
See original
🔥The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates have become extremely heated.
🔥The recently released data shows a nearly 70% probability of a 25 basis point cut in December, doubling the expectations from a few days ago.
🔥This essentially is a gamble on "cooling inflation + a soft landing for the economy."
🫓If the meeting in December does indeed result in a rate cut, U.S. stocks and gold are very likely to continue rising.
🫓However, if the Federal Reserve remains "on hold," the market will suffer from the "expectation gap."
🏦Even more severe is that there is a 22% probability of a "cumulative cut of 50 basis points" in January next year.
🏦This indicates that capital is already betting on an "early start of the rate-cutting cycle."
🏦The market is being held hostage; if inflation rebounds,
💣the current high expectations are all landmines.
🔥Policy news, fundamentals, and technicals will most of the time work together, waiting for orders.
🔥Protect the principal, secure profits, lay in wait for entry, and be ready to act.
#美联储重启降息步伐
#降息预期
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
🔥The recently released data shows a nearly 70% probability of a 25 basis point cut in December, doubling the expectations from a few days ago.
🔥This essentially is a gamble on "cooling inflation + a soft landing for the economy."
🫓If the meeting in December does indeed result in a rate cut, U.S. stocks and gold are very likely to continue rising.
🫓However, if the Federal Reserve remains "on hold," the market will suffer from the "expectation gap."
🏦Even more severe is that there is a 22% probability of a "cumulative cut of 50 basis points" in January next year.
🏦This indicates that capital is already betting on an "early start of the rate-cutting cycle."
🏦The market is being held hostage; if inflation rebounds,
💣the current high expectations are all landmines.
🔥Policy news, fundamentals, and technicals will most of the time work together, waiting for orders.
🔥Protect the principal, secure profits, lay in wait for entry, and be ready to act.
#美联储重启降息步伐
#降息预期
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
See original
Traditional financial old traders are often left questioning life as they enter the crypto market...
Why?
Because stock and forex markets close on weekends.
The crypto market is open 24×7, never closing, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, even on weekends, leverage pulls, and your mindset directly collapses.
The method of support and resistance levels was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared before. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the premise is: rest well on the weekend!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax a bit, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel energetic, and come back to fight; this is the healthy and correct way to survive long-term.
Traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto find it hardest to change the bad habit of 'trading on weekends.'
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core essentials of support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and rest.
Keep it up!
#周末不开单 #技术分析参考
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
Why?
Because stock and forex markets close on weekends.
The crypto market is open 24×7, never closing, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, even on weekends, leverage pulls, and your mindset directly collapses.
The method of support and resistance levels was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared before. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the premise is: rest well on the weekend!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax a bit, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel energetic, and come back to fight; this is the healthy and correct way to survive long-term.
Traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto find it hardest to change the bad habit of 'trading on weekends.'
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core essentials of support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and rest.
Keep it up!
#周末不开单 #技术分析参考
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
The old traders from traditional finance are being tortured in the crypto market, questioning their lives...
Why?
Because stock and forex markets are closed on weekends.
The crypto market never closes, 24×7, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, watching on weekends, leverage pulls, and the mindset collapses directly.
The method of support and resistance was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared earlier. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the prerequisite is: take a good rest on the weekends!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax well, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel revitalized, and come back to fight. This is the right posture to stay healthy and survive in the long term.
For traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto, the hardest habit to change is the bad habit of "trading on weekends".
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core insights on support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and take a good rest.
Keep it up!
#比特币波动性 #周末不开单
$ETH $BTC $SOL
Why?
Because stock and forex markets are closed on weekends.
The crypto market never closes, 24×7, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, watching on weekends, leverage pulls, and the mindset collapses directly.
The method of support and resistance was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared earlier. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the prerequisite is: take a good rest on the weekends!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax well, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel revitalized, and come back to fight. This is the right posture to stay healthy and survive in the long term.
For traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto, the hardest habit to change is the bad habit of "trading on weekends".
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core insights on support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and take a good rest.
Keep it up!
#比特币波动性 #周末不开单
$ETH $BTC $SOL
See original
The old traders from traditional finance are being tortured in the crypto market, questioning their lives...
Why?
Because stock and forex markets are closed on weekends.
The crypto market never closes, 24×7, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, watching on weekends, leverage pulls, and the mindset collapses directly.
The method of support and resistance was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared earlier. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the prerequisite is: take a good rest on the weekends!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax well, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel revitalized, and come back to fight. This is the right posture to stay healthy and survive in the long term.
For traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto, the hardest habit to change is the bad habit of "trading on weekends".
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core insights on support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and take a good rest.
Keep it up!
#比特币波动性 #周末不开单
$ETH $BTC $SOL
Why?
Because stock and forex markets are closed on weekends.
The crypto market never closes, 24×7, brother!
Watching during the day, watching at night, watching on weekends, leverage pulls, and the mindset collapses directly.
The method of support and resistance was created at the beginning of the year, and a part was shared earlier. It applies to the crypto market as well, but the prerequisite is: take a good rest on the weekends!
Spend time with your wife, walk the dog, play games, relax well, and give yourself some downtime.
On Monday morning, drink coffee, feel revitalized, and come back to fight. This is the right posture to stay healthy and survive in the long term.
For traditional traders wanting to switch to crypto, the hardest habit to change is the bad habit of "trading on weekends".
Get rid of it, and you've already won half the battle.
The video thoroughly explains the core insights on support and resistance levels. Don't open positions on weekends; first, observe well and take a good rest.
Keep it up!
#比特币波动性 #周末不开单
$ETH $BTC $SOL
See original
🔥Focus on these two signals: New anchors in the crypto market after non-farm payrolls
🔥After the non-farm data is released, stop worrying about how much it has dropped in the past, focus on the 'direction signals' for the future
🔥Two points must be closely monitored:
🔥1. Bitcoin's support at the 78,000 yearly line. This is the 'last defense line' for this year's market. If it breaks, it indicates that market pessimism about liquidity has reached its peak, and a deeper correction may follow; if it holds, there is a possibility of entering a consolidation phase.
🔥2. Institutional capital movements; in the crypto market, if you see the amount of BTC withdrawals from exchanges increasing and stablecoins no longer being issued frantically, that is a signal that panic sentiment is cooling off; otherwise, you still have to endure.
🔥In the short term, still be cautious and do not expect a major rebound; stabilizing key levels is already fortunate.
In trading, focusing on 'defense' is definitely the right approach.
🔥Be especially careful before the weekend; wait until it 'drops thoroughly' before making stronger positions.
#比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #非农就业数据
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
🔥After the non-farm data is released, stop worrying about how much it has dropped in the past, focus on the 'direction signals' for the future
🔥Two points must be closely monitored:
🔥1. Bitcoin's support at the 78,000 yearly line. This is the 'last defense line' for this year's market. If it breaks, it indicates that market pessimism about liquidity has reached its peak, and a deeper correction may follow; if it holds, there is a possibility of entering a consolidation phase.
🔥2. Institutional capital movements; in the crypto market, if you see the amount of BTC withdrawals from exchanges increasing and stablecoins no longer being issued frantically, that is a signal that panic sentiment is cooling off; otherwise, you still have to endure.
🔥In the short term, still be cautious and do not expect a major rebound; stabilizing key levels is already fortunate.
In trading, focusing on 'defense' is definitely the right approach.
🔥Be especially careful before the weekend; wait until it 'drops thoroughly' before making stronger positions.
#比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #非农就业数据
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
See original
🔥After Non-Farm Payrolls｜Core Contradiction in the Crypto World: The Logic of Liquidity Has Completely Changed
🔥The "split signal" from the non-farm data (employment exceeding expectations + rising unemployment rate) is delivering a "fatal blow" to the crypto world—previously, the bet on a rate cut in November has dropped from 70% to below 30%, making "high rates for longer" a certainty.
🔥Let’s recall that the rebound in the crypto market in 2023 relied on the expectation of "liquidity easing"; now this logic has been completely severed.
🔥The strengthening of the dollar and the absence of cheap funds hit risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum the hardest. The struggle around the 85,000 mark is essentially a tug-of-war between "the old logic has broken, and new support has yet to be found."
🔥Next, don’t just look at the K-line; focus on two points:
🚀First is the minting volume of stablecoins (is there panic in the funds?)
🚀Second is the direction of the December Federal Reserve meeting, which is key to determining whether the crypto world will experience fluctuations or a deep correction next.
$ETH
$BTC
$SOL
🔥Let’s see how everyone understands
After the non-farm payrolls, the logic of liquidity in the crypto world has changed. What do you think will happen next?
🔥The "split signal" from the non-farm data (employment exceeding expectations + rising unemployment rate) is delivering a "fatal blow" to the crypto world—previously, the bet on a rate cut in November has dropped from 70% to below 30%, making "high rates for longer" a certainty.
🔥Let’s recall that the rebound in the crypto market in 2023 relied on the expectation of "liquidity easing"; now this logic has been completely severed.
🔥The strengthening of the dollar and the absence of cheap funds hit risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum the hardest. The struggle around the 85,000 mark is essentially a tug-of-war between "the old logic has broken, and new support has yet to be found."
🔥Next, don’t just look at the K-line; focus on two points:
🚀First is the minting volume of stablecoins (is there panic in the funds?)
🚀Second is the direction of the December Federal Reserve meeting, which is key to determining whether the crypto world will experience fluctuations or a deep correction next.
$ETH
$BTC
$SOL
🔥Let’s see how everyone understands
After the non-farm payrolls, the logic of liquidity in the crypto world has changed. What do you think will happen next?
还会继续回调，宽松预期短时间回不来
64%
能稳住关键点位，跌透后有小反弹
36%
362 votes • Voting closed
See original
📊 US September Three Major Data (Just Released)
1️⃣ Unemployment Rate
Previous Value: 4.3%
Expected: 4.3%
👉 Released: 4.4% (Slightly Higher)
(The unemployment rate has risen a bit, but it's not alarming)
2️⃣ Non-Farm Payroll (Key Data)
Previous Value: -0.4 Thousand
Expected: 50 Thousand
👉 Released: 119 Thousand (Significantly Stronger than Expected)
Dude, non-farm payroll doubled the expectation directly, this is a signal that "the economy is holding up."
3️⃣ Initial Jobless Claims
Expected: 230 Thousand
👉 Released: 220 Thousand (Less)
Fewer people wanting to apply for unemployment benefits means employment is relatively stable.
🧠 What does the data mean? (Analysis from Wang Renhua)
These three items together summarize:
US employment remains resilient, and the Federal Reserve has no reason to rush to cut interest rates.
What do risk assets fear the most?
👉 High interest rates maintained for longer.
High cost of capital = Money becomes expensive
Money becomes expensive = Risk assets are pressured
Risk assets are pressured = Cryptocurrency market is prone to short-term shocks
📉 Direct Impact on Cryptocurrency Market (Key Points)
🔵 Generally Bearish for BTC / ETH
· Non-farm payroll so strong → Liquidity expectations delayed
· Initial claims relatively low → Employment stable → US Treasury yields may rise
· Increased probability of a strong dollar → Cryptocurrency market under pressure
Tonight, if it weakens, don't be surprised
This is the market's "textbook reaction"
🪬 Final Sentence
On such data nights, the easiest way to lose money is not the position, but the emotion.
Calm individuals earn on swings, impulsive individuals earn experiences.
Let's keep an eye on it!
#加密市场回调 #非农就业数据
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
1️⃣ Unemployment Rate
Previous Value: 4.3%
Expected: 4.3%
👉 Released: 4.4% (Slightly Higher)
(The unemployment rate has risen a bit, but it's not alarming)
2️⃣ Non-Farm Payroll (Key Data)
Previous Value: -0.4 Thousand
Expected: 50 Thousand
👉 Released: 119 Thousand (Significantly Stronger than Expected)
Dude, non-farm payroll doubled the expectation directly, this is a signal that "the economy is holding up."
3️⃣ Initial Jobless Claims
Expected: 230 Thousand
👉 Released: 220 Thousand (Less)
Fewer people wanting to apply for unemployment benefits means employment is relatively stable.
🧠 What does the data mean? (Analysis from Wang Renhua)
These three items together summarize:
US employment remains resilient, and the Federal Reserve has no reason to rush to cut interest rates.
What do risk assets fear the most?
👉 High interest rates maintained for longer.
High cost of capital = Money becomes expensive
Money becomes expensive = Risk assets are pressured
Risk assets are pressured = Cryptocurrency market is prone to short-term shocks
📉 Direct Impact on Cryptocurrency Market (Key Points)
🔵 Generally Bearish for BTC / ETH
· Non-farm payroll so strong → Liquidity expectations delayed
· Initial claims relatively low → Employment stable → US Treasury yields may rise
· Increased probability of a strong dollar → Cryptocurrency market under pressure
Tonight, if it weakens, don't be surprised
This is the market's "textbook reaction"
🪬 Final Sentence
On such data nights, the easiest way to lose money is not the position, but the emotion.
Calm individuals earn on swings, impulsive individuals earn experiences.
Let's keep an eye on it!
#加密市场回调 #非农就业数据
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
See original
🪬 Tonight at 21:30
U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be released
Previous value: +50,000
Forecast: -130,000 (catastrophic level)
Unemployment rate will be announced simultaneously, currently at 4.30%. If it jumps to 4.5%+, the chances of a champagne celebration in the crypto circle are extremely high.
Additionally, at 23:00 tonight, the Eurozone consumer confidence index will be released (expected -14.2, already a continuous deterioration), global risk sentiment is already weak.
The real bombshell will be at 01:00 tomorrow morning:
Trump's speech (roller coaster time)
01:45 Speech by 2027 FOMC voting member, super dove Kashkari
03:00 Release of the monetary policy meeting minutes by the Federal Reserve
03:00 Speech by FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams
In summary:
From tonight until tomorrow morning, data + dovish voting members + minutes + Trump will be the most explosive super Thursday night of November 2025.
Veterans, no sleep tonight.
Those who need to charge, charge; those who need to short, short; keep your stop losses in place, don’t run naked.
What are your plans for tonight? Report your orders in the comments. #美股2026预测
#战非农
#非农就业数据
$BTC #加密市场回调
$ETH
$BNB
U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be released
Previous value: +50,000
Forecast: -130,000 (catastrophic level)
Unemployment rate will be announced simultaneously, currently at 4.30%. If it jumps to 4.5%+, the chances of a champagne celebration in the crypto circle are extremely high.
Additionally, at 23:00 tonight, the Eurozone consumer confidence index will be released (expected -14.2, already a continuous deterioration), global risk sentiment is already weak.
The real bombshell will be at 01:00 tomorrow morning:
Trump's speech (roller coaster time)
01:45 Speech by 2027 FOMC voting member, super dove Kashkari
03:00 Release of the monetary policy meeting minutes by the Federal Reserve
03:00 Speech by FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams
In summary:
From tonight until tomorrow morning, data + dovish voting members + minutes + Trump will be the most explosive super Thursday night of November 2025.
Veterans, no sleep tonight.
Those who need to charge, charge; those who need to short, short; keep your stop losses in place, don’t run naked.
What are your plans for tonight? Report your orders in the comments. #美股2026预测
#战非农
#非农就业数据
$BTC #加密市场回调
$ETH
$BNB
See original
💰9:30 Pay more attention to the data
🔍 What are the key points tonight?
Tonight, the U.S. will release a series of employment data that will have a significant impact on the market.
In summary:
The worse the employment situation, the more anxious the Federal Reserve becomes;
The more anxious the Federal Reserve is, the better it is for the cryptocurrency market.
Why?
Because the cryptocurrency market is a typical "risk asset"
It needs
👉 Cheap money + Abundant money + Risk-taking sentiment
And all three come from:
Interest rate cuts, liquidity, expectations
🪬 The last heartfelt words
Don’t think about “becoming famous in one night.”
Surviving data night is the most scarce ability in your field.
For firsthand data, go to Chinese (Jin Shi Data - Calendar)
Bookmark it, for news and policy, check here
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#美联储重启降息步伐
#加密市场回调 #美股2026预测
🔍 What are the key points tonight?
Tonight, the U.S. will release a series of employment data that will have a significant impact on the market.
In summary:
The worse the employment situation, the more anxious the Federal Reserve becomes;
The more anxious the Federal Reserve is, the better it is for the cryptocurrency market.
Why?
Because the cryptocurrency market is a typical "risk asset"
It needs
👉 Cheap money + Abundant money + Risk-taking sentiment
And all three come from:
Interest rate cuts, liquidity, expectations
🪬 The last heartfelt words
Don’t think about “becoming famous in one night.”
Surviving data night is the most scarce ability in your field.
For firsthand data, go to Chinese (Jin Shi Data - Calendar)
Bookmark it, for news and policy, check here
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#美联储重启降息步伐
#加密市场回调 #美股2026预测
Login to explore more contents