usjobsdata

The U.S. labor market posted a stronger-than-expected gain of 119,000 jobs in September, even as the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.4%, according to long-delayed government data released Thursday.The report — originally scheduled for early October — was pushed back six weeks due to the federal government shutdown, leaving markets without timely labor figures throughout a volatile period.What to KnowThe U.S. added 119,000 jobs, beating economist expectations of 50,000.The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, above the 4.3% forecast.The shutdown-delayed jobs report arrives as markets weigh fading Fed rate-cut odds.Bitcoin held modest gains around $91,900 following strong Nvidia earnings.Next up-to-date labor data will not be released until mid-December.Delayed Report Shows Labor Market Firmer Than ExpectedThe Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed nonfarm payrolls rising by 119,000 in September. Economists had projected 50,000, following a revised 4,000-job decline in August (originally reported as a 22,000 gain).However, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%, suggesting a softening in labor-market conditions despite stronger hiring.The late release complicates the near-term economic outlook, as policymakers, analysts and traders lack fresh data heading into the Federal Reserve’s final 2025 meeting.Market Reaction: Bitcoin Holds Gains, Nasdaq Futures JumpBitcoin continued to hold its modest overnight lift, trading near $91,900 after Nvidia’s strong earnings and upbeat outlook calmed jittery markets late Wednesday.U.S. equity futures extended those gains:Nasdaq futures +1.9%S&P 500 and Dow futures higher10-year Treasury yield steady at 4.11%U.S. dollar index slightly strongerThe jobs report did not materially shift sentiment, as markets had already priced out a December rate cut.Fed Rate Cut Expectations Unlikely to ChangeTraders had largely eliminated the possibility of a December interest rate cut prior to the data release, citing:the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone in recent speechesuncertainty caused by missing labor-market dataconcerns about inflation persistenceThursday’s numbers — strong on payrolls but weaker on unemployment — are unlikely to alter those expectations.With no updated employment report arriving until mid-December, the Fed will go into its final 2025 meeting with only partial visibility into labor conditions.OutlookThe September report offers a backward-looking snapshot of a labor market that remains resilient but is showing signs of cooling at the margins. Markets now await the next batch of timely data, though it may arrive after key policy decisions are already made.For now:hiring is strongerunemployment is risingand the Fed’s December calculus remains unchangedCrypto and equities continue to take signals primarily from earnings strength, tech momentum and shifting rate expectations rather than delayed economic data.

I’ve seen this mistake too many times, and every cycle it traps the same kind of traders.
Right now, Bitcoin is flashing classic “falling knife” signals. Price is moving down fast, structure is breaking, and emotions are running high. This is exactly the moment when people convince themselves they’re buying “the bottom” — but the chart tells a very different story.
From a technical perspective, BTC has lost key support zones that previously held strong. When supports flip into resistance, it usually means sellers are still in control. Instead of strong bounce volume, we’re seeing weak reactions — a sign that buyers are hesitant and smart money is not stepping in yet.
Another red flag is momentum. Indicators that normally hint at reversals are staying pinned in bearish territory. That doesn’t mean a bounce can’t happen — it means any bounce is more likely a relief rally, not the start of a new uptrend. Catching that with leverage or heavy spot buys is gambling, not trading.
Psychology is the real enemy here. When price drops hard, fear and hope mix together. People feel they must buy because “it’s already down so much.” That mindset destroys accounts. Markets can stay oversold longer than most people can stay solvent.
What I’m doing instead:
Waiting for clear confirmation, not guessing
Watching for higher lows and reclaimed support, not falling candles
Protecting capital, because cash is also a position
There will be a time to be aggressive on Bitcoin again — but this is not how strong reversals look. Until the chart proves otherwise, trying to catch this move is like grabbing a knife mid-air.
⚠️ Risk first, profits later. Survive the drop so you can trade the recovery.#USTradeDeficitShrink #ZTCBinanceTGE #CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade #USJobsData $BTC