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$BTC Bitcoin climbed more than 4% after news of a U.S.-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
$ETH Ethereum, Solana, and $XRP outperformed BTC, posting gains of nearly 10% or more within 24 hours.
Despite the rally, market sentiment remains in Extreme Fear territory, suggesting volatility could continue.
Crypto markets received a major boost after President Donald Trump announced a peace agreement with Iran that includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy
shipping routes. The news immediately sparked a wave of buying across risk assets, with cryptocurrencies among the biggest beneficiaries.
Bitcoin surged roughly 4.4% over a 24-hour period, climbing from around $63,000 to nearly $67,000. The move helped restore confidence after weeks of geopolitical uncertainty weighed heavily on digital assets. While Bitcoin led the rally, the strongest gains came from major altcoins, signaling that investor appetite for risk may be returning.
👉Ethereum, Solana, and XRP Outperform Bitcoin
The rally spread quickly across the broader crypto market. Ethereum gained nearly 10%, pushing above the $1,800 level, while Solana jumped more than 10% to trade near $74. XRP also participated in the recovery, climbing above $1.25 as traders moved back into higher-risk assets.
Bitcoin’s gains may appear smaller by comparison, but a 4.4% move on an asset trading above $60,000 still represents thousands of dollars per coin. Over the last seven days, Bitcoin has risen roughly 4.5%, indicating that most of the rally occurred immediately after the peace deal announcement.
The stronger performance from altcoins is particularly noteworthy. Historically, when Ethereum and Solana outperform Bitcoin by a wide margin, it often signals increasing investor confidence and a willingness to move further out on the risk curve.
👉Why the Strait of Hormuz Matters to Crypto
At first glance, a shipping route in the Middle East may seem disconnected from digital assets. In reality, the Strait of Hormuz plays a critical role in global energy markets. A significant portion of the world’s oil passes through the narrow waterway, making it one of the most important trade routes on the planet.
When tensions threaten oil shipments, crude prices tend to rise, fueling inflation concerns. Higher inflation can force central banks to maintain tighter monetary policies, creating a difficult environment for risk assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies. By reopening the strait and reducing geopolitical risk, the agreement effectively removes a major source of market uncertainty.
Lower energy costs could eventually help ease inflationary pressure, improving the outlook for interest rates and creating more favorable conditions for speculative investments. Since crypto markets trade around the clock, they often react to these developments faster than traditional financial markets.
👉Fear Remains High Despite the Recovery
Although prices moved sharply higher, investor sentiment remains surprisingly cautious. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index recently stood at 20, keeping it firmly within the “Extreme Fear” category. Just one week ago the index sat at an even lower reading of 8, showing sentiment has improved but remains far from healthy.
This matters because deeply negative sentiment often leaves a large amount of capital sitting on the sidelines. When a positive catalyst arrives, short sellers can be forced to cover positions while hesitant investors rush back into the market at the same time. That combination can amplify rallies beyond what fundamentals alone might justify.
👉Can the Rally Continue?
The biggest question facing investors is whether the current move marks the beginning of a sustained recovery or simply a relief rally after a prolonged selloff. Many sectors within crypto were deeply underwater before the announcement, meaning a portion of the recent gains represents lost ground being reclaimed rather than entirely new momentum.
Market participants are also watching closely for developments surrounding the peace agreement itself. Geopolitical deals can sometimes encounter implementation challenges, and any signs of setbacks could quickly weigh on sentiment again. At the same time, upcoming inflation data, central bank decisions, and regulatory developments remain key variables for the broader market.
For now, the strong performance of Ethereum, Solana, and other altcoins suggests investors are becoming more comfortable taking on risk again. Whether that optimism evolves into a lasting bull run will likely depend on whether positive macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions continue to improve in the weeks ahead.
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$XRP Crypto commentator Zach Rector made a notable claim this week. He says Ripple is close to completing its XRP distribution plan. Once that happens, he expects XRP sales to stop.
Rector described a supply shock that moves from speculation into reality at that point, and that event will favor holders who already own the token.
His argument rests on a straightforward premise. Ripple has been distributing XRP over time, and that process is finite. When it concludes, the continuous release of tokens into the market stops. Rector believes that the shift will significantly tighten supply and potentially push up XRP’s price.
👉The Context Behind the Claim
Rector’s comments came in response to a broader conversation about Ripple’s business model. Prominent YouTuber Jungle Inc noted that Brad Garlinghouse projects a $1 billion revenue run rate by the end of 2026, a figure that excludes XRP holdings entirely.
RLUSD’s market cap is roughly $1.6 billion. Ripple Prime (formerly Hidden Road) clears trillions annually and opens a direct path into institutional finance. Jungle Inc argued that Ripple is building a full financial infrastructure company, not merely sitting on XRP reserves.
Digital Asset Investor reinforced that point, noting that critics spent years claiming that Ripple’s only revenue source was XRP sales. That argument no longer holds.
👉The Supply Shock Argument
A supply shock occurs when the available supply drops while demand holds steady or rises. Rector’s position is that XRP holders currently benefit from accumulating before this transition. Once distribution ends, acquiring XRP becomes harder, and price pressure builds from the supply side.
This matters because Ripple’s business now generates revenue independently. Payments, prime brokerage, stablecoin infrastructure, and treasury tools all contribute. The company does not need to sell XRP to fund operations. That removes a consistent source of sell pressure from the market.
👉The Community’s Reaction
Several people questioned whether XRP would ever gain the adoption needed to sustain a supply shock scenario, with some saying Bitcoin’s dominance over XRP price movement makes the timeline unpredictable.
One commenter argued that people would need access to XRP for it to serve as the world’s reserve currency. He also countered the idea of a supply shock with XRP’s large circulating supply of over 60 billion tokens and the transaction speed ensures tokens are freed up quickly for reuse.
One community member suggested that XRP’s role as a bridge asset would prevent its price from going up. Another questioned the validator structure, as validators would have to approve the end of escrow sales if distribution is to stop, as Rector suggested.
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$XRP Something significant happened while most retail investors were reacting to price movements. While XRP traded near $1.03, wallets holding 1 million or more XRP added 1.53 billion XRP over six months. Those wallets now control approximately 74% of the circulating supply.
The XRP rich list currently supports that figure. The data show wallets with over 1 million XRP control 49.8 billion out of 67 billion tokens, representing 74.3%. The scale of this accumulation has captured attention across the XRP community.
👉Large Holders Move While Others Wait
Crypto analyst Dark Defender (@DefendDark) drew attention to this trend. The numbers show a clear pattern where large holders increased their positions during a period of price weakness. Retail investors largely stayed on the sidelines or sold. The result is a measurable transfer of supply toward high-volume wallets.
👉What the Data Shows
The accumulation figure is notable on its own. Adding 1.53 billion XRP in six months is not a minor adjustment. XRP has spent the last few months consolidating, and these whales took advantage of the opportunity. The decline in early June brought XRP close to $1.03, and while many retail investors sold, large holders calmly accumulated more XRP.
At current supply levels, 74.3% concentration in large wallets leaves a reduced portion available to smaller market participants. With XRP supply on exchanges also at very low levels, retail investors are slowly being squeezed out of the market.
👉XRP Army Weighs In
Responses to the post reflected a range of perspectives from within the XRP community. One commenter pointed out that whales often have a long-term perspective. While many retail traders are looking for quick profits, whales can see true potential and are willing to hold through downturns.
Another respondent noted that holders with under $100,000 in XRP may lack the capital reserves to take advantage of lower prices like large wallets. He suggested he would have bought the dip too if he had the same capital as these large investors.
👉Supply Concentration as a Market Factor
The accumulation data puts supply concentration at the center of the XRP conversation. Large wallets added to their positions at scale during a period most retail participants found discouraging. Whether XRP’s price confirms the move remains to be seen, but the supply shift is already happening.
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$XRP Crypto analyst JD (@jaydee_757) has outlined a scenario that could shape XRP’s next major move.
In a recent post, he highlighted a falling wedge pattern on XRP’s 3-day chart, suggesting that a breakout could trigger a significant sequence of price movements before the market attempts new record highs.
According to the analyst, XRP could first see a relief rally if the wedge breaks upside. However, he also believes another major move remains ahead before the next phase of the cycle begins.
👉Falling Wedge Remains the Key Structure
JD’s chart shows a large falling wedge since XRP’s all-time high of $3.65, attained in July 2025. The descending resistance line continues to cap price action while a lower support trendline has guided the broader decline.
A falling wedge typically has bullish characteristics when the price eventually breaks above resistance. The chart shows XRP trading near the lower boundary of that formation after months of compression.
👉Bullish Divergence Supports the Recovery Case
Another feature on JD’s chart is a bullish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). While XRP formed lower lows, the RSI created higher lows. Traders often view this pattern as a sign that selling pressure is weakening even as the price remains under pressure.
The divergence appears across several months of trading activity where XRP declined. That adds weight to the possibility of a recovery move if it can break above wedge resistance. The RSI has also risen from relatively subdued levels, aligning with the analyst’s expectation for a potential relief rally.
👉A Relief Rally Targeting Major Resistance
JD’s projection shows XRP breaking above the wedge before advancing toward a key resistance zone around $1.85 to $1.90. That area served as an important support region earlier in the cycle. After XRP lost that level, it became a significant overhead resistance zone.
The chart’s blue arrows illustrate a rebound into this region following a breakout. Such a move would represent a notable recovery from current levels and could confirm renewed bullish momentum in the near term.
👉A Brief Decline Before Continuation
After the projected rally, JD expects XRP to revisit the area marked by the pink box on the chart. He described this move as a “final flush” before the next major advance.
The analyst stated that once 95% of “dumb money” investors give up and lose their money, the market will present their idea. According to the chart, the final target path extends well above XRP’s current trading range and above its historical peak.
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$XRP The recent XRP rally has helped it regain a key technical level. Crypto analyst Dark Defender (@DefendDark) highlighted the move in a recent post, noting that the asset has now reclaimed $1.28 for the first time in two weeks after gaining more than 13% in a single day.
The move comes as XRP pushes through an important resistance area that has capped price action since the rapid decline in early June. According to Dark Defender, the next step depends on whether buyers can secure a strong daily close above this zone.
👉Breakout Pushes XRP Above Key Resistance
The accompanying 4-hour chart shows XRP breaking through a descending trendline that had guided the recent correction. The asset also climbed above the Ichimoku cloud, which often signals strengthening bullish momentum.
At the time highlighted on the chart, XRP traded around $1.18 before accelerating higher. The breakout carried the asset toward the $1.28 region, placing it above several horizontal resistance levels. The chart suggests that reclaiming and holding this area could establish a foundation for the next phase of the advance.
👉Elliott Wave Structure Targets $1.34 First
Dark Defender’s chart outlines an Elliott Wave structure that appears to place XRP in the early stages of a new impulsive move higher. The projected path shows Wave 3 developing after Wave 2 completed near recent lows. In the analyst’s outlook, Wave 3 could carry XRP toward the 200% Fibonacci extension level around $1.3383.
That target sits near the green-circled region and represents the next major area of interest if bullish momentum continues. The structure then anticipates a Wave 4 pullback before a final Wave 5 advance.
👉Fibonacci Targets for XRP
The chart identifies additional Fibonacci extension levels that could guide price action. The 161.8% extension appears near $1.2781, a level XRP has already challenged. Above that, the 200% extension stands at $ 1.3383.
The most ambitious target on the chart sits at the 261.8% Fibonacci extension near $1.4417. The projected Wave 5 move reaches this zone after the expected Wave 4 retracement. Holding above the reclaimed resistance area remains an important factor for maintaining the bullish structure outlined in the analysis.
👉What’s Next for XRP?
The RSI is showing positive signs. It has moved above its signal line and pushed into bullish territory above the 60 level. Dark Defender described the current setup as “the moment the whole chart’s been building toward.” Securing the daily close highlighted in the post could shift focus toward the $1.34 and $1.44 Fibonacci targets in the sessions ahead.
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$XRP continues to trade through a lengthy pullback, but one analyst believes the current setup could mark the foundation for the next major advance.
A chart shared by crypto analyst MikybullCrypto (@MikybullCrypto) highlights a recurring pattern that has appeared during previous market cycles, with the latest retest now taking shape near a key long-term support trendline.
In a recent post, he advised analysts to accumulate XRP at current levels before the next bullish move begins. He believes the next target for XRP is $5, which would mark a new all-time high for the asset.
👉Long-Term Structure Remains Intact
The chart uses XRP’s monthly timeframe and tracks price action stretching back more than a decade. A rising trendline connects major cycle lows and serves as a key structural support level throughout the asset’s history.
He highlighted a zone on the chart showing when XRP pulled back into this ascending support. The asset found support near a horizontal 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before launching into a strong upward move.
At the time of the chart, XRP traded near $1.18 while approaching the intersection of the rising support line and a 0.618 retracement level.
👉A Historical Pattern Reappears
A key theme in the analysis is repetition. The chart highlights how XRP previously tested the long-term trendline during periods of consolidation before beginning a new expansion phase.
The first highlighted example appeared around 2023. XRP revisited support near the trendline and the 0.618 level. This pullback preceded XRP’s 500% surge in late 2024, and the analyst shows a similar setup forming right now.
This similarity forms the basis for the analyst’s bullish outlook. Rather than focusing on short-term volatility, the chart emphasizes a recurring pattern that has developed across multiple years of price history. XRP has retraced from its 2025 peak of $3.65 and now sits near the same trendline that supported earlier cycle recoveries.
👉Analyst Says Accumulate XRP Now
MikybullCrypto predicts that this move could send XRP to $5. A move to $5 from the current level would represent a 324% climb. He advises that market participants accumulate tokens at the current low price.
A successful defense of the current support region could kickstart a massive rally, and failure to hold support could provide another opportunity to accumulate at lower levels before a rebound.
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$XRP has reached another major level identified by crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto), with its price surging to $1.2996 after breaking through the analyst’s $1.26 target.
The latest move completed a roadmap that the analyst outlined in advance, but attention has now shifted to whether XRP can hold its recent gains and build on the breakout.
In a recent update, he highlighted how XRP followed the projected structure step by step. The analyst noted that the market first needed to hold the $1.14 support zone before advancing toward higher targets.
👉XRP Followed the Projected Path
According to EGRAG CRYPTO, the setup was straightforward. XRP needed to hold $1.14, retest $1.1938, then break above that level to target $1.26. The chart shows exactly that sequence.
XRP defended $1.14 after briefly dipping below it during the early-June decline. Following this move, the asset pushed through resistance at $1.1938, then rallied sharply into the $1.26 target zone.
Momentum continued beyond that level, carrying the price as high as $1.2996 before a pullback emerged. Reflecting on the move, the analyst wrote that XRP “did exactly what the structure suggested,” adding that the market moved from support to resistance targets in the expected order.
👉Breakout Extends Above $1.26
The 4-hour chart highlights the strength of the advance. XRP spent several days consolidating around the yellow moving average before buyers regained control. A powerful breakout candle launched the asset above $1.1938. The rally accelerated from there and quickly reached the green resistance zone around $ 1.26.
The chart also shows that XRP briefly traded above that level before encountering resistance near $1.30. Its price then pulled back toward the mid-$1.20 region, where traders are now watching for confirmation of support. EGRAG CRYPTO described the reaction as normal following a strong upward move.
👉Why $1.19 Matters Now
The analyst now considers $1.19 the most important level in the current structure. After serving as resistance during the breakout phase, the area around $1.1938 now sits in position to act as support. The analyst stated that if XRP remains above $1.19, the bullish structure stays intact.
While XRP trades above its recent breakout zone, he continues to monitor additional support levels lower on the chart. He identified $1.14 as another important area within the current structure. Below that sits support around $1.09, while $1.05 remains the deepest level marked on the chart if the asset loses upper support levels.
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$XRP A recent chart shared by crypto enthusiast Austin (@Austin_XRPL) outlines an Elliott Wave structure that projects a powerful multi-year advance for XRP. The digital asset is now in a critical technical area, and the current setup suggests a major move is imminent.
Austin described it as “the most bullish setup in the entire crypto market.” The accompanying weekly chart presents a bullish interpretation of XRP’s price action. It shows the token completing a lengthy consolidation phase inside a falling wedge while positioning for the next stage of a larger Elliott Wave cycle.
👉Falling Wedge Reaches Decision Point
The chart identifies XRP’s surge in late 2024 and early 2025 as Wave 1. This move saw XRP rise by over 500%, and it maintained higher support levels for the first half of 2025. However, it entered Wave 2 in the mid-year and has been falling since then.
During this period, XRP traded inside a falling wedge marked by converging trendlines. The pattern developed over several months, with lower highs gradually compressing price action toward the apex.
Falling wedges are bullish continuation patterns, particularly when they appear after a strong upward move. In Austin’s chart, the lower boundary of the wedge has repeatedly held as support while sellers steadily lost momentum.
XRP currently trades near the upper portion of that structure. A confirmed breakout could mark the completion of Wave II and the beginning of the next impulsive upward leg.
👉Elliott Wave Projection Targets Wave III Advance
The most aggressive part of the forecast is Wave III. According to the chart, XRP could move from the current area near $1.22 toward roughly $12. That target aligns with the chart’s Elliott Wave count, which anticipates a powerful expansion phase following the completion of the correction.
In Elliott Wave theory, Wave III often represents the strongest and longest portion of a bullish cycle. The projected move would carry XRP well above its previous cycle highs and establish a new long-term trend structure.
👉Higher Targets Remain in View
After the projected Wave III peak near $12, the chart outlines a Wave IV pullback. That correction would bring XRP back toward the $ 4 region before another advance begins. The final stage of the sequence appears as Wave V. Austin’s projection places that move above $100, with the chart extending toward the $100 to $110 level.
The forecast represents a complete five-wave bullish structure beginning with the late 2024 rally and extending into 2027. Now traders must track the falling wedge and XRP’s ability to break above descending resistance.
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$XRP As artificial intelligence increasingly becomes part of everyday business operations, questions are growing about how payment systems will adapt to support this shift. According to crypto enthusiast Archie, Ripple believes the XRP Ledger is positioning itself to meet that challenge head-on.
In a recent tweet, Archie highlighted comments made by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse during an interview on Fox Business’ Mornings with Maria, in which the executive discussed the company’s newly launched XRPL AI Starter Kit and Ripple’s broader vision for the future of digital payments.
Archie described Garlinghouse’s remarks as a strong statement of intent, emphasizing one particular quote from the interview: “We want to make sure that we are future ready and future proof… that’s how we think about XRP and the XRP Ledger.”
👉Ripple Introduces the XRPL AI Starter Kit
During the interview, Garlinghouse explained that the XRPL AI Starter Kit was designed to help developers build agent-powered applications for payments on the XRP Ledger.
He acknowledged that the full impact of artificial intelligence on the economy remains uncertain. However, he said experimentation is already underway and that AI agents are beginning to demonstrate their ability to facilitate transactions.
He added that Ripple wants to ensure that the XRP Ledger remains prepared for these developments rather than just reacting after the development.
👉Mastercard Collaboration and Regulatory Considerations
Garlinghouse also referenced Mastercard’s efforts to work with more than 30 companies across the industry to develop frameworks around emerging payment technologies. Ripple is among the participants involved in that initiative.
At the same time, he cautioned against excessive optimism surrounding agentic AI. While he supports experimentation, Garlinghouse said consumers should be careful before allowing AI systems unrestricted access to sensitive financial accounts.
👉XRP’s Role in the Future Financial System
The discussion later shifted toward regulation and digital asset legislation. Garlinghouse argued that lawmakers should move more quickly to establish guidelines around artificial intelligence, noting that regulators were slow to provide clarity for the digital asset sector.
He also revealed that Ripple expects to finish the year with a billion-dollar revenue run rate, excluding XRP held on its balance sheet. According to Garlinghouse, much of the company’s recent growth has occurred outside the United States due to its ability to serve a wider customer base.
Archie framed these developments as evidence that the XRP Ledger is positioning itself at the intersection of artificial intelligence, payments, and stablecoins. He further pointed to Garlinghouse’s observation that even JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon now recognizes stablecoins as an important component of the future payments landscape.
For XRP supporters, the message was clear: Ripple intends to keep adapting its infrastructure to emerging technologies as the financial industry enters its next phase of development.
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$XRP Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has outlined what he believes is a crucial phase for XRP, stating that the asset’s recent price action reflects a battle between buyers defending support and sellers protecting resistance.
In his latest analysis shared on X, Egrag suggested that the market is now in a “range-rebuild phase,” with several technical levels likely to determine XRP’s next major move.
Using a daily XRP chart, the analyst focused heavily on wick behavior and how recent price reactions have shaped the current market structure. According to him, the lower wick that formed near the $1.11 region provided an important signal that buyers remain active at critical support levels.
“The bullish lower wick from the $1.11 zone was not random,” Egrag wrote, emphasizing that the market’s response at that area carried technical significance.
👉Lower Wicks and Upper Wicks Tell Different Stories
Egrag stated that traders should pay close attention to both ends of XRP’s recent price range.
He noted that while buyers successfully defended the downside near $1.11, sellers quickly emerged as the price attempted to move higher. Referring to the upper wick formed during the previous trading session, he said the rejection near resistance showed that market participants remain cautious about allowing XRP to break into higher territory.
According to the analyst, the current setup presents a straightforward message. Buyers have defended the floor, sellers have defended the ceiling, and XRP remains trapped between those competing forces while the market determines its next direction.
He maintained that this balance explains why XRP has entered a consolidation period rather than immediately continuing either a bullish breakout or a deeper decline.
👉The Levels Egrag Says Investors Should Watch
Egrag highlighted several price levels that he believes define XRP’s evolving structure.
He identified $1.11 as the “survival zone,” noting that XRP has already managed to hold above that support. The next milestone came at $1.21, which he described as the first indication of renewed strength. Based on his roadmap, XRP has already achieved both objectives.
The analyst said the focus now shifts toward reclaiming higher levels. A move through $1.28 would suggest improving market structure, while a break above the $1.35 to $1.38 level would indicate that bulls are beginning to regain control.
However, Egrag stressed that the most significant level remains $1.51. He described it as the major breakout zone that could open the door to broader price expansion if XRP decisively moves above it.
“Full confirmation begins only when price starts reclaiming the upper levels,” he stated.
For now, Egrag’s assessment suggests that XRP remains in a decision-making phase. His conclusion was clear: the lower wick showed that buyers defended support, the upper wick confirmed that sellers still control resistance, and the range itself is revealing where the market stands.
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