沈衍峰-合约指导

以太坊

比特币

老鲍，你是在玩呢？

TechFlow 消息，6 月 24 日，Anthony Pompliano创立的比特币原生金融服务公司ProCap BTC在宣布与Columbus Circle Capital Corp. I（纳斯达克代码：CCCM）达成10亿美元合并协议后仅一天内，已迅速购入3,724枚比特币，时间加权平均价格为103,785美元/枚。该公司表示，这是其持续比特币购买计划的一部分，旨在为投资者提供即时的比特币敞口。根据此前公告，合并完成后成立的ProCap Financial预计将在其资产负债表上持有高达10亿美元的比特币。Pompliano认为"比特币是新的收益基准线，如果你无法超越它，就必须购买它"。

#加密市场反弹

The script from 2020 has returned.

MACD reversal, structure collapse.

Bitcoin is ready to launch vertically again.

But this time?

Step on it, don't hit the brakes.

In the past few weeks, we have experienced multiple rebounds, but the only thing missing is the 'continuation' of this trend.

Each time this trend appears, traders are overly bearish, shorting the market, and market makers squeeze them.

Will this time be different?

In addition, after recently acquiring ETH worth 8.91 million dollars, this whale or institution has accumulated an astonishing
422 million dollars in #Ethereum over the past three weeks.

Smart money is loading

While everyone is distracted, whales are making the biggest move since 2018.

It's not too late for you.

But this situation won't last long.

ETH Midday Strategy: Breakout Trading Guide Under Box Oscillation

I. Key Levels and Right-Side Trading Signals

🔹 Long Strategy

• Breakout Long: Volume breakout at $2409 and an hourly close above → Right-side long, stop loss if it falls below $2409;

• Support Level Test Long: Confirm support at $2315 on a pullback → Light long position, stop loss if it falls below $2280;

• Left-Side Ambush: Layout long position at $2230, mandatory stop loss if it falls below $2200.

🔹 Short Strategy

• Breakout Short: Volume breakout below $2389 → Right-side short, stop loss at $2389;

• Resistance Level Short: Rebound to $2430 → Light short position, stop loss if it breaks above $2465.

II. Multi-Cycle Key Level Analysis

🔹 Hourly Level

• Resistance Range: $2430 → $2464 → $2491 (Strong resistance at $2432, if broken look for $2487-$2510);

• Support Range: $2362 → $2317 → $2250 (Key long test point at $2315).

🔹 4-Hour Level

• Key Support at $2358, if it falls below look for $2314 → $2288;

• Core Logic: As long as $2314 is not lost, ETH remains in box oscillation, bullish trend unchanged.

🔹 Box Oscillation Observation

Currently, ETH has not broken the lower boundary of the box ($2314-$2358). If it can hold:

• Box Unbroken: Maintain high sell low buy, go long at support, short at resistance;

• Upper Boundary Breakout: After breaking $2432 may start a main rise, need to decisively go long.

III. Operational Reminders

1. Volume Verification First: Breakout at $2409 needs to be accompanied by increased volume, otherwise it may be a false breakout;

2. Resistance Level at $2432: This point is the dividing line for bullish and bearish at the hourly level, difficult to break, do not blindly chase high before it breaks;

3. 4-Hour Support Defense: After breaking $2358, if $2314 is lost then need to completely turn bearish;

4. Left-Side Order Discipline: Long position at $2230 must strictly set stop loss to avoid amplifying losses when breaking the box.

Note: The market is at a key node of box oscillation, it is recommended to closely monitor the breakout situation at $2432 and support defense at $2314, set stop losses properly and do not hold losing positions!

Ethereum Price at a Crossroads: Key Levels to Watch as June Comes to a Close

As Ethereum (ETH) navigates the turbulent macro and cryptocurrency landscape, the battle between bulls and bears intensifies with the arrival of the last week of June. Currently, the price is trading within a narrow range, with all eyes focused on a key resistance area that may determine the next major move.

Bullish Scenario: Breakthrough Target at $2,448

If the bulls successfully push Ethereum above the direct supply zone between $2,260 and $2,280, a short-term rebound may occur. A successful breakout of this area would open the door for a retest of $2,333, aligning with the 20-day moving average (a closely watched momentum indicator).

In addition, ETH may aim for a bullish confluence zone between $2,380 and $2,448, formed by previous highs and technical resistance levels. However, for this scenario to materialize, trading volume must support the breakout, and Ethereum must decisively break through the VWAP/SAR resistance level, which has acted as a ceiling in recent trading days.

Bearish Setup: Falling Below $2,200 May Trigger Deeper Losses
On the other hand, failing to hold the $2,200 support level would invalidate the current short-term recovery structure. A drop below this level could lead ETH to fall towards $2,026, aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity level.

If selling pressure accelerates, Ethereum could further drop towards $1,958 (previous structural support level), with deeper downside targets approaching $1,880 and $1,490— the latter being the monthly pivot point and the lower boundary of Ethereum's multi-month channel.

Volatility Expected to Surge

Due to mixed signals across different time frames and a lack of clear directional momentum, Ethereum's price volatility is expected to remain elevated. As traders prepare for the final days of June, macro triggers, liquidity dynamics, and investor sentiment may play a key role in shaping Ethereum's short-term trajectory.

Well, the game is not over

You who keeps buying at the bottom, do you not say a word with each purchase?

As the event approaches, please be prepared to deal with all possible situations.

Various claims are emerging one after another.

Spot holders are not too concerned.

Leverage traders will use limit and stop-loss orders.