COINLABX

The market requires patience. No sharp movements.
At the moment, the price of BTC is trading near an important resistance zone ($93,500–94,500). After a confident impulsive rise, which was accompanied by institutional inflows and a positive backdrop from the Fed and the U.S. administration, it seems logical to transition into a phase of local cooling.

Market structure
BTC continues to test the resistance zone of 88,000–88,500 USDT. The price movement maintains a short-term upward vector, but the structure of candles on H4 indicates a weakening of the momentum. Volumes at current levels are low, which limits the likelihood of a sustainable breakout.

Against the backdrop of growing interest in cryptocurrencies, more investors are paying attention not only to charts and news from the blockchain world but also to 'traditional' indicators such as the base interest rate of the Federal Reserve System of the USA. This is no coincidence: the Fed rate is one of the most powerful levers influencing global finance, including the price of Bitcoin and other digital assets.

While the market is frozen in indecision, two main actors have taken the stage — Powell and Trump. But instead of a dialogue — a public spat. And the stakes are high.
The Fed is slowing down, Trump is pushing.
Yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sounded like a cold shower for the bulls:
"A rate cut this year is unlikely to happen."

Visually — calm. In fact — charged dynamite.
Bitcoin continues to hover in a narrow range of 83,000 – 85,500, and at first glance, it seems like everyone is resting. But the liquidation map, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis hint: this is not a rest. This is preparation for a shot.
1. The chart says: flat — a trap

BTC analysis for April 15
Bitcoin continues to storm the peaks, but it looks like it has forgotten why it is climbing there at all. Despite persistent attempts to cling to 85K, the market could not even update the local maximum around 86K — there is no talk of continued growth.
The scenario that is not being shouted about in Telegram channels:

A bull trap is a situation where the price of an asset temporarily breaks through a resistance level, giving a false signal for growth, but then sharply reverses downwards, 'trapping' the bulls' positions and causing losses to those who believed in the rise.
Why is this happening?
The market is structured in such a way that large players (institutions, 'whales') often exploit the emotions of retail traders. Against the backdrop of a general desire 'not to miss the movement,' especially in conditions of FOMO (fear of missing out on profit), the price mimics a breakout of key resistance.

🔍 General market behavior
🔻 BTC bounced off the local bottom ($74,871) and approached the key resistance $80–81K.
This is the area where:
– The psychological barrier at $80,000 is present
– Limit orders are concentrated
– Resistance according to the Ichimoku cloud
– The "cloud" begins — a sign of uncertainty and a potential reversal zone.

Overall market situation.
🩸 Bloody Monday: the price broke $82K and rapidly fell below $75K. Our previous main scenario for the short position worked perfectly, targets achieved.
📏 Key S/R levels.
R3: 81,227.
R2: 80,182.
R1: 79,536.
Pivot Point: 78,491.
S1: 77,446.
S2: 76,800.
S3: 75,755.
For some time, the price may be driven between S1 and S2. This is a consolidation zone after the downward impulse. But the game is just beginning.

The cryptocurrency market is once again entering a zone of uncertainty: the price of Bitcoin is showing a decline, and many investors are wondering — is this a regular correction or the beginning of a full-fledged bear trend?
The metric of realized price, segmented by coin age, comes to the rescue. Special attention should be paid to the so-called 'death cross' — a situation where the realized price of new investors (coins younger than 1 month) crosses the realized price of more experienced holders (coins younger than 6 months) from top to bottom. Such moments have historically signaled the beginning of a market correction.

🔍 Market structure: consolidation before a breakout
BTC is in sideways accumulation. The last 2 days — a clear range of 83,500 – 82,000. Volumes are decreasing, candle bodies are getting smaller — a sign of fading volatility before an impulse.
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud
The price is in a cloud.
The cloud is narrow and sideways, which is always a signal of consolidation and uncertainty.

Yesterday, the crypto market received yet another jolt. The culprit? Trump and his new tariffs against many countries the U.S. trades with. Oh, how we love these manipulations, especially when they fit so nicely into the market picture.
Bitcoin gave the expected rebound from 84K, even jumped over the threshold and soared to 88.5K. But how long did the music play? Already now the price is again below 84K, and we are on the verge of a new movement.

The short-term growth of BTC has reached an important resistance zone, but there is no confident breakout yet. In such moments, the market decides where to move next:
🔴 Bearish scenario
If the price consolidates below 84K, a continuation of the decline can be expected.
In this case, the nearest targets are 80-78K.
🟢 Bullish scenario

Markets are not just charts and technical analysis, but a real chess game where large players make their moves, and retail investors often find themselves as pawns. Market manipulation is a reality, and the sooner you learn to recognize it, the better you can protect your capital.

The crypto market is not just numbers on a screen, but a true arena of emotions. Here, each cycle repeats the same scenario: fear is replaced by greed, the crowd does everything the opposite way, while the big players calmly gather their loot. Today we will analyze why the majority always ends up losing and how to avoid this.

When faith in growth fades, all that remains is to watch the decline.
Bitcoin continues to move within a local sideways trend, but market tension is rising. Currently, the BTC price is approaching the 84K level, with the possibility of a short-term rise to the 86-87K area — however, it is clearly unrealistic to expect a sustainable upward movement. Why? We'll explain everything now.

Well, guys, we've waited! American banks have officially received the green light to work with cryptocurrencies. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has announced that banks can now engage in cryptocurrency operations without prior approval from regulators.

Last time we expected a quick closing of the gap and a return of BTC to at least 85K, with a possible move to 90-92K within the sideways trend. However, the market decided to go its own way. Instead of a confident rise, the price only briefly bounced to 84K, after which it updated the local minimum and closed the November GAP at 77K. Everything is going according to the script, but no longer according to the one we were counting on — it’s too early to relax.

When Donny Trump solemnly announced the launch of a crypto reserve in his Sunday post, the market suddenly sighed for a moment: finally, the state recognizes the power of digital assets! But, as it turned out, it was too early to rejoice — this shiny idea boiled down to the old confiscated bitcoins that have long settled in the wallets of the U.S. government.

February is leaving but is leaving the crypto market a 'farewell gift' in the form of one of the worst red candles in history. Already down 20% for the month, and this may not be the end.
Welcome to the panic correction zone!
The price is already at the mark of 80-77K, which we have long discussed as a critical support zone. This is the area where weak hands capitulate, and strong players watch closely to see if it's time to accumulate BTC at a discount. But don't rush to conclusions – if we confidently break through 77K, the next stop could be at 70K.