COINLABX
Frequent Trader
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IN CRYPTOGRAPHY WE TRUST
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Zone of Illusions: Bitcoin Between Upward Support and the Abyss of Greed
Bitcoin continues to hold above key support levels. The overnight attempt to crash from $110,000 ended in nothing — the bulls held their ground, preventing the price from dropping below $107,000. Support worked clearly along the upward line, just like in the textbook.
But what’s happening now is much more interesting — and dangerous.
But what’s happening now is much more interesting — and dangerous.
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Economic Anxiety as a Signal for Caution
In February, we published an article about the so-called "FTX factor," where we predicted a potential rise in the crypto market amid the return of liquidity to clients of the bankrupt exchange. And indeed — in May, the market showed rapid upward movement, and Bitcoin reached new local highs.
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The FTX Factor and Pump in May: What’s Next?
When we discussed the start of payments from the bankrupt FTX exchange in February, many perceived this news as a purely legal formality. However, attentive readers could already catch key signals: the beginning of liquidity return is not just compensation, it is a catalyst for market movement.
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BTC $104,000: An Oasis of Reason Amid the Sands of Euphoria
Why now is not the time to buy, but a time to think
When the crowd rejoices — I look around
Bitcoin reached $104,000. Victory cries echo from all sides: 'Here it is, the real bull market!', 'Now we're definitely going to $150,000!'. And yet, if you're reading these lines — congratulations, you are one of those who can maintain a clear view in conditions of market euphoria.
When the crowd rejoices — I look around
Bitcoin reached $104,000. Victory cries echo from all sides: 'Here it is, the real bull market!', 'Now we're definitely going to $150,000!'. And yet, if you're reading these lines — congratulations, you are one of those who can maintain a clear view in conditions of market euphoria.
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#BTC | When everyone is happy — I wait it out. Why I am not buying Bitcoin at $100,000
Against the backdrop of Bitcoin confidently surpassing the psychological mark of $100,000, one might expect fireworks, enthusiasm, and universal "FOMO." However, my position remains unchanged: I do not buy at these levels — moreover, I consider current prices excessively overheated. This is not just an emotion, but a conclusion drawn from a careful analysis of fundamental and behavioral factors.
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BTC Overview: April 23, 2025
The market requires patience. No sharp movements.
At the moment, the price of BTC is trading near an important resistance zone ($93,500–94,500). After a confident impulsive rise, which was accompanied by institutional inflows and a positive backdrop from the Fed and the U.S. administration, it seems logical to transition into a phase of local cooling.
At the moment, the price of BTC is trading near an important resistance zone ($93,500–94,500). After a confident impulsive rise, which was accompanied by institutional inflows and a positive backdrop from the Fed and the U.S. administration, it seems logical to transition into a phase of local cooling.
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BTC: Analytical Review — April 22, 2025
Market structure
BTC continues to test the resistance zone of 88,000–88,500 USDT. The price movement maintains a short-term upward vector, but the structure of candles on H4 indicates a weakening of the momentum. Volumes at current levels are low, which limits the likelihood of a sustainable breakout.
BTC continues to test the resistance zone of 88,000–88,500 USDT. The price movement maintains a short-term upward vector, but the structure of candles on H4 indicates a weakening of the momentum. Volumes at current levels are low, which limits the likelihood of a sustainable breakout.
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How the Fed rate affects the cryptocurrency market: simply put.
Against the backdrop of growing interest in cryptocurrencies, more investors are paying attention not only to charts and news from the blockchain world but also to 'traditional' indicators such as the base interest rate of the Federal Reserve System of the USA. This is no coincidence: the Fed rate is one of the most powerful levers influencing global finance, including the price of Bitcoin and other digital assets.
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The Fed vs Trump: who will win?
While the market is frozen in indecision, two main actors have taken the stage — Powell and Trump. But instead of a dialogue — a public spat. And the stakes are high.
The Fed is slowing down, Trump is pushing.
Yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sounded like a cold shower for the bulls:
"A rate cut this year is unlikely to happen."
The Fed is slowing down, Trump is pushing.
Yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sounded like a cold shower for the bulls:
"A rate cut this year is unlikely to happen."
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BTC: The Calm Trap.
Visually — calm. In fact — charged dynamite.
Bitcoin continues to hover in a narrow range of 83,000 – 85,500, and at first glance, it seems like everyone is resting. But the liquidation map, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis hint: this is not a rest. This is preparation for a shot.
1. The chart says: flat — a trap
Bitcoin continues to hover in a narrow range of 83,000 – 85,500, and at first glance, it seems like everyone is resting. But the liquidation map, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis hint: this is not a rest. This is preparation for a shot.
1. The chart says: flat — a trap
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Bitcoin is choking under 85K: has the storm failed?
BTC analysis for April 15
Bitcoin continues to storm the peaks, but it looks like it has forgotten why it is climbing there at all. Despite persistent attempts to cling to 85K, the market could not even update the local maximum around 86K — there is no talk of continued growth.
The scenario that is not being shouted about in Telegram channels:
Bitcoin continues to storm the peaks, but it looks like it has forgotten why it is climbing there at all. Despite persistent attempts to cling to 85K, the market could not even update the local maximum around 86K — there is no talk of continued growth.
The scenario that is not being shouted about in Telegram channels:
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What is a 'bull trap' and how to avoid it?
A bull trap is a situation where the price of an asset temporarily breaks through a resistance level, giving a false signal for growth, but then sharply reverses downwards, 'trapping' the bulls' positions and causing losses to those who believed in the rise.
Why is this happening?
The market is structured in such a way that large players (institutions, 'whales') often exploit the emotions of retail traders. Against the backdrop of a general desire 'not to miss the movement,' especially in conditions of FOMO (fear of missing out on profit), the price mimics a breakout of key resistance.
Why is this happening?
The market is structured in such a way that large players (institutions, 'whales') often exploit the emotions of retail traders. Against the backdrop of a general desire 'not to miss the movement,' especially in conditions of FOMO (fear of missing out on profit), the price mimics a breakout of key resistance.
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Analysis #BTC on 08.04.2025
🔍 General market behavior
🔻 BTC bounced off the local bottom ($74,871) and approached the key resistance $80–81K.
This is the area where:
– The psychological barrier at $80,000 is present
– Limit orders are concentrated
– Resistance according to the Ichimoku cloud
– The "cloud" begins — a sign of uncertainty and a potential reversal zone.
🔻 BTC bounced off the local bottom ($74,871) and approached the key resistance $80–81K.
This is the area where:
– The psychological barrier at $80,000 is present
– Limit orders are concentrated
– Resistance according to the Ichimoku cloud
– The "cloud" begins — a sign of uncertainty and a potential reversal zone.
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Bloody Monday: flight analysis and new levels.
Overall market situation.
🩸 Bloody Monday: the price broke $82K and rapidly fell below $75K. Our previous main scenario for the short position worked perfectly, targets achieved.
📏 Key S/R levels.
R3: 81,227.
R2: 80,182.
R1: 79,536.
Pivot Point: 78,491.
S1: 77,446.
S2: 76,800.
S3: 75,755.
For some time, the price may be driven between S1 and S2. This is a consolidation zone after the downward impulse. But the game is just beginning.
🩸 Bloody Monday: the price broke $82K and rapidly fell below $75K. Our previous main scenario for the short position worked perfectly, targets achieved.
📏 Key S/R levels.
R3: 81,227.
R2: 80,182.
R1: 79,536.
Pivot Point: 78,491.
S1: 77,446.
S2: 76,800.
S3: 75,755.
For some time, the price may be driven between S1 and S2. This is a consolidation zone after the downward impulse. But the game is just beginning.
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When is the end of the correction? An analysis of the current phase from the perspective of the realized price
The cryptocurrency market is once again entering a zone of uncertainty: the price of Bitcoin is showing a decline, and many investors are wondering — is this a regular correction or the beginning of a full-fledged bear trend?
The metric of realized price, segmented by coin age, comes to the rescue. Special attention should be paid to the so-called 'death cross' — a situation where the realized price of new investors (coins younger than 1 month) crosses the realized price of more experienced holders (coins younger than 6 months) from top to bottom. Such moments have historically signaled the beginning of a market correction.
The metric of realized price, segmented by coin age, comes to the rescue. Special attention should be paid to the so-called 'death cross' — a situation where the realized price of new investors (coins younger than 1 month) crosses the realized price of more experienced holders (coins younger than 6 months) from top to bottom. Such moments have historically signaled the beginning of a market correction.
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Technical analysis #BTC
🔍 Market structure: consolidation before a breakout
BTC is in sideways accumulation. The last 2 days — a clear range of 83,500 – 82,000. Volumes are decreasing, candle bodies are getting smaller — a sign of fading volatility before an impulse.
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud
The price is in a cloud.
The cloud is narrow and sideways, which is always a signal of consolidation and uncertainty.
BTC is in sideways accumulation. The last 2 days — a clear range of 83,500 – 82,000. Volumes are decreasing, candle bodies are getting smaller — a sign of fading volatility before an impulse.
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud
The price is in a cloud.
The cloud is narrow and sideways, which is always a signal of consolidation and uncertainty.
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Trump's manipulations and Bitcoin: what's happening in the market?
Yesterday, the crypto market received yet another jolt. The culprit? Trump and his new tariffs against many countries the U.S. trades with. Oh, how we love these manipulations, especially when they fit so nicely into the market picture.
Bitcoin gave the expected rebound from 84K, even jumped over the threshold and soared to 88.5K. But how long did the music play? Already now the price is again below 84K, and we are on the verge of a new movement.
Bitcoin gave the expected rebound from 84K, even jumped over the threshold and soared to 88.5K. But how long did the music play? Already now the price is again below 84K, and we are on the verge of a new movement.
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🚀 Bitcoin is trying to break free, but correction holds
The short-term growth of BTC has reached an important resistance zone, but there is no confident breakout yet. In such moments, the market decides where to move next:
🔴 Bearish scenario
If the price consolidates below 84K, a continuation of the decline can be expected.
In this case, the nearest targets are 80-78K.
🟢 Bullish scenario
🔴 Bearish scenario
If the price consolidates below 84K, a continuation of the decline can be expected.
In this case, the nearest targets are 80-78K.
🟢 Bullish scenario
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Four most common market manipulations: how not to fall into the trap?
Markets are not just charts and technical analysis, but a real chess game where large players make their moves, and retail investors often find themselves as pawns. Market manipulation is a reality, and the sooner you learn to recognize it, the better you can protect your capital.
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The Crowd is Always Wrong: Why People Buy at Highs and Fear at Lows?
The crypto market is not just numbers on a screen, but a true arena of emotions. Here, each cycle repeats the same scenario: fear is replaced by greed, the crowd does everything the opposite way, while the big players calmly gather their loot. Today we will analyze why the majority always ends up losing and how to avoid this.
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🚨 BIG BREAKING 🚨
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