🔍 General market behavior
🔻 BTC bounced off the local bottom ($74,871) and approached the key resistance $80–81K.
This is the area where:
– The psychological barrier at $80,000 is present
– Limit orders are concentrated
– Resistance according to the Ichimoku cloud
– The "cloud" begins — a sign of uncertainty and a potential reversal zone.
📈 Indicators:
✅ MACD
– The histogram is turning positive, the signal line crosses → bullish signal, but weak.
✅ Stochastic
– Overbought. Lines are starting to converge → a pullback is possible.
✅ Volumes
– On the rise, the volumes are good → confirmation of the rebound strength. But in the last candles, the volumes are decreasing, indicating possible weakness of the impulse.
🔮 Movement scenarios:
🟥 BASE SCENARIO (probability 60%)
🔻 A pullback from $80–81K and movement down to the zone $72–70K, where:
– Support since the beginning of the year
– Mirror level
– Strong buyer
📌 Here it is possible to accumulate longs with a short stop.
🟩 ALTERNATIVE (probability 30%)
📈 Break above 81K with a consolidation → possible move to 83.5–85K
Only with strong fundamentals or news. There are currently no confirmations.
🟨 NEUTRAL SCENARIO (probability 10%)
🎢 Sideways between 77.8K and 81.2K
– Difficult to trade
– Possible stop hunting before a directional move
📏 Levels:
🔺 Resistance 81,243 — Local high
🔺 Resistance 80,469 — Upper boundary of the grid
⚠️ Current price 79,545 — We are trading here now
🔻 Support 77,854 — Low of the grid
🔻 Support 74,871 — Low of the day
🎯 Summary:
For now, this is just a bounce amid speculative news. There is no real signal for a trend change.
I expect one more movement down — and then it will be possible to try long-term entries.
🕸️ The grid for the grid-bot can currently be set within 77–81K if you want to catch volatility.