RJ Trader

📊 My calls this week — the honest scoreboard 🧾

No cherry-picking, no quiet deletions. Here's what I said publicly, and what actually happened.

✅ "65.5k is the line bulls need to hold. Lose it and 64k comes back into play."
→ It broke. $BTC spent the rest of the week living at 64k. Called it.

✅ "This is a boredom market — rangebound 64k to 66.8k. No setup, no trade. Cash is a position."
→ Days later, still in the range. The best trade of my week was the one I didn't take.

✅ "I'm not touching alts until Bitcoin dominance cracks 57%."
→ Dominance is still around 58%. Still Bitcoin season. Sitting out was the right side of that trade.

⚠️ "Lose $65k and $63.8k is the next real support."
→ Direction right, depth wrong. 65k broke — but 63.8k never printed. Buyers turned up at 64k instead. Half a win is not a win, so I'm not calling it one.

❌ "Six straight days of ETF inflows — institutions are buying the fear."
→ The streak snapped almost immediately — a nine-figure outflow wiped it. I read a 6-day streak as a trend. It was a streak.
Lesson: flows are a fact, not a forecast. I'll quote them, but I'll stop leaning on them. 📝

Scoreboard: 3 right · 1 half · 1 wrong.

The honest part 🎯 — the call I got most right ("don't trade") made me nothing. The call I got wrong was the one I wrote with the most confidence. That is almost always how the week goes.

And all of it resets Wednesday. The Fed doesn't care about my scoreboard.

Transparency > hype. Let's grow together 🤝

What was YOUR best call this week — and the one you'd take back? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $ETH

🌅 Daily Pulse — Sun, 26 Jul

$BTC : $64,041 (−1.1%) | $ETH: $1,858 (−0.9%)
😨 Fear & Greed: 35 (Fear)

Key level: $BTC is still grinding on the $64k shelf. It has now defended it for four straight sessions. Lose it and $63.8k is the next real floor; reclaim $65.4k and the whole "Bitcoin is quietly strong" story gets its proof.

Watching: oil. Brent tapped $100 this week and Fed September HIKE odds ripped from under 53% to ~82%. That's the number that actually moves your bags — not the headlines about missiles.

My read: nobody is taking real risk 3 days before an FOMC. Four days in Fear, ETFs bled $310M on Thursday, and price still hasn't broken. Quiet is not the same as weak — but quiet before a Fed week can get loud fast.

Where do you see $BTC closing this week — above or below $64k? 👇
#bitcoin #Ethereum

💀 A payment company got drained for $9.7 MILLION. The worst part isn't the theft.

It's that customers kept depositing — straight into the thief's wallet.

Here's what happened to Triple-A this week. 👇

🔓 Attackers got into the company's hot wallets — the always-online wallets that process customer payments.
🌐 They drained them across FOUR chains at once.
🌉 Then bridged everything into a single Ethereum address holding ~5,227 ETH.

And then the detail that should make you cold:

⚠️ An on-chain analyst spotted the outflows publicly and posted this — "It looks like the team are not aware as deposits are not disabled and every new deposit is being drained."

Read that again. 🥶

The pipe was still open. Real customers were still sending real money into an address the attacker controlled. A stranger on the internet noticed before the company did.

📊 And this isn't one bad night:
- ~$97–100 MILLION stolen in crypto in July alone
- 14+ separate incidents in 25 days
- ~$1.3 BILLION lost to hacks across 2026

Now the irony 🎭 — in the same week, the US Senate's CLARITY Act draft proposed literally PAYING hackers a bounty to report bugs instead of exploiting them.

We are trying to legislate a solution to a problem the industry keeps re-creating every single week.

The lesson 🎯: it doesn't matter how regulated, licensed or "institutional" a platform looks. If your coins are sitting in someone else's hot wallet, your security is their monitoring — and this week that monitoring was a guy on X. 🔑

Not your keys, not your coins. Still the only rule that never got hacked.

When did you LAST move funds off an exchange or payment app into self-custody? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$ETH $BTC #CLARITYActToRewardWhiteHatHackers

🚨 The missiles aren't what's going to hurt your portfolio. The oil price is.

Iran's IRGC says it destroyed US depots at Jordanian bases. Jordan says it intercepted 7 missiles and 6 drones — no casualties, no material damage. Nobody has independently verified either version.

Meanwhile the market already voted, and it didn't vote on the missiles.

Here's the chain nobody in this hashtag is drawing 👇

🛢️ Brent tapped $100 this week (+12% on the week)
📈 Higher oil = higher headline inflation
🏦 Higher inflation = the Fed can't cut
⚡ Fed SEPTEMBER hike odds: under 53% a week ago → ~82% now
📉 Higher rates = every speculative asset gets discounted harder

That last line is where crypto lives.

My take: war headlines are noise you can't trade. The oil→inflation→rates chain is signal you CAN. If Hormuz stays open and Brent slides back under $90, this entire risk-off tape unwinds fast. If oil stays bid into the Fed, $BTC 's $64k shelf gets tested for real.

Watch the barrel, not the battlefield.

Are you trading the headlines or the oil price? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $ETH #IranClaimsUSDepotDestroyedInJordan

👑 It once mined 1 in 5 Bitcoin blocks on Earth. Today it has barely $1M left in the bank — and owes $164M to people who trusted it.

Meet Poolin. In 2020 it was the No.1 Bitcoin mining pool on the planet — up to ~20% of the entire network's power ran through it. If you mined BTC, you knew this name. 🌍

Then, September 2022, it quietly froze customer withdrawals. 🧊
11,700 users. $163.7M in their wallets. Locked.

They were told to wait. So they waited.

⏳ They waited through 2023.
⏳ They waited through 2024 and 2025.
⏳ Nearly FOUR years.

This week the wait ended — with a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. 💀
📉 Total debt: $173M
💰 Cash left: barely $1M
⛏️ Mining shut down for good on July 10
🏚️ Texas mining sites now auctioning at a $52M floor — enough to cover maybe 30% of what's owed. Before fees. Real recovery: less.

Read that again. Four years of "please wait," and users may get back cents on the dollar.

The lesson 🎯 — the pool that helped SECURE the Bitcoin network couldn't secure its own customers' money. Being big, being early, being "the biggest" guarantees nothing. The second your coins sit in someone else's wallet, they're not really yours — they're an IOU. And IOUs can freeze for four years and thaw into 30 cents.

Not your keys, not your coins. It's not a slogan. It's 11,700 people who just learned it the hardest way possible. 🔑

What's the longest you've EVER waited to get funds off a platform? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC #bitcoin

🚨 Big Tech just lost $797 BILLION in a day. Bitcoin didn't blink.

The Magnificent Seven had their worst session since 2025 — Alphabet and Tesla spooked everyone on runaway AI spending, and ~$797B evaporated from mega-cap tech.

Normally, crypto leads the way down. Not this time.

📉 Mag7: −$797B, worst day of the year
🟰 $BTC : $64,366, down under 1% — still green on the week
📉 $ETH : $1,864, the softer leg (−2.2%)

The angle: for months crypto has traded like a leveraged bet on the AI trade. This week that rope frayed. Money fled tech, and Bitcoin just... held. That's the first real hint of decoupling we've seen in a while.

My take: one week isn't a trend, and I'm not calling it proven. But strength while everything around you sells off is exactly what you want to see at 35 Fear. Boring resilience is bullish.

Real decoupling — or does BTC catch down to tech next week? 👇

NFA · DYOR
#BitcoinHoldsNear $65400 #AsMagSevenLose$797B #bitcoin

🌅 Daily Pulse — Sat, 25 Jul

$BTC : $64,366 (−1.0%) | $ETH : $1,864 (−2.2%)
😨 Fear & Greed: 35 (Fear)

Key level: Bitcoin is sitting on the $64k shelf. Hold it and this is just pre-Fed chop; lose it and $63.8k is the next real support. Ethereum is the weak leg — $1,850 is the line I'm watching there.

Watching: the story of the week is what DIDN'T happen. Big Tech shed ~$797B this week and Bitcoin barely flinched. Crypto usually leads risk-off — this time it didn't.

My read: sentiment at 35 Fear + a market that refused to break with stocks = quiet strength, not weakness. Nobody's making big bets 4 days before the Fed, but the tape is telling you who's holding.

Where do you see $BTC closing this week? 👇
#bitcoin #Ethereum

⚰️ The exchange that INVENTED the product every trader uses just announced it's dying.

BitMEX — the platform that gave crypto the perpetual swap and 100x leverage — shuts down for good on Sept 23, after 11 years. 🪦

Rewind to 2016–2019: BitMEX WAS crypto leverage. If you traded futures, you traded here. It wrote the playbook the entire industry copied.

Today? Daily volume is around $400,000. Not million — thousand. Less than 0.01% of the market it once ruled. 📉

What killed it wasn't a hack or a rug. Something slower and crueler: it stopped adapting. Regulators caught up (a $100M fine, a Bank Secrecy Act guilty plea), Binance and others out-built it, and users quietly walked to better products. The invention outlived the inventor.

The lesson 🎯 — in crypto, being first guarantees nothing. The perp BitMEX created now trades on a thousand venues, none of them BitMEX. Moats made of "we were here first" don't survive a market this fast. Adapt every cycle, or become a museum piece. 🏛️

What's a coin or project you once thought was untouchable that faded away? 👇

$BTC #bitcoin

🚨 The market just flipped: 82% odds the Fed HIKES in September — not cuts.

Weeks ago the bet was rate cuts. Tonight #FedSeptHikeOddsJumpToAbout82% is the No.1 topic on Square — and every risk asset is feeling it.

Today's tape, one story:
📉 Tech stocks extending the selloff
📉 Dow off 500+, Magnificent 7 shed $797B
📉 $BTC $64,988 (−0.9%) · $ETH $1,864 (−2.2%)

The crypto angle: higher-for-longer rates = expensive money = less fuel for risk. Crypto is the highest-beta risk asset there is, so a hawkish repricing hits us first and hardest — and this lands just 4 days before the FOMC (Jul 28–29).

My take: this isn't a crash, it's positioning. Nobody wants risk on into a Fed that might turn hawkish. Fear at 36 says a lot of that fear is already priced. I'm watching $BTC 's $64k shelf — hold it and this is just pre-Fed chop; lose it and $63.8k is the next real line.

Hawkish Fed or head-fake — where does BTC close Friday? 👇

NFA · DYOR
#FedSeptHikeOddsJumpToAbout82

😤 Imagine hitting the trade of your life... then watching the taxman take more than HALF of it. 💸

For years, that was every crypto trader in Japan. 🇯🇵 Gains taxed as "miscellaneous income" — up to 55%. Win big, hand back most of it. Punished for being right. 😔

That era just ended. 🔥

Japan voted to slash crypto tax from as high as 55% ➡️ a flat 20% — the same rate as stocks. 📉➡️📈
✅ Losses now carry forward 3 years
✅ Bitcoin, Ethereum & XRP reclassified as real financial assets — not gambling chips 🎰❌

The part that hits: 💭 this is a country telling its traders "you're not degenerates — you're investors." 🙌 After years of being taxed like a bad habit, that recognition means everything.

My take: 🎯 tax policy is the most underrated bull signal in crypto. Drop the cost of holding, and capital stops running for the exit. 🚪 This is how a market grows up — quietly, through law, long before the chart notices. 🌱

Ever watched tax eat a win and felt sick about it? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $ETH #JapanMayLaunchBitcoinETFAsEarlyAs2028

🌅 Daily Pulse — Fri, 24 Jul

$BTC : $65,401 (−0.3%) | $ETH: $1,876 (−2.3%)
😨 Fear & Greed: 37 (Fear)

Key level: $BTC is defending $65k. That's the line that matters — lose it and $63.8k is the next real support. Hold it and we're just chopping sideways into the Fed.

Watching: 6 straight days of US spot ETF inflows (~$818M) are quietly soaking up the selling. Institutions are buying the fear retail is feeling.

My read: Boring is bullish here. Price down, ETFs green, sentiment in Fear — that's accumulation weather, not panic weather. Nobody's making big bets before Wednesday's Fed.

Where do you see $BTC closing this week? 👇
#bitcoin #Ethereum

🚨 Japan just fired the next big ETF catalyst — and nobody's pricing it in.

Nikkei reports Japan's FSA is rewriting its financial law so Bitcoin & Ethereum qualify as ETF assets. First spot BTC ETF could land by 2028.

The number that matters: up to ¥3 TRILLION (~$20B) in estimated inflows. SBI, Rakuten, Nomura are already circling.

The crypto angle: the US ETF wave added ~$818M in just the last 6 days. Now imagine the world's 3rd-largest economy opening the same door. This is the slow, structural bid that doesn't show up on a 24h chart.

My take: 2028 feels far, but markets front-run adoption by years. Every "boring regulatory step" like this is a floor being built under $BTC while sentiment sits at 37 Fear.

Bullish structural news in a fearful market — accumulation or a trap? 👇
$BTC $ETH #JapanMayLaunchBitcoinETFAsEarlyAs2028

I once turned a winning month into a losing one in 3 days.

The mistake wasn't a bad trade. It was boredom.

The market went flat — sideways, no setups, exactly like right now. I couldn't sit still. So I forced trades into a dead chart, "just to stay active."

By Friday I'd given back a month of gains. Not to a crash. To chop.

Here's what I learned: most traders don't blow up in trends. They bleed out in the ranges — overtrading a market that's doing nothing, paying fees and spreads for the privilege of being busy.

The rule I follow now: no setup, no trade. Cash is a position. Sitting on my hands IS a position.

BTC has been rangebound 64k–66.8k for days, waiting for next week's Fed. This is a boredom market. Guard your gains.

What's the mistake that taught you the most? 👇
$BTC #bitcoin

🚨 The Senate just dropped a 616-page rewrite of the CLARITY Act — the bill that finally decides what's a security, what's a commodity, and who gets to regulate your coins.

What happened: updated text landed 22 July. It draws the SEC vs CFTC line, adds a DeFi trading framework and stablecoin rules, and makes the contested ethics/conflict-of-interest provision sunset in 2029 — with regulators given a year to implement.

The crypto angle: this is the market-structure bill the industry has waited years for. Assets stuck in "is it a security?" limbo — XRP and most alts — would finally get a clear rulebook. Clarity is arguably the single biggest unlock for US altcoin liquidity.

But watch the clock: the Senate has ~16 days before summer break. The first week of August is realistically the last window to move it this session. Miss it, and it slips to the fall.

My take: "text released" is not "law passed." I'm treating this as a slow-burn bullish catalyst, not a same-day pump. Watch the August calendar, not the headline.

Positioning for regulatory clarity, or believe-it-when-it-passes? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $XRP $ETH #SenateReleasesUpdatedCLARITYActText

🚨 Bitcoin dominance just hit 59% — and if you hold altcoins, you're already feeling it.

Capital is quietly rotating OUT of alts and back into BTC.
When traders get nervous, they don't leave crypto — they hide in Bitcoin. A 59% dominance reading in a Fear-index market is the market whispering "risk-off."

The crypto angle: "altseason" doesn't begin until this number breaks DOWN.
Analysts are watching the 55-57% zone — a sustained break below it is the first real sign money is rotating back to alts. Until then, the Altcoin Season Index near 46/100 says we're firmly in Bitcoin Season.

My take: rising dominance in a fearful tape isn't bullish OR bearish — it's a flight to safety INSIDE crypto. I'm not chasing alts until BTC.D cracks 57%. Watch the ratio, not the hype.

Are you buying alts here, or waiting for dominance to break? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $ETH #BitcoinDominanceRisesTo59

🌅 Daily Pulse — 23 July 2026

$BTC 65,600 (-1.1%) · $ETH 1,925 (flat)
😨 Fear & Greed: 39 (Fear)

Key level: BTC tapped a one-month high near 66.5k, then faded as oil pushed above 85 dollars and inflation nerves crept back in.
65.5k is the line bulls need to hold — we're sitting right on it. Lose it and 64k comes back into play.

Watching: Bitcoin dominance quietly climbing to 59% while alts bleed. That's a risk-off tell, not a rally.

My read: green on the month, heavy on the day.
This isn't fear of a crash — it's the market holding its breath into next week's Fed. Patience beats chasing here.

Where do you see $BTC closing this week? 👇

NFA · DYOR
#bitcoin #BitcoinDominanceRisesTo59

#BitcoinETFAUMReaches80B

🚨 Bitcoin ETF AUM just crossed $80.9 billion — and tonight one of the biggest companies on Earth reports earnings with Bitcoin still on its balance sheet.

The institutional Bitcoin story isn't only ETFs. Tesla still holds 11,509 BTC — about $760 million at today's price — and Q2 numbers land after the US close. Two things are worth watching:

1) Did they touch the stack? Tesla is ramping toward $25 billion in AI and robotics this year — enough to push cash flow negative. No sign they sold in Q2, but if a cash-hungry giant ever trims Bitcoin to fund AI, that's a supply story. Holding through the build is the quiet conviction signal.

2) The accounting changed the game. Under the new fair-value rules, Tesla marks its Bitcoin to market every quarter — so the coin's price swing now lands directly in a mega-cap's reported profit. Between ETFs holding $80.9 billion and Bitcoin sitting inside S&P 500 income statements, adoption is compounding faster than price.

My read: forget the one-day reaction. When whether Bitcoin rises or falls is a line item in Tesla's earnings, the access story is maturing — slowly, then all at once.

Hold or trim — what do you think Tesla did with its 11,509 Bitcoin? 👇

NFA · DYOR

🚨 Someone just parked 330 MILLION dollars of stablecoins on Solana in 24 hours — while the price went nowhere.

Circle led roughly 330 million dollars of stablecoin inflows to Solana in a single day, about 250 million of it fresh USDC. Zoom out: Circle has minted over 70 BILLION dollars of USDC on Solana this year alone.

Price today? SOL sits near $77, red on the day, far below its highs while the liquidity keeps arriving.

The crypto angle: stablecoins on a chain are dry powder — money that took the trouble to show up but hasn't bought anything yet. Liquidity arriving into fear (Fear & Greed: 40) is how bottoms get built quietly. It's the same divergence Bitcoin is showing with its 5-day, 727 million dollar ETF inflow streak.

My take: I trust flows over feelings. When deposits rise while price falls, someone patient is loading — into Fed week, that's the tell I'm watching, not the daily candle.

Dry powder or dead money — what do you think this 330 million becomes? 👇

NFA · DYOR

$SOL $ETH #CircleDrives$330MStablecoinInflowsToSolana

💀 18 months ago this project was worth $3 BILLION. Last week it filed for bankruptcy with about $500,000 left.

Movement Labs — one of 2024's most hyped L2 launches — filed Chapter 11 on July 15.
Court filing: over $1 million owed against roughly $500,000 in assets.
MOVE is down 94% in a year. All-time low: about 1 cent.

The unraveling started with ONE decision: 66 million tokens handed to a market maker that dumped them on launch. Binance banned the MM. Trust never came back.

The lesson: 90% of token collapses don't start on the chart — they start in the token distribution. The chart just tells you later.

My rule now: before I buy any new token, I check who holds the supply and when it unlocks. If insiders can dump on day one, I assume they will.

(The tech didn't fail — a separate entity says the chain still runs. The TOKEN failed. Read that again.)

What's the collapse that taught you the most? 👇

$BTC $ETH #movementlabsfilesforchapter11bankruptcy

#BitcoinHits$66500OneMonthHigh🚨 America's biggest brokerage just switched on Bitcoin. $13 TRILLION in client assets now sits one click away from BTC.

Charles Schwab launched Schwab Crypto yesterday — direct spot trading in $BTC and $ETH for its retail clients. Not an ETF wrapper. The real thing, inside the app their clients already use.

The same earnings report: record $7.07 billion quarterly revenue, 11.9 million daily trades (+57%), $13.08 trillion in client assets.

The crypto angle: ETFs opened the door for institutions; Schwab just opened it for every retail portfolio in America. Stack the context — 5 straight days of ETF inflows (about $727 million), the CLARITY Act heading to a Senate vote, Fed decision next week — and the access story is compounding faster than price is.

My take: distribution beats narrative. You can't put $13 trillion of client money one click away from an asset and keep calling it fringe. Adoption headlines like this age better than any squeeze.

Does Schwab's move matter more than the ETFs did? 👇

NFA · DYOR
$BTC $ETH