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According to BlockBeats, data from CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates a 16.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January. The likelihood of maintaining the current rates stands at 83.4%.

On Jan 04, 2026, 04:49 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, BNB has crossed the 890 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 890.690002 USDT, with a narrowed 1.33% increase in 24 hours.

According to BlockBeats, data from Coinmarketcap indicates that the Altcoin Season Index is currently at 27, after previously dropping to 14 on December 19. This index reveals that in the past 90 days, approximately 27 out of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have outperformed Bitcoin. The CMC Altcoin Season Index is a real-time indicator used to assess whether the cryptocurrency market is currently in a season dominated by altcoins. It is based on the performance of the top 100 altcoins relative to Bitcoin over the past 90 days.

According to PANews, data from a prediction market website indicates a rising probability of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro stepping down by January 31. As of Friday evening at 10 p.m. Eastern Time, the likelihood increased from a steady 5%-6% over the past week to 8.5%, reaching 12.5% by early Saturday morning at 1 a.m. The probability continued to climb steadily from 1:15 a.m. onward. The website features at least six contracts betting on Maduro's resignation, totaling $56.6 million. Among these, approximately $11 million is wagered on his departure by January 31, with a successful prediction. Additionally, around $40 million was bet on his resignation by November 30 or December 31, both of which were unsuccessful predictions.

According to ChainCatcher, Web3 asset data platform RootData reports that io.net (IO) is set to unlock approximately 14.14 million tokens on January 11 at 0:00 UTC+8.

According to Odaily, Ham Young-joo, Chairman and CEO of Hana Financial Group, emphasized in his New Year's address that the acceleration of technology-driven changes in the financial structure is redirecting funds from traditional banking systems to emerging sectors. He highlighted stablecoins as a potential key growth driver for the group in the future. Ham stressed the need for the group to proactively build a comprehensive digital asset ecosystem, encompassing issuance, distribution, usage, and circulation, rather than merely competing within existing frameworks. Ham also noted that while the integration of digital assets into regulatory systems remains a topic of political discussion, the actual impact of stablecoins is difficult to assess accurately. Nonetheless, he urged the group to pursue fundamental innovations and establish distribution networks through cross-industry and cross-regional collaborations to facilitate the broader application of stablecoins. Additionally, he emphasized the importance of reducing reliance on traditional banking operations and accelerating expansion into non-banking sectors to address the financial structural transformation driven by artificial intelligence developments and changes in capital flow patterns. Ham cautioned that relying solely on scale and past successes is insufficient for ensuring long-term survival. He called for systematic restructuring in areas such as investment banking, risk management, and corporate credit evaluation, and urged overcoming internal inertia to urgently seek new growth opportunities.

According to Foresight News, Circle's official website reports that during the week ending December 31, USDC issuance totaled approximately 4.8 billion, while redemptions reached around 6 billion, resulting in a circulation decrease of about 1.2 billion. As of December 18, USDC's circulation was approximately 75.3 billion, with reserve assets valued at roughly 75.6 billion dollars.

According to Odaily, Flow announced on the X platform that its network has fully resumed operations, with both Cadence and EVM environments now online. Currently, over 99.9% of accounts have complete operational access in both execution environments, and efforts to restore accounts and address fraudulent tokens are underway. Additionally, the DeFi ecosystem on Flow is in the process of resuming operations, with cross-chain bridge partners expected to restore services after final verification. The official statement indicated that a technical post-incident analysis report detailing the attack vector, forensic analysis, and remediation methods will be released within 48 hours. The comprehensive recovery of the ecosystem is anticipated to be completed by the end of this week.

According to Odaily, a trader known as 'Maji Dage' currently holds a leveraged long position of 7,100 ETH, valued at $22.3 million. The position was opened at a price of $3,005.8, and it has generated an unrealized profit of $975,000. The trader has placed a limit sell order for 200 ETH in the price range of $3,188.8 to $3,200. If the price increases by $48, the sell order will be triggered.

According to PANews, a sophisticated phishing attack is targeting Cardano users by distributing announcements disguised as the 'Eternl Desktop' wallet. This malicious campaign aims to trick users into downloading an MSI file containing remote control tools. The attackers impersonate official communications and reference NIGHT and ATMA token incentives to lure victims. They are using the domain download.eternldesktop.network to distribute unsigned installation packages. Security researchers have identified that the file includes the LogMeIn Resolve component, which allows for remote command execution and persistent system control. Users are advised to download wallet software only from official sources.

According to Foresight News, New York Democrat Ritchie Torres plans to introduce the Financial Forecast Markets Public Integrity Act of 2026. Sources indicate that the legislation aims to prohibit federal elected officials, political appointees, and executive branch employees from engaging in certain transactions involving prediction market contracts if they possess significant non-public information or can reasonably obtain such information through their official duties. The restriction applies to buying, selling, or exchanging prediction market contracts linked to government policy, actions, or political outcomes on interstate commercial platforms.

According to BlockBeats, a significant cryptocurrency investor, previously known for selling 255 BTC, has expanded their short positions. The investor now holds leveraged short positions in both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a total value of $109 million. The positions include 751.38 BTC and 12,909.15 ETH, utilizing 10x and 15x leverage, respectively. Currently, the investor is experiencing an unrealized loss exceeding $1.8 million.

According to Odaily, the U.S. government currently possesses cryptocurrency assets valued at over $30 billion. Of these holdings, 97% are in Bitcoin (BTC).

According to BlockBeats, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Paulson indicated that the Federal Reserve might consider further interest rate cuts if inflation shows signs of easing. However, she cautioned that any additional rate reductions may not be immediate. In a speech delivered in Philadelphia, Paulson expressed cautious optimism about the potential for reduced price pressures in the coming months. This year marks her first as a voting member of the Federal Reserve's policy committee. She noted that the current target range of 3.5% to 3.75% remains 'slightly restrictive,' suggesting that this level is sufficient to curb inflation, potentially paving the way for future rate cuts. In her prepared remarks, Paulson stated, 'If inflation eases and the economy stays on its current path, a modest adjustment to the federal funds rate later this year may be appropriate.' She also commented on the mixed signals regarding the health of the job market, indicating that while the market is under pressure, it has not collapsed. Paulson is awaiting more data to clarify the situation, implying that she seeks further evidence of economic developments in the coming months before supporting additional policy adjustments.

According to ChainCatcher, the entity known as '1011 Insider Whale' has maintained a long position for 29 days, currently showing an overall unrealized profit of $434,000. The address holds 203,340.64 ETH, valued at $617 million, with an opening price of $3,147.39, resulting in an unrealized loss of $1.238 million. Additionally, it possesses 1,000 BTC, worth $89.86 million, with an opening price of $91,506.7, leading to an unrealized loss of $356,000. Furthermore, the address holds 511,000 SOL, valued at $66.03 million, with an opening price of $130.1911, showing an unrealized profit of $2.076 million. The entity has also paid a total funding fee of $4.328 million.

On Jan 04, 2026, 00:06 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, BNB has crossed the 880 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 880.630005 USDT, with a narrowed narrowed 0.21% decrease in 24 hours.

According to Odaily, Vitalik Buterin has announced that the ZK-EVM has entered the alpha stage, achieving production-level performance, with remaining efforts focused on security. Concurrently, PeerDAS has been officially launched on the Ethereum mainnet. Buterin emphasized that this is not a gradual optimization but a transformation of Ethereum into a new peer-to-peer network that combines decentralization, consensus mechanisms, and high bandwidth. Reflecting on past technologies, Buterin noted that BitTorrent offered high bandwidth without consensus, while Bitcoin had consensus but limited bandwidth due to full replication. With the introduction of PeerDAS (data availability sampling) and ZK-EVM, Ethereum aims to achieve decentralization, consensus, and high throughput simultaneously, overcoming the trilemma through "real code running on the mainnet." PeerDAS is already operational on the mainnet, and ZK-EVM has reached production-level performance. Buterin anticipates that starting in 2026, mechanisms like BAL and ePBS will gradually increase the Gas limit, creating opportunities to run ZK-EVM nodes. Between 2026 and 2028, there will be adjustments in Gas repricing, state structure, and execution load entering blobs. By 2027 to 2030, ZK-EVM is expected to become the primary method for network block verification, further driving Gas limit increases. Additionally, Buterin highlighted the importance of distributed block construction, with a long-term goal to prevent blocks from being fully constructed at any single location. This aims to decentralize block construction power through both protocol-internal and external methods, reducing the risk of centralized interference and enhancing geographical fairness.

According to Cointelegraph, the United States national debt has exceeded $38.5 trillion, coinciding with the Bitcoin community's celebration of 'Genesis Day,' marking the anniversary of the first block mined by Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. As of the time of writing, the U.S. government debt stands at approximately $38,561,900,451,378, as reported by the U.S. National Debt Clock. Market analyst James Lavish commented on the rising debt, stating, 'Lie, cheat, steal, and print relentlessly. It’s the playbook of fiat currency, and it weakens the money until confidence in that currency ultimately fails.' This sentiment reflects concerns about the sustainability of fiat currency systems amid increasing national debt levels. The Bitcoin Genesis Block, mined by Nakamoto on January 3, 2009, included a newspaper headline referencing the UK government's monetary stimulus during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, symbolizing Bitcoin's core value proposition of being resistant to inflation and debasement. The U.S. government has been adding approximately $6 billion per day to the national debt, according to Congressional data, resulting in an annual increase of $2.2 trillion. This rapid accumulation of debt contrasts sharply with historical trends, as it took over 200 years for the U.S. national debt to surpass $1 trillion in October 1981, according to the U.S. House of Representatives Budget Committee. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's M2 money supply, a measure of the total amount of U.S. dollars in circulation, continues to rise, reaching $22.4 trillion. The inflation of fiat money supply diminishes its value by eroding purchasing power, reducing its price relative to finite goods and services. Bitcoin advocates argue that Bitcoin addresses this issue with its fixed supply cap of 21 million, produced on a steady schedule, which becomes deflationary over time and increases purchasing power relative to goods and services. As the U.S. national debt continues to grow, the debate over the sustainability of fiat currency systems and the potential role of Bitcoin as an alternative remains a focal point for financial analysts and cryptocurrency enthusiasts alike.

On Jan 03, 2026, 16:24 PM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Ethereum has dropped below 3,100 USDT and is now trading at 3,099.27002 USDT, with a narrowed 0.15% decrease in 24 hours.

According to PANews, on-chain analyst Ai Yi reports that Yi Lihua's Ethereum holdings have reached a break-even point. The strategy involved purchasing 46,036.72 ETH during the price drop on December 29, which effectively reduced the average cost of the holdings to approximately $3,105.5 per ETH. This move has allowed Yi Lihua to recover a floating loss of $110 million, bringing the investment back to the break-even line.