😵 1. Price: Stuck at 117,000 playing heartbeats

Today's market: Bitcoin fluctuated between $116,978 and $118,800, finally stuck at $117,785 (approximately 8.56 million RMB), down 0.28% in 24 hours, equivalent to a Tesla Model 3 evaporating into thin air.

  • Why no movement:

    • Whale dump: A mysterious giant whale transferred $1.2 billion worth of BTC (around 10,000 coins) to Binance within a day, directly breaking through the $117,000 support level.

    • Retail investors lying flat: Ordinary people are waiting for the Fed's announcement tonight, trading volume is as quiet as a weekend internet cafe.


🐳 2. Whales making moves: $1.2 billion dumped, retail investors shivering in fear

Giant whale moving house: A mysterious large account transferred 10,000 BTC (≈$1.2 billion) to Binance in one go, instantly scaring the market, price dropped by $2,000.

  • Official knife stab: The U.S. government transfers 3,940 BTC (≈$240 million) confiscated from the 'Silk Road' into Coinbase, ready to sell at any time, making things worse.


🏢 3. Institutional operations: Some are running away, some are bottom-fishing

  • Runaway crowd:

    • Bitcoin spot ETF has seen net fund outflows for 3 consecutive days (totaling $285 million), with institutions taking short-term profits.

  • Bottom-fishing maniac:

    • MicroStrategy (renamed Strategy) buys coins again! Raises $2.5 billion to sweep up 21,021 BTC, total holdings surge to 628,000 coins (≈$74 billion), known as 'Bitcoin Pi Yao'.


📜 4. Policy big move: White House intervenes, SEC releases restrictions

  • White House report: The Trump administration releases the first cryptocurrency policy report, with the core message: "Use stablecoins to extend the life of the dollar," requiring stablecoins to be 1:1 backed by U.S. Treasuries, aiming to become the global crypto leader.

  • SEC gives the green light: Approves Bitcoin/Ethereum ETF 'physical redemption' (institutions can exchange real coins for shares), liquidity upgrade, larger funds entering the market smoothly.


📉 5. Technical aspect: The spring is compressed to the bottom, just waiting for a sound

  • Compressed spring: Bitcoin is squeezed into a pancake between $116,000 support and $120,000 resistance, volatility plummeted by 45%, technical analysts shout: "The explosive market is coming soon!".

  • Bull-bear secret battle:

Short sellers: Retail investors are crazily opening short positions (especially those with 100x leverage), betting on tonight’s Fed to crash.

  • Bull's hidden card: If $116,000 can't hold, the next stop is $112,000 (another drop is like losing a Porsche).


🔮 6. Tomorrow's life-and-death game: Fed + White House, deciding fate!

  • Fed interest rate decision (tonight):

    • Dovish (easing) → Bitcoin rushes to $120,000!

    • Hawkish (tightening) → Leverage long positions collectively liquidated, heading straight to $112,000.

  • White House details: Focus on the 'national Bitcoin reserve' plan; if they shout 'national team hoarding coins', institutions may rush back overnight.


💎 Summary: Survival guide for retail investors

Today's script: Giant whale dump → Official knife stab → Institutions tearing each other apart → Retail investors playing dead.
Operation mantra:

  • Short-term traders: Keep a close watch on $116,000, run as soon as it breaks; if the Fed goes dovish, blindly chase the long!

Long-term investors: Buying in batches below $112,000, hold steady and wait for $150,000.