区块帮—神鱼
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The reason for the sharp decline in innovative drugs has been found.
Today, Hong Kong's innovative drug stocks fell nearly 4%. Many people are asking Bog why the sharp decline happened.
At first, I couldn't find the reason, but I saw a trending topic that said: 'Trump will sign an executive order to lower drug prices,' and instantly understood the reason for the sharp decline in Hong Kong's innovative drug stocks.
Trump's main task is to increase U.S. revenue and reduce the scale of U.S. debt. However, Musk's DOGE has little effect, and military spending is set to exceed $1 trillion. What should we do? We thought about learning from us about centralized procurement, reducing drug prices to lower healthcare expenditures.
One of the main clients of our Hong Kong innovative drug companies is the U.S. pharmaceutical giants. If U.S. drug prices decrease, leading to reduced revenues for pharmaceutical companies, will it affect their fees paid to Chinese innovative drug partners? Following this line of thought, Hong Kong's innovative drugs have pulled back.
At first, I couldn't find the reason, but I saw a trending topic that said: 'Trump will sign an executive order to lower drug prices,' and instantly understood the reason for the sharp decline in Hong Kong's innovative drug stocks.
Trump's main task is to increase U.S. revenue and reduce the scale of U.S. debt. However, Musk's DOGE has little effect, and military spending is set to exceed $1 trillion. What should we do? We thought about learning from us about centralized procurement, reducing drug prices to lower healthcare expenditures.
One of the main clients of our Hong Kong innovative drug companies is the U.S. pharmaceutical giants. If U.S. drug prices decrease, leading to reduced revenues for pharmaceutical companies, will it affect their fees paid to Chinese innovative drug partners? Following this line of thought, Hong Kong's innovative drugs have pulled back.
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What is the reason for the sudden plunge in gold prices?
The reasons internationally are very complex. Domestically, I guess the higher-ups continue to buy foreign gold to suppress domestic prices, inducing you to sell gold so they can print more money and raise prices significantly. I estimate that quite a bit of U.S. debt will be sold before and after this discussion. Because if they don't print money soon, the finances won't hold up.
Gold is indeed a safe haven, but it is not a solution to war. Anyone with a bit of sense knows that war is not possible. The fear is currency devaluation.
Currently, this situation of suppressing prices is not without its side effects; it's unbearable for a long time. I estimate that there will be some smart people entering the market again, and this will be a benefit for them.
Gold is indeed a safe haven, but it is not a solution to war. Anyone with a bit of sense knows that war is not possible. The fear is currency devaluation.
Currently, this situation of suppressing prices is not without its side effects; it's unbearable for a long time. I estimate that there will be some smart people entering the market again, and this will be a benefit for them.
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Will China enter a long-term bull market in 2025?
It will. The officials are personally involved; the map has been provided. If you still don’t know how to invest, then don’t buy.
At the current time point, April 17, 2025, the week is dead. For 2025, in the coming months, at least until the end of June and early July, regardless of what happens, you must endure, suffer, and patiently hold your stocks. Never easily switch stocks or let go and get shaken out.
On the 6th, the CSRC issued a document on market value management, which stated, 'Especially for index constituent stocks and long-term underperforming companies, they are required to disclose their market value management systems and valuation improvement plans.'
In connection with the recent crackdown on excessive speculation in junk stocks.
At the current time point, April 17, 2025, the week is dead. For 2025, in the coming months, at least until the end of June and early July, regardless of what happens, you must endure, suffer, and patiently hold your stocks. Never easily switch stocks or let go and get shaken out.
On the 6th, the CSRC issued a document on market value management, which stated, 'Especially for index constituent stocks and long-term underperforming companies, they are required to disclose their market value management systems and valuation improvement plans.'
In connection with the recent crackdown on excessive speculation in junk stocks.
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Why is it said that the A-share market is about to start a real bull market?
The bull market is, in simple terms, about where the money is.
After the tariff negotiations, the Hong Kong stock market soared, but the A-share market had relatively less volatility.
As the two largest economies in the world, I'll just say a few points:
1, credit currency, natural inflation. — No one should have any doubts about this, right?
2, sovereign country, there is no motivation for balance sheet reduction. — At least for now, there isn't.
3, the currency that has been created must have a destination. — It can't just disappear into thin air, can it?
4, the preliminary results of the China-U.S. trade war have been determined; although the future outlook cannot be said to be clear, at least it is not as panic-stricken as before. — Gold has retreated.
After the tariff negotiations, the Hong Kong stock market soared, but the A-share market had relatively less volatility.
As the two largest economies in the world, I'll just say a few points:
1, credit currency, natural inflation. — No one should have any doubts about this, right?
2, sovereign country, there is no motivation for balance sheet reduction. — At least for now, there isn't.
3, the currency that has been created must have a destination. — It can't just disappear into thin air, can it?
4, the preliminary results of the China-U.S. trade war have been determined; although the future outlook cannot be said to be clear, at least it is not as panic-stricken as before. — Gold has retreated.
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Why is it said that the A-shares are about to open a real bull market?
In 2025, the Chinese stock market will truly enter the bull market's first year!
Although the stock index once reached 5000 points and 6100 points, at that time everyone was in an immature stock market characterized by speculative bubble trading, where the phenomenon of market manipulation and the herd effect of retail investors emerged, failing to truly reflect the reasonable returns brought by effective financing, from issuance and listing to the operation of the securities market, including practitioners and market supervision, fraudulent listings, stock market manipulation, cashing out by major shareholders, and the blind speculation of retail investors.
Starting from 2025, the following major ecosystems will emerge:
Although the stock index once reached 5000 points and 6100 points, at that time everyone was in an immature stock market characterized by speculative bubble trading, where the phenomenon of market manipulation and the herd effect of retail investors emerged, failing to truly reflect the reasonable returns brought by effective financing, from issuance and listing to the operation of the securities market, including practitioners and market supervision, fraudulent listings, stock market manipulation, cashing out by major shareholders, and the blind speculation of retail investors.
Starting from 2025, the following major ecosystems will emerge:
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Under what circumstances will a bull market arise?
Only because I am in this mountain, in May 2025, it is now a bull market.
Both the bottom and top are regions; bull and bear markets are also ranges. I think it is already a bull market now. Policies are in place, and it just lacks the U.S. injecting liquidity. If the U.S. injects liquidity, China will follow. If China injects liquidity first, the money will flow to the U.S. to take over the overvalued U.S. stocks and the crumbling U.S. bonds.
This part is not understood by many; let me explain in detail the reasons why both countries will lower interest rates.
American capital has always relied on the tidal waves of the dollar to harvest global assets. When the U.S. lowers interest rates and injects liquidity, the supply of dollars increases and flows worldwide to purchase assets. When the U.S. raises interest rates and tightens monetary policy, the liquidity in the market shrinks and the economy hits the brakes. Moreover, compared to other options, there are risk-free U.S. Treasury bonds to choose from, which will flow back to the U.S.
Both the bottom and top are regions; bull and bear markets are also ranges. I think it is already a bull market now. Policies are in place, and it just lacks the U.S. injecting liquidity. If the U.S. injects liquidity, China will follow. If China injects liquidity first, the money will flow to the U.S. to take over the overvalued U.S. stocks and the crumbling U.S. bonds.
This part is not understood by many; let me explain in detail the reasons why both countries will lower interest rates.
American capital has always relied on the tidal waves of the dollar to harvest global assets. When the U.S. lowers interest rates and injects liquidity, the supply of dollars increases and flows worldwide to purchase assets. When the U.S. raises interest rates and tightens monetary policy, the liquidity in the market shrinks and the economy hits the brakes. Moreover, compared to other options, there are risk-free U.S. Treasury bonds to choose from, which will flow back to the U.S.
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Is May the Starting Point of the 2025 Bull Market?
Yes. The officials are personally involved, and they’ve provided the roadmap. If you still don’t know how to invest, you really shouldn’t buy.
Currently, there are 133 trillion yuan in resident deposit accounts. 83% of this 133 trillion is held by 3.1% of the people, while the vast majority of people have very little money. Because the lower limit for deposits of 0.3% of that 3.1% is 15 million, and for 0.03% of that is 50 million. These people are not retail investors; they are all smart people from various industries. Can you convince them to invest in a casino-like stock market?
The current stock market still enjoys a shocking atmosphere, listening for the wind as if it were rain.
If the market rises for a day, it’s an epic bull market that’s about to come; if it falls for a few days, it’s going to go cash, that’s what a stock master understands and does. What's the use of a transaction volume of 1.6 trillion? The ones making money are still those cunning old hands working behind the scenes; is this enough?
Currently, there are 133 trillion yuan in resident deposit accounts. 83% of this 133 trillion is held by 3.1% of the people, while the vast majority of people have very little money. Because the lower limit for deposits of 0.3% of that 3.1% is 15 million, and for 0.03% of that is 50 million. These people are not retail investors; they are all smart people from various industries. Can you convince them to invest in a casino-like stock market?
The current stock market still enjoys a shocking atmosphere, listening for the wind as if it were rain.
If the market rises for a day, it’s an epic bull market that’s about to come; if it falls for a few days, it’s going to go cash, that’s what a stock master understands and does. What's the use of a transaction volume of 1.6 trillion? The ones making money are still those cunning old hands working behind the scenes; is this enough?
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How to view those who only dare to buy ETFs and not stocks?
In August, I sold ICBC, which I had held for two years, because when I bought ICBC, the stock price was only 4.3 yuan, and at that time, the expected dividend was 0.3 yuan per share, which made it impossible not to buy it.
In August, ICBC rose to over 6 yuan. The future space is very limited. Therefore, I sold ICBC.
But the market point at that time was very low, and I couldn't decide which stock to buy. So, I bought 300 ETFs in total.
After buying, it dropped, but the maximum drop was only 3%, and then I experienced an epic rebound.
ETFs are your decision when you judge that the current index point is relatively low but cannot judge individual stocks.
In August, ICBC rose to over 6 yuan. The future space is very limited. Therefore, I sold ICBC.
But the market point at that time was very low, and I couldn't decide which stock to buy. So, I bought 300 ETFs in total.
After buying, it dropped, but the maximum drop was only 3%, and then I experienced an epic rebound.
ETFs are your decision when you judge that the current index point is relatively low but cannot judge individual stocks.
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Is there the dumbest and simplest way to invest in stocks?
Yes. It is simply to fully invest in the Shanghai Composite Index ETF at any time and then not worry about anything else.
The Shanghai Composite Index ETF is the only choice. There is no second candidate.
Looking back, for example in recent years, the worst case was fully invested in the Shanghai Composite ETF at 3700 points. But I can say with certainty that a full investment in the Shanghai Composite Index ETF at 3700 points will definitely be profitable in the future.
If you do this, it will be very easy to outperform more than 80% of stock investors in the long run.
Don't think that making money this way is slow or small. Look for opportunities. For example, if you had fully invested in the Shanghai Composite Index ETF at 2440 on January 4, 2019, by February 2021 at 3731, the return rate exceeded 50%. In less than 2 years, what other method could you use to earn 50%?
The Shanghai Composite Index ETF is the only choice. There is no second candidate.
Looking back, for example in recent years, the worst case was fully invested in the Shanghai Composite ETF at 3700 points. But I can say with certainty that a full investment in the Shanghai Composite Index ETF at 3700 points will definitely be profitable in the future.
If you do this, it will be very easy to outperform more than 80% of stock investors in the long run.
Don't think that making money this way is slow or small. Look for opportunities. For example, if you had fully invested in the Shanghai Composite Index ETF at 2440 on January 4, 2019, by February 2021 at 3731, the return rate exceeded 50%. In less than 2 years, what other method could you use to earn 50%?
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If ETF funds are so good, why do so few people buy them?
I do not recommend buying ETFs; they rise very slowly and have large pullbacks. Once you chase high prices, it is completely hopeless to recover. Moreover, the exact value of an ETF cannot be calculated, and the holding experience is very poor.
Unless this ETF is rising 95% of the time and has continued driving forces to rise, do not buy the ETF.
ETFs are just a package of leading stocks and junk stocks. The A-shares have always been in a bear market, and junk stocks generally keep falling to ST. So why not just buy more stable leading stocks directly?
Updated on 10.18, I found the discussion in the comments very lively, and I've changed my mind a bit. Some ETFs are still quite recommended, such as the S&P series, the Hong Kong stock dividend series, the commodity series (excluding energy and chemical ETFs), and the Chinese bond series. We can't generalize.
Unless this ETF is rising 95% of the time and has continued driving forces to rise, do not buy the ETF.
ETFs are just a package of leading stocks and junk stocks. The A-shares have always been in a bear market, and junk stocks generally keep falling to ST. So why not just buy more stable leading stocks directly?
Updated on 10.18, I found the discussion in the comments very lively, and I've changed my mind a bit. Some ETFs are still quite recommended, such as the S&P series, the Hong Kong stock dividend series, the commodity series (excluding energy and chemical ETFs), and the Chinese bond series. We can't generalize.
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What is it like to lose Bitcoin?
This is still my friend's story.
He lives in a first-tier city.
That year, Bitcoin was 100 yuan each, and under the repeated persuasion of an old Bitcoin miner XX (a well-known figure in the crypto world), he bought 100 Bitcoins.
Eight years later, Bitcoin had reached a very high price. He remembered these 100 coins and started looking for the note with the address and password.
Because he forgot which book the note was tucked into
and which of the dozens of houses he owned in this city had the bookshelf with that book.
This is still my friend's story.
He lives in a first-tier city.
That year, Bitcoin was 100 yuan each, and under the repeated persuasion of an old Bitcoin miner XX (a well-known figure in the crypto world), he bought 100 Bitcoins.
Eight years later, Bitcoin had reached a very high price. He remembered these 100 coins and started looking for the note with the address and password.
Because he forgot which book the note was tucked into
and which of the dozens of houses he owned in this city had the bookshelf with that book.
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What moment made you finally realize this is fate?
I found out about Bitcoin around 2011. At that time, I wanted to find a part-time job, and my classmate said to mine Bitcoin, saying he could mine one or two in an afternoon, and that he could sell it for money. Later, he mined two and his computer broke down. I laughed at him, but in the end, I don't know if he sold it. Anyway, in 2017, his home was relocated, the school expansion took over his land, and the two new houses built there were all demolished. He didn't say how much he got in compensation, but now he earns over 4,000 a month and supports two kids while driving two cars...
The comments section is not quite right. The key point is that someone was relocated, yet everyone is talking about Bitcoin...
The comments section is not quite right. The key point is that someone was relocated, yet everyone is talking about Bitcoin...
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Information Asymmetry in the Crypto Circle
As everyone knows, information = 💰, a little attention = eliminate information asymmetry = earn 💰
1. Market trends: #Bitcoin fluctuating and declining, market conditions are diverging.
2. #US stocks are rising, #S&P 500 opened low and closed high, thrillingly up, still down 4.6% in the first quarter.
3. #Gold prices have hit new highs for three consecutive days, rising nearly 20% in the first quarter, the largest increase in 38 years.
4. American Bitcoin will hold a press conference tonight at 20:30.
5. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin revealed that President Trump will announce corresponding tariff measures on April 3 at 3:00 (local time). Details on Trump's 'reciprocal tariffs' will be announced soon, and market tension is rising.
1. Market trends: #Bitcoin fluctuating and declining, market conditions are diverging.
2. #US stocks are rising, #S&P 500 opened low and closed high, thrillingly up, still down 4.6% in the first quarter.
3. #Gold prices have hit new highs for three consecutive days, rising nearly 20% in the first quarter, the largest increase in 38 years.
4. American Bitcoin will hold a press conference tonight at 20:30.
5. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin revealed that President Trump will announce corresponding tariff measures on April 3 at 3:00 (local time). Details on Trump's 'reciprocal tariffs' will be announced soon, and market tension is rising.
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The most comprehensive beginner's guide to cryptocurrency
1. What is coin speculation?
In this article, we will first talk about coin speculation. In fact, coin speculation is similar to stock speculation, real estate speculation, and foreign exchange speculation, which all involve buying low and selling high.
to profit from the price difference.
For example, if you believe that housing prices will rise, you buy a house immediately, and when prices rise significantly, you sell it for a profit. The difference is that.
Speculating on coins involves digital currencies, a more free trading mechanism (trading continuously 24 hours a day), and a larger profit potential (without limits on price fluctuations).
It allows digital currencies to become investment targets with returns far exceeding those of traditional stock markets, futures markets, funds, and real estate.
In this article, we will first talk about coin speculation. In fact, coin speculation is similar to stock speculation, real estate speculation, and foreign exchange speculation, which all involve buying low and selling high.
to profit from the price difference.
For example, if you believe that housing prices will rise, you buy a house immediately, and when prices rise significantly, you sell it for a profit. The difference is that.
Speculating on coins involves digital currencies, a more free trading mechanism (trading continuously 24 hours a day), and a larger profit potential (without limits on price fluctuations).
It allows digital currencies to become investment targets with returns far exceeding those of traditional stock markets, futures markets, funds, and real estate.
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The most comprehensive beginner's guide to cryptocurrency
Three essential elements for trading cryptocurrencies
1. An Android phone. (Android is more convenient; Apple is prone to losing certificates) An Android phone is also essential for playing projects.
2. Disposable income. Money that you don't urgently need in the near term will not affect your quality of life.
3. Mindset. Trading cryptocurrencies is risky; those who are overly concerned about gains and losses should not participate.
The cryptocurrency world is not only about trading coins to make money; there are many paths to explore, and returns are always proportional to the investment.
I hope that both you and I can gain something in the cryptocurrency world.
1. An Android phone. (Android is more convenient; Apple is prone to losing certificates) An Android phone is also essential for playing projects.
2. Disposable income. Money that you don't urgently need in the near term will not affect your quality of life.
3. Mindset. Trading cryptocurrencies is risky; those who are overly concerned about gains and losses should not participate.
The cryptocurrency world is not only about trading coins to make money; there are many paths to explore, and returns are always proportional to the investment.
I hope that both you and I can gain something in the cryptocurrency world.
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The Most Comprehensive Basic Introductory Knowledge of Cryptocurrency
1. What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency supported by the Bitcoin blockchain network. It is designed not to rely on any financial institutions.
It has high security and anonymity.
2. What is blockchain?
Blockchain is the underlying technology of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, a decentralized distributed ledger. It records all transaction information.
and ensure the security and accuracy of data through encryption and consensus mechanisms.
3. What is an exchange?
An exchange is a platform for buying and selling digital currencies, allowing users to trade different digital currencies. You can buy or sell Bitcoin through an exchange.
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency supported by the Bitcoin blockchain network. It is designed not to rely on any financial institutions.
It has high security and anonymity.
2. What is blockchain?
Blockchain is the underlying technology of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, a decentralized distributed ledger. It records all transaction information.
and ensure the security and accuracy of data through encryption and consensus mechanisms.
3. What is an exchange?
An exchange is a platform for buying and selling digital currencies, allowing users to trade different digital currencies. You can buy or sell Bitcoin through an exchange.
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Is it still worth entering the crypto world now?
It's never too late, but newcomers are not advised to get involved. If you really want to, just invest in Bitcoin; there shouldn't be any major issues in the next two to three years.
It's never too late, but newcomers are not advised to get involved. If you really want to, just invest in Bitcoin; there shouldn't be any major issues in the next two to three years.
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What are some little secrets only known in certain circles?
1. On Pinduoduo, items priced below 10 yuan can always be returned for a refund without returning the item if you find a reason. No seller will argue with you, but this tactic is only recommended to retaliate against bad merchants.
2. Most people whose phone screens are cracked actually just have a damaged glass cover, which can be replaced for around 100 yuan. However, all phone shops will suggest a full screen replacement costing between 300 to 900 yuan, and the same goes for major brand after-sales services.
3. Although postal services are slow, they can deliver to the ends of the earth; there’s no place they can't reach. Just like Little Durian's blessings!
2. Most people whose phone screens are cracked actually just have a damaged glass cover, which can be replaced for around 100 yuan. However, all phone shops will suggest a full screen replacement costing between 300 to 900 yuan, and the same goes for major brand after-sales services.
3. Although postal services are slow, they can deliver to the ends of the earth; there’s no place they can't reach. Just like Little Durian's blessings!
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What level is a high school student who made 120,000 RMB in the cryptocurrency circle compared to his peers?
This level is just normal. There's a guy in the gaming circle who made 500,000 from skins, then entered the cryptocurrency circle and made it to 1,000,000. Coming back to play CS:GO, he earned 3,000,000. After several rounds of all-in with 3,000,000, he is now at 40,000,000. He made 120,000 when he was 16, and now he’s just turned 20, already financially free in life. As for me, just casually trading some skins for fun, I’ve earned around 1,000,000 after seven or eight years.
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A word of advice: do not play in the crypto space with a domestic identity
Originally, I only saw many people online who raised issues with USDT because their accounts were frozen due to problems, and some even got involved in criminal cases. I thought it was just a minority of people who were unlucky. However, this issue has recently happened to someone close to me.
A friend who raised USDT was just released on bail, and from the analysis, it seems he will at least be charged with aiding and abetting. Whether or not he gets caught in a legal trap is one thing, but the key point is that having a criminal record affects generations.
From his perspective, it’s quite tragic. He had only ever deposited without withdrawing, and he had been liquidated multiple times. This time, he managed to catch the rise in January and thought he had broken even, planning to withdraw most of it and leave a little to play around with. Little did he know that as soon as he withdrew, trouble began. In his words: I don't mind losing money and getting liquidated, but once I make money, they want to go after me.
I truly advise everyone not to have a sense of false security. No matter how you try to avoid it, if you have a domestic identity, you will be 100% targeted if you encounter someone with a dirty account.
I suggest that either you don't play at all, or if you must play, go to a country that doesn't prohibit it and open an account there. Living without freedom is more painful than death, and it feels very unfair to be caught in legal troubles because of such matters.
Originally, I only saw many people online who raised issues with USDT because their accounts were frozen due to problems, and some even got involved in criminal cases. I thought it was just a minority of people who were unlucky. However, this issue has recently happened to someone close to me.
A friend who raised USDT was just released on bail, and from the analysis, it seems he will at least be charged with aiding and abetting. Whether or not he gets caught in a legal trap is one thing, but the key point is that having a criminal record affects generations.
From his perspective, it’s quite tragic. He had only ever deposited without withdrawing, and he had been liquidated multiple times. This time, he managed to catch the rise in January and thought he had broken even, planning to withdraw most of it and leave a little to play around with. Little did he know that as soon as he withdrew, trouble began. In his words: I don't mind losing money and getting liquidated, but once I make money, they want to go after me.
I truly advise everyone not to have a sense of false security. No matter how you try to avoid it, if you have a domestic identity, you will be 100% targeted if you encounter someone with a dirty account.
I suggest that either you don't play at all, or if you must play, go to a country that doesn't prohibit it and open an account there. Living without freedom is more painful than death, and it feels very unfair to be caught in legal troubles because of such matters.
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