一扛一麻袋
合约小白，勇扛牛熊。
分享仅为个人观点，不构成投资交易。
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Key Data and Earnings Schedule for Next Week (Critical Week for May Rate Cut)
Important Data Releases
Tuesday: JOLTS Job Openings (Barometer of Employment Market), Consumer Confidence Index
Wednesday: ADP Employment Change, Q1 GDP Preliminary, Core PCE Price Index (Key Inflation Indicator for the Federal Reserve), Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) Earnings Reports
Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) Earnings Reports
Friday: Non-Farm Payroll Data (New Jobs, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth)
Core Focus
Economic Momentum: Will GDP Growth Slow? Will Core PCE Fall Back to the Federal Reserve's Target Range?
Employment Signals: If Non-Farm Data is Weak, it may Directly Strengthen May Rate Cut Expectations.
Tech Stock Trends: Earnings Reports from the Four Giants Will Validate AI and Cloud Computing Growth Logic, Affecting Market Sentiment.
Strategy Recommendations
Amidst Rate Cut Expectations and Inflation Data Tug-of-War, Market Volatility May Intensify.
During Earnings Season, Be Aware of Severe Stock Volatility, Stay Flexible, and Avoid Overexposure Risk.
#BTC走势分析
Important Data Releases
Tuesday: JOLTS Job Openings (Barometer of Employment Market), Consumer Confidence Index
Wednesday: ADP Employment Change, Q1 GDP Preliminary, Core PCE Price Index (Key Inflation Indicator for the Federal Reserve), Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) Earnings Reports
Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) Earnings Reports
Friday: Non-Farm Payroll Data (New Jobs, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth)
Core Focus
Economic Momentum: Will GDP Growth Slow? Will Core PCE Fall Back to the Federal Reserve's Target Range?
Employment Signals: If Non-Farm Data is Weak, it may Directly Strengthen May Rate Cut Expectations.
Tech Stock Trends: Earnings Reports from the Four Giants Will Validate AI and Cloud Computing Growth Logic, Affecting Market Sentiment.
Strategy Recommendations
Amidst Rate Cut Expectations and Inflation Data Tug-of-War, Market Volatility May Intensify.
During Earnings Season, Be Aware of Severe Stock Volatility, Stay Flexible, and Avoid Overexposure Risk.
#BTC走势分析
See original
In the article on April 18th, I clearly stated that breaking through the resistance level of 86600 is necessary to consider it a valid breakout. I'm not sure if the right-side players have benefited from this wave. The upper resistance level is around 91200.
2025.4.18
The market has been fluctuating these days; be patient and wait for a direction.
In recent days, it has repeatedly reached around 85400, with the upper resistance level first looking at 86000. You can place orders in batches, as a significant correction is expected, likely down to around 80000-79500; only then will there be momentum to break through the previous resistance level.
The upper resistance level around 86600 can be considered an effective rebound; otherwise, it will be regarded as false. We still need to watch the position around 80000.
In the recent days of the market, skilled traders might have had a good time, but unfortunately, we are not, so we can only watch with envy.
Lastly, I want to say a few words to everyone: When you feel very anxious and restless, put down the mouse, go out for a walk, no matter what it is—just get out, adjust your mindset, and then come back in; you might have new insights!
Finally, let’s all survive together.
#BTC走势分析
The market has been fluctuating these days; be patient and wait for a direction.
In recent days, it has repeatedly reached around 85400, with the upper resistance level first looking at 86000. You can place orders in batches, as a significant correction is expected, likely down to around 80000-79500; only then will there be momentum to break through the previous resistance level.
The upper resistance level around 86600 can be considered an effective rebound; otherwise, it will be regarded as false. We still need to watch the position around 80000.
In the recent days of the market, skilled traders might have had a good time, but unfortunately, we are not, so we can only watch with envy.
Lastly, I want to say a few words to everyone: When you feel very anxious and restless, put down the mouse, go out for a walk, no matter what it is—just get out, adjust your mindset, and then come back in; you might have new insights!
Finally, let’s all survive together.
#BTC走势分析
See original
2025.4.18
The market has been fluctuating these days; be patient and wait for a direction.
In recent days, it has repeatedly reached around 85400, with the upper resistance level first looking at 86000. You can place orders in batches, as a significant correction is expected, likely down to around 80000-79500; only then will there be momentum to break through the previous resistance level.
The upper resistance level around 86600 can be considered an effective rebound; otherwise, it will be regarded as false. We still need to watch the position around 80000.
In the recent days of the market, skilled traders might have had a good time, but unfortunately, we are not, so we can only watch with envy.
Lastly, I want to say a few words to everyone: When you feel very anxious and restless, put down the mouse, go out for a walk, no matter what it is—just get out, adjust your mindset, and then come back in; you might have new insights!
Finally, let’s all survive together.
#BTC走势分析
The market has been fluctuating these days; be patient and wait for a direction.
In recent days, it has repeatedly reached around 85400, with the upper resistance level first looking at 86000. You can place orders in batches, as a significant correction is expected, likely down to around 80000-79500; only then will there be momentum to break through the previous resistance level.
The upper resistance level around 86600 can be considered an effective rebound; otherwise, it will be regarded as false. We still need to watch the position around 80000.
In the recent days of the market, skilled traders might have had a good time, but unfortunately, we are not, so we can only watch with envy.
Lastly, I want to say a few words to everyone: When you feel very anxious and restless, put down the mouse, go out for a walk, no matter what it is—just get out, adjust your mindset, and then come back in; you might have new insights!
Finally, let’s all survive together.
#BTC走势分析
See original
#比特币与美国关税政策
Let’s revisit the progress over this period
📈 Deep analysis of Trump's new tariff policy and Bitcoin market dynamics
Policy Background
On April 10, local time, former U.S. President Trump proposed a "differentiated tariff policy": imposing a 125% punitive tariff on certain countries, while suspending high tariffs for eligible countries for 90 days (only retaining a 10% basic tariff). This proposal has been interpreted by the market as a political strategy to "reshape the global trade landscape."
Market Logic Breakdown
1️⃣ The value of safe-haven assets is highlighted
• The escalation of tariff disputes exacerbates the credit risk of the U.S. dollar, with Bitcoin being accumulated by institutions as a non-sovereign asset for hedging
• Gold and Bitcoin rose simultaneously, but the latter's 8% daily increase significantly outperformed traditional safe-haven assets
2️⃣ Monetary policy expectation game
• High tariffs may increase inflationary pressure in the U.S., forcing the Federal Reserve to delay the tapering process
• Crypto analyst Arthur Hayes predicts: global central banks may be forced to restart QE in 2024, with Bitcoin becoming the main recipient of liquidity overflow
3️⃣ Acceleration of compliance process
• Policy uncertainty drives cross-border capital to allocate assets through compliant crypto channels (such as BiyaPay)
• The direct trading model of USDT with U.S. stocks/Hong Kong stocks saw a 37% increase in weekly trading volume, reflecting market demand for hedging
Data Observation and Strategy Recommendations
• On-chain data: In the past 7 days, the net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges reached 210,000 coins, with whale addresses holding the highest amount year-to-date
• Technical aspect: $83,000 is a key psychological level; if the weekly closes above, it may open up upward space
• Risk warning: There are still uncertainties regarding the implementation of the tariff policy, and caution is needed for the risk of sudden increases in short-term volatility
Let’s revisit the progress over this period
📈 Deep analysis of Trump's new tariff policy and Bitcoin market dynamics
Policy Background
On April 10, local time, former U.S. President Trump proposed a "differentiated tariff policy": imposing a 125% punitive tariff on certain countries, while suspending high tariffs for eligible countries for 90 days (only retaining a 10% basic tariff). This proposal has been interpreted by the market as a political strategy to "reshape the global trade landscape."
Market Logic Breakdown
1️⃣ The value of safe-haven assets is highlighted
• The escalation of tariff disputes exacerbates the credit risk of the U.S. dollar, with Bitcoin being accumulated by institutions as a non-sovereign asset for hedging
• Gold and Bitcoin rose simultaneously, but the latter's 8% daily increase significantly outperformed traditional safe-haven assets
2️⃣ Monetary policy expectation game
• High tariffs may increase inflationary pressure in the U.S., forcing the Federal Reserve to delay the tapering process
• Crypto analyst Arthur Hayes predicts: global central banks may be forced to restart QE in 2024, with Bitcoin becoming the main recipient of liquidity overflow
3️⃣ Acceleration of compliance process
• Policy uncertainty drives cross-border capital to allocate assets through compliant crypto channels (such as BiyaPay)
• The direct trading model of USDT with U.S. stocks/Hong Kong stocks saw a 37% increase in weekly trading volume, reflecting market demand for hedging
Data Observation and Strategy Recommendations
• On-chain data: In the past 7 days, the net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges reached 210,000 coins, with whale addresses holding the highest amount year-to-date
• Technical aspect: $83,000 is a key psychological level; if the weekly closes above, it may open up upward space
• Risk warning: There are still uncertainties regarding the implementation of the tariff policy, and caution is needed for the risk of sudden increases in short-term volatility
See original
ListaDAO: Innovative Practices Reshaping the BNB Chain Lending Ecosystem
1. Current Status and Challenges of the BNB Chain Lending Market
As of March 2025, the total locked value (TVL) of DeFi on the BNB Chain reached $5.32 billion, but the lending sector only accounted for $1.855 billion, far below the levels of Ethereum and Base chains. This gap reflects two core issues:
Inefficient Capital: Traditional liquidity pool models result in a large amount of idle assets, diluting user returns;
Lagging Innovation: New asset listings rely on lengthy governance processes, making it difficult to meet diverse demands.
2. ListaDAO's Solutions: Modular Lending Protocol
ListaDAO reconstructs lending logic through three core components:
As of March 2025, the total locked value (TVL) of DeFi on the BNB Chain reached $5.32 billion, but the lending sector only accounted for $1.855 billion, far below the levels of Ethereum and Base chains. This gap reflects two core issues:
Inefficient Capital: Traditional liquidity pool models result in a large amount of idle assets, diluting user returns;
Lagging Innovation: New asset listings rely on lengthy governance processes, making it difficult to meet diverse demands.
2. ListaDAO's Solutions: Modular Lending Protocol
ListaDAO reconstructs lending logic through three core components:
See original
#BTC
BlackRock CEO's latest statement: These three signals are worth all investors' caution
This morning, the CEO of global asset management giant BlackRock made three statements in public that shook the market:
"The U.S. economy is already in recession"
"The stock market may have another 20% downside potential"
"The interest rate hike cycle may not be truly over"
As the head of an investment institution managing $10 trillion in assets, his judgment is far from casual:
Two weeks before the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008, BlackRock's model had already issued a liquidity warning
Currently, its risk monitoring system shows that five indicators, including corporate debt default rates and household savings consumption speed, have already triggered red alerts
In the latest institutional survey, 76% of pension funds and sovereign wealth funds are increasing their holdings in cash-like assets
What should ordinary investors pay attention to?
Beware of "false rebounds": Any recent rise may be a cover for institutions to reduce their positions
Control position rhythm: Even when bottom-fishing, one should enter the market in batches like "squeezing toothpaste" (he revealed that BlackRock's own accumulation period has been extended to 6-8 months)
Pay attention to interest rate inversion: The difference in yields between 3-month and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has approached levels seen before the stock market crash of 1987
BlackRock CEO's latest statement: These three signals are worth all investors' caution
This morning, the CEO of global asset management giant BlackRock made three statements in public that shook the market:
"The U.S. economy is already in recession"
"The stock market may have another 20% downside potential"
"The interest rate hike cycle may not be truly over"
As the head of an investment institution managing $10 trillion in assets, his judgment is far from casual:
Two weeks before the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008, BlackRock's model had already issued a liquidity warning
Currently, its risk monitoring system shows that five indicators, including corporate debt default rates and household savings consumption speed, have already triggered red alerts
In the latest institutional survey, 76% of pension funds and sovereign wealth funds are increasing their holdings in cash-like assets
What should ordinary investors pay attention to?
Beware of "false rebounds": Any recent rise may be a cover for institutions to reduce their positions
Control position rhythm: Even when bottom-fishing, one should enter the market in batches like "squeezing toothpaste" (he revealed that BlackRock's own accumulation period has been extended to 6-8 months)
Pay attention to interest rate inversion: The difference in yields between 3-month and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has approached levels seen before the stock market crash of 1987
See original
#加密市场回调
Today, I chatted with several friends in the industry about the recent market trends, and they all mentioned that the Bitcoin has been surprisingly strong these past few days, not following the U.S. stock market, breaking away from its pace, and performing well. However, we should remain vigilant.
If we compare it with the period before the 312 event, we can find many similarities in the development of the situation. Friends who are interested can take a look at the performance of the S&P and Bitcoin during the 312 event period.
If the U.S. stock market continues to decline, it is very likely that funds will be withdrawn from Bitcoin, so keep an eye on the recent outflow data for Bitcoin. If the data shows a significant increase, it indicates that big changes are coming.
Personal opinion: DYOR
Today, I chatted with several friends in the industry about the recent market trends, and they all mentioned that the Bitcoin has been surprisingly strong these past few days, not following the U.S. stock market, breaking away from its pace, and performing well. However, we should remain vigilant.
If we compare it with the period before the 312 event, we can find many similarities in the development of the situation. Friends who are interested can take a look at the performance of the S&P and Bitcoin during the 312 event period.
If the U.S. stock market continues to decline, it is very likely that funds will be withdrawn from Bitcoin, so keep an eye on the recent outflow data for Bitcoin. If the data shows a significant increase, it indicates that big changes are coming.
Personal opinion: DYOR
See original
Though late, it has arrived. Currently, positions can be built in batches, and strict position management should be done. There are still no particularly obvious signs of a rebound, and precautions should be taken against a second dip. #加密市场回调
#美国加征关税
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
See original
#加密市场回调
Today, I chatted with several friends in the industry about the recent market trends, and they all mentioned that the Bitcoin has been surprisingly strong these past few days, not following the U.S. stock market, breaking away from its pace, and performing well. However, we should remain vigilant.
If we compare it with the period before the 312 event, we can find many similarities in the development of the situation. Friends who are interested can take a look at the performance of the S&P and Bitcoin during the 312 event period.
If the U.S. stock market continues to decline, it is very likely that funds will be withdrawn from Bitcoin, so keep an eye on the recent outflow data for Bitcoin. If the data shows a significant increase, it indicates that big changes are coming.
Personal opinion: DYOR
Today, I chatted with several friends in the industry about the recent market trends, and they all mentioned that the Bitcoin has been surprisingly strong these past few days, not following the U.S. stock market, breaking away from its pace, and performing well. However, we should remain vigilant.
If we compare it with the period before the 312 event, we can find many similarities in the development of the situation. Friends who are interested can take a look at the performance of the S&P and Bitcoin during the 312 event period.
If the U.S. stock market continues to decline, it is very likely that funds will be withdrawn from Bitcoin, so keep an eye on the recent outflow data for Bitcoin. If the data shows a significant increase, it indicates that big changes are coming.
Personal opinion: DYOR
See original
#加密市场回调
Tonight, the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released (expected increase of 135,000, unemployment rate remains at 4.1%), triggering a market tug-of-war, with the key logic as follows:
Data Discrepancy: There are significant differences in predictions; Citigroup believes the job increase could be as low as 95,000, while Nomura expects the unemployment rate could rise to 4.2%. However, high-frequency data suggests that the figure may exceed expectations, reaching 200,000.
Bullish and Bearish Logic:
Bears: If the data is weak (e.g., job increase < 100,000), it would strengthen recession expectations, increase the probability of interest rate cuts, benefiting gold. If the data is decent (around 140,000), it would be interpreted as a short-term rebound, cautioning against sticky wage inflation suppressing rate cuts.
Bulls: If the data is strong (e.g., > 200,000), it would temporarily boost risk assets, but tariff policies and economic concerns will still limit the dollar's gains. If the unemployment rate unexpectedly declines, the market may focus on economic resilience.
Gold Trend: Technical support level is $3,050; if the data falls short of expectations, it may impact the historical high of $3,167; if it exceeds expectations, there may be a short-term pullback, but the fundamentals (geopolitical risks + expectations of rate cuts) will still support the medium-term trend.
External Variables: Trump's tariff policy and the political turmoil in South Korea are intensifying safe-haven demand, and the details of the non-farm data (wage growth, data revisions) may amplify volatility.
In short, the data can be utilized by different narratives regardless of good or bad outcomes, but the core of the volatility lies in the 'expectation gap'—deviation from consensus (140,000) ± 50,000 could trigger sharp fluctuations, with gold remaining the focal point of the bull-bear contest.
Tonight, the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released (expected increase of 135,000, unemployment rate remains at 4.1%), triggering a market tug-of-war, with the key logic as follows:
Data Discrepancy: There are significant differences in predictions; Citigroup believes the job increase could be as low as 95,000, while Nomura expects the unemployment rate could rise to 4.2%. However, high-frequency data suggests that the figure may exceed expectations, reaching 200,000.
Bullish and Bearish Logic:
Bears: If the data is weak (e.g., job increase < 100,000), it would strengthen recession expectations, increase the probability of interest rate cuts, benefiting gold. If the data is decent (around 140,000), it would be interpreted as a short-term rebound, cautioning against sticky wage inflation suppressing rate cuts.
Bulls: If the data is strong (e.g., > 200,000), it would temporarily boost risk assets, but tariff policies and economic concerns will still limit the dollar's gains. If the unemployment rate unexpectedly declines, the market may focus on economic resilience.
Gold Trend: Technical support level is $3,050; if the data falls short of expectations, it may impact the historical high of $3,167; if it exceeds expectations, there may be a short-term pullback, but the fundamentals (geopolitical risks + expectations of rate cuts) will still support the medium-term trend.
External Variables: Trump's tariff policy and the political turmoil in South Korea are intensifying safe-haven demand, and the details of the non-farm data (wage growth, data revisions) may amplify volatility.
In short, the data can be utilized by different narratives regardless of good or bad outcomes, but the core of the volatility lies in the 'expectation gap'—deviation from consensus (140,000) ± 50,000 could trigger sharp fluctuations, with gold remaining the focal point of the bull-bear contest.
See original
#美国加征关税 Late decline, this is very disgusting
#美国加征关税
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
See original
#美国加征关税
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
Market Status
Current Bitcoin Price: $82,000
Asian Stock Markets Plummet (Japan -4%, South Korea -3%)
Everyone is waiting for the U.S. tariff policy on April 2nd, this is 10 times more important than Trump's campaign
Operational Strategy
The current price has broken the first support level ($89,000)
The second support looks at $80,000; if it dares to drop to $75,000, buy with closed eyes
Buy in batches for the dip, don't go all in at once
At least keep 30% cash for extreme situations
Key Purchases
Public Chains: SOL, SUI (prioritize buying if they drop significantly)
Oracles: LINK (essential infrastructure)
RWA: ONDO (concept of traditional assets on the blockchain)
MEME: DOGE (retail sentiment barometer)
Caution
Don't touch small coins! Only buy high-volume coins (over $500 million daily)
Buy less before 2025, just add positions without swapping
During a plunge, watch three indicators: Gold price, RMB exchange rate, U.S. Treasury yield
Now is the time to wait for the signal to catch the falling knife, be well-prepared, start slowly buying below $80,000, and sell everything to buy at $75,000. Remember: when others cut losses, you pick up money, but don't be greedy and overextend yourself.
See original
#BTC
2025.3.30
The article published on the 28th has just been verified today. BTC has dropped to around 81600, which is just within the green box below. It has currently rebounded to around 83000. I wonder if any old brothers managed to get on board.
2025.3.30
The article published on the 28th has just been verified today. BTC has dropped to around 81600, which is just within the green box below. It has currently rebounded to around 83000. I wonder if any old brothers managed to get on board.
#BTC
2025.3.28 Real-time Screenshot
Currently, the one-hour line has fallen below the EMA moving average. The trend has not stabilized yet, and there is a high probability of further downside risk. If there is market fluctuation around 10:30 tonight, you can build a small position near 83000 below. If there is a spike, directly add to the position. It is expected to be in the lower green box area, which is a densely active area for bulls.
2025.3.28 Real-time Screenshot
Currently, the one-hour line has fallen below the EMA moving average. The trend has not stabilized yet, and there is a high probability of further downside risk. If there is market fluctuation around 10:30 tonight, you can build a small position near 83000 below. If there is a spike, directly add to the position. It is expected to be in the lower green box area, which is a densely active area for bulls.
See original
#BTC
2025.3.28 Real-time Screenshot
Currently, the one-hour line has fallen below the EMA moving average. The trend has not stabilized yet, and there is a high probability of further downside risk. If there is market fluctuation around 10:30 tonight, you can build a small position near 83000 below. If there is a spike, directly add to the position. It is expected to be in the lower green box area, which is a densely active area for bulls.
2025.3.28 Real-time Screenshot
Currently, the one-hour line has fallen below the EMA moving average. The trend has not stabilized yet, and there is a high probability of further downside risk. If there is market fluctuation around 10:30 tonight, you can build a small position near 83000 below. If there is a spike, directly add to the position. It is expected to be in the lower green box area, which is a densely active area for bulls.
See original
Last night, BTC reached around 88700 as expected on the 20th, and is now pulling back to around 86400. The main support levels below are around 85500-84700. #BTC
2025.3.20 Real-time screenshot
The BTC trend has strongly broken through the vicinity of 85,000 with the news from early this morning, reaching a maximum of around 87,000 before adjusting.
Currently focusing on the support level around 84,400 (white line), the next key level is around 82,800 (yellow line).
On the upside, pay attention to the previous high—88,000 range (red range). If it breaks through and stabilizes, we will see a wave of increase; if it cannot break through, it is expected to usher in another period of fluctuating market conditions.
P: Which option did everyone lean towards in last night's vote? Feel free to comment.
#币安投票上币 #BTC走势分析
The BTC trend has strongly broken through the vicinity of 85,000 with the news from early this morning, reaching a maximum of around 87,000 before adjusting.
Currently focusing on the support level around 84,400 (white line), the next key level is around 82,800 (yellow line).
On the upside, pay attention to the previous high—88,000 range (red range). If it breaks through and stabilizes, we will see a wave of increase; if it cannot break through, it is expected to usher in another period of fluctuating market conditions.
P: Which option did everyone lean towards in last night's vote? Feel free to comment.
#币安投票上币 #BTC走势分析
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#美SEC加密圆桌会议
Next week’s macroeconomic focus and outlook for the '4.2 Tariff Storm' (March 24-28, 2025)
⚠️Core Logic: On April 2, Trump's 'reciprocal tariff' policy will become the biggest market risk event of the year, with impacts potentially far exceeding those of the Federal Reserve's decisions. The market is currently at the 'eve of dramatic change,' necessitating an assessment of capital trends in conjunction with key data and policy signals next week.
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Data: How do the three major indicators relate to tariff expectations?
1. Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast (Wednesday)
Function: Real-time tracking of U.S. economic growth momentum; if the forecast is below expectations (current market consensus is a final GDP value of 3.2% for Q4 2024), it could exacerbate market concerns over the impact of tariffs on economic outlook.
Relation to Tariffs: If GDPNow indicates an economic slowdown, it may force Trump to adjust the intensity of the tariff policy or strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut (current Fitch forecast is only one rate cut by the Fed this year).
2. U.S. Final GDP for Q4 2024 (Thursday)
Focus: Whether the final value revises down from the previous growth rate of 3.3%. If it is lowered, combined with tariff uncertainties, it could trigger extreme divergence between safe-haven assets (USD, gold) and risk assets (U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies).
Market Reaction: If the data is strong, it may temporarily alleviate recession anxiety, but caution is needed for the 'good news is bad news' scenario—reinforcing the Fed's wait-and-see stance and limiting the rebound space for risk assets.
3. February PCE Inflation Data (Friday)
Core Contradiction: Powell previously stated that tariffs have a 'significant impact' on inflation expectations; if PCE exceeds expectations (previous core PCE at 2.8%), it will strengthen the Fed's stance of 'higher rates for longer' and intensify market panic over stagflation.
Policy Linkage: High inflation data may be used by the Trump administration as an excuse to advance tariffs (claiming 'tariffs suppress import competition, protecting domestic prices').
Next week’s macroeconomic focus and outlook for the '4.2 Tariff Storm' (March 24-28, 2025)
⚠️Core Logic: On April 2, Trump's 'reciprocal tariff' policy will become the biggest market risk event of the year, with impacts potentially far exceeding those of the Federal Reserve's decisions. The market is currently at the 'eve of dramatic change,' necessitating an assessment of capital trends in conjunction with key data and policy signals next week.
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Data: How do the three major indicators relate to tariff expectations?
1. Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast (Wednesday)
Function: Real-time tracking of U.S. economic growth momentum; if the forecast is below expectations (current market consensus is a final GDP value of 3.2% for Q4 2024), it could exacerbate market concerns over the impact of tariffs on economic outlook.
Relation to Tariffs: If GDPNow indicates an economic slowdown, it may force Trump to adjust the intensity of the tariff policy or strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut (current Fitch forecast is only one rate cut by the Fed this year).
2. U.S. Final GDP for Q4 2024 (Thursday)
Focus: Whether the final value revises down from the previous growth rate of 3.3%. If it is lowered, combined with tariff uncertainties, it could trigger extreme divergence between safe-haven assets (USD, gold) and risk assets (U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies).
Market Reaction: If the data is strong, it may temporarily alleviate recession anxiety, but caution is needed for the 'good news is bad news' scenario—reinforcing the Fed's wait-and-see stance and limiting the rebound space for risk assets.
3. February PCE Inflation Data (Friday)
Core Contradiction: Powell previously stated that tariffs have a 'significant impact' on inflation expectations; if PCE exceeds expectations (previous core PCE at 2.8%), it will strengthen the Fed's stance of 'higher rates for longer' and intensify market panic over stagflation.
Policy Linkage: High inflation data may be used by the Trump administration as an excuse to advance tariffs (claiming 'tariffs suppress import competition, protecting domestic prices').
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Market is sluggish, sharing a project for grabbing airdrops
🔥 $MIRA Airdrop Ambush Guide | New Dark Horse in the AI Track
【5-Second Overview】
✅ Top institutions invested 9 million dollars | Daily processing of 2 billion Tokens
✅ Testnet has been launched | 2.5 million user ecosystem
✅ Chat to mine | Earn 100 points daily for free
🛠️ Reasons to grab
• AI computing layer led by Framework/Accel
• Global Top 3 computing power platform (OpenRouter data)
• Integrated with mainstream models like ChatGPT/Llama
• On-chain verification protocol to solve AI hallucinations
⚡ Airdrop Tutorial (3 Steps to Start)
1️⃣ Log in to https://klokapp.ai/?referral_code=NZMXQGTL and bind your wallet
2️⃣ Complete basic tasks like following on Twitter/adding Discord
3️⃣ Chat with AI 10 times daily (earn 10 points each time)
🚨 Ambush Strategy
• Overseas communities have gained traction, clear first-mover advantage
• Interaction data on-chain, testnet behavior counts towards airdrop
• Persistently earn full points daily and wait for mainnet launch
🔥 $MIRA Airdrop Ambush Guide | New Dark Horse in the AI Track
【5-Second Overview】
✅ Top institutions invested 9 million dollars | Daily processing of 2 billion Tokens
✅ Testnet has been launched | 2.5 million user ecosystem
✅ Chat to mine | Earn 100 points daily for free
🛠️ Reasons to grab
• AI computing layer led by Framework/Accel
• Global Top 3 computing power platform (OpenRouter data)
• Integrated with mainstream models like ChatGPT/Llama
• On-chain verification protocol to solve AI hallucinations
⚡ Airdrop Tutorial (3 Steps to Start)
1️⃣ Log in to https://klokapp.ai/?referral_code=NZMXQGTL and bind your wallet
2️⃣ Complete basic tasks like following on Twitter/adding Discord
3️⃣ Chat with AI 10 times daily (earn 10 points each time)
🚨 Ambush Strategy
• Overseas communities have gained traction, clear first-mover advantage
• Interaction data on-chain, testnet behavior counts towards airdrop
• Persistently earn full points daily and wait for mainnet launch
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