#BNBChainMeme热潮
You are all making money on BSC, while I am organizing the distribution of some macro data for next week. Insider's short position is still open, and has also placed some orders above 84000. Boldly guessing, it might be a pessimistic attitude towards the data release next week. Here’s a summary of the major events for next week for your reference:
1. U.S. February Retail Sales Month-on-Month (Monday 20:30)
Logical Impact:
Retail sales are a core indicator of U.S. economic consumption momentum, accounting for about 70% of GDP. If data shows unexpected growth, it may reinforce market expectations of economic resilience and weaken the Fed's rate cut bets; if the data is weak, it will heighten concerns about economic slowdown and increase expectations for easing policies.
Recent Related Signals:
The previous value performed poorly due to weather factors, but housing sales expectations remain high. Attention should be paid to whether this data reflects real recovery on the consumption side.
2. Nvidia GTC 2025 Conference (Tuesday)
Market Focus:
As a barometer in the global AI field, Nvidia's technology release (such as new generation chips, AI computing power solutions) may boost technology stock sentiment, affecting the Nasdaq and semiconductor sector trends. Investors need to be cautious about whether technological breakthroughs match the market's high valuations.
3. Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday)
Expectations and Background:
Previous and forecast values remain at 0.5%. Pay attention to Ueda's press conference statements. If signals are released for ending negative interest rates or adjusting YCC policy, it may trigger sharp fluctuations in the yen exchange rate and affect global arbitrage fund flows.
Potential Risks:
Japanese inflation continues to approach policy targets (Core CPI previous value 2.8%), increasing pressure on the central bank to change policy.
4. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision + Dot Plot + Powell's Press Conference (Thursday 02:00)
Policy Tone Forecast:
Interest rates are expected to remain unchanged at 4.5%, with the focus on the dot plot's guidance for the interest rate cut path in 2025. If the dot plot suggests fewer than 3 rate cuts this year, or if Powell emphasizes persistent inflation, it may push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress risk assets.
Data Support:
Recent strong non-farm employment (February unemployment rate 4.4%) and stabilized CPI data may strengthen the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see stance.
5. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the Week (Thursday 20:30)
Sensitive Timing:
The data immediately follows the release of the Federal Reserve's decision. If initial jobless claims unexpectedly rise, it may amplify market concerns about economic slowdown; conversely, it would reinforce the 'soft landing' narrative.
Historical Reference:
The previous value was 238,000, remaining below the 300,000 mark for 113 consecutive weeks, indicating that the labor market remains resilient.

