Flaneur
Occasional Trader
4.5 Years
Take a photo, take a trade and take a ride. This my dream.
Chart and Art
2 Following
51 Followers
58 Liked
31 Shared
Spring Thaw or Winter's Grip? Crypto's Decisive Month
February closed in red for the third time in BTC's history and the second time in ETH's history. We've left behind a February that ended with sharp declines, making many investors uneasy with its movements at the top. As we enter March, when quarters will close, important news and data await us. During these days of high-impact data on prices, numerous factors are at play, including war, tariffs, economic conditions, and inflation. Expectations have increased with Trump's announcement of importa
Crypto Rollercoaster: ETH Struggles, BTC Holds Steady, and What’s Next?
Last week, the market saw Ethereum attempting to break the 2850 mark while Bitcoin moved like a stable coin. The market faced two sell-offs due to stagflation and ETH hack news. Despite this week being relatively quiet in terms of news, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data on Friday will be significant. Additionally, Trump will be speaking today at 10 PM.
Bitcoin
After its weekly opening, Bitcoin closed slightly above its weekly opening with minor movements. Although it at
Bitcoin
After its weekly opening, Bitcoin closed slightly above its weekly opening with minor movements. Although it at
Crypto’s Calm Before the Storm: ETH’s Open Interest Shock
In BTC, we’ve seen about a 5% movement, while ETH showed around 10% movement, with the price making limited upward and downward movements before heading back towards its opening. I don’t think it makes much sense to establish heavy positions without breaking through the identified support and resistance levels.
Bitcoin
After making its weekly opening, BTC closed slightly below that opening with small movements. The price is still trading below the monthly opening. So far, it appears much weaker
Bitcoin
After making its weekly opening, BTC closed slightly below that opening with small movements. The price is still trading below the monthly opening. So far, it appears much weaker
Take The All Lows Now Go Up
I think it will make many moves to compete with SOL in the new period. The time is ready for BNB, which is slightly below ATH.
Soon $BNB is 1000$
#Binance #BNBMoon #BNB_Market_Update
I think it will make many moves to compete with SOL in the new period. The time is ready for BNB, which is slightly below ATH.
Soon $BNB is 1000$
#Binance #BNBMoon #BNB_Market_Update
Minimizing Risk, Maximizing Gain: Pre-CPI 29$ Trading Plan
🔥 My Volatility Trade Setup Before CPI Data! 🔥
Hey traders! With CPI data around the corner, I’m setting up a volatility trade. Here’s my plan:
💰 Feb 15: 2450 Call (14.5$) + 2800 Put (14.5$)
Total cost: 29$.
📅 Why February 15?
This week, including Friday, is packed with major news. CPI might spark volatility, but if the expected move doesn’t hit, other news or delayed market reactions could still bring action later.
💡 Why these contracts?
My goal is to profit from contract value. Sin
Hey traders! With CPI data around the corner, I’m setting up a volatility trade. Here’s my plan:
💰 Feb 15: 2450 Call (14.5$) + 2800 Put (14.5$)
Total cost: 29$.
📅 Why February 15?
This week, including Friday, is packed with major news. CPI might spark volatility, but if the expected move doesn’t hit, other news or delayed market reactions could still bring action later.
💡 Why these contracts?
My goal is to profit from contract value. Sin
Inflation Week Special: Crypto Market's Critical Crossroads
Greetings from Inflation Week
We've entered a week where additional volatility is expected. A busy week awaits us. We can say this inflation data will influence upcoming interest rate decisions. Throughout the week, there will be important news and data. You can see the details below. FTX announced that repayments will begin on February 18th with a 20.5% interest rate. Additionally, Trump announced he will sign Executive Orders at 1 PM ET.
Weekly Important Events and News (GMT +3):
Monday 19:15
We've entered a week where additional volatility is expected. A busy week awaits us. We can say this inflation data will influence upcoming interest rate decisions. Throughout the week, there will be important news and data. You can see the details below. FTX announced that repayments will begin on February 18th with a 20.5% interest rate. Additionally, Trump announced he will sign Executive Orders at 1 PM ET.
Weekly Important Events and News (GMT +3):
Monday 19:15
Crypto Market Deep Dive: What to Expect After Recent Selloff
Greetings after a long break. We've entered a week of sharp sells following the month's close. While BTC didn't pull back significantly, we witnessed drops of up to 30% in ETH and altcoins. I had previously shared charts on Twitter indicating these potential sells. February holds significant developments and events that will shape crypto's future. Let's examine what lies ahead. The inflation data coming on February 12th is crucial as it will determine future interest rate cuts and monetary polic
🚀 FED RATE DECISION + POWELL SPEECH = VOLATILITY OPPORTUNITY!
🔥 Feb 2nd ETH Straddle Play: Profit in Either Direction!
Why?
Expect wild swings post-FED rate decision & Powell’s remarks.
No stop-loss traps → Profit whether ETH pumps OR dumps!
Position:
✅ 3500 Call (6.5)∗∗→Target:ExplosiveUpside✅
∗∗2800Put(9) → Target: Crashing Downside
Total Cost: $15.5
Edge:
Unlike leveraged trades, no liquidation or stop loss risk!
ETH either breaks 3500+ or crashes below 2800 → Profit either way!
Risk/Mitigation:
Risk? Time decay & IV crush post-event.
But today’s uncertainty + FED chaos could send IV soaring!
📉 If it drops → 2800 PUT wins. 📈 If it rips → 3500 CALL wins!
Which way will ETH swing? 💬👇
Note: Not financial advice. High risk – trade responsibly! #fomc #volatility
🔥 Feb 2nd ETH Straddle Play: Profit in Either Direction!
Why?
Expect wild swings post-FED rate decision & Powell’s remarks.
No stop-loss traps → Profit whether ETH pumps OR dumps!
Position:
✅ 3500 Call (6.5)∗∗→Target:ExplosiveUpside✅
∗∗2800Put(9) → Target: Crashing Downside
Total Cost: $15.5
Edge:
Unlike leveraged trades, no liquidation or stop loss risk!
ETH either breaks 3500+ or crashes below 2800 → Profit either way!
Risk/Mitigation:
Risk? Time decay & IV crush post-event.
But today’s uncertainty + FED chaos could send IV soaring!
📉 If it drops → 2800 PUT wins. 📈 If it rips → 3500 CALL wins!
Which way will ETH swing? 💬👇
Note: Not financial advice. High risk – trade responsibly! #fomc #volatility
One to Go: The Last Trading Week Before 2025
Yes, we've finally reached the last moments of the countdown, seeing the last digit '1'. The last week of the last month. As I expected last week, we witnessed a market-shaking decline. I've been writing for the last 3 weeks trying to warn you. Year-end and quarterly closings don't happen extremely high or low. If there were sharp rises or falls before, it will make its correction before closing. This week, similarly, I don't expect very high volume. With holidays in many places, I don't think w
The Final Countdown: December's Last Stand in Crypto
The Last Month of the Year, Last Half of the Last Month
This week has been relatively stagnant with the price generally moving up and down. We've entered the most critical week of the month for the market. With the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank interest rate decisions, this week is particularly crucial. While a 25 basis point reduction is expected with 99% probability, inflationary statements might cause market pullbacks.
Bitcoin
Crypto and BTC started the week with a decline, then
This week has been relatively stagnant with the price generally moving up and down. We've entered the most critical week of the month for the market. With the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank interest rate decisions, this week is particularly crucial. While a 25 basis point reduction is expected with 99% probability, inflationary statements might cause market pullbacks.
Bitcoin
Crypto and BTC started the week with a decline, then
As We Approach the End of the Year
As we enter the 2nd week of December, we have left behind a week where the price was less volatile than the previous active month and the candles got smaller. I think the price will not make very sharp movements due to the end of the year and the end of the 4th quarter. I think the price will look for a place for itself a little more due to the possibility that the price will close very high and the sellers will load in the new year and month and the buyers will press very hard. It is likely to
The Final Chapter of 2024: The Road to Six Figures
Greetings from the first week of the year's final month.
As I mentioned in my November analysis, 70k was just the beginning, and the upward movements created an excellent atmosphere for everyone. We've left behind a month where BTC couldn't quite touch 100k, ETH continued to show weakness, and XRP displayed its classic relentless rises. Now, we have a calendar filled with interest rate decisions, conferences, and Bitcoin discussions ahead.
As I mentioned in my November analysis, 70k was just the beginning, and the upward movements created an excellent atmosphere for everyone. We've left behind a month where BTC couldn't quite touch 100k, ETH continued to show weakness, and XRP displayed its classic relentless rises. Now, we have a calendar filled with interest rate decisions, conferences, and Bitcoin discussions ahead.
8X Return on ETH Position: Market Analysis and Next Moves 🚀
November's ETH position just closed with spectacular returns - 6x in ETH terms, 8x in USD! But the charts are telling me it's time to be cautious. Here's my detailed analysis and next strategic moves.
Position Exit Analysis
Recent market movements have been extremely favorable, allowing me to secure significant profits. However, both Bitcoin and Ethereum's technical indicators are now showing concerning patterns that suggest a potential correction ahead.
Strategic Positioning
Given the current technical setup, I've initiated a hedging strategy with put contracts for early December. This defensive position allows me to protect gains while remaining ready for new opportunities. If ETH shows strength above $3500, I plan to selectively add call positions.
Market Outlook
The current technical formations require careful attention. My strategy focuses on protection while maintaining flexibility for potential upside movements. This balanced approach helps navigate the current market uncertainty.
Conclusion
Market timing and risk management have been crucial for these returns. I'll continue monitoring the situation and adjust positions accordingly.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment.
#BTCBreaks100K? #EyesOnBTC #ETHPriceSurge #COSSocialFiRevolution #OptionsTrading
November's ETH position just closed with spectacular returns - 6x in ETH terms, 8x in USD! But the charts are telling me it's time to be cautious. Here's my detailed analysis and next strategic moves.
Position Exit Analysis
Recent market movements have been extremely favorable, allowing me to secure significant profits. However, both Bitcoin and Ethereum's technical indicators are now showing concerning patterns that suggest a potential correction ahead.
Strategic Positioning
Given the current technical setup, I've initiated a hedging strategy with put contracts for early December. This defensive position allows me to protect gains while remaining ready for new opportunities. If ETH shows strength above $3500, I plan to selectively add call positions.
Market Outlook
The current technical formations require careful attention. My strategy focuses on protection while maintaining flexibility for potential upside movements. This balanced approach helps navigate the current market uncertainty.
Conclusion
Market timing and risk management have been crucial for these returns. I'll continue monitoring the situation and adjust positions accordingly.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment.
#BTCBreaks100K? #EyesOnBTC #ETHPriceSurge #COSSocialFiRevolution #OptionsTrading
WE BOUGHT THIS 71.5K CONTRACT $1000.
Its now $4200 crazy man
Its now $4200 crazy man
🎯 Our Election Volatility Trade is Hit +100% in PROFIT!
Yesterday's $130 cost BTC Call + ETH Put strategy hit the mark perfectly. Right Now +50% Profit.
💡 Winning Strategy:
BTC 71.5K Call ✅
ETH Put ✅
Keep following for strategies that profit in any market direction!
#TrumpWon As Expected, We earn %50 profit
It's up to you to close or keep the trade. I always take profit for safety. Have a good day all.
#USAElection2024
Yesterday's $130 cost BTC Call + ETH Put strategy hit the mark perfectly. Right Now +50% Profit.
💡 Winning Strategy:
BTC 71.5K Call ✅
ETH Put ✅
Keep following for strategies that profit in any market direction!
#TrumpWon As Expected, We earn %50 profit
It's up to you to close or keep the trade. I always take profit for safety. Have a good day all.
#USAElection2024
🎯 Our Election Volatility Trade is Hit +100% in PROFIT!
Yesterday's $130 cost BTC Call + ETH Put strategy hit the mark perfectly. Right Now +50% Profit.
💡 Winning Strategy:
BTC 71.5K Call ✅
ETH Put ✅
Keep following for strategies that profit in any market direction!
#TrumpWon As Expected, We earn %50 profit
It's up to you to close or keep the trade. I always take profit for safety. Have a good day all.
#USAElection2024
Yesterday's $130 cost BTC Call + ETH Put strategy hit the mark perfectly. Right Now +50% Profit.
💡 Winning Strategy:
BTC 71.5K Call ✅
ETH Put ✅
Keep following for strategies that profit in any market direction!
#TrumpWon As Expected, We earn %50 profit
It's up to you to close or keep the trade. I always take profit for safety. Have a good day all.
#USAElection2024
The Perfect Storm: Elections, Fed, and Crypto's Next Move
Navigate through crypto's most critical week as markets face US elections and Fed decisions. Analysis of BTC's $70K battle and ETH's crucial support levels, with actionable volatility trading strategies.
Greetings from an autumn day,
We've left behind another week where crypto raised everyone's hopes but continued with subsequent declines. Similarly, we've finished a month that was good for BTC but bad for ETH. We've also entered one of the most critical weeks for the market. This week is extremely crucial with the US Elections and Fed Interest Rate decision.
You can click here for November's general expectations and data, and here to read my expectations from last week.
Bitcoin
BTC, which opened the new month at 70k, has been declining since then. Last week's failure to touch ATH and the lack of a strong recovery so far is also concerning the market. We're in an important week with the elections tomorrow, followed by the Fed's interest rate decision on November 7th. I don't need to mention that there could be up and down movements on election day and that we need to be careful. However, a nice volatility trade could be made.
Last week, I mentioned that the price would be at a critical threshold going into the election and would show market indecision. Currently, BTC is below 70k and slowly declining. With a new month, our weekly and monthly volatility has also changed. November's weekly average implied volatility is 14.7%. This means our implied volatility range for this week is 58.5-79k.
While the market is undecided this week, Call contracts are more dominant as they think Trump will win the election. Contracts are particularly dense at the 80k price point. My thinking is that BTC's inflation-adjusted ATH price is around 79k, as we mentioned before, and it's likely that the 80k price will act as resistance for this reason. Also, we're seeing increases in our volatility.
Ethereum
ETH, which opened November at 2500, has gotten quite close to its recent lows, and the picture doesn't look very pretty. It's not unreasonable to think that ETH will fall further in a downturn and clean out to the lows at 2150. For volatility trading, you might consider ETH for downside and BTC for upside.
The last movement remained as a Lower High. A movement toward 2550 followed by cleaning out the lows seems likely. November's average weekly implied volatility is 16%. This shows us that this week will be in the 2050-2850 range. Let's see if the price will exceed our expected volatility?
In ETH, the Put/Call Ratio is still close to 1 in month-end contracts. Although the situation looks much better in November 8 contracts, it could be more affected in case of unexpected news or false news.
ETHBTC
Here, after making an upward movement as I expected, it continues its decline. Although it saw a reaction from the 035 point, I don't think this will be strong. I'm waiting for the 0.032-0.03 area for the trend to reverse.
Trade Of Week
Let's come to our election volatility trades. If we expect a 4% daily movement on the BTC side, our likely prices could be 71.5 upward and 65.5 downward. As contracts, November 7 dated 71.5k contract is around $100, while the 65.5k contract is around $80.
For ETH, we can take the 4% range as 2325 ($32) - 2525 ($37). The total cost is $180 on the BTC side and approximately $70 on ETH. If you take a BTC Call contract and ETH Put contract, it costs about $132.
If you're looking for more affordable prices, you can also look at November 6 dated contracts. What do you think the situations will be and will there be the expected price fluctuation?
#USElections2024Countdown #NovemberMarketAnalysis #VoteForCrypto #VolatilityWarning #OptionTrading
Greetings from an autumn day,
We've left behind another week where crypto raised everyone's hopes but continued with subsequent declines. Similarly, we've finished a month that was good for BTC but bad for ETH. We've also entered one of the most critical weeks for the market. This week is extremely crucial with the US Elections and Fed Interest Rate decision.
You can click here for November's general expectations and data, and here to read my expectations from last week.
Bitcoin
BTC, which opened the new month at 70k, has been declining since then. Last week's failure to touch ATH and the lack of a strong recovery so far is also concerning the market. We're in an important week with the elections tomorrow, followed by the Fed's interest rate decision on November 7th. I don't need to mention that there could be up and down movements on election day and that we need to be careful. However, a nice volatility trade could be made.
Last week, I mentioned that the price would be at a critical threshold going into the election and would show market indecision. Currently, BTC is below 70k and slowly declining. With a new month, our weekly and monthly volatility has also changed. November's weekly average implied volatility is 14.7%. This means our implied volatility range for this week is 58.5-79k.
While the market is undecided this week, Call contracts are more dominant as they think Trump will win the election. Contracts are particularly dense at the 80k price point. My thinking is that BTC's inflation-adjusted ATH price is around 79k, as we mentioned before, and it's likely that the 80k price will act as resistance for this reason. Also, we're seeing increases in our volatility.
Ethereum
ETH, which opened November at 2500, has gotten quite close to its recent lows, and the picture doesn't look very pretty. It's not unreasonable to think that ETH will fall further in a downturn and clean out to the lows at 2150. For volatility trading, you might consider ETH for downside and BTC for upside.
The last movement remained as a Lower High. A movement toward 2550 followed by cleaning out the lows seems likely. November's average weekly implied volatility is 16%. This shows us that this week will be in the 2050-2850 range. Let's see if the price will exceed our expected volatility?
In ETH, the Put/Call Ratio is still close to 1 in month-end contracts. Although the situation looks much better in November 8 contracts, it could be more affected in case of unexpected news or false news.
ETHBTC
Here, after making an upward movement as I expected, it continues its decline. Although it saw a reaction from the 035 point, I don't think this will be strong. I'm waiting for the 0.032-0.03 area for the trend to reverse.
Trade Of Week
Let's come to our election volatility trades. If we expect a 4% daily movement on the BTC side, our likely prices could be 71.5 upward and 65.5 downward. As contracts, November 7 dated 71.5k contract is around $100, while the 65.5k contract is around $80.
For ETH, we can take the 4% range as 2325 ($32) - 2525 ($37). The total cost is $180 on the BTC side and approximately $70 on ETH. If you take a BTC Call contract and ETH Put contract, it costs about $132.
If you're looking for more affordable prices, you can also look at November 6 dated contracts. What do you think the situations will be and will there be the expected price fluctuation?
#USElections2024Countdown #NovemberMarketAnalysis #VoteForCrypto #VolatilityWarning #OptionTrading
The Perfect Storm: Elections, Fed, and Crypto's Next Move
Navigate through crypto's most critical week as markets face US elections and Fed decisions. Analysis of BTC's $70K battle and ETH's crucial support levels, with actionable volatility trading strategies.
Greetings from an autumn day,
We've left behind another week where crypto raised everyone's hopes but continued with subsequent declines. Similarly, we've finished a month that was good for BTC but bad for ETH. We've also entered one of the most critical weeks for the market. This week is extrem
Greetings from an autumn day,
We've left behind another week where crypto raised everyone's hopes but continued with subsequent declines. Similarly, we've finished a month that was good for BTC but bad for ETH. We've also entered one of the most critical weeks for the market. This week is extrem
November to Remember: Why $70K is Just the Beginning?
Greetings from a beautiful Saturday evening.
As we enter November, let's explore what lies ahead this month, what events we should anticipate, how we can prepare for them, and take a brief look back at October.
Yesterday, the market experienced some turbulence with the NFP data, and currently, the price is hovering around $69k. On November 5th, we have the highly anticipated US Elections, and while claims about Trump's victory are dominant, polls suggest the race is close. Right after, on Novem
As we enter November, let's explore what lies ahead this month, what events we should anticipate, how we can prepare for them, and take a brief look back at October.
Yesterday, the market experienced some turbulence with the NFP data, and currently, the price is hovering around $69k. On November 5th, we have the highly anticipated US Elections, and while claims about Trump's victory are dominant, polls suggest the race is close. Right after, on Novem
Between Hope and Hesitation: BTC Resilience vs ETH's Dramatic Plunge
October Week 4 Summary - Frustrating Movements Continue"
We've left behind a week where BTC couldn't break its resistance and ETH fell as if there was no tomorrow. We're starting the week with another green candle, but let's see what the outcome will be? You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
Although it's making Higher Lows and Higher Highs, it's affecting the rest of the ma
We've left behind a week where BTC couldn't break its resistance and ETH fell as if there was no tomorrow. We're starting the week with another green candle, but let's see what the outcome will be? You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
Although it's making Higher Lows and Higher Highs, it's affecting the rest of the ma
Crypto's Perfect Storm: Elections, Volatility and Market Momentum
Uptober Shows Its Colors
Hello again after a nice weekly opening. It's been a long time since we've seen such green and strong candles, which brings our mood back. I hope it continues, and I'm pleased that last week went according to my expectations. You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
BTC, which has been rising since the opening last week, closed the week rising again towards the weekly close. The price looks quite strong. This
Hello again after a nice weekly opening. It's been a long time since we've seen such green and strong candles, which brings our mood back. I hope it continues, and I'm pleased that last week went according to my expectations. You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
BTC, which has been rising since the opening last week, closed the week rising again towards the weekly close. The price looks quite strong. This
From Boredom to Boom: Crypto's Exciting Week Ahead?
Crypto Market Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum Weekly Outlook
Greetings from a beautiful weekly opening. After a rather low-volatility, boring week, it's refreshing to start with such a green candle. Hopefully, this trend will continue. To review last week's expectations and possibilities, you can check out my article at this link.
Bitcoin
BTC, which made a new low this week, once again didn't close below the 69k support on a daily basis. A
Greetings from a beautiful weekly opening. After a rather low-volatility, boring week, it's refreshing to start with such a green candle. Hopefully, this trend will continue. To review last week's expectations and possibilities, you can check out my article at this link.
Bitcoin
BTC, which made a new low this week, once again didn't close below the 69k support on a daily basis. A
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