Daily sharing

Bitcoin finally broke the high of 123218 from July 14 today, completely in line with our expectations over the past week. This 4-hour level rise of Bitcoin has once again set a new historical high. The overall daily and 4-hour level upward structure is quite robust, although we do not know the true daily peak of Bitcoin, and we cannot guess the top. However, from the structure, the risk here is increasing. So be sure to pay attention to taking profits in batches on Bitcoin.

At around 8 AM, the internal group had already informed everyone that long positions should take profits above 124,000. The group also reminded that my Bitcoin long positions have all been taken profit.

In the short term, Bitcoin is currently expected to have another surge to reach a new high if it does not fall below 120,000. You can observe and see.

Compared to Bitcoin, the short-term risk for Ethereum may not be particularly high. The 4-hour upward structure may still need to oscillate upwards for about three to four days. Note that Ethereum may have a significant downward spike risk next week.

Important notice: Starting from August 16, 2025, our analysis articles will no longer provide short-term price levels. The articles will only provide short-term trend structures and directions, while long-term price levels will still be provided in the articles. If anyone wants to know our articles' short-term price levels and real-time trend analysis, please privately message me to join the internal member group.

Short-term BTC

Due to the rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, and it is merely for reference.

1H:

At the 1-hour level, it is currently in the fifth cryptocurrency's 1-hour level upward movement. As long as it does not fall below 120,000, this 1-hour level upward should still go up, looking at 125,000 above. If it falls below 120,000, the market may continue towards 118,000 and there is a possibility of ending the 4-hour level rise.

If you want to make a safe medium-term short, my personal suggestion is to wait until Bitcoin reaches a secondary sell point at the 1-hour level, which is the next high point, before participating. This way, it's easier to hold the position.

15M:

At the 15-minute level, first look at the strength of this 15-minute level pullback. If it directly falls below 120,000, then there should be a direct 1-hour level pullback as shown by the white arrow in the above image. The focus below should be around 118,000 or 117,400.

If it does not fall below 120,000, it may normally surge again near or above 125,000.

If Bitcoin cannot continue to rise rapidly to 130,000 within this week, then it may face a drop of over 130,000 next week.

ETH

For Ethereum, it is uncertain whether the 1-hour level rise has ended here. If it does not fall below 4600, it can still push up to above 4800 in the short term. If it re-falls below 4600, watch for a 1-hour level pullback, focusing on the range of 4500~4600. It is expected that there will still be a 1-hour level rise to sprint near 5000.

It is important to note that once Ethereum makes a 1-hour level pullback and the next 1-hour level rebound, Ethereum may face significant downward spike risks in the short term. However, spot traders do not need to worry too much; if such a spike occurs, it is very likely that it will set a new historical high again. Ethereum's daily trend is still good, and in the future, Bitcoin and Ethereum may not synchronize in their daily structures, so be careful.

Trend direction

At the weekly level: Direction upwards. It is currently in a new weekly level rise, with an overall target looking above 150,000.

Daily level: Direction upwards. When will the daily level rise end? Pay close attention to the short-term situation over the past few days.

At the 4-hour level: Direction upwards. If the 4-hour level rise does not accelerate, it faces the risk of ending.

1-hour level: Direction upwards. If it falls below 120,000 again, it is considered a short-term 1-hour level pullback.

At the 15-minute level: Direction downwards. Focus on the support at 120,000.