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Bitcoin finally broke through 120,000 today, reaching a high of 122,335, once again confirming our view from a few days ago that Bitcoin would break through 120,000 again. A few days ago, when Bitcoin retraced to just over 112,000, I personally opened a long position and am currently still holding it, planning to exit after it reaches a new all-time high.

In the past two days, Bitcoin has once again been strong and has not completed our expected 1-hour level retracement, but the necessary structure will not disappear, so the 1-hour level retracement will still happen. Keep waiting for this retracement to come out before adding positions. Ethereum should also be making a 1-hour retracement, and the retracement is another opportunity to enter.

Important notice: Starting from August 16, 2025, our analysis articles will no longer provide short-term entry points. The articles will only provide short-term trend structures and directions, while long-term entry points will still be included. If you want to know our short-term entry points and real-time trend analysis, please privately message me to join the internal membership group.

BTC short-term

Due to rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only be used as a reference.

1H:

1-hour level, Bitcoin is expected to make a 1-hour level retracement here. If the retracement is successful, pay attention to the 118,000~119,000 range below. After the retracement, there will be another 1-hour level rise to continue creating new all-time highs near 126,000.

15M:

15-minute level, it is currently normal to expect a 1-hour level retracement. If this is the case, then this is the first 15-minute level down. After moving down, there will be a second 15-minute level rebound, and then a third 15-minute level down tomorrow noon to complete this 1-hour level retracement.

However, it is still hard to say at this moment; we cannot completely rule out the possibility of a 15-minute level rebound here to extend the 1-hour level rise, so in the afternoon, there was no prompt in the internal group to short Bitcoin. However, we did suggest shorting Ethereum around 4,310 to aim for a 1-hour level retracement.

ETH

For Ethereum, I am inclined to believe that it should make a 1-hour level retracement to test around 4,000, and as long as it does not fall below 3,870, there will be a 1-hour level rebound to continue pushing up, forming a third buying point in the central zone. So after the short-term retracement, this third buying point should normally be participated in, and if all goes well, the next rebound could have the opportunity to go above 4,800.

15-minute level, the current expectation is the first 15-minute level down in a 1-hour level decline. During the day, the internal group suggested a short position. There will also be a second 15-minute level rebound and a third 15-minute level decline.

Trend direction

Weekly level: Direction up, currently making a new weekly level rise, with an overall target above 150,000

Daily level: Direction up, currently making a daily level rebound. The target for this daily rise is around 120,000~130,000.

4-hour level: Direction up, expected to push near 126,000.

1-hour level: Direction down, Bitcoin is waiting for a 1-hour level retracement, after which it will continue to rise.

15-minute level: Direction down