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Bitcoin's 1-hour level correction last night did not break below 118000. In the article on August 11, we indicated that a 1-hour level correction was needed, with a target of 118000 to 119000, and the lowest correction reached 118055, aligning with our expectations. Last night's CPI data was favorable, leading to a rebound in Bitcoin, and the internal member group indicated to go long around 118700. Today, it successfully moved above 120,000. The current 1-hour upward trend is biased towards not being finished yet, and it is expected to continue pushing above 123000.
Of course, the pace of Bitcoin is relatively slow here, as the main funds in the market have actually flowed into Ethereum, causing Bitcoin to follow rather than lead. However, our expectation remains unchanged; it should still reach a new high.
Ethereum, as we indicated last night, may directly surge to 4800. Today it has already reached 4700 and should continue upward to touch above 4800. The overall 4-hour upward movement of Ethereum continues to extend, and I personally expect it to reach the range of 5000 to 6000, before starting a 4-hour level correction.
In the coming week, valuable altcoins may perform well, but caution is advised for trash altcoins.
Important notice: Starting from August 16, 2025, our analysis articles will no longer provide short-term price points; the articles will only provide the structure and direction of short-term trends. Long-term price points will still be included in the articles. If anyone wants to know the short-term price points and real-time trend analysis from our articles, please privately message me to join the internal member group.
BTC short-term
Short-term trading is affected by rapid market changes, and the article can only make predictions based on market fluctuations at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only serve as a reference.
1H:
At the 1-hour level, Bitcoin is likely in the fifth wave of 1-hour upward movement, expected to break above 123000. Let's see how it moves here; it may also consolidate a 1-hour rebound before continuing upward. The pace of Bitcoin is clearly waiting for Ethereum's 4-hour upward movement to finish, so it is slow and dragging; a little patience is needed. The overall expectation is to continue bullish towards around 126000.
15M:
At the 15-minute level, this 15-minute upward movement should still have room to rise, initially looking at around 122500.
ETH
At the 1-hour level, Ethereum is indeed very, very strong, rising from 3354 to above 3700, still showing a 1-hour upward movement, demonstrating the power of institutional forces. The current expectation of the 1-hour upward movement is to break 4800, reach around 4900 or 5000, and then begin a 1-hour level correction, which is estimated not to break 4500. Then it will move on to the next 1-hour rebound towards the range of 5000 to 6000. If there are long positions at lower levels, continue to hold.
In the article on August 2, we had already emphasized that Ethereum would break 4000 and surge to 4800, but at that time many people did not believe it and continued to short. Now they see how formidable institutional layouts are.
Based on the current institutional layout situation, our expectation for Ethereum to reach 12,000 by the end of the year seems quite restrained and rational, without any exaggerated predictions.
Trend direction
At the weekly level: Direction is upward, currently undergoing a new wave of weekly upward movement, with an overall target above 150,000.
At the daily level: Direction is upward, currently undergoing a daily rebound, with an upward target of around 120,000 to 130,000.
4-hour level: Direction is upward, expected to reach around 126000.
At the 1-hour level: Direction is upward, currently undergoing a 1-hour rebound; it can directly break 123000 or first consolidate to build a 1-hour equilibrium before moving upward.
At the 15-minute level: Direction is upward, initially looking to break 122000.
