ETH Today's Survival Manual: Life and Death Decision Between Bulls and Bears Tonight
Brothers, grab your keyboards and keep an eye on the market! Ethereum is currently being crushed like it's caught in a hydraulic press between 1800-1845, the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart have blown to the limit, yet the price is playing dead in the middle—this is the prelude to the market maker sharpening their knives, the calm before the storm!
Technical Analysis Three Knives
1. 1845 is a Mass Grave: The last five times the price touched 1840 it was shot down, with on-chain evidence showing 420,000 ETH options shorts are being held down here, and the main force has buried a massive amount of short-selling mines. Every time it rises above 1830, exchanges instantly show million-level sell walls, more crowded than grabbing tickets during the Spring Festival.
2. 1780 is an Electrified Floor: Don't believe the nonsense about "buying the dip at 1700"! BlackRock ETF has again purchased 23,000 ETH today, welding a steel plate bottom at 1780. But be cautious: if it really falls below 1769, the next support level to watch is 1720, where last year's upgrade caused a pileup of liquidation corpses.
3. MACD Staging a Eunuch Show: The DIF value of 0.79 acts tough, but the actual bar is shrinking faster than a retail investor's wallet. It's like an electric vehicle showing a range of 200 kilometers, but after pressing the gas, it drops to 50—bulls are currently relying solely on verbal support at 11214.
News Front Dual Nuclear Bombs
Pectra Upgrade Countdown: Tonight's upgrade raises the staking limit to 2048 ETH, seemingly a good thing but actually lethal—exchanges may suspend deposits and withdrawals, causing liquidity to dry up, and market makers love the "good news turns into a nuclear bomb" routine.
The Federal Reserve Bleeding at Midnight: The market's bet on the probability of a rate cut in July plummeted from 75% to 28%. If Powell hints at a delay, it could trigger an 8% flash crash in no time. But be aware that market makers may play the "first hit then pull up" double-kill on leveraged traders.
Market Maker's Underwear Revelation
On-chain monitoring shows that every time the price dips below 1780, BlackRock quietly swoops in to buy. Jump Crypto has transferred 56,000 ETH to exchanges over three days, clearly indicating they are up to something.
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