A bigger one is coming! A sharp drop is about to happen!
Right now, the entire network is blindly bullish, shouting that the spring of altcoins has arrived. But in my opinion, it’s all nonsense! Based on the analysis from my previous articles, I only see Bitcoin about to face a major correction soon.
I estimate that Bitcoin might reach another high point tonight, perhaps spiking to around 97000 or 96250, and then it will enter a major correction mode.
In this wave of correction, I believe Bitcoin's price will drop to the range of 84000 to 85000, after which it will enter a new round of upward trends. As for the new round of increases, whether Bitcoin's price will set a historical high or just rise to around 100000 and peak, that’s a matter for the future, so let’s not worry about it for now.
Everyone should just watch and see, and definitely don’t let market sentiment lead you astray; FOMO sentiment is to be avoided.
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ETH Today's Market! The Midline Life and Death Line, New Tricks from the Whale
Today's price action is tougher than 'Squid Game'! The four-hour chart has the price stuck at the midline of $1798, bouncing like bungee jumping, with a hit to the upper line at $1824 being a guillotine, and a drop to the lower line at $1746 being a meat grinder. Both bulls and bears are playing psychological warfare here!
Three death details to watch closely: 1. Midline Defense Meat Grinder: The price has been clinging to the midline of $1798 for three days, harder to predict than a mother-in-law's mood. Last night, it spiked down to $1755.1, triggering 12 million dollars in long positions. If it breaks $1746 again today, it will send the bulls to the rooftop directly, referencing the wave on April 28 when the price dropped from $1820 to $1750 in just 2 hours. 2. MACD Death Kiss: The DIF and DEA are playing backstab, and the histogram is green and oily, indicating that the bulls are at the end of their rope. But be careful! The histogram is starting to narrow, like Tyson touching his pocket after being hit—ready to retaliate at any moment. 3. Volume Shrinking to Paper: The trading volume of the last four candlesticks is more pinched than an ant moving. On-chain monitoring shows that a giant whale just transferred 30,000 ETH to the exchange; last time he transferred coins, the price plummeted by 8%, and with Coinbase's funding rate spiking to 0.08%, the whale's scythe is already smoking.
Operations: Bull's Suicide Squad: Wait until the price stabilizes at $1824 before acting, don’t be like old Li who went all-in at $1800 and got hit down to $1755. If you want to play, set a trap below $1746; if the whale smashes the market to trigger stop-losses, we’ll scoop up the dead chips happily. Bear Sniper: If it breaks $1746, close your eyes and short, but set a 2% stop-loss! Last week, it faked a drop below $1768 and immediately reversed to $18217; the shorts are still floating in the sky. Zen Old Hand: Watch the changes in the MACD histogram, play dead before the golden cross. This market is like a crocodile waiting for dinner, and those moving around are just the meal, referencing the sideways action from April 14-18 for 4 days, and once the direction is clear, it will shoot straight up by $200.
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BTC Today's Market Update! High-level volatility feels like walking a tightrope, big players in a silent battle with retail investors, don't get too excited
Three deadly details, don't blink: 1. Trading volume has shrunk drastically: The volume bars on the four-hour chart are as short as a crushed soda can, and the MACD histogram is narrowing. The main capital is clearly holding back and observing. Retail investors alone cannot push the market, and if the volume doesn't pick up, it could stall at any moment. 2. Deep squats after a surge: Yesterday, the price dropped to 92,913 and then performed a deep V recovery. How many people were thrown off the train? Now the price is stuck at 95,300, neither going up nor down, like a muscular guy in the gym suddenly getting weak in the legs. 3. Life-and-death line at 93,500: This position combines the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and the densely packed EMA30 moving average. If it breaks, it could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, referencing last week's spike down to 91,400, which resulted in over 800 million dollars in long positions being liquidated in half an hour.
Operating guidelines: For those looking to chase the rise: First, see if 95,800 can stabilize. On the right side, there are a lot of orders piled up between 95,000-96,000 like fishing bait. If you're not as fast as a whale, don't force it. For those itching to short: Keep a close eye on the ghost gate at 93,500. You must wait for a volume breakout before making a move. Referencing the lesson learned from the last minute spike in the US market that triggered stop-losses. For the cautious: Focus on trading volume in the afternoon. If the volume continues to shrink, expect a flat and volatile market. Referencing the previous range of 92,000-96,000. Hold steady on spot trading and wait for clear direction on contracts.
Insider alert: It's rumored in the circle that institutions are building positions around 95,000-96,000, but the manipulators are best at pumping and dumping! When it surged to 98,000 at the end of March, the exchange crashed with a drop of 6,000 points within 30 minutes, leaving the following traders as collateral damage.
Remember: In the crypto world, there are only wolves that feast and sheep waiting to be slaughtered.
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Liangxi has really stirred up the beehive of the crypto world!
① Daring to tear apart the "Emperor's New Clothes"! In this market, Liangxi is unique in daring to put the "ambiguous relationship" between domestic exchanges and the system on the table! Not only did he name the two major exchanges, Bitget and OKX, but he also exposed the "dark rules" in the domestic financial circle—such as how project parties pay protection fees to exchanges, how platform tokens are used for money laundering, and how policy leaks are exploited for insider trading! These words are only whispered in coded language among old-timers in the crypto world, but he went all out and broadcasted it live!
② Where is the rule of law in the crypto world? It's all a game of power and money! Those who still fantasize that "policies will protect retail investors" and "exchanges will play by the rules" should wake up! The crypto world is essentially a gray jungle: Exchanges = casino owners—today they can delist your coin due to "policy compliance," and tomorrow they can offer a hundred times leverage on a junk coin due to "strategic cooperation"; the rules depend on the mood of the big players! Regulation = a fig leaf—while they shout about "embracing regulation," they have long been in bed with certain interest groups, and when the real investigation happens, they only catch small fries, while the big players have already been tipped off!
③ Those who understand are fleeing overnight, while those who don’t are lining up on the rooftop. Liangxi’s revelations are equivalent to issuing a "life and death card" to crypto players: Smart people: have already transferred their assets to overseas cold wallets, locked up Bitcoin and Ethereum, stayed away from contract leverage, and even started to plan for compliant paths in the crypto world; confused ones: still believe in "hundred times coins" and "IEO new listings," even following KOLs to gamble on meme coins, ultimately becoming the "protagonists" in rights protection groups!
Follow me, and I'll lead you out of the bloody path in the crypto world!
Bro, hold steady! Ethereum at $1796 walking the high wire, Bollinger Bands tightening hiding the guillotine, MACD death cross bleeding light!
1. The market sees life and death Bollinger Bands meat grinder Upper band $1823.43: Pressing on Binance 5800 ETH short positions Middle band $1796.31: Current price fluctuating here = Jumping driving test in the meat grinder Lower band $1769.19: Breaking down to $1700 is lethal MACD death signal DIF underwater death cross DEA: 98% overlap with the pattern before the crash on April 18 Red bar -11.63: Volume shrank to $0.42 billion
2. Doge's three cutting flows First cut: Early morning spike to $1823 exploding Binance with $21 million long positions Second cut: Middle band $1796 false breakout, MA30 moving average pressure forming a death slope Third cut: Wintermute transferred 47,000 ETH to the exchange, enough to break through $1750
3. Life-saving coordinates Spot traders first aid kit Current price $1796: Reduce positions by 50% for every $30 rebound Breakdown at $1769: Place a limit order at $1700 Death zone: $1823-$1830 stacking 93,000 ETH trapped positions Contract traders restricted area Current price opening long = suicide! 73% probability of a crash after MACD death cross Nuclear button point: Breaking below $1769 to chase shorts, stop loss at $1785, Spike defense: Place dual-direction conditional orders at $1680/$1840, doge's special kill 5x leverage
4. Today's three major guillotines SEC supplementary knife: Delayed VanEck Ethereum ETF, net outflow of $180 million, Miners fleeing: f2pool transferred 38,000 ETH to pay electricity bills Whale betting: 2900 ETH put options traded on Deribit, strike price $1700
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Bro, hold steady! Ethereum at $1796 walks the high wire, the Bollinger Bands are tightening with a hidden guillotine, and the MACD death cross shows blood!
1. The market sees life and death Bollinger Bands meat grinder Upper band $1823.43: pressing Binance's 5800 ETH short positions Middle band $1796.31: current price is oscillating here = jumping subject three in a meat grinder Lower band $1769.19: breaking below will lead to a kill down to $1700 MACD death signal DIF below water death cross DEA: 98% overlap with the pattern before the crash on April 18 Red bar -$11.63: volume shrinks to $42 million
2. The dog fund's three knife flow First knife: a spike at $1823 exploded Binance's $21 million long positions Second knife: middle band $1796 false breakout, MA30 moving average pressure forms a death slope Third knife: Wintermute transfers 47,000 ETH to the exchange, enough to smash through $1750
3. Life-saving coordinates Spot traders' first aid kit Current price $1796: reduce position by 50% for every $30 rebound Breakdown at $1769: place a limit order at $1700 Death zone: $1823-$1830 accumulates 93,000 ETH trapped positions Contract traders' forbidden zone Opening long at current price = suicide! MACD death cross has a 73% chance of a sharp drop Nuclear button level: break below $1769 to short, stop loss at $1785 Spike defense: place dual conditional orders at $1680/$1840, specifically targeted by dog funds with 5x leverage
4. Today's three major guillotines SEC's follow-up: delay in VanEck's Ethereum ETF, net outflow of $180 million Miners flee: f2pool transfers 38,000 ETH to pay electricity bills, Whales bet: 2900 ETH put options traded on Deribit, strike price $1700
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The battlefield is filled with smoke, even the old investors understand! The pressure level is a graveyard for the bulls, a spike is specifically designed to treat stubborn traders!
The big coin is stuck at $94,500, playing high-altitude tightrope, while the market makers are clearly aiming to harvest leveraged gamblers!
1. Decoding the battle situation: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, hiding deadly traps The current price is precisely stuck at the BOLL midline at $94,306, with the upper and lower bands' distance reduced from $6,000 to $5,886. This suffocating narrowing is more dangerous compared to the data on the right: Massive short positions looming overhead: UB line at $95,249 has 2.06K BTC sell orders hangingBulls are bluffing: The trading volume at the $94,475 resistance level is only 1.077K, a 52% decrease from the previous high of 2.249K.
2. Indicators in a silent battle: MACD death cross lights up red MACD double line death cross underwater: The rebound red bar shortens but the DIF line is pressed at -386 positionWarning on miners offloading: On-chain data shows 22,000 BTC transferred from the mining pool, contract graveyard heating up: The network fee rate skyrocketed to 0.12%, with 1.4 billion liquidation orders buried around $94k +/- $300.
3. Lines of life and death For spot traders, three life-saving moves Above $94,400: Reduce positions by 20% for every $300 increaseBreak below $94,472 support: Immediately transfer 1/3 to USDT, place a limit order at $88,888Nuclear defense: Must buy bottom at the BOLL lower band at $89,363. For futures traders' breakout points False breakout alarm: If it breaks above $95,249, it must include a stop loss at $94,900.Nuclear button trigger point: If it falls below $93,363, go short directly; CME gap theory points to $89kSpike prediction: Place conditional orders in the range of $89,000-$95,000, focus on the market from 1-3 AM.
4. Today's three major market-changing triggers Federal Reserve nuclear bomb: Powell states "no rate cuts this year", the dollar index surges 0.8%, suppressing risk assetsEthereum ETF explosion: SEC delays approval causing ETH/BTC exchange rate to drop to 0.053,Whale movements: Grayscale's GBTC net outflow of $320 million, market makers are loading their bullets.
Remember:$94k is a meat grinder, not an ATM!
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The price of BTC at $93,500 is simply a bull meat grinder!
The platform data is clear; at this price level, a long position worth $65.97 million has been liquidated directly. No wonder the market seems to be stuck around $94,000 – the main players are precisely controlling the market to harvest!
If it really crashes to $92,200, that would be bloody! The $721 million long leverage positions would trigger a chain reaction like a domino effect, and by then, there would definitely be corpses everywhere! This sideways movement is just the calm before the storm; the main players are quietly setting up a liquidation net, waiting for some reckless trader to leverage in and hand over their heads!
Don’t be fooled by how stable the K-line looks now; behind the scenes, who knows how many contract accounts have been marked by the system as lambs to be slaughtered. I advise everyone with leverage to withdraw quickly; don’t wait until the market suddenly breaks through the support level and then cry for help – this market is out to kill those who think they're clever gamblers!
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ETH Four-Hour Chart Surprises with 'Headless Guillotine', If It Doesn't Surge Tonight, It Will Bury People!
Deadly Detail One: Price Crashes into 'Coffin Lid' Current ETH Price: $1751.10, 24-Hour Plunge of 24.01%, headless guillotine candlestick cuts through all moving averages. The lower Bollinger Band is precisely stuck at $1589.79, with the price hanging between the middle and lower bands. This pattern will either violently rebound to $1800 or break through the lower band straight to the $1500 grave.
Deadly Detail Two: Trading Volume Exposes 'Death Signal' On the day of the crash, the trading volume was $2.993 billion, with large funds collectively fleeing. Current trading volume shrinks to 0.003, a reduction of over 99%! The buy price of $1580.15 has 15,800 ETH on order, this kind of 'obvious protective order' is actually a trap—real bottoms never need to show their cards.
Deadly Detail Three: Market Manipulation 'Suffocation Game' The buy price of $1751.1 has only 6.92 ETH, while the sell price is pressing down with 12.03 ETH. The buy-sell ratio on the order book is 1:1.74, with manipulators using 'mosquito orders to prop up the price + large orders to suppress the market' to create a liquidity trap. The lower Bollinger Band at $1589.79 is the lifeline, breaking it will trigger a chain liquidation.
Practical Strategy Coffin Bottom Fishing: Place an order at $1589.79 to catch the bottom, with a 5% stop loss, limited to 10% of your position.Corpse Transformation Escape: If it rebounds to $1800, immediately sell 50% of your position.Dead Zone: $1700-$1750 range = liquidation danger zone, where some investors lost all at 100x leverage in just 15 minutes yesterday.
Personal Prediction Current market data reveals three major threats: After the plunge, volume has shrunk to a normal level of 1%, the buy orders are three times the usual trading volume, and the sell orders are 2.1 times the buying volume.
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The four-hour BTC chart hides a deadly trap; bloodshed is inevitable in the bull-bear meat grinder tonight!
Deadly Detail One: Price Hanging on the Edge of a Cliff BTC is stuck at the life-and-death line of $9350, with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $9209 as the last defense, and the upper band at $9475 looming overhead. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is rapidly rising, while the lower band is flat, indicating clear signs of market manipulation. Historically, this pattern has an 80% chance of changing within 12 hours; for example, in March, there was a sharp drop from $9200 to $8720 before a V-shaped recovery, resulting in a liquidation of $500 million in leveraged positions.
Deadly Detail Two: Trading Volume Playing the "Empty City Strategy" The four-hour trading volume dropped sharply from 11.14K to 5.57K, with prices stubbornly holding up and not falling—a typical tactic to lure in buyers by the main force. This is similar to the sharp price drop after a volume contraction on May 7, and the current presence of 35,000 buy orders at $9200 is a dangerous signal—true support does not need to be obvious, making this a clear trap for unwary traders.
Deadly Detail Three: The Market is Like the "Chu-Han Boundary" There are 5.57K sell orders stacked between $9350 and $9475, blocking any upward movement, while 35,000 buy orders at $9200 serve as a protective moat. This is reminiscent of the BitMEX market before the plunge on March 12, where the market maker can cancel orders at any moment, triggering an avalanche. A break on either side could release at least $300 in price movement.
Personal Prediction The market maker's "fishing strategy" is in place! Coupled with the weakness in U.S. stock futures, there is a high probability of a three-pronged attack between 2-4 AM:
1. Smash down to $9180 to trigger stop-loss orders for long positions, then quickly pull back to $9350, causing a final plunge through $9200 to finish. Last year, Bitfinex executed this same strategy three times, with each instance resulting in over $300 million in liquidations.
I am Ji Xin, follow me, supported by a top-tier team, serving only the ambitious madmen.
Last night, the three major US stock indices collectively surged, with the S&P rising over 2%, the Dow up 1.2%, and the Nasdaq soaring nearly 3%.
With this momentum, I originally thought Bitcoin should follow up and hit 9500, but it only managed to reach a maximum of 9350 after a whole night of hesitation, clearly not keeping up with the pace.
Today the market indeed looks strong for the bulls. I initially placed a long order at 9150, but it only dipped to 9160 at the lowest, just 10 dollars away and I couldn't get in, what terrible luck. Later, seeing that the price didn't continue to pull back, I flipped and opened a short position at 9350, which dropped to a minimum of 9260 but I didn’t close it, and then it was pulled back to the breakeven point triggering a stop-loss. This operation has been quite frustrating. Now, the key positions are very clear: 9100 is the starting point of the recent large bullish candle, providing strong support; above, 9500 is the previous high resistance level from March. In the short term, I estimate it will oscillate in the 400-dollar range between 9100 and 9500, and we'll see what direction it takes.
Regarding the future trend, I ponder three possibilities: If it breaks below 9100 and drops to around 8800 for a washout, it could actually accelerate to 9800. If it can't hold 8800, there’s a high probability it will drop to 8400, forming a double top structure with the April high of 9500. The most optimistic scenario is holding 9100 and consolidating for a few days, then directly breaking through 9500 to surge to 9800, making a final push towards the 10,000 dollar mark.
Personally, I lean towards the first two scenarios, especially if it doesn’t break 9490 before the end of the month, it can basically be confirmed that it will follow a double top downtrend. Right now, the most headache-inducing part is that the market hasn't given a clear signal, so I can only watch and wait.
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This BTC 30-minute liquidation chart is quite scary. The colored horizontal lines represent the liquidation positions at different leverage levels, with brighter colors indicating higher leverage.
Currently, two key points can be observed:
First, the downward space for decline is significantly larger than the upward space for growth. Second, the highest point of the strong leverage liquidation area above is approximately the red line at $97,000. Be particularly aware of two phenomena: Long periods of sideways movement will create new liquidation points in areas that were originally safe. Simply put, if more and more people short the market, new liquidation bars will form above the price, which will attract the price to continue rising. During declines, other indicators must also be considered, such as the two white horizontal lines drawn with Fibonacci in the chart, which are worth paying attention to.
My operational plan is very clear: If it drops down, I plan to buy the first batch of spot at $87,000 and then buy the second batch at the next support level. If it rises, I will try to short with a small position near $97,000.
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Trump's Expensive Dinner Exposed! Can You Have Dinner with Him for 3 Million?
Let me reveal a magical realism operation—Trump is now running a 'buy a seat with cryptocurrency' scheme. Want to have dinner with him? Simple! Just buy the TRUMP coins he issued, the more you buy, the closer you get to him.
I checked the on-chain data, and now to squeeze into this dinner as the 220th person, you need to hold enough 29,565 TRUMP coins. At the current price of $14.76 per coin, that amounts to 3.16 million RMB. Note that this is not a charity dinner; it is a straightforward 'buy a ticket' behavior on the blockchain. The most outrageous part is the front-row VIP seat; if you want to sit to Trump's left, you need to spend 140 million RMB to buy coins!
This is not a blockchain revolution at all, but a blatant money game! Here are three key points for you: 1. The entry ticket is clearly priced: as long as you have enough coins in your blockchain wallet, they will even give you a green light without a background check. This is more naked than bidding at an auction—once the money is in place, you can enter the presidential dinner. 2. Hunger marketing taken to the extreme: there are only 220 seats in the whole of America, and they deliberately raised the price for the front row to over 100 million. This tactic is more ruthless than Musk selling tickets to Mars, clearly telling the rich, 'If you don’t spend enough money, don’t even think about entering the core circle.' 3. The revelation of the power game: do you understand? This is a blatant manipulation of presidential influence for cash. Those boasting about 'blockchain technological innovation' have all become waiters pulling chairs for the big sponsors under Trump.
I even suspect this dinner is a giant harvesting machine for the wealthy—once the rich buy the coins with real money, Trump might turn around and tweet, 'Cryptocurrency is a scam.' By then, those expensive dinner tickets will instantly turn into electronic tombstones on the blockchain.
As the market continues to change, we need to closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment, and let’s navigate the bull market together and seize this major opportunity!
Trump is once again pressuring for interest rate cuts, claiming that "the economy is strong, and America needs to remain competitive," but Powell cannot directly back down, as it would appear that the Federal Reserve is being politically manipulated.
He will definitely find a way to ease off—perhaps by highlighting that employment data is good, inflation is slowing, and the market is stable, then smoothly cutting by 0.25%. This would satisfy the market's desire for easing while appearing to be an independent decision "based on economic data," rather than responding to Trump's directives.
Of course, he might also mention "tariff risks" and "global economic uncertainty" to give the appearance of caution. But the core message is: "The interest rate cut is because the economy is good, not because of pressure."
By doing this, he can stabilize the market while preserving the Federal Reserve's reputation. As for whether Trump is satisfied? Powell won’t bow down openly anyway.
In the cryptocurrency world, opportunities and risks coexist; staying alert and seizing the right moment is key. I've also discovered a short-term project with huge potential for a surge! If you want to follow along, click on my profile for free sharing!
Bitcoin has risen to 94,000, higher than the 92,000 I previously thought.
Although I thought it would drop at 92,000, I didn't rush to short because my trading habit is to wait for trend confirmation before taking action, not to rush in as soon as I see the target price. Even if it continues to rise to 95,000 or even 98,000, I still hold a bearish view.
If it really starts to drop, there will be at least a 20,000 point space; at that time, I will enter aggressively and make a comeback.
Some people may laugh at me for being wrong in my judgment, thinking the bull market has arrived, but when the crash happens, they will understand; who is right or wrong will be clear in due time.
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The pancake game is "Elevator Horror", when the dealer presses the button, retail investors' hearts stop for three seconds.
Look at this four-hour K-line, it resembles an ECG—prices are bouncing around $93,444, like a gambler hanging on a Ferris wheel.
Market signals: 1. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed into a snake neck, but the middle line is quietly pushing up to $92,800. This is more insidious than a weasel wishing a happy new year to a chicken—on the surface, it’s sideways, but there are directional mines buried beneath, with 94% of chips concentrated in the ±3% range, and the liquidation line is clearly calculated. 2. Trading volume is performing a "roller coaster": it surged to 10,800 contracts at 1 AM, now it has shrunk to 4,432 contracts, resembling a drunk man who passes out right after climax. But note that there are 33,000 sell orders pressing at $93,448; this wall is twice as high as the Shanghai World Financial Center. 3. MACD is playing "face-killing": the fast and slow lines are passionately rubbing against each other at +122%, and the red bars have shrunk to a nano level. The dealer holds both "long/short" cards, ready to flip at any moment.
Morning strikes: 1. Grayscale transferred out 9,343 BTC at dawn, this move is scarier than unloading goods at the casino entrance. 2. Fed officials stated, "Inflation persistence is beyond expectations," US Treasury yields soared to 4.32%, hitting a three-month high. 3. On-chain alert: a dormant address suddenly activated 93,436 BTC, this amount could break through the exchange three times.
Survival manual: Short-term traders are playing with "picking nuts from the fire": place orders between $92,800-$93,444 for fluctuations, stop loss immediately if it breaks $92,500. A breakthrough above $94,000 must wait for volume to exceed 15,100 contracts before joining; don’t act like a daredevil. Focus on the strong support at $92,000: this position is buried with 1.63 million buy orders, and if it really breaks, wait for on-chain signs of "whales sweeping up." Contract must-watch: funding rates soared to +122%, this is crazier than borrowing at high interest rates to trade coins. A position exceeding 15% is like delivering gold bars to the dealer.
Ultimate warning: an order at $93,432 was consumed in 3 minutes for 363K contracts, this is more sudden than the 9/11 incident.
I am Ji Xin, follow me, supported by a top-tier team, serving only ambitious madmen.
The market is like a casino, and news is the dealer's dice cup. K-lines are merely the chalk marks that gamblers use to keep score.
Staring at the ETH four-hour chart feels like watching the casino's dice cup being unveiled, with the price stuck at the critical line of $1797, both bulls and bears slamming chips down with deafening noise.
Let’s uncover the secrets hidden in this K-line chart while decoding the three major bombshell news from this morning.
Three strange signals from the market: 1. The upper and lower Bollinger Bands coincidentally overlap at $1690.81, while the middle band is secretly tilting to $1864.62. The dealer's "drawing a line in the sand" is cleverly played; on the surface, it seems calm, but in reality, it's hiding a directional explosive trap. 2. The order book reveals its true form: around $1797, there are 42.66k buy orders stacked up, resembling thirty ATMs lined up ready to spit cash. But above, at $1837, there are 209.92k sell orders pressing down, this wall is three times higher than the Shanghai Tower. 3. The open interest hides a deadly trap: 45.6% of the $13.83 million contracts are betting on the $1797-$1800 range, akin to gamblers collectively piling their chips between the roulette "0" and "00"; a slight shake of the table could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations.
This morning's must-watch three signals: 1. BlackRock increased its holdings by 3,215 BTC ETF at 3:17 AM, causing a massive ripple in the crypto market. 2. A new memo from an SEC commissioner was leaked, specifically naming ETH staking as potentially constituting "securities lending." 3. On-chain alert: An address starting with 0x8c3 has crazily funneled 92,000 ETH into Binance, comparable to a vault being broken open in a casino.
Survival operation guide: Short-term players should "dance on the knife's edge": go long at $1791.4, and short at $1836. Remember to set a stop-loss at $1790, while long-term players should keep a close eye on the warning line at $1690.81: wait for more than three transactions of over 10,000 ETH recharges on-chain before bottom fishing. This is a better strategy than a fortune teller's precise contract killing move: the volatility compressed to 21.97% means the powder keg is fully loaded, and don't exceed a 20% position, just like you wouldn't smoke in a dynamite store.
Remember, if it breaks $1864.62, blindly chase the rise; if it breaches $1690.81, run for your life. In this casino of a market, staying alive is the hard truth!
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New Trends in Geopolitical Competition: China's Strong Intervention in Panama Canal Deal
This move is really tough!
China directly intervened to halt BlackRock's $23 billion acquisition plan for the Panama Canal port, with the official reason being national security risks. But anyone with clear eyes can see that this is another hard confrontation between China and the United States over control of key global shipping routes.
How important is the Panama Canal, this golden waterway? 6% of global maritime trade relies on this passage. China clearly does not want to see American capital extend its reach here—after all, our own merchant ships pass through here thousands of times a day. Now, by directly stopping the deal, China has not only preserved its control over this strategic location but also slammed the brakes on American capital expansion.
The chain reaction triggered by this is not to be underestimated: BlackRock's layout in Latin America has been disrupted, and shipping stocks are likely to shake. More importantly, this marks China's increasing willingness to wield a sword in the overseas infrastructure competition. In the future, if Western capital wants to touch important ports along the 'Belt and Road,' they will have to think twice.
In my opinion, this is a textbook case of great power competition in the new era. On the surface, it seems like a commercial transaction, but underneath, it is all about the undercurrents of geopolitics. We need to keep a close eye on how the global trade landscape changes as these two giants face off.
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