The big one is coming! !BTC Today's Trend Analysis
Today's market is like the AE86 drifting on Akina Mountain with cheats — the accelerator is stuck but the fuel tank is leaking; it's thrilling, but be ready for a nitrous boost at any moment!
1. Price Meat Grinder: Bollinger Bands Hide Danger
Bitcoin is stuck bouncing between the mid and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, similar to the oscillating structure of the same time last year. The purple moving average at 103,000 is the line of life and death — if it holds, it can touch the ceiling of 112,000; if it doesn't hold, it will slide directly to the support zone of 98,000. On-chain data shows that there are 68,000 BTC orders near 110,000, effectively putting a guillotine over the bulls.
2. Power System: MACD Overclocked, RSI Overheated
The MACD red bars have surged to 624.2, doubling from last week, and the DIF and DEA divergence is pulling harder than the new highs of 2021. But be careful! This bull run has lasted for 14 days, with the RSI soaring to 75.8, entering the overbought zone, and it could blow up at any moment. Even more brutal, the long position ratio on exchanges has surged to 51.2%, while shorts are hiding at 49.8%, clearly aiming to cut the retail investors.
3. Operation Life and Death Line
Upper Ghost Gate: 112,000, if it breaks, look for 120,000, but be wary of the selling pressure from 68,000.
Lower Moat: 98,000, if it breaks, directly look for 94,000 Bollinger lower band.
Critical Moments: Pay close attention to the 4 PM and 8 PM four-hour closing prices; if it holds above 103,000, it can survive.
4. Nuclear Bomb News
The TVL on the SOL chain surged by 1.23 billion USD in a week, with funds being siphoned by altcoins; if Bitcoin fails to break through, altcoins may collectively crash.
5. Practical Survival Manual
Spot Traders: Lock in positions, buy the dip between 98,000-103,000 with closed eyes, but keep 30% dry powder for extreme scenarios.
Contract Traders: Set stop-loss below 97,000 by 500 to guard against spikes, wait for a breakthrough at 110,000 to retest 108,000 before re-entering.
King Bomb Prediction: This trend replicates the script from May 2021, oscillating between 103,000-108,000 during the day, and at night either violently breaking through 112,000 or crashing to 100,000 to explode contracts.
Remember! A sharp drop in a bull market is like giving away money, but don't die before dawn! Right now, this market is like disarming a bomb with bare hands; if you do it right, you'll meet a beautiful model, if wrong, you'll be hauling bricks at a construction site.
Intraday Focus: ETH PNUT PEPE S
