📈 Opinion: Bitwise CIO Says Bitcoin Could Smash the 4‑Year Cycle & Hit New ATHs in 2026
Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan just dropped a bold take: he believes Bitcoin won’t follow the old 4‑year halving rhythm anymore and could instead set new all‑time highs in 2026 — even though historically that year would have been a post‑peak correction. His logic? The factors that powered past cycles — halving supply shock, crypto leverage blow‑ups, and macro economic swings — are less dominant now. Instead, institutional adoption, spot ETF flows, and regulatory clarity are becoming the new long‑term drivers. That’s a big shift in narrative: instead of waiting for the post‑halving pullback, Bitcoin may head higher and smoother as Wall Street, banks, and major financial players unlock capital allocations. 👉 Why it matters: Traditional cycle models might no longer apply. Institutional demand could create less volatile but steadier gains. If this thesis plays out, BTC could push past its previous ATH well into 2026 — not just near expected peaks. ⚠️ But remember: markets aren’t predictable. Breaking a pattern doesn’t guarantee a new trend — and not everyone agrees. Some still believe historical cycles reflect deeper investor psychology that isn’t gone just because institutions are entering. In short: This isn’t hopium — it’s a shift in how some pros think about Bitcoin’s evolution. But it’s still an opinion, not a guarantee.
Long-term holders (LTH) are selling heavily, something that historically only happens near local or macro tops. Smart money is taking profits — previous patterns like this often lead to trend exhaustion or deep pullbacks.
💡 What it means:
Price still looks strong on the charts, but on-chain data tells a different story.
Retail bullishness vs. LTH selling = dangerous divergence.
Short-term: high risk of correction/shakeout.
Mid-term: market needs cooling + re-accumulation.
⚠️ Rule #1: Risk management > Hopium Don’t trade the noise — follow the data.
📊 Tuesday Crypto Pulse - $BTC and Market Highlights
Happy Tuesday, everyone! Crypto markets are reacting to a mix of network stress, institutional accumulation, and macro optimism. Here’s what matters today 👇
🔥 Top Crypto Headlines
• Bitcoin hash rate dropped by ~8% following raids in China targeting illegal mining farms - a short-term network shock, but historically such events tend to rebalance difficulty over time.
• Strategy retained its position in the Nasdaq 100, reinforcing Bitcoin exposure within traditional equity indices.
• Citigroup forecasts the S&P 500 reaching 7,700 in 2026, signaling continued optimism for risk assets in the medium term.
• Last week, Strategy acquired 10,645 BTC (~$980M), while BitMine added 102,259 ETH (~$298M) to its balance sheet - institutional accumulation remains strong.
• Nvidia unveiled Nemotron 3, new open-source AI models for code, text, and general-purpose tasks, strengthening the AI–crypto narrative.
• MetaMask added Bitcoin support, expanding BTC accessibility for millions of users.
• Research warns that liquidity on crypto exchanges is critically low, raising concerns about potential market instability similar to past flash crashes.
• Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is set to launch on Optimism, Base, Ink, and Unichain, accelerating multi-chain stablecoin adoption.
📌 Institutional buying continues, infrastructure is expanding, but liquidity risks and network disruptions remain key variables to watch.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
BOOM 💥 Look at what’s happening in the market right now 🔥
Traders on Binance Futures are having an intense day 🚀 Several coins are exploding at the same time — and no, it’s not a coincidence.
You can clearly feel an alpha energy returning to the market 💎 When small and mid-cap stocks start to move together, it’s often a sign that momentum is back.
Experienced traders are already positioned, calm, disciplined, letting the market work for them. The others will only open their eyes after the big candles… when it’s too late.
Stay alert. Stay focused. This kind of opportunity doesn’t give warning and waits for no one.
???????? US Congress Halts Cryptocurrency Regulation $
The US Congress has made the decision to push back efforts to develop the structure of the crypto market bill to next year. It seems the market is looking for some positive news while Congress just gets down to business without any urgency or pressure.
For now, crypto remains in a wait-and-see position as it continues to function without any additional regulations emerging.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?$BTC
50 $ ➝ 150 $ en une heure. Sans précipitation. Sans émotions.
Je n’ai pas sauté dans le trade au hasard. J’ai attendu une configuration propre, un vrai signal de force. Je suis entré calmement, en respectant mon plan. Pas de panique sur les petites fluctuations. Pas de décisions impulsives.
Le marché a fait sa part, moi j’ai fait la mienne : laisser le trade respirer. Quand l’objectif a été atteint, j’ai pris mes profits — sans cupidité.
Ce n’était pas de la chance. C’était de la patience, de la discipline et un bon timing.
Preuve qu’un petit capital peut grandir, si vous tradez comme un pro — avec une stratégie claire et une tête froide. 💎📈
Binance founder CZ sends a powerful reminder to the crypto market:
> “If you were ever jealous of people who bought crypto cheap and managed to hold through multiple cycles, remember one thing — they didn’t buy when it was easy.”
CZ is pointing to moments like this one. Times of fear. Times of doubt. Times when headlines are negative and emotions take over.
That’s exactly when long-term winners are built.
Markets don’t reward emotions — They reward patience, conviction, and discipline.
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: Michael Saylor’s company Strategy doubles down again, purchasing an additional 10,645 #Bitcoin worth approximately $980.3 million.
This isn’t a one-off move — it’s a clear continuation of Saylor’s long-term conviction that Bitcoin is the ultimate digital store of value. While markets debate short-term volatility, Strategy keeps executing its playbook: accumulate, hold, and think in decades — not days.
Nearly $1 billion added to the balance sheet in one move. Institutions aren’t waiting for permission anymore.
BIG BUY. STRONG CONVICTION. 🟠🚀
Smart money isn’t asking if — it’s positioning for when.
JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan's financial giant SBI Holdings is set to launch a yen-pegged stablecoin in partnership with Startale, according to reports.
The move signals a major step toward regulated digital yen adoption, combining traditional finance credibility with blockchain infrastructure. The stablecoin is expected to be fully backed 1:1 with the Japanese yen, designed for payments, settlements, and Web3 use cases.
SBI’s involvement highlights growing institutional confidence in stablecoins as a bridge between Tradfi and crypto, especially in one of the world’s most tightly regulated financial markets.
Japan isn’t banning crypto — it’s building it. 🇯🇵💴➡️⛓️
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has called for a complete ban on stock trading by members of Congress, a move that could significantly reshape ethics rules in American politics.
The call comes amid growing public concern over conflicts of interest, as lawmakers often have access to market-moving, non-public information related to legislation, economic policy, interest rates, and national security. Critics argue that allowing members of Congress to trade stocks undermines market fairness and public trust.
Bessent emphasized that permitting lawmakers to actively trade equities erodes confidence in financial markets and raises serious ethical questions, especially during periods of heightened economic uncertainty.
🔍 Why this matters:
Members of Congress receive sensitive information before the public
Trading on that knowledge creates an unfair advantage
A ban could restore transparency and trust in U.S. institutions
📉 If such a ban is implemented:
It could change market behavior around major policy announcements
Boost confidence among retail investors
Set a global precedent for separating political power from personal financial gain
⚖️ This proposal may spark a broader international debate on political ethics, insider access, and financial accountability—not just in the U.S., but worldwide.
🚨 JUST IN: Wall Street takes Bitcoin ETFs to the next level 🚨
According to recent reports, major Wall Street players have officially filed for a new Bitcoin ETF designed to trade exclusively after traditional market hours. This move is highly significant. Unlike standard ETFs that only trade during regular stock market sessions, this after-dark Bitcoin ETF would allow investors to gain exposure to BTC outside normal Wall Street hours, aligning more closely with Bitcoin’s 24/7 nature. 🔹 Why does this matter? Bitcoin never sleeps, yet traditional financial markets do. This ETF aims to bridge that gap, giving institutions and sophisticated investors the ability to react to overnight news, global macro events, and crypto market volatility without waiting for the opening bell. 🔹 What it signals: • Growing institutional demand for flexible BTC exposure • Wall Street adapting to crypto’s always-on market • Further normalization of Bitcoin within traditional finance • A step toward more advanced, crypto-native financial products 🔹 The bigger picture: This filing reinforces the idea that Bitcoin is no longer treated as a fringe asset. Instead, it’s being integrated deeper into legacy financial systems — on Bitcoin’s terms, not Wall Street’s. 📈 As TradFi continues to evolve, the line between traditional markets and crypto keeps fading. Bitcoin is forcing the system to adapt — not the other way around. $BTC
bitcoin is still stuck in extreme fear. Relentless $BTC shakeouts have shown no mercy to traders lately… but seasoned players know what usually comes next 👀📈
XRP News: A Potential 9% Upside If This Key Level Holds
XRP is currently trading around $1.99, down roughly 1% over the past 24 hours. Despite ongoing volatility across the broader crypto market, XRP has declined only 4% over the last week, showing relative strength compared to other altcoins such as ADA and BCH.
More importantly, the chart is starting to show an early bullish reversal signal. While the setup is not yet fully confirmed, as long as a key support level holds, the probability of a short-term rebound of around 9% increases significantly.
A Bullish Divergence Emerges
Between December 1st and 14th, XRP formed a bullish divergence on the daily chart. This occurs when price makes a lower low while the RSI prints a higher low, signaling weakening selling pressure.
On a daily timeframe, such a bullish divergence often precedes a trend reversal from bearish to bullish—provided that price holds its support.
The Critical $1.97 Support
That key support lies around $1.97, a level XRP has defended multiple times. On-chain data explains why.
The cost-basis heatmap shows a strong concentration of XRP purchases between $1.97 and $1.98, totaling approximately 1.79 billion XRP. When price trades near such zones, investors are generally less willing to sell at a loss, reinforcing support.
As long as XRP remains above $1.97 and the RSI stays firm, the bullish divergence remains valid.
$2.17: The Real Test for Bulls
If support holds, XRP’s first upside target sits near $2.17, representing a potential 9% move from current levels.
This area is a major resistance zone, with roughly 1.36 billion XRP accumulated between $2.16 and $2.17. Selling pressure is expected there.
A daily close above $2.17 could open the door to $2.28, then $2.69, and eventually $3.10, depending on overall market conditions.
Invalidation Level
The bullish scenario would be invalidated by a daily close below $1.97, which could expose XRP to a pullback toward $1.81, or even $1.77.
For now, XRP sits at a critical inflection point. The bullish reversal signal remains intact—but only as long as key support continues to hold.
Bottom line: E very XRP rally comes at a price. $XRP
Wall Street offering BTC-backed loans at 65–70% LTV is a structural shift, not a headline flex. It quietly changes Bitcoin’s role from “asset you sell” to “asset you borrow against” — and that matters more than price candles.
Short-term (weeks): Don’t expect a straight moon move. This kind of news:
boosts confidence ✔️
but doesn’t instantly inject spot buying pressure So BTC can range or pull back while the market digests it.
Mid-term (months): This is where it gets interesting.
Less forced selling
More BTC locked as collateral
More leverage without liquidations (unlike degen DeFi loops)
That creates a supply squeeze over time, not overnight.
The key insight most miss: Banks earning 2–4% on BTC-backed credit means they now have an incentive for:
BTC stability
BTC custody
BTC legitimacy
They don’t want volatility nuking their collateral.
So what’s BTC’s next move?
📉 Short term: consolidation / shakeouts are normal
📈 Medium to long term: higher floor, slower but stronger uptrends
Bitcoin isn’t in a hype phase anymore. It’s entering its “boring but unstoppable” phase — and that’s how real trillions move.
This isn’t euphoria. This is infrastructure being built quietly.
If you want, I can:
turn this into a clean X (Twitter) post
or add a price-level based BTC analysis (support/resistance) $BTC