📈 $BTC (2025-08-04 08:45) | Long/Short Trend Index: 68 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)

BTC is currently priced at $114,430, having stabilized after a rapid pullback, gradually oscillating upwards, with clear signs of short-term recovery. The 4-hour chart shows initial signs of a bottom, and if the trading volume can continue to increase, it may challenge the resistance around 115,800 again; the medium to long-term structure maintains an upward trend, but caution is still needed against multiple moving average resistances above.

🔹 Multi-Cycle Candlestick Trend Analysis:

15-minute chart: Bottom stabilization, MA7/25 golden cross, MA99 flattening, MACD showing a high position dead cross but with a contracting histogram, RSI rising to 57.5, short-term momentum recovery;

1-hour chart: Continuation of the rebound, MA system golden cross formed, MACD golden cross enlarging, RSI rising to 61.9, trend strengthening but approaching MA99 resistance;

4-hour chart: Stabilizing after a bottom test, MACD showing signs of a golden cross, RSI rising to 45.9, the moving average system has not yet formed a bullish structure, trend confirmation pending;

Daily chart: Clear bottoming with lower shadow, MACD histogram shortening, RSI rising to 46.9, a transitional form in short-term recovery;

Weekly chart: The large structure remains in a bullish channel, MACD maintains a golden cross, RSI at 62.7, long-term trend still leaning bullish.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:

MACD: 15m and 1H have completed golden crosses, 4H is about to form a golden cross, daily histogram shortening, trend shifting from weak to stable, momentum returning;

RSI: 1H showing strong recovery, 4H repairing to 45+, daily maintaining the 40 line bottom, weekly staying in a healthy strong zone;

Moving Average System: Short-term MA7/25 golden cross formed, MA99 still a pressure point, daily moving average system has not fully restored bullish structure;

Volume: 15m to 4H showing moderate volume increase, daily volume returning, with no obvious signs of major outflows.

🌐 Macroeconomic News Summary (Last 24 hours):

1. [MicroStrategy | August 3, 21:30] The company announced an increase of 2,200 BTC, with an average purchase price of $113,650, bringing total holdings to 173,000 BTC;

2. [Glassnode | August 3, 19:15] The number of active addresses on the BTC chain reached a nearly three-month high, with significant increases in short-term investor activity;

3. [CME | August 3, 18:40] BTC futures open interest has risen for the fifth consecutive day, indicating a gradual warming of institutional sentiment;

4. [CoinShares | August 3, 16:50] Digital asset funds saw an inflow of $245 million last week, with BTC accounting for over 85%, and funds still concentrated in mainstream assets.