📉 $BTC (2025-08-09 09:30) | Long/Short Trend Index: 62 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)

BTC is currently around $116,570. After a short-term pullback from yesterday's high, it has entered a consolidation phase, oscillating in the short term but with a still upward structure in the medium to long term. If it breaks through the $117,000–$117,500 range with increased volume, it is expected to rise further; if it fails to hold the $116,000 support, it may enter a corrective oscillation.

🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Analysis:

15-Minute Chart: MA7/25 retracement broke below MA99, MACD weakened, RSI dropped to 43 → short-term downside adjustment;

1-Hour Chart: Moving averages are flattening, MACD histogram is shrinking, RSI ≈ 49 → medium to short-term oscillation;

4-Hour Chart: MA7/25 remains above MA99, MACD golden cross has not reversed, RSI ≈ 56 → medium-term structure remains strong;

Daily Chart: Price is near the MA25, MACD golden cross has not been broken in the medium term, RSI ≈ 53 → daily chart is stable;

Weekly Chart: Moving averages continue to align bullishly, MACD and RSI maintain a bullish stance → long-term trend is intact.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:

MACD: Short-term momentum has retreated but has not turned bearish, 4H/Daily golden cross remains, overall bullish structure maintained;

RSI: Short-term has entered the neutral zone, 4H and Daily remain above the midpoint, still have room for upward movement;

Moving Average System: Multi-period moving averages are aligned upward, support is solid;

Trading Volume: Maintained at oscillation range levels, with no significant signs of capital outflow.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):

1. ETF Fund Flow:

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs attracted a total net inflow of $503M on August 7, with BTC ETF net inflow of about $281M, led by IBIT ($156M) and FBTC ($43M);

On August 6, a four-day streak of ETF fund outflows ended with a net inflow of $91.6M, boosting market confidence.   

2. Policies and Regulations:

President Trump signed an executive order allowing crypto assets to be included in 401(k) retirement plans, opening up trillions of dollars in pension investments to crypto;

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25–4.5% in the latest meeting, with overall macro policy being neutral but volatile.