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📈 $BTC (2025-07-08 08:20) | Long/Short Trend Index: 53 / 100 (Short-term pullback, Mid-term consolidation)
BTC currently retracing to around 108,200, multi-period indicators are converging, short-term momentum is weakening, price is under pressure from key short-term moving averages, MACD shows signs of flattening, daily trend is not yet broken, need to be cautious of continued oscillation structure.



🔹 Multi-period Candlestick Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: Short-term rebound is hindered at MA99 (108,999), MACD has just formed a golden cross but momentum is limited, RSI has risen to 54.18, indicating a short-term attempt to recover but pressure remains;
1-hour chart: After oscillating downwards, a low-level consolidation appears, MACD has a death cross and is converging towards balance, RSI rebounds to 46.3, momentum is weak;
4-hour chart: Price is oscillating around MA7/25, MACD histogram turns green, fast and slow lines are flattening, RSI hovers at 48.31, indicating mid-term trend is in consolidation;
Daily chart: High-level consolidation for nearly 5 days, still above MA7/25, MACD red histogram is shrinking but the golden cross structure is not broken, RSI 54.59 is still in a neutral bullish zone;
Weekly chart: Continues slow upward structure, but upper shadow is relatively long, MACD red histogram slightly converging, RSI 62.64 still maintains bullish pattern but has not expanded further.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Multi-periods show weakening momentum, 15m just golden crossed, 1H and 4H death cross is easing, daily and weekly red histograms are converging, need to pay attention to potential reversal;
RSI: 15m/1H/4H are all in a neutral position (46~54), short-term momentum has not formed a new trend, daily and weekly still strong but without acceleration;
Moving Average System: BTC is currently operating around MA7/25, short-term is constrained by MA99, if it cannot effectively stay above 109,000, the short-term will maintain a weak oscillation;
Trading Volume: Volume is concentrated in the upward phase last night, currently gradually decreasing, indicating a weakening market willingness to chase higher, waiting for the next momentum signal.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Bloomberg July 7 22:15] Federal Reserve governor states that September rate cut “still awaits data confirmation,” strengthening short-term risk aversion expectations;
2. [CryptoQuant July 8 01:10] Exchange BTC balance increased nearly 4,200 in 24 hours, indicating some active selling pressure;
3. [Bloomberg ETF Daily July 7 19:40] Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of 105 million dollars over the past two days, institutional positions are becoming cautious.

📈 $BTC (2025-07-07 13:40) | Long and Short Trend Index: 84 / 100 (Strong Continuation)
BTC is consolidating above 109,000, with the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour moving average systems and momentum indicators showing a bullish structure, while the daily and weekly trends are moving upward in sync. Although there are short-term fluctuations and pullbacks, momentum remains positive, and as long as the price does not break below the previous high, the structure remains healthy, continuing to maintain a medium-term bullish pattern.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: MACD double line shows initial death cross after high-level oscillation, RSI retreated to 50.5, short-term has certain consolidation pressure, but the pullback has not broken the support at 108,000, still leaning bullish;
1-hour chart: Price remains above MA7/25/99, MACD momentum bars are still positive, RSI stabilized after pulling back to 59.7, short-term bullish trend continues;
4-hour chart: Price steadily oscillating upwards, MACD golden cross continues to diverge, RSI rises to 58.7, both short and medium-term remain in a healthy upward channel;
Daily chart: MACD positive bars continue to grow, RSI rises to 57.8, the pullback has not broken MA7 support, daily structure is good;
Weekly chart: MACD continues to expand at a high level, RSI rises to 63.9, the highest point since November 2024, bullish trend structure remains unchanged.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m death cross initially appears, 1H, 4H, daily, and weekly charts still in bullish arrangement, overall structure leans bullish but short-term needs to be cautious of intraday adjustments;
RSI: 15m/1H oscillating back to neutral zone, 4H/daily/weekly steadily rising, short to medium-term momentum is sufficient;
Moving Average System: Multi-period price is running above MA7/25/99, especially 1H/4H strongly relying on moving averages to advance steadily;
Trading Volume: Short-term slightly shrinks, need to pay attention to whether bulls can break through 110,000 with continued volume, otherwise it may continue to oscillate in a range.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Reuters July 7 09:00] Market expectations turn dovish ahead of the Federal Reserve's July meeting, the rate cut timing may be advanced, BTC profit-sensitive funds are paying attention;
2. [CryptoQuant July 6 23:45] Net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges hits a three-week high, indicating the market is inclined towards mid-term holding;
3. [Glassnode July 6 21:30] Long-term holding ratio rises to a historic high, on-chain data supports a mid-term price increase basis;
4. [The Block July 7 07:10] SEC plans to approve more digital asset management products, potentially paving the way for ETF expansion, favorable for Bitcoin's long-term value consensus.

📈 $BTC (2025-07-05 11:35) | Long/Short Trend Index: 65 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)

BTC stabilized and rebounded shortly after falling back to around 107,000 yesterday, currently trading above 108,200. Short-term technical indicators have improved, but medium-term momentum still needs confirmation. Overall trend is neutral to bullish, and attention should be paid to the resistance in the 109,000 area.

🔹 Multi-period K-line trend judgment:
15-minute chart: Short-term rebound after stopping the decline, price has risen above MA99, MACD forms a golden cross with increased volume, RSI rises to 61.4, short-term momentum warming up;
1-hour chart: Rebounded after finding support at 106,000, but still oscillating near MA99, initial appearance of MACD golden cross, RSI rises to 48.9, recovering but trend not established;
4-hour chart: Overall in a high-level oscillation structure, MACD oscillating near the zero line, RSI at 50.8 is neutral, price is strong but momentum is insufficient;
Daily chart: Maintained above the 7-day and 25-day moving averages, MACD lines approaching, volume slightly shrinking, RSI at 55.5, maintaining a mildly bullish structure;
Weekly chart: Overall channel still maintains an upward trend, MACD golden cross continues but momentum bars slightly converge, RSI at 63.2, long-term structure is healthy but needs consolidation.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H forms a golden cross, short-term momentum shows signs of recovery, 4H daily line still neutral, weekly momentum bars tend to flatten;
RSI: Short-term rebounds above 50, 1H/4H maintains between 50~60, daily at 55, weekly at 63, momentum slightly improves but not strong;
Moving Average System: Price has risen above MA7/25, oscillating near MA99, 1H and 4H moving averages are cohesive, trend waiting for directional choice;
Trading Volume: Short-term rebound volume is weak, momentum still appears insufficient, if breaking above 109,000, confirmation with volume is needed.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [CoinDesk July 5] Fidelity and VanEck submitted supplementary documents for ETH spot ETF, hinting at possible expedited approval;
2. [Bloomberg July 4] Fed meeting minutes lean dovish, market re-evaluates the probability of interest rate cuts in September, dollar index falls boosting crypto assets;
3. [CryptoQuant July 5] Net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges has risen for three consecutive days, on-chain data supports market bottoming and rebound;
4. [The Block July 4] Major mining companies Riot and Marathon both disclosed a slowdown in Q2 sell-offs, reduced selling pressure from miners helps support the market.

📈 $BTC (2025-07-04 07:46) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 76 / 100 (Strong Continuation)
BTC continues to stay above 109,000, with solid support on daily and weekly trends. In the short term, there is a slight pullback, but the overall structure remains intact, and the 4H trend is still healthy. We are currently in a strong volatile consolidation period; if 109,800 is effectively broken, it will form second upward momentum.



🔹 Multi-period K-line trend assessment:
15-minute chart: Price is consolidating at a high level, with MA7/25/99 moving averages converging below support, MACD slightly weak, RSI retreated to 44.4, short-term momentum is temporarily paused;
1-hour chart: After rising, it is consolidating at a high level, standing above three moving averages, MACD is turning down but still in a strong zone, RSI 54.1, showing neutral to strong bias;
4-hour chart: After steady upward movement, it enters a consolidation zone, MA system maintains a bullish arrangement, MACD continues to expand but momentum slightly weakens, RSI 61.6, momentum still exists;
Daily chart: Continuously breaking previous highs, currently retracing without breaking, MACD golden cross expanding, RSI maintains at 60.0, structural support is complete;
Weekly chart: Maintains the upward channel, MA system provides good support, MACD golden cross is strongly diverging, RSI rises to 64.2, providing support for a medium to long-term bullish outlook.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 4H/1H still maintains a strong golden cross, although there is a short-term pullback, it has not broken; daily and weekly charts both maintain bullish expansion structure;
RSI: 1H retreated to a neutral to strong range, 4H remains high, daily and weekly charts rising in sync, reflecting that the overall trend has not been weakened;
Moving Average System: Short, medium, and long-term moving averages are all in bullish arrangement for the entire cycle, especially the 4H/daily structure is solid, with 109,200 as important support;
Trading Volume: Trading volume has moderately decreased over the past 24 hours, reflecting that the market is in a consolidation and preparation stage. If volume breaks through 109,800, it will form a new round of upward movement.

🌐 Macroeconomic News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Bloomberg July 3, 21:10] The US SEC released "Digital Asset Compliance Update Guidelines," focusing on spot ETFs for key review areas, interpreted by the market as marginally positive regulatory news;
2. [Coindesk July 3, 19:30] MicroStrategy announced an additional purchase of $120 million worth of BTC, continuing to implement the "Bitcoin First" strategy;
3. [CNBC July 3, 20:50] The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes released signals of "cooling inflation," with the probability of rate cuts in September soaring to 67%, leading risk assets to rise in tandem.

📈 $BTC (2025-07-03 07:52) | Long-Short Trend Indicator: 76 / 100 (Bullish)
BTC strongly broke above 108,000 at the end of the US trading session and reached above 109,700, currently retracing to around 108,800. The technical structure supports a short-term continuation of the upward trend, but a pullback confirmation needs to be monitored. Multi-period MACD and RSI continue to rise in sync, market sentiment is good but slightly overheated, short-term adjustments may occur.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: Retracement after a surge, MACD death cross appears, RSI drops to 41.67, entering a pullback correction phase in the short term;
1-hour chart: MACD fast line still maintains above, momentum slows but has not reversed, RSI falls to 58.96, still a healthy pullback;
4-hour chart: Effectively breaking through the consolidation platform and increasing volume, MACD bullish momentum continues, RSI rises to 60.30, trend strengthens;
Daily chart: Three consecutive bullish candles standing above key moving averages, MACD histogram turns positive, RSI rebounds to 58.19, trend is clear;
Weekly chart: MACD golden cross maintains an expanding gap, RSI rebounds to 63.67, long-term funds continue to increase.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m death cross appearing, need to be cautious of short-term fluctuations, 1H/4H/Daily still maintains bullish structure;
RSI: 15m approaching oversold, 1H/4H/Daily is in a strong mid-range, not yet overheated;
Moving Average System: BTC price stabilizes above MA7/25/99, especially 1H/4H returning to bullish arrangement, trend stable;
Volume: Significant volume increase in the morning supports the breakout, if sustained above 109,000, it will further confirm the effectiveness of the upward move.

🌐 Macroeconomic Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Bloomberg July 2, 20:30] Federal Reserve Governor Waller states that a rate cut in September is “reasonably possible,” market risk appetite is warming;
2. [CoinDesk July 2, 22:00] CME Bitcoin futures positions reach an all-time high, institutional bullish bets are rising;
3. [CryptoQuant July 2, 21:40] Net Bitcoin outflow from exchanges hits a 6-week high, indicating users prefer to hold coins;
4. [Reuters July 2, 18:10] Ethereum spot ETF approval enters the final discussion stage, potentially boosting BTC sentiment.

📉 $BTC (2025-07-02 08:45) | Long/Short Trend Index: 36 / 100 (Weakening Confirmed)

BTC has continuously retreated from the high level of 108,800 and has now fallen below the key support of 106,000, with short-term bears dominating. MACD has turned green across multiple periods, RSI is in a weak range, indicating that the trend has shifted from a strong oscillation to a downward movement. If 104,800 is lost, it will further open up adjustment space.


🔹 Multi-Period Candlestick Trend Assessment:
15-Minute Chart: Continuous decline and break below MA99 support, MACD has once again formed a dead cross and turned green, RSI has rebounded to 46.2 from a low position, short-term bears still control the market;
1-Hour Chart: After structural breakdown, it continues to consolidate at low levels, MACD bars are expanding, RSI remains at 37.6, short-term trend is clearly bearish;
4-Hour Chart: MA7/25 has a dead cross downward, MACD continues to expand below the zero axis, RSI has slipped to 37.1, bearish trend is gradually strengthening;
Daily Chart: Closed below MA7 and MA25, MACD golden cross has disappeared, RSI has fallen back to 49.5, clear signs of interruption in the rebound structure;
Weekly Chart: Price has retreated after being blocked by upper resistance, RSI has fallen below 60.0, MACD red bars are shrinking, trend momentum is weakening.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: All 15m/1H/4H have formed dead crosses and expanded, bearish momentum continues to strengthen, daily golden cross has disappeared, weekly red bars are exhausting;
RSI: Multi-periods have synchronized to fall below 50, especially 1H/4H has entered a weak range, indicating bears dominate the market;
Moving Average System: BTC price has fallen below MA7/25, and MA99 support has been lost, daily structure confirmation of weakening;
Trading Volume: Recent declines accompanied by increased volume, indicating rising selling pressure; if volume continues to increase and test, it may test the key support at 104,800.

🌐 Summary of Macro News (Last 24 hours):
1. [Coindesk July 1] Grayscale GBTC shows signs of discount rebound again, short-term arbitrage funds are active but provide limited support for spot;
2. [The Block July 1] Bitwise report shows slowdown in institutional ETF subscriptions, market enthusiasm has clearly cooled;
3. [Twitter CryptoQuant Analyst] Inflows of Bitcoin to exchanges are rising, suspected miner and early address cash-outs;
4. [CNBC July 1] The dollar index rebounded and stabilized at 105.3, suppressing the short-term performance of risk assets.

📈 $BTC (2025-07-01 08:45)｜Long/Short Trend Index: 65 / 100 (Consolidating Bias)
BTC short-term surged to the 108,300 level and then faced resistance, with prices retracing to the 107,200 area. MACD multi-period momentum is synchronously declining, and RSI indicators have all fallen below the midpoint. The market shows a clear wait-and-see attitude, with insufficient momentum for further breakthroughs. Overall trend maintains a neutral to bullish bias, but short-term correction pressure is gradually emerging, and attention needs to be paid to the effectiveness of support.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Judgment:
15-minute chart: short-term high retracement, MACD death cross momentum strengthens, RSI falls to 48.4, short-term turning weak;
1-hour chart: multiple highs hit resistance at the 108,300 area, MACD turns green, RSI drops to 45.5, short-term pressure rising;
4-hour chart: gradually retraces to MA25, MACD momentum weakens but has not fully turned negative, RSI pulls back to 49.9, at a critical point;
Daily chart: after retracement, the closing remains above MA25, MACD golden cross begins to converge, RSI drops to 54.9, trend shows slight fatigue;
Weekly chart: long-term upward structure remains intact, MACD maintains golden cross but momentum bars slow down, RSI slightly drops to 62.0, upward momentum slows but has not weakened.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H death cross signal is clear, 4H and daily momentum slows down, weekly still maintains upward trend, but momentum narrows, beware of short-term correction risk;
RSI: 15m falls to 48, 1H breaks the midpoint, 4H and daily approach the 50 mark, indicating cautious sentiment;
Moving Average System: prices oscillate around MA25, MA7 on 1H and 4H charts break below MA25, trend noticeably weakens;
Trading Volume: increased volume has not continued, recent volume contraction indicates the market has entered a wait-and-see period, lacking incremental momentum.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Reuters June 30 20:10] Fed governor says "September rate cut remains an open option," but needs more data for confirmation;
2. [The Block June 30 21:05] Some BTC futures open interest has significantly decreased, short-term leveraged funds are fleeing;
3. [CoinDesk June 30 22:00] Coinbase on-chain data shows slight recovery in net inflow of BTC into exchanges, short-term chips are loosening;
4. [CNBC June 30 23:00] US stocks adjusted during the session, Dow Jones slightly retraced, overall market risk preference is easing.

📈 $BTC（2025-06-30 07:54）｜Long and Short Trend Index: 81 / 100 (Strong Continuation)

BTC strongly broke through the key level of 108,000 during the session, accompanied by a synchronized rise in MACD and RSI across multiple timeframes. The market shows a bullish structure driven by increased volume; if it holds above 108,800, it is expected to challenge the 110,000 area. Short-term momentum has quickly recovered, with both daily and weekly trends supporting a continued upward movement.



🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-Minute Chart: Strong short-term breakout, MACD momentum bars rapidly expanding, RSI rising to 68.7 nearing overbought territory, short-term sentiment is positive;
1-Hour Chart: Consecutive bullish candles breaking through the consolidation platform, standing above MA99, MACD golden cross widening, RSI rising to 65.1, bullish structure established;
4-Hour Chart: Gradually climbing before breaking out with increased volume, MACD expanding upward again, RSI rising to 61.8, trend further strengthening;
Daily Chart: Recapturing previous adjustment highs and rising with increased volume, MACD golden cross confirmed, RSI rebounding to 59.0, trend shifting from correction to upward;
Weekly Chart: Long-term structure continues ascending channel, MACD maintains golden cross, RSI rising to 63.4, clear signs of continued capital inflow.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Multi-timeframe golden crosses synchronized, significant expanding momentum bars seen in 15m/1H/4H, daily golden cross initially widening, weekly strong golden cross structure continues;
RSI: 15m approaching 70, 1H/4H breaking above 60, indicating synchronized enhancement of short to mid-term momentum, daily approaching mid-high range;
Moving Average System: BTC price firmly above MA7/25/99, especially 1H and 4H closing above key moving averages, short to mid-term trend established;
Trading Volume: Significant volume increase in recent hours supports the validity of the breakout; if sustained, 108,800 will not be the endpoint.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. [Bloomberg June 29 20:10] SEC Chairman Gensler states that "the regulatory roadmap for digital assets has become clear," interpreted by the market as favorable for ETF prospects;
2. [The Block June 29 18:35] Grayscale plans to convert part of GBTC into an actively managed fund, possibly expanding institutional participation;
3. [Cointelegraph June 29 22:00] Bitcoin miners' on-chain selling pressure hits a six-week low, indicating a clear alleviation of supply-side pressure;
4. [CNBC June 29 23:15] U.S. stocks reach new historical highs, Nasdaq surpasses 18,000, with risk appetite driving BTC to strengthen in tandem.

📈 $BTC (2025-06-29 08:15) | Long-Short Trend Index: 62 / 100 (Consolidation Leaning Strong)

BTC maintains sideways consolidation above 107,000, with multi-period trends entering a consolidation phase. Short-term indicators appear slightly weak, but the daily and weekly trends remain biased towards bullish structure. Attention should still be paid to the resistance zones at 107,800 and 108,600 above, while the short-term support is located at 106,000. A fall below this level may trigger a technical correction.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: High-level consolidation, MACD histogram weakens and flattens, RSI 46.3, short-term momentum weakens but no obvious breakdown.
1-Hour Chart: Long-short deadlock, MACD oscillates near the zero axis, RSI 49.8, price close to MA25, still not breaking through MA99, structure remains unclear.
4-Hour Chart: Maintains bullish arrangement but momentum declines, MACD red histogram narrows, RSI 56.7, in the early stage of bullish weakening.
Daily Chart: Steadily converging towards the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, MACD death cross slows down, RSI 55.9, rebound momentum under pressure, direction yet to be chosen.
Weekly Chart: Long-term bullish structure continues, MACD golden cross remains stable, RSI 62.6, support trend continues, but short-term slowdown is evident.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Daily and 1H structures flattening, 4H red histogram converging, weekly still holds golden cross, trend slightly biased towards bullish but momentum weakens;
RSI: All periods are in a neutral to strong range, no divergence formed, but no strong breakout signal;
Moving Average System: Short-term close to MA25 oscillation, 4H and daily still above MA99, indicating structure remains resilient;
Trading Volume: Multi-period volume continues to shrink, caution is needed for directional expansion after consolidation.

🌐 Macroeconomic News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. Hong Kong SFC releases new guidelines for compliance virtual asset exchange review process (June 28, CoinDesk)
2. Bitcoin miners' open contracts reach an all-time high, market hedging sentiment strengthens (Glassnode, June 28)
3. Grayscale submits a revised prospectus for ETH spot ETF to SEC, with clearer statements (Bloomberg, June 28)
4. US Dollar Index DXY drops to 104.5, short-term weakening supports risk assets stabilizing in consolidation (Reuters, June 28)

📈 $BTC (2025-06-28 09:45) | Long/Short Trend Index: 52 / 100 (Neutral Fluctuation)

BTC has been blocked above 108,000 for three consecutive days, with short-term momentum weakening and high-level fluctuations narrowing. MACD and RSI are not synchronized across multiple timeframes, with momentum weakening at 15-minute and 1-hour levels, slightly strong at 4-hour, while daily and weekly structures remain stable, lacking clear direction as we await a breakout signal.



🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: Consolidation and fluctuation, price oscillates around 107,000, MACD is stuck near the zero line, RSI is only 43.0, short-term momentum is sluggish;
1-hour chart: Weak rebound after consecutive declines, MACD momentum is weakening, RSI has returned to 46.6, overall still dominated by bearish sentiment;
4-hour chart: Maintaining strong fluctuations within an upward channel, MACD still shows golden cross momentum, RSI 55.1, slightly strong but not breaking key levels;
Daily chart: Bullish structure maintained, MACD death cross is slowing but has not reversed, RSI 54.8, price primarily consolidating;
Weekly chart: Structure remains healthy, MACD maintains a high position golden cross, RSI 62.3, long-term trend remains unbroken, maintaining a strong platform consolidation.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H momentum weakening, 4H maintains golden cross, daily death cross converging, weekly maintains strength, cyclical divergence intensifying;
RSI: Multi-timeframe RSI fluctuates in the 40–60 range, indicating neutral to weak momentum, lacking breakout signals;
Moving Average System: Price is close to MA7/MA25, MA99 maintains support below, need to pay attention to the direction of breaking 105,800 and 108,000;
Trading Volume: Low-volume consolidation phase, volume is shrinking, main players are clearly in a wait-and-see atmosphere, waiting for event-driven or key technical breakthroughs.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. Bloomberg reports that BlackRock's ETH spot ETF application officially entered the SEC review stage on June 25, market expectations have heated up;
2. Several Fed officials' comments remain hawkish, market expectations for interest rate cuts this year continue to decline, and the dollar index stabilizes;
3. BTC on-chain activity has declined for three consecutive days, with short-term speculative funds showing a wait-and-see sentiment;
4. Mt.Gox creditor repayment details updated, part of BTC may be released in early July, raising market concerns about supply shocks.

📈 $BTC (2025-06-27 10:30) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 62 / 100 (Consolidation with a slight bullish bias)

BTC has continuously rebounded to around 107,200 and encountered resistance, entering a high-level consolidation in the short term. MACD shows weakening across multiple time frames, and RSI has also pulled back from high levels, currently in a brief equilibrium phase between bulls and bears. If it cannot break through the resistance above 108,000, we need to guard against short-term fluctuations and pullbacks.

🔹 Multi-timeframe K-line trend assessment:
15-minute chart: Consolidating sideways, MACD dual lines are merging and flattening, RSI 53.5, momentum is neutral to weak;
1-hour chart: After a rebound, it retreats with fluctuations, MACD shows a slight death cross, RSI has pulled back to 50.2, momentum is clearly converging;
4-hour chart: The rebound is hindered by previous highs, MACD histogram is contracting, RSI 60.7, trend momentum is decreasing;
Daily chart: Fluctuating rebound above MA25, MACD golden cross angle is slowing down, RSI rises to 55.8, medium-term is slightly strong but sustainability needs confirmation;
Weekly chart: MACD golden cross continues to expand, RSI rises to 62.5, long-term structure remains healthy, still in a moderately upward trend channel.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 1H shows a death cross, 15m is horizontal, 4H golden cross is weakening, daily/weekly maintain a slight bullish bias, momentum is weakening but structure is intact;
RSI: Multi-timeframe has pulled back but has not lost the key middle axis, reflecting a weakening of short-term momentum but has not formed a trend reversal;
Moving Average System: Current price stabilizing above MA25, MA7 crosses above MA25 but the angle is slowing down, indicating bulls have a slight edge but lack new momentum;
Volume: Both 4H and 1H show a contraction in volume, indicating a lack of sustained capital support for the current upward trend.

🌐 Summary of Macroeconomic News (Last 24 hours):
1. Coinbase's collaboration with BlackRock on the ETH spot ETF application has been preliminarily accepted by the SEC, confirming earlier news in official documents (Coindesk, June 26);
2. US PCE inflation data will be released this week, which may affect the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy expectations and indirectly influence market risk appetite;
3. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has initiated a consultation on a crypto custody system, providing a compliance pathway for institutional investors (HKMA official website, June 26);
4. ETF holdings have seen slight net inflows for the third consecutive day, indicating increased signs of short-term capital speculation (Farside data, June 27).

📈 $BTC (2025-06-26 08:45) | Long/Short Trend Index: 72 / 100 (Consolidation with a bullish bias)

BTC is consolidating at a high level below the 107,000 mark, with short-term momentum slightly slowing down, but the overall bullish structure remains intact. MACD and RSI are maintaining an upward trend across multiple time frames, and the price continues to operate above the moving average system. The market continues its rebound and repair trend, with key resistance areas still at 107,800 and 109,500.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Analysis:
15-Minute Chart: Slight pullback during high-level consolidation, MACD oscillating near the zero line, RSI 49.6, momentum is weak;
1-Hour Chart: Consolidation after a rebound, MACD golden cross at a high level is flattening, RSI 59.5, short-term long/short are balanced;
4-Hour Chart: Stabilized and maintains an upward channel, MACD red bars are shrinking but not crossing down, RSI 66.6, trend remains stable;
Daily Chart: Rebound breaks above MA25 and stabilizes, MACD death cross continues to converge, RSI 56.4, daily rhythm of recovery continues;
Weekly Chart: Bullish trend continues, MACD maintains golden cross, RSI 62.7, long-term structure is solid.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 4H and weekly charts are in a continuous golden cross state, daily chart is about to form a new golden cross, 1H has entered a top divergence warning zone;
RSI: Multi-period RSI is above the midpoint, 4H and weekly are approaching overbought, short-term has a risk of pullback;
Moving Average System: BTC maintains above MA25/99, the bullish arrangement of moving averages is intact;
Trading Volume: Overall volume has increased and converged in the last 24 hours, the market is waiting for a directional breakout. If it breaks above 107,800 with increased volume, it will further open up upward space.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. BlackRock's ETH spot ETF structural mechanism has been preliminarily accepted by the SEC, not a first-time application, mainly involving amendments to in-kind redemption details (Coindesk, June 25);
2. Fidelity has resubmitted supplementary documents for the BTC spot ETF, incorporating more on-chain transparency disclosures (SEC website);
3. Federal Reserve officials hint at a possible rate cut in September, the dollar index slightly retreats to 104.6 (CNBC);
4. The number of active addresses on the BTC chain has risen to a two-week high, indicating a recovery in on-chain fund activity (Glassnode).

📈 BTC (2025-06-25 09:15) | Bullish-Bearish Trend Index: 72 / 100 (Strong Rebound)

BTC continues to rise above 106,400, with strong short-term momentum. Multi-period indicators are warming up simultaneously, and the trend structure is bullish. In the short term, watch for resistance at 106,800 and 107,400. If momentum aligns, the next wave of growth may occur.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Assessment:
15-Minute Chart: Recent oscillation upward, MACD fast and slow lines golden cross again, momentum bars expand, RSI 60.5, strong short-term momentum;
1-Hour Chart: Price stands above MA99 again, MACD golden cross momentum stabilizes, RSI 65.8, short-term has entered a bullish phase;
4-Hour Chart: Rebound continues to break through, MACD bars turn red and expand, RSI 65.3, trend recovery is rapid;
Daily Chart: Price closes firmly above MA25, MACD converges and turns positive, RSI rises to 54.2, mid-term rebound rhythm continues on the daily chart;
Weekly Chart: Bullish structure remains intact, MACD maintains golden cross, RSI 61.2, long-term is still in a structural bullish trend.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H/4H three periods synchronize golden cross; daily chart about to golden cross; weekly chart golden cross maintains stability;
RSI: 15m ~ 4H all above 60; daily chart breaks through the midline; weekly chart maintains in the 60 range;
Moving Average System: Bitcoin has returned above the short to mid-term moving averages, structure shows clear stabilization;
Trading Volume: Rise accompanied by general volume increase, showing continued capital inflow. If volume breaks through, it will enhance subsequent momentum.

🌐 Macro / News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. MicroStrategy purchases another 11,900 BTC, increasing their holding ratio (Bloomberg, June 24);
2. SEC initiates review of BTC + ETH combination spot ETF (The Block, June 24);
3. On-chain active addresses and large transfer numbers remain high (Glassnode, June 24);
4. U.S. stock market performs strongly (Nasdaq +1.4%), macro capital inflow into crypto assets is favorable.

📈 $BTC (2025-06-24 07:45) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 67 / 100 (Strong Fluctuation)

BTC has short-term stopped falling and rebounded, quickly breaking through 105,000 and consolidating at a high level. MACD and RSI across multiple periods are synchronously warming up, indicating a short-term strengthening of the market. Currently in the phase of continuation of the rebound, attention needs to be paid to the performance at the resistance levels of 105,800 and 106,600; if broken with volume, it will open up further upward space.



🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Analysis:
15-Minute Chart: Strong breakthrough followed by high-level fluctuation, MACD momentum bars continue to expand, RSI 66.7, short-term momentum maintains upward;
1-Hour Chart: Continuous rise returning above MA99, MACD golden cross upwards, RSI rises to 72.8, entering short-term overbought zone;
4-Hour Chart: Breaks through the upper edge of the box fluctuation, MACD bars turn red and expand, RSI rebounds to 61.5, initial establishment of strengthened trend;
Daily Chart: Rebound challenges above MA25, MACD death cross converges and flattens, RSI 51.7, daily rhythm of repair continues;
Weekly Chart: Bullish structure unbroken, MACD maintains golden cross, RSI 61.2, long-term structure robust, if it can break out with volume, it will build a new round of trend.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H/4H all form strong golden crosses, momentum continues to strengthen, daily reversal signs begin to appear, weekly maintains golden cross state;
RSI: 1H and 15m enter strong zone, 4H crosses above 60, daily returns to near the middle axis, multiple periods synchronously warming up;
Moving Average System: BTC has re-stood above MA25/MA99, short-term structure successfully reconstructed, if 105,800 stabilizes, it will further confirm the mid-term rebound;
Trading Volume: The rise is accompanied by increased volume, indicating enhanced willingness of funds to enter, if continuous volume increases, it will enhance the effectiveness of the breakout.

🌐 Macroeconomic News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. MicroStrategy once again increased its holdings by 11,900 BTC, total holdings exceed 1% of circulating supply (Bloomberg, June 23);
2. New developments in U.S. crypto ETF approvals: SEC begins to evaluate BTC and ETH combination fund (The Block, June 23);
3. The number of active Bitcoin addresses on-chain reaches a recent high, reflecting increased signs of capital inflow (Glassnode, June 23);
4. The dollar index slightly drops below 105, short-term risk appetite rises, favorable for digital asset rebound.